Productive-Brooch 0x34af3a…f4bd55 Create alert
whale hot 22W streak
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.63K
Unrealized P&L
+$855
Hit rate
99.3%
Resolved (30d)
141
Trades (30d)
642
6,877 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$43.6K
$762.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$10.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-09 14:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
61% 94% +$1,307
Politics
23% 82% -$274
Crypto
10% 95% +$494
Tech
6% 79% +$1,004
Sports
1% 85% +$154
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,990 -$2,007 98¢ $-1957 +$50 10-28 05:22
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +857 $653 92¢ $787 +$133 11-06 23:36
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +851 $695 92¢ $779 +$84 11-03 03:50
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +589 $537 96¢ $566 +$29 11-08 08:09
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +488 $480 99¢ $481 +$1 11-09 10:47
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? No +450 $438 99¢ $445 +$7 11-09 07:21
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +544 $507 77¢ $420 -$86 11-08 15:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +400 $352 98¢ $393 +$41 10-18 10:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No +400 $266 97¢ $389 +$123 11-05 13:21
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +341 $317 98¢ $334 +$17 11-08 15:08
Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +320 $316 97¢ $310 -$6 11-08 08:11
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -301 -$492 98¢ $-296 +$197 09-13 02:03
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +300 $259 86¢ $256 -$2 11-08 18:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +291 $185 87¢ $253 +$68 10-25 22:29
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +262 $246 96¢ $252 +$6 11-08 08:05
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +253 $242 96¢ $243 +$1 11-05 19:19
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? No +231 $217 92¢ $213 -$4 11-09 07:18
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31? No +200 $194 98¢ $195 +$1 11-06 13:10
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31? No +210 $168 90¢ $189 +$21 11-05 08:07
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? No +230 $212 82¢ $188 -$24 11-06 13:10
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +193 $170 97¢ $188 +$18 11-08 15:10
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +200 $160 88¢ $175 +$15 10-01 17:29
us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026 No +151 $136 97¢ $146 +$10 09-28 15:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +142 $129 97¢ $137 +$8 10-21 19:14
Will StepFun be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +138 $137 99¢ $137 +$0 11-08 15:12
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $525B by November 30? No +131 $118 94¢ $123 +$5 11-05 13:15
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +130 -$23 92¢ $119 +$142 11-07 06:13
Will StepFun be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +120 $119 98¢ $117 -$2 11-08 15:05
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +117 $88 98¢ $115 +$27 10-15 22:19
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +218 $126 46¢ $99 -$26 11-01 02:29