Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$9,606
Trades
334
Unique wallets
71
Liquidity
$2,128
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-03
last 07-27 14:21
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+87.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $328
vs crowd: 12% YES on $7.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $149 | $207 | $58 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 29 | $525 | $5.4K | $4.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 23 | $164 | $683 | $519 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $67 | $90 | $23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $328 | — | +$328 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $83 | $57 | +$26 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $37 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| Median | 10 | $11 | $28 | $17 |
| Below median | 11 | $176 | $1.2K | $995 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $5 | $234 | $229 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $31 | $2.7K | $2.7K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $126 | $209 | $84 |
| unranked | 17 | $109 | $565 | $456 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Each-Jeans 0x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | +2,945 | $328 | $328 | 1 | 07-10 09:21 |
| Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | +2,344 | $2,049 | $2,469 | 27 | 07-26 16:28 |
| Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | No | +1,048 | $892 | $892 | 2 | 07-11 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x04dc…2387 | Yes | +400 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-06 15:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xf29d…add3 | Yes | +349 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 07-19 09:47 |
| Polished-Hexagon 0x7478…4003 | No | +324 | $279 | $279 | 2 | 07-11 23:12 |
| Considerate-Amusement 0x8393…f0ae | No | +247 | $218 | $538 | 6 | 07-10 09:21 |
| Female-Fourths 0xe308…309c | Yes | +175 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 07-08 13:25 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +140 | $123 | $123 | 7 | 07-23 06:50 |
| Unfinished-Belt 0xae91…0f69 | No | +100 | $85 | $85 | 2 | 06-11 09:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +82 | $18 | $103 | 21 | 07-26 16:28 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +82 | $10 | $26 | 8 | 07-23 06:50 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +82 | $71 | $105 | 7 | 07-11 06:07 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +75 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 07-24 07:14 |
| Brave-Hummus 0x8673…4025 | No | +57 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-18 08:31 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +43 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 07-23 17:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | +30 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-23 14:01 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | +28 | $32 | $194 | 3 | 07-10 18:59 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +28 | $5 | $10 | 2 | 07-10 09:21 |
| Flawed-Meander 0x42b7…abff | No | +27 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 07-11 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xd322…8503 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-24 07:14 |
| Those-Marines 0xa2d1…d015 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-02 19:45 |
| Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | +20 | $17 | $138 | 3 | 07-23 06:50 |
| Sandy-Wife 0x34d0…264e | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-18 02:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-24 07:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x0121…8ed3 | Yes | +14 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-06 00:00 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +10 | $2 | $65 | 7 | 07-26 16:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-23 22:06 |
| Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-15 09:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xd43f…c66b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-10 09:21 |
| Rotating-Markup 0x9102…8b85 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-15 01:48 |
| Red-Triangle 0xbd9f…ef72 | Yes | +2 | $-0 | $2 | 2 | 07-23 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | +2 | $-0 | $2 | 3 | 07-23 06:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 14:21:30 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xd6e8cc… |
| 07-27 14:21:30 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xd6e8cc… |
| 07-26 16:28:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x4a5f42… |
| 07-26 16:28:40 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 42 | 88¢ | $37 | 0x4a5f42… |
| 07-26 16:27:19 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xaf65d3… |
| 07-26 16:27:19 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 20 | 85¢ | $17 | 0xaf65d3… |
| 07-26 16:26:28 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x5a2dcf… |
| 07-26 16:26:28 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x5a2dcf… |
| 07-26 16:26:19 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 10 | 84¢ | $8 | 0xd0b737… |
| 07-26 16:26:19 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xd0b737… |
| 07-24 07:14:54 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x0dac9d… |
| 07-24 07:14:54 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x0dac9d… |
| 07-24 07:14:48 | (anonymous) 0xd322…8503 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x3888bf… |
| 07-24 07:14:48 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 40 | 81¢ | $32 | 0x3888bf… |
| 07-24 07:14:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x3888bf… |
| 07-23 22:06:12 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x540f07… |
| 07-23 22:06:12 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 9 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x540f07… |
| 07-23 17:05:06 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x17824d… |
| 07-23 17:05:06 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | SELL | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0x17824d… |
| 07-23 17:05:06 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 14 | 79¢ | $11 | 0x17824d… |
| 07-23 17:05:06 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 31 | 79¢ | $25 | 0x17824d… |
| 07-23 17:05:01 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 22 | 78¢ | $17 | 0x1a4d7b… |
| 07-23 17:05:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 22¢ | $5 | 0x1a4d7b… |
| 07-23 14:01:12 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 22¢ | $4 | 0x0f94df… |
| 07-23 14:01:12 | (anonymous) 0x3080…337b | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x0f94df… |
