Useful-Patty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$193

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.6%

Resolved

Trades

9,493

lifetime

Volume

$370.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 08-09 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

64% 10% $-108

Politics

17% 8% $-79

Sports

9% — —

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

5% 0% $-5

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 419 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	120	$6.0K	8,514	3,089	+5,425	open	—	06-09 22:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	61	$4.0K	5,781	2,261	+3,520	open	—	06-29 04:49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	97	$3.3K	4,630	2,266	+2,364	open	—	06-19 06:14
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	43	$2.7K	2,388	1,438	+950	open	—	07-03 21:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	82	$2.7K	3,634	1,375	+2,259	open	—	06-12 07:44
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	77	$2.7K	4,354	2,198	+2,156	open	—	06-30 09:47
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	54	$2.6K	4,327	1,482	+2,845	open	—	06-26 22:14
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	42	$2.3K	3,322	582	+2,740	open	—	06-29 03:10
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	22	$2.3K	2,338	1,278	+1,060	open	—	06-28 14:29
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	44	$2.2K	2,086	1,986	+100	open	—	07-04 22:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	49	$2.1K	3,647	991	+2,656	open	—	06-15 01:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	19	$2.0K	2,374	934	+1,440	open	—	06-29 02:24
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	31	$1.8K	1,822	1,033	+789	open	—	06-25 23:23
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	23	$1.8K	2,065	930	+1,135	open	—	06-28 15:50
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	25	$1.8K	2,740	1,320	+1,420	open	—	06-29 03:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	37	$1.7K	2,087	697	+1,389	open	—	06-17 08:11
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	11	$1.6K	1,514	574	+940	open	—	06-29 03:36
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	25	$1.6K	1,615	1,355	+260	open	—	06-17 02:25
will israel launch a ground operation in iran by june 30 2026	20	$1.5K	2,105	690	+1,415	open	—	06-20 06:57
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	52	$1.4K	1,948	859	+1,089	open	—	07-26 21:11
will the next google gemini pro model be released by july 31 2026 20260601225410822	27	$1.4K	1,466	1,021	+445	open	—	07-14 20:03
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?	26	$1.4K	1,815	1,044	+771	open	—	06-26 10:14
will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	26	$1.3K	1,486	1,205	+281	open	—	06-22 01:44
israel closes its airspace by july 15	19	$1.3K	2,283	763	+1,520	open	—	06-28 20:40
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	16	$1.3K	1,682	724	+958	open	—	06-28 20:22
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	21	$1.3K	1,683	1,183	+500	open	—	06-27 23:16
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	34	$1.3K	1,268	1,404	-136	open	—	06-16 20:41
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 goals kylian mbappe gte1	19	$1.3K	1,269	1,269	+0	open	—	06-30 18:21
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in May?	31	$1.3K	1,309	1,309	+0	open	—	05-28 01:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	8	$1.3K	962	962	+0	open	—	06-28 20:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 22:29:46	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xb918a6…
08-09 21:57:57	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	No	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x1bef1e…
08-09 21:57:54	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	No	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x0a699a…
08-09 21:29:43	will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0xf44a2a…
08-09 20:40:09	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	No	SELL	11	88¢	$10	0xe0849f…
08-09 20:26:27	will russia capture bilytske by august 31 2026	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x79127d…
08-09 19:56:40	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xfab01b…
08-09 17:09:46	will epic games valuation hit low 11pt5b by december 31	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x96f9ee…
08-09 16:55:51	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x37b4e0…
08-09 16:55:19	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x582e64…
08-09 16:51:46	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	SELL	31	48¢	$15	0x3ca0e3…
08-09 16:51:43	will russia capture novyi donbas by october 31 20260724163321936	No	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xf4098a…
08-09 15:38:54	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x53a9ff…
08-09 15:17:07	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x5b7810…
08-09 15:10:48	will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	No	SELL	40	75¢	$30	0x96be97…
08-09 15:10:16	will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xe966b8…
08-09 15:10:15	will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x5e5596…
08-09 15:09:55	will clavicular visit japan in 2026 20260714153003050	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xbb7690…
08-09 14:56:57	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 31 20260808192512607	Yes	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x9ccb0b…
08-09 14:51:31	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x2973cf…
08-09 14:24:33	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 21 20260808192512605	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0xe71a34…
08-09 13:54:57	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x7d5c3a…
08-09 13:24:57	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 20 20260808192512604	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x0023f0…
08-09 11:08:00	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xadce7e…
08-09 10:34:52	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xaa3c01…
08-09 10:34:52	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 18 20260808192512602	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x3f9593…
08-09 09:45:42	will kai and speed finish their minecraft marathon by august 19 20260808192512603	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xeb92c6…
08-09 07:25:10	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	SELL	37	33¢	$12	0x107c15…
08-09 07:03:07	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x89ca27…
08-09 06:58:03	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0x40a422…
08-09 06:53:42	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31	Yes	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xc32115…
08-09 05:11:01	will ng dip to 2 20 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xe6160c…
