Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,166
Trades
131
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$2,128
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-06 22:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $45 | — | +$45 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $162 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $75 | $286 | $211 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $67 | $206 | $138 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $17 | $873 | $856 |
| Median | 4 | $6 | $3 | +$3 |
| Below median | 7 | $124 | $277 | $153 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $20 | $475 | $456 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $99 | — | +$99 |
| unranked | 9 | $71 | $182 | $111 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | +500 | $430 | $430 | 1 | 06-18 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | +400 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-06 15:43 |
| Polished-Hexagon 0x7478…4003 | No | +313 | $269 | $269 | 1 | 06-17 06:24 |
| Jealous-Copywriter 0x226a…6411 | No | +200 | $174 | $174 | 2 | 07-02 12:20 |
| Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | +200 | $176 | $358 | 2 | 07-06 22:46 |
| Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | +120 | $14 | $126 | 22 | 07-06 22:34 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +120 | $15 | $15 | 6 | 07-06 22:34 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +119 | $17 | $46 | 5 | 07-02 01:15 |
| Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | +112 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 06-18 08:31 |
| Female-Fourths 0xe308…309c | Yes | +100 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-11 09:35 |
| Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 06-11 09:35 |
| Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | +90 | $12 | $63 | 10 | 07-06 22:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +60 | $6 | $6 | 6 | 07-06 22:34 |
| Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 | No | +57 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-18 08:31 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +55 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-18 08:31 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +40 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 07-02 12:51 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +35 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-18 08:31 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +22 | $19 | $53 | 4 | 06-18 14:37 |
| Those-Marines 0xa2d1…d015 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 19:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xec47…0c22 | No | +19 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 06-18 08:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-06 00:00 |
| Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 22:34 |
| Red-Triangle 0xbd9f…ef72 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-29 15:57 |
| Rotating-Markup 0x9102…8b85 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 01:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 22:46:20 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xcc382b… |
| 07-06 22:46:20 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xcc382b… |
| 07-06 22:34:59 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 170 | 10¢ | $17 | 0x0a6f55… |
| 07-06 22:34:59 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x0a6f55… |
| 07-06 22:34:59 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0a6f55… |
| 07-06 22:34:59 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0a6f55… |
| 07-06 22:34:56 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x2fcaf5… |
| 07-06 22:34:56 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x2fcaf5… |
| 07-06 22:34:56 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 11¢ | $7 | 0x2fcaf5… |
| 07-06 22:34:56 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 300 | 89¢ | $267 | 0x2fcaf5… |
| 07-06 22:34:56 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 170 | 11¢ | $19 | 0x2fcaf5… |
| 07-06 00:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x628d0d… |
| 07-06 00:00:20 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x628d0d… |
| 07-03 12:39:58 | (anonymous) 0x3175…9bb2 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x2af96b… |
| 07-03 12:39:58 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x2af96b… |
| 07-03 08:21:55 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x1b8082… |
| 07-03 08:21:55 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x1b8082… |
| 07-02 20:42:46 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x6ca5f8… |
| 07-02 20:42:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x6ca5f8… |
| 07-02 20:42:46 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6ca5f8… |
| 07-02 20:36:52 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x3af521… |
| 07-02 20:36:52 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x3af521… |
| 07-02 19:45:10 | Those-Marines 0xa2d1…d015 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x9057e8… |
| 07-02 19:45:10 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x9057e8… |
| 07-02 19:45:10 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x9057e8… |
| 07-02 15:46:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9b4e45… |
| 07-02 15:46:02 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x9b4e45… |
| 07-02 13:09:08 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xd9660d… |
| 07-02 13:09:08 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xd9660d… |
| 07-02 12:51:47 | Frosty-Employer 0x290e…1e65 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x2ae579… |
| 07-02 12:51:47 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x2ae579… |
| 07-02 12:51:41 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x01e21e… |
| 07-02 12:51:41 | Frosty-Employer 0x290e…1e65 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x01e21e… |
