Productive-Brooch 0x34af3a…f4bd55 Create alert
whale hot 22W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$2.89K
Unrealized P&L
+$606
Hit rate
98.6%
Resolved (90d)
302
Trades (90d)
1,655
6,698 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$133.2K
$727.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$109
Open exposure
$8.27K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 15:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 175 days
Categories
Other
61% 94% +$1,307
Politics
23% 82% -$274
Crypto
10% 95% +$494
Tech
6% 79% +$1,004
Sports
1% 85% +$154
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,990 -$2,007 98¢ $-1945 +$62 10-28 05:22
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +857 $653 91¢ $783 +$130 11-06 23:36
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +589 $537 96¢ $566 +$29 11-08 08:09
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +544 $507 72¢ $392 -$114 11-08 15:13
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +400 $352 98¢ $391 +$39 10-18 10:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No +400 $266 97¢ $389 +$123 11-05 13:21
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +341 $317 96¢ $327 +$10 11-08 15:08
Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +320 $316 96¢ $308 -$8 11-08 08:11
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -301 -$492 99¢ $-296 +$196 09-13 02:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +291 $185 88¢ $257 +$72 10-25 22:29
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +262 $246 95¢ $249 +$3 11-08 08:05
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +253 $242 96¢ $243 +$1 11-05 19:19
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31? No +200 $194 98¢ $195 +$1 11-06 13:10
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31? No +210 $168 90¢ $189 +$21 11-05 08:07
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? No +230 $212 82¢ $188 -$24 11-06 13:10
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +200 $160 88¢ $177 +$17 10-01 17:29
us x china agree to pace the ai frontier in 2026 No +151 $136 97¢ $146 +$10 09-28 15:17
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by November 30? No +142 $129 97¢ $138 +$8 10-21 19:14
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $525B by November 30? No +131 $118 94¢ $123 +$5 11-05 13:15
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? No +131 $122 92¢ $121 -$1 11-05 13:19
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? No +117 $88 98¢ $114 +$26 10-15 22:19
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +218 $126 46¢ $99 -$26 11-01 02:29
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $97 98¢ $98 +$0 10-20 05:10
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +100 $89 94¢ $94 +$4 07-22 21:17
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by November 30? No +100 $89 92¢ $92 +$2 11-05 07:58
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +100 $87 84¢ $84 -$3 11-08 15:16
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +109 $84 70¢ $77 -$7 11-08 15:15
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $625B by November 30? No +93 $58 78¢ $73 +$15 11-05 13:15
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31? No +71 $70 99¢ $71 +$0 10-30 23:31
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $36 98¢ $49 +$13 09-25 07:01