Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$12,552
Trades
500
Unique wallets
91
Liquidity
$2,128
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 08-15 11:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+87.6¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $328
vs crowd: 12% YES on $9.2K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $222 | $467 | $245 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 35 | $637 | $6.4K | $5.8K |
| 🐟 Fish | 31 | $220 | $899 | $679 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $60 | $298 | $239 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $328 | — | +$328 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $112 | $148 | $36 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $113 | $1.5K | $1.3K |
| Median | 13 | $43 | $37 | +$6 |
| Below median | 14 | $198 | $1.3K | $1.1K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $19 | $290 | $270 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 13 | $53 | $3.8K | $3.8K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $129 | $209 | $80 |
| unranked | 27 | $143 | $815 | $672 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | +3,145 | $2,718 | $3,138 | 57 | 08-14 13:49 |
| Each-Jeans 0x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | +2,945 | $328 | $328 | 1 | 07-10 09:21 |
| Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | +725 | $617 | $1,167 | 3 | 08-08 15:38 |
| Powerful-Schema 0xeb77…4e6b | Yes | +652 | $85 | $100 | 2 | 08-11 13:17 |
| Polished-Hexagon 0x7478…4003 | No | +440 | $379 | $379 | 3 | 08-08 03:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | +400 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-06 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf29d…add3 | Yes | +349 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-19 09:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +256 | $222 | $222 | 14 | 08-15 11:02 |
| Considerate-Amusement 0x8393…f0ae | No | +237 | $209 | $547 | 7 | 08-06 09:29 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +162 | $24 | $24 | 9 | 08-08 03:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +113 | $23 | $139 | 30 | 08-13 07:35 |
| Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 06-11 09:35 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +82 | $10 | $26 | 8 | 07-23 06:50 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +82 | $71 | $105 | 7 | 07-11 06:07 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +73 | $15 | $15 | 6 | 08-07 13:11 |
| Unlawful-Ascot 0xc759…b965 | Yes | +54 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-15 11:02 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | +45 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 08-08 15:38 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +45 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 08-08 15:38 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | +45 | $50 | $448 | 4 | 08-08 15:38 |
| Daring-Pirate 0x5446…18f6 | No | +40 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 08-07 04:08 |
| Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 | No | +40 | $36 | $64 | 2 | 08-08 15:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-23 14:01 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +28 | $32 | $194 | 3 | 07-10 18:59 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +28 | $5 | $10 | 2 | 07-10 09:21 |
| Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | No | +27 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-11 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +22 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 08-08 19:26 |
| Those-Marines 0xa2d1…d015 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 19:45 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-07 04:08 |
| Flawed-Ship 0xc50c…3017 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 08-07 03:23 |
| Sandy-Wife 0x34d0…264e | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-18 02:55 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +16 | $1 | $22 | 2 | 08-07 05:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-24 07:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x7724…0492 | Yes | +9 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-07 07:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 22:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | +7 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 08-13 09:36 |
| Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 09:53 |
| Rotating-Markup 0x9102…8b85 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 01:48 |
| Red-Triangle 0xbd9f…ef72 | Yes | +2 | $-0 | $2 | 2 | 07-23 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $10 | 8 | 08-07 07:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6b3…c1ea | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-14 21:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 11:02:55 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xeeae85… |
| 08-15 11:02:55 | Unlawful-Ascot 0xc759…b965 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 13¢ | $7 | 0xeeae85… |
| 08-15 11:02:55 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xeeae85… |
| 08-15 11:02:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0xeeae85… |
| 08-14 21:23:48 | (anonymous) 0xa6b3…c1ea | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xff13ff… |
| 08-14 21:23:48 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xff13ff… |
| 08-14 13:49:43 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x9890b8… |
| 08-14 13:49:43 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x9890b8… |
| 08-14 10:35:52 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xc467c0… |
| 08-14 10:35:52 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc467c0… |
| 08-14 10:35:52 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xc467c0… |
| 08-13 09:36:39 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x80e6f8… |
| 08-13 09:36:39 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x80e6f8… |
| 08-13 07:37:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xc973b7… |
| 08-13 07:37:06 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 38 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xc973b7… |
| 08-13 07:37:06 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | Yes | BUY | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xc973b7… |
| 08-13 07:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd7c8da… |
| 08-13 07:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xd7c8da… |