08-09 05:10:48	will ng dip to 2 20 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x42bef2…
08-09 02:18:45	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x4bc00f…
08-08 22:16:33	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	SELL	14	74¢	$10	0xdbff59…
08-08 21:03:04	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x12ce3d…
08-08 21:01:46	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190142923	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xf9409d…
08-08 19:25:31	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$8	0xd42029…
08-08 18:51:09	will russia capture oleksiievo druzhkivka by december 31 2026 20260706174556071	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0xe115f5…
08-08 17:00:09	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x8bc1b1…
08-08 17:00:07	will trump speak to xi jinping in august 20260731154203516	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xdbd992…
08-08 16:51:46	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x3d3176…
08-08 16:43:24	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x02f94a…
08-08 16:25:33	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x28b017…
08-08 16:25:31	will russia capture vodianske by september 30 20260724162613571	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x90239a…
08-08 16:07:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	16	22¢	$3	0xd9e699…
08-08 15:38:07	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	84¢	$34	0xb69814…
08-08 15:38:04	Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x25a72b…
08-08 14:37:40	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x977067…
08-08 13:42:52	will russia enter dobropillia by october 31	Yes	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xc5dc46…
08-08 13:41:27	will russia enter dobropillia by october 31	Yes	SELL	55	63¢	$35	0x2830e9…
08-08 13:01:58	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x2378c0…
08-08 12:18:04	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0x1af630…
08-08 11:06:36	will russia capture orikhiv by december 31 2026	No	BUY	44	75¢	$33	0x9a6fda…
08-08 08:57:06	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x1ce02b…
08-08 08:32:42	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x68d201…
08-08 08:10:18	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x6467e4…
08-08 07:07:42	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x6d32e4…
08-08 06:34:13	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xe1dd59…
08-08 06:26:30	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x4bf82b…
08-08 06:25:33	will russia capture mala tokmachka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x9aef36…
08-08 02:59:18	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	60	26¢	$16	0x5b11df…
08-08 02:14:18	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	60	30¢	$18	0xc63971…
08-07 23:07:54	will spy reach 780 in august 2026	No	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0xb44f14…
08-07 22:28:49	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x554395…
08-07 20:52:51	will ukraine re enter uspenivka by december 31	No	SELL	60	54¢	$32	0x88eece…
08-07 20:52:42	will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 50 or higher 20260723192605546	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0x43e1dd…
08-07 20:52:09	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x93fda2…
08-07 20:51:27	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	No	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xcc77de…
08-07 20:51:03	will gleans valuation hit low 6b by december 31 20260701011238544	Yes	SELL	52	57¢	$30	0x16fe89…
08-07 20:50:54	will harry styles perform at the 2027 big game halftime show 678	Yes	SELL	60	8¢	$5	0x5a1707…
08-07 20:47:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x5f4331…
08-07 20:18:07	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x840b37…
08-07 19:47:25	will rand paul vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821978	No	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xc09df5…
08-07 19:47:24	will rand paul vote to confirm todd blanche as attorney general 20260609155821978	No	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0xd5bf09…
08-07 19:07:16	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0x4b7b4f…
08-07 16:43:09	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x47ad96…
08-07 16:30:43	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x0400e1…
08-07 16:30:43	todd blanche nomination withdrawn by august 31 20260731141647591	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x013135…
08-07 16:14:49	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	39	30¢	$12	0x5bda70…
08-07 15:20:45	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xd185b5…
08-07 15:11:57	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	39	44¢	$17	0x8a4dc6…
08-07 15:02:57	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	54¢	$32	0xe9f942…
08-07 14:45:36	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 80 or higher 20260723190142927	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x51c342…
08-07 14:45:28	will the highest score achieved on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 80 or higher 20260723190142927	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$7	0xe099a7…
08-07 14:33:15	will russia capture toretske by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	60	43¢	$26	0x91ab03…
08-07 13:42:46	will the next google gemini pro model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 50 or higher 20260729192434647	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0xd3da55…
08-07 13:03:36	will israel participate in eurovision 2027	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xe28081…
08-07 13:02:21	will israel participate in eurovision 2027	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x127828…
08-07 11:52:37	will russia enter dobropillia by october 31	Yes	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x1edafa…
08-07 08:36:36	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	No	SELL	41	12¢	$5	0x522d06…
08-07 08:01:31	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0xd56edf…
08-07 07:49:55	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x02d8c9…
08-07 07:49:22	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	Yes	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xec7197…
08-07 07:26:37	will russia capture toretske by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	60	55¢	$33	0x461499…
08-07 06:57:01	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x323360…
08-07 06:56:33	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xa29487…
08-07 06:56:16	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xd02107…
08-07 06:56:16	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x6c9972…
08-07 06:56:13	Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?	No	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x356756…