Useful-Patty 0xe0863d…2c0450
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$193
Unrealized P&L
+$1.01K
Hit rate
4.6%
Resolved
44
Trades
8,833
lifetime
Volume
$358.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$8.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 07-20 12:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
63% 10% $-108
Politics
17% 8% $-79
Sports
9% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Tech
5% 0% $-5
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 419 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,760 $1,139 99¢ $1.7K +$596 06-29 04:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +470 $444 96¢ $451 +$7 06-29 04:49
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +530 $457 84¢ $448 $-9 07-03 17:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +434 $364 88¢ $380 +$16 06-22 18:09
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +380 $336 88¢ $333 $-3 07-07 23:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +616 $294 50¢ $311 +$18 07-03 09:00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +616 $336 50¢ $305 $-31 07-03 09:00
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +446 $247 66¢ $296 +$49 06-21 20:40
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +264 $120 100¢ $264 +$144 06-16 21:01
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +250 $240 96¢ $241 +$1 06-28 18:05
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +250 $228 94¢ $236 +$9 06-28 12:35
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +233 $212 96¢ $225 +$13 06-08 04:55
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +250 $202 86¢ $216 +$14 06-28 21:35
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +315 $234 68¢ $214 $-20 07-20 12:02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +250 $178 82¢ $205 +$28 06-28 19:19
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +250 $184 81¢ $203 +$18 06-28 16:44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +310 $177 64¢ $200 +$23 07-02 14:35
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +317 $170 60¢ $192 +$22 07-07 23:23
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +260 $128 74¢ $191 +$63 06-25 07:56
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +213 $178 86¢ $184 +$6 07-02 12:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +208 $164 83¢ $173 +$9 07-01 12:21
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026? No +155 $144 95¢ $147 +$4 06-25 07:03
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +170 $148 86¢ $147 $-1 06-07 08:53
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +155 $141 93¢ $144 +$3 06-19 07:22
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +155 $144 92¢ $143 $-1 06-24 22:08
Will Georgia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +150 $140 94¢ $141 +$1 06-25 00:36
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +155 $142 89¢ $138 $-5 06-25 00:43
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +165 $117 84¢ $138 +$21 06-04 16:55
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +130 $121 100¢ $129 +$9 06-04 02:21
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +130 $119 98¢ $127 +$8 06-14 22:45