Productive-Brooch 0x34af3a…f4bd55 Create alert
whale hot 22W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
+$1.63K
Unrealized P&L
+$718
Hit rate
99.2%
Resolved (30d)
156
Trades (30d)
640
6,847 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$44.0K
$759.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$111
Open exposure
$7.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 08:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
61% 94% +$1,307
Politics
23% 82% -$274
Crypto
10% 95% +$494
Tech
6% 79% +$1,004
Sports
1% 85% +$154
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,990 -$2,007 98¢ $-1947 +$60 10-28 05:22
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +857 $653 90¢ $775 +$121 11-06 23:36
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +589 $537 96¢ $563 +$26 11-08 08:09
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +400 $352 98¢ $391 +$39 10-18 10:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No +400 $266 97¢ $389 +$123 11-05 13:21
Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +320 $316 99¢ $316 $0 11-08 08:11
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -301 -$492 99¢ $-296 +$196 09-13 02:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +291 $185 88¢ $257 +$72 10-25 22:29
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +262 $246 95¢ $249 +$3 11-08 08:05
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +253 $242 96¢ $243 +$1 11-05 19:19
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31? No +200 $194 98¢ $195 +$1 11-06 13:10
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31? No +210 $168 90¢ $189 +$21 11-05 08:07
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? No +230 $212 82¢ $188 -$24 11-06 13:10
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +200 $160 87¢ $174 +$14 10-01 17:29
us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026 No +151 $136 97¢ $146 +$10 09-28 15:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +142 $129 97¢ $138 +$8 10-21 19:14
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $525B by November 30? No +131 $118 94¢ $123 +$5 11-05 13:15
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? No +131 $122 92¢ $121 -$1 11-05 13:19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +117 $88 98¢ $114 +$26 10-15 22:19
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +218 $126 46¢ $99 -$26 11-01 02:29
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $97 97¢ $97 +$0 10-20 05:10
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +100 $89 94¢ $94 +$5 07-22 21:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by November 30? No +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$2 11-05 07:58
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $625B by November 30? No +93 $58 76¢ $71 +$14 11-05 13:15
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? No +71 $70 99¢ $71 +$0 10-30 23:31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $36 99¢ $49 +$13 09-25 07:01
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +51 $46 94¢ $48 +$2 11-04 08:14
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026? No +50 $46 74¢ $37 -$9 11-06 09:50
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $18.25B by November 30? No +28 $26 94¢ $27 +$1 11-08 08:33
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +24 $9 98¢ $23 +$15 11-06 13:05