| 08-13 07:35:49 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd7c8da… |
| 08-13 07:35:49 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xd7c8da… |
| 08-13 07:35:49 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xd7c8da… |
| 08-13 07:28:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xaf10ac… |
| 08-13 07:28:49 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xaf10ac… |
| 08-13 07:28:49 | Female-Fourths 0xe308…309c | Yes | SELL | 175 | 14¢ | $25 | 0xaf10ac… |
| 08-13 07:28:49 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xaf10ac… |
| 08-13 07:28:49 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 14¢ | $6 | 0xaf10ac… |
| 08-13 07:28:49 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xaf10ac… |
| 08-13 07:28:49 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xaf10ac… |
| 08-13 07:28:49 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xaf10ac… |
| 08-11 17:41:46 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x4bd937… |
| 08-11 17:41:46 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x4bd937… |
| 08-11 17:41:46 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x4bd937… |
| 08-11 17:41:46 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 35 | 83¢ | $29 | 0x4bd937… |
| 08-11 13:17:04 | Powerful-Schema 0xeb77…4e6b | Yes | SELL | 40 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x27c930… |
| 08-11 13:17:04 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | No | SELL | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x27c930… |
| 08-11 13:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x27c930… |
| 08-11 13:17:04 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x27c930… |
| 08-08 19:26:24 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 133 | 84¢ | $111 | 0x9dd14e… |
| 08-08 19:26:24 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x9dd14e… |
| 08-08 19:26:24 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x9dd14e… |
| 08-08 19:26:24 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 61 | 84¢ | $51 | 0x9dd14e… |
| 08-08 19:25:31 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 9 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xd42029… |
| 08-08 19:25:31 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 9 | 82¢ | $8 | 0xd42029… |
| 08-08 15:39:19 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 18 | 81¢ | $14 | 0x95312c… |
| 08-08 15:39:19 | Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 | No | SELL | 18 | 81¢ | $14 | 0x95312c… |
| 08-08 15:38:07 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 41 | 84¢ | $34 | 0xb69814… |
| 08-08 15:38:07 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 41 | 84¢ | $34 | 0xb69814… |
| 08-08 15:38:06 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x8783fb… |
| 08-08 15:38:06 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x8783fb… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | SELL | 323 | 85¢ | $275 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | BUY | 22 | 85¢ | $19 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 22 | 85¢ | $19 | 0x94e7ad… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | (anonymous) 0x270b…e632 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x94e7ad… |
| 08-08 15:38:04 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x25a72b… |
| 08-08 14:48:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x214464… |
| 08-08 14:48:01 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | No | SELL | 30 | 86¢ | $26 | 0x214464… |
| 08-08 14:48:01 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x214464… |
| 08-08 03:18:10 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xd490ea… |
| 08-08 03:18:10 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xd490ea… |
| 08-08 03:18:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 15 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xd490ea… |
| 08-08 03:07:36 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x36f67e… |
| 08-08 03:07:36 | (anonymous) 0xe593…2c59 | No | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x36f67e… |
| 08-08 03:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x564cf7… |
| 08-08 03:07:33 | Polished-Hexagon 0x7478…4003 | No | BUY | 115 | 87¢ | $100 | 0x564cf7… |
| 08-08 03:07:33 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x564cf7… |
| 08-08 03:07:33 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0x564cf7… |
| 08-08 03:07:33 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0x564cf7… |
| 08-07 22:10:57 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 38 | 85¢ | $32 | 0x32d570… |
| 08-07 22:10:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 18 | 85¢ | $15 | 0x32d570… |
| 08-07 22:10:57 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0x32d570… |
| 08-07 16:10:57 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xb6083d… |
| 08-07 16:10:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xb6083d… |
| 08-07 16:10:57 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 56 | 86¢ | $48 | 0xb6083d… |
| 08-07 13:33:57 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0xa517b0… |
| 08-07 13:33:57 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 30 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xa517b0… |
| 08-07 13:11:55 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x162ae8… |
| 08-07 13:11:55 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x162ae8… |
| 08-07 13:11:54 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x7b39f8… |
| 08-07 13:11:54 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xc43248… |
| 08-07 13:11:54 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xc43248… |
| 08-07 13:11:54 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x7b39f8… |
| 08-07 13:11:52 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xc453bc… |
| 08-07 13:11:52 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xc453bc… |
| 08-07 07:49:33 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb8d91a… |
| 08-07 07:49:33 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb8d91a… |
| 08-07 07:11:52 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x855624… |
| 08-07 07:11:52 | (anonymous) 0x7724…0492 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x855624… |
| 08-07 07:11:52 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 142 | 83¢ | $118 | 0x855624… |
| 08-07 07:11:52 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 171 | 83¢ | $142 | 0x855624… |
| 08-07 05:40:40 | (anonymous) 0x3b69…01d7 | No | SELL | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0x8ebeac… |