Productive-Brooch 0x34af3a…f4bd55 Create alert
whale hot 22W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$3.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$933
Hit rate
98.8%
Resolved (90d)
302
Trades (90d)
1,691
6,787 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$136.8K
$735.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$13.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 17:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
61% 94% +$1,271
Politics
23% 82% -$274
Crypto
10% 95% +$494
Tech
6% 79% +$1,004
Sports
1% 85% +$154
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,990 -$2,007 98¢ $-1957 +$50 10-28 05:22
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +871 $713 92¢ $797 +$84 11-10 12:43
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $625B by November 30? No +809 $688 97¢ $787 +$99 11-09 20:44
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +857 $653 92¢ $787 +$134 11-06 23:36
Will Meta be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +708 $661 97¢ $687 +$26 11-10 10:27
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? No +800 $670 86¢ $684 +$14 11-10 17:25
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 9 – Nov 13? No +635 $634 99¢ $632 -$2 11-10 15:07
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +608 $597 96¢ $586 -$11 11-10 15:37
Will Meta be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +589 $537 96¢ $566 +$29 11-08 08:09
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +565 $527 90¢ $512 -$16 11-10 15:39
Will MiniMax be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +502 $492 98¢ $493 +$2 11-10 11:57
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31? No +450 $438 98¢ $442 +$4 11-09 07:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? No +400 $352 98¢ $393 +$41 10-18 10:28
Trump out as President before 2027? No +400 $266 98¢ $391 +$125 11-05 13:21
Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +341 $317 98¢ $333 +$16 11-08 15:08
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -301 -$492 98¢ $-296 +$197 09-13 02:03
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +291 $185 90¢ $260 +$75 10-25 22:29
Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +300 $259 86¢ $256 -$2 11-08 18:37
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $6B by December 31? No +310 $289 82¢ $254 -$35 11-09 23:38
Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +262 $246 96¢ $252 +$6 11-08 08:05
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +253 $242 96¢ $243 +$1 11-05 19:19
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +245 $227 97¢ $238 +$11 11-09 23:43
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? No +227 $215 95¢ $216 +$2 11-09 23:58
Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31? No +231 $217 92¢ $213 -$4 11-09 07:18
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31? No +200 $194 98¢ $195 +$1 11-06 13:10
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +200 $160 97¢ $195 +$35 10-01 17:29
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10? No +200 $174 95¢ $190 +$16 11-09 22:21
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31? No +210 $168 90¢ $189 +$21 11-05 08:07
Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? No +193 $170 97¢ $188 +$18 11-08 15:10
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +200 $186 91¢ $181 -$4 11-10 17:27