Useful-Patty 0xe0863d…2c0450
whale cold 24L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$45.0K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.02K
Hit rate
3.3%
Resolved
7,336
Trades
57,013
lifetime
Volume
$1.55M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$17.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 10-26 21:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 195 days
Categories
Other
72% 8% -$37,678
Politics
15% 5% -$4,041
Sports
7% 7% -$1,676
Tech
3% 3% -$1,096
Crypto
1% 5% -$361
Pop-Culture
1% 0% -$112
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 528 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2,230 $2,043 97¢ $2.2K +$121 06-08 03:33
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2,096 $1,742 100¢ $2.1K +$351 06-05 07:47
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,110 $1,770 92¢ $2.0K +$182 06-24 00:58
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +1,370 $1,217 97¢ $1.3K +$117 06-29 03:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,050 $820 82¢ $858 +$38 08-06 09:20
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +856 $496 88¢ $749 +$253 09-27 15:36
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +621 $585 100¢ $619 +$34 06-20 10:43
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +619 $536 97¢ $601 +$64 06-14 16:28
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +675 $362 82¢ $557 +$195 10-15 22:16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +470 $444 98¢ $461 +$17 06-29 04:49
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +717 $196 61¢ $436 +$240 06-12 19:31
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +514 $436 84¢ $429 -$7 06-22 16:46
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 No +398 $378 97¢ $388 +$10 06-19 09:12
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +434 $367 86¢ $375 +$8 06-22 18:09
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +364 $175 79¢ $288 +$112 10-18 23:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +717 $536 39¢ $281 -$254 06-12 19:34
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +325 $189 85¢ $276 +$87 06-21 20:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +310 $267 88¢ $273 +$7 06-27 16:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +310 $177 84¢ $259 +$82 07-02 14:35
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +270 $223 95¢ $256 +$33 07-03 05:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +250 $240 98¢ $245 +$6 06-28 18:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +260 $243 94¢ $244 +$0 06-27 22:34
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +250 $184 97¢ $242 +$58 06-28 16:44
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +260 $128 92¢ $239 +$111 06-25 07:56
will a us iran deal in 2026 include surrender of iranian enriched uranium 20260623023201640 No +260 $208 92¢ $238 +$30 06-28 05:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +250 $202 94¢ $236 +$34 06-28 21:35
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +230 $225 100¢ $230 +$5 06-09 13:13
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 No +260 $182 88¢ $228 +$46 06-28 23:16
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +250 $215 90¢ $225 +$10 07-02 20:24
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +240 $197 94¢ $224 +$28 10-06 19:26