| 07-23 14:01:12 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 14 | 77¢ | $11 | 0x0f94df… |
| 07-23 13:20:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 14 | 61¢ | $9 | 0xbac1e1… |
| 07-23 13:20:21 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 14 | 61¢ | $9 | 0xbac1e1… |
| 07-23 12:44:01 | Red-Triangle 0xbd9f…ef72 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x1f3f50… |
| 07-23 12:44:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x1f3f50… |
| 07-23 11:30:10 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 15 | 78¢ | $11 | 0xca2971… |
| 07-23 11:30:10 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 15 | 78¢ | $11 | 0xca2971… |
| 07-23 06:52:22 | Unlucky-Jaguar 0x21a6…c753 | No | SELL | 3 | 59¢ | $2 | 0xbd38e2… |
| 07-23 06:52:22 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xbd38e2… |
| 07-23 06:51:51 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xbe0f49… |
| 07-23 06:51:51 | Unlucky-Jaguar 0x21a6…c753 | No | SELL | 9 | 80¢ | $7 | 0xbe0f49… |
| 07-23 06:51:15 | Unlucky-Jaguar 0x21a6…c753 | No | SELL | 14 | 81¢ | $11 | 0x8aeb62… |
| 07-23 06:51:15 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 14 | 81¢ | $11 | 0x8aeb62… |
| 07-23 06:50:33 | Unlucky-Jaguar 0x21a6…c753 | No | SELL | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x18b70b… |
| 07-23 06:50:33 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x18b70b… |
| 07-23 06:50:10 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xd0a074… |
| 07-23 06:50:10 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | SELL | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xd0a074… |
| 07-23 06:50:09 | Wonderful-Volatility 0x0739…aba8 | No | SELL | 346 | 88¢ | $304 | 0xef02f9… |
| 07-23 06:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xef02f9… |
| 07-23 06:50:09 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 20 | 87¢ | $17 | 0xef02f9… |
| 07-23 06:50:09 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xef02f9… |
| 07-23 06:50:09 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | SELL | 58 | 13¢ | $8 | 0xef02f9… |
| 07-23 06:50:09 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xef02f9… |
| 07-23 06:50:09 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xef02f9… |
| 07-23 06:50:09 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xef02f9… |
| 07-23 06:50:09 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 14 | 87¢ | $12 | 0xef02f9… |
| 07-23 06:50:09 | Unlucky-Jaguar 0x21a6…c753 | No | BUY | 40 | 88¢ | $35 | 0xef02f9… |
| 07-23 06:50:09 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0xef02f9… |
| 07-21 15:42:15 | Trustworthy-Crayon 0x6b44…be1e | No | SELL | 46 | 89¢ | $41 | 0xa9f2f0… |
| 07-21 15:42:15 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 46 | 11¢ | $5 | 0xa9f2f0… |
| 07-20 13:51:49 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x96dad2… |
| 07-20 13:51:49 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x96dad2… |
| 07-20 13:16:39 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xa3d982… |
| 07-20 13:16:39 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa3d982… |
| 07-20 13:16:39 | (anonymous) 0xec47…0c22 | No | SELL | 37 | 89¢ | $33 | 0xa3d982… |
| 07-19 10:59:25 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xb3bb84… |
| 07-19 10:59:25 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xb3bb84… |
| 07-19 09:51:00 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x1f2c3c… |
| 07-19 09:51:00 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x1f2c3c… |
| 07-19 09:51:00 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | SELL | 68 | 89¢ | $60 | 0x1f2c3c… |
| 07-19 09:51:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 46 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x1f2c3c… |
| 07-19 09:47:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x2b5b17… |
| 07-19 09:47:46 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0x2b5b17… |
| 07-19 09:47:36 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 258 | 89¢ | $230 | 0xa5d951… |
| 07-19 09:47:36 | Wide-Eyed-Dark 0x167a…91d5 | No | BUY | 68 | 89¢ | $61 | 0xa5d951… |
| 07-19 09:47:36 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xa5d951… |
| 07-19 09:47:36 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 11¢ | $11 | 0xa5d951… |
| 07-19 09:47:36 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xa5d951… |
| 07-19 09:47:00 | (anonymous) 0xf29d…add3 | Yes | BUY | 349 | 10¢ | $35 | 0x025aa0… |
| 07-19 09:47:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x025aa0… |
| 07-19 09:47:00 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 41 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x025aa0… |
| 07-19 09:47:00 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 258 | 90¢ | $232 | 0x025aa0… |
| 07-18 17:26:24 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 67 | 91¢ | $61 | 0x9a0cf3… |
| 07-18 17:26:24 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 67 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x9a0cf3… |
| 07-18 02:55:24 | Sandy-Wife 0x34d0…264e | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x865ada… |
| 07-18 02:55:24 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x865ada… |
| 07-17 10:22:30 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 80 | 10¢ | $8 | 0xed1b81… |
| 07-17 10:22:30 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xed1b81… |
| 07-17 10:22:30 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 10¢ | $6 | 0xed1b81… |
| 07-16 12:24:50 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xe76f73… |
| 07-16 12:24:50 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 44 | 91¢ | $40 | 0xe76f73… |
| 07-15 18:47:41 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xcb5b92… |
| 07-15 18:47:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0xcb5b92… |
| 07-15 18:47:41 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xcb5b92… |
| 07-15 18:47:41 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 131 | 90¢ | $118 | 0xcb5b92… |
| 07-15 18:47:41 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0xcb5b92… |
| 07-15 16:19:23 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xb01aa7… |
| 07-15 16:19:23 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xb01aa7… |
| 07-15 09:53:43 | Evil-Ejector 0x8394…8d66 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xaedf59… |
| 07-15 09:53:43 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 11¢ | $4 | 0xaedf59… |
| 07-15 09:53:43 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xaedf59… |
| 07-15 09:53:43 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0xaedf59… |
| 07-15 09:53:43 | Immediate-Memo 0xe786…9d92 | No | SELL | 80 | 89¢ | $71 | 0xaedf59… |
| 07-15 09:53:43 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 195 | 89¢ | $174 | 0xaedf59… |
| 07-14 19:58:20 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0xb73a44… |