| 07-02 12:51:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x328472… |
| 07-02 12:51:38 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 13¢ | $6 | 0x328472… |
| 07-02 12:51:38 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x328472… |
| 07-02 12:51:38 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x328472… |
| 07-02 12:20:37 | Jealous-Copywriter 0x226a…6411 | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0x98965b… |
| 07-02 12:20:37 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x98965b… |
| 07-02 12:20:37 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x98965b… |
| 07-02 12:20:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x98965b… |
| 07-02 12:18:47 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xf41a11… |
| 07-02 12:18:47 | Jealous-Copywriter 0x226a…6411 | No | BUY | 100 | 87¢ | $87 | 0xf41a11… |
| 07-02 12:18:47 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 13¢ | $9 | 0xf41a11… |
| 07-02 08:48:53 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 101 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x83c0c7… |
| 07-02 08:48:53 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 71 | 87¢ | $62 | 0x83c0c7… |
| 07-02 08:48:53 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x83c0c7… |
| 07-02 01:15:55 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x68742d… |
| 07-02 01:15:55 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x68742d… |
| 07-02 01:15:37 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x12bce0… |
| 07-02 01:15:37 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x12bce0… |
| 07-01 19:27:28 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x178f2f… |
| 07-01 19:27:28 | (anonymous) 0x3175…9bb2 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x178f2f… |
| 06-30 13:12:38 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 59 | 14¢ | $8 | 0xd4061f… |
| 06-30 13:12:38 | (anonymous) 0x4b30…52e4 | No | SELL | 59 | 86¢ | $51 | 0xd4061f… |
| 06-29 15:57:05 | Red-Triangle 0xbd9f…ef72 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x077096… |
| 06-29 15:57:05 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x077096… |
| 06-27 07:31:31 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 18 | 87¢ | $16 | 0xb8e7f2… |
| 06-27 07:31:31 | (anonymous) 0xbf59…f2b8 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xb8e7f2… |
| 06-18 14:37:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xb91a8d… |
| 06-18 14:37:22 | Skinny-Grove 0xddd7…a820 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xb91a8d… |
| 06-18 14:37:20 | Skinny-Grove 0xddd7…a820 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xbcb5da… |
| 06-18 14:37:20 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0xbcb5da… |
| 06-18 08:44:11 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6132c8… |
| 06-18 08:44:11 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x6132c8… |
| 06-18 08:42:38 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 74 | 87¢ | $64 | 0x2c9982… |
| 06-18 08:42:38 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 74 | 13¢ | $10 | 0x2c9982… |
| 06-18 08:31:47 | Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 | No | BUY | 57 | 87¢ | $50 | 0xd2b397… |
| 06-18 08:31:47 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 57 | 87¢ | $50 | 0xd2b397… |
| 06-18 08:31:34 | (anonymous) 0xec47…0c22 | No | BUY | 19 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x0f700d… |
| 06-18 08:31:34 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 19 | 87¢ | $17 | 0x0f700d… |
| 06-18 08:31:32 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xaf4014… |
| 06-18 08:31:32 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xaf4014… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 14¢ | $8 | 0x8d58b0… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | BUY | 112 | 87¢ | $97 | 0x9be0da… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x9be0da… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x8d58b0… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x8d58b0… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 225 | 14¢ | $32 | 0x8d58b0… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x8d58b0… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 101 | 87¢ | $88 | 0x9be0da… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x8d58b0… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | BUY | 500 | 86¢ | $430 | 0x8d58b0… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x8d58b0… |
| 06-18 08:31:31 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x8d58b0… |
| 06-17 07:29:14 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x0c9105… |
| 06-17 07:29:14 | Considerate-Amusement 0x8393…f0ae | No | SELL | 35 | 86¢ | $30 | 0x0c9105… |
| 06-17 07:29:14 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x0c9105… |
| 06-17 06:27:49 | Considerate-Amusement 0x8393…f0ae | No | SELL | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xd86847… |
| 06-17 06:27:49 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd86847… |
| 06-17 06:24:38 | Polished-Hexagon 0x7478…4003 | No | BUY | 313 | 86¢ | $269 | 0xb082ed… |
| 06-17 06:24:38 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0xb082ed… |
| 06-17 06:24:38 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xb082ed… |
| 06-17 06:24:38 | Considerate-Amusement 0x8393…f0ae | No | SELL | 141 | 86¢ | $121 | 0xb082ed… |
| 06-17 06:24:38 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 14¢ | $4 | 0xb082ed… |
| 06-17 06:24:38 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xb082ed… |
| 06-15 01:48:06 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x36ea9a… |
| 06-15 01:48:06 | Rotating-Markup 0x9102…8b85 | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $3 | 0x36ea9a… |
| 06-11 09:35:03 | Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | BUY | 79 | 85¢ | $67 | 0x2f508b… |
| 06-11 09:35:03 | Female-Fourths 0xe308…309c | Yes | BUY | 100 | 15¢ | $15 | 0x2f508b… |