Realized P&L
-$193
Unrealized P&L
+$607
Hit rate
4.6%
Resolved
44
Trades
6,676
lifetime
Volume
$263.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$10.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 06-30 12:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
57% 10% $-108
Politics
21% 8% $-79
Sports
9%
Crypto
7%
Tech
5% 0% $-5
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
79 active days in 12wk • peak 419 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +1,328 $1,134 100¢ $1.3K +$191 06-15 01:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +1,182 $957 100¢ $1.2K +$224 06-15 04:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1,760 $1,139 64¢ $1.1K $-4 06-29 04:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +1,760 $654 36¢ $625 $-29 06-29 04:49
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +507 $503 100¢ $506 +$3 06-14 16:21
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +470 $444 95¢ $445 +$1 06-29 04:49
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +415 $392 95¢ $392 +$0 06-28 23:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +434 $364 84¢ $362 $-2 06-22 18:09
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +375 $357 94¢ $352 $-5 06-29 17:49
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by June 30? No +310 $287 99¢ $308 +$21 06-23 04:58
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +264 $120 100¢ $264 +$144 06-16 21:01
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +446 $247 58¢ $261 +$14 06-21 20:40
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No +250 $247 99¢ $247 $-1 06-22 19:35
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +250 $240 96¢ $240 +$0 06-28 18:05
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +280 $242 84¢ $235 $-7 06-27 14:23
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +250 $228 94¢ $235 +$8 06-28 12:35
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +451 $214 50¢ $228 +$14 06-30 00:50
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +255 $230 88¢ $224 $-5 06-25 19:51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +451 $244 50¢ $223 $-20 06-30 00:51
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +233 $212 95¢ $221 +$9 06-08 04:55
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? No +215 $206 99¢ $214 +$8 06-24 09:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +250 $202 80¢ $201 $-1 06-28 21:35
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +194 $186 99¢ $193 +$7 06-06 04:59
Will Ed Miliband be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +195 $191 98¢ $192 +$1 06-27 16:57
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +250 $184 75¢ $188 +$3 06-28 16:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +250 $178 72¢ $179 +$1 06-28 19:19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +260 $128 66¢ $170 +$42 06-25 07:56
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? No +169 $185 99¢ $168 $-17 06-13 15:23
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? No +155 $152 98¢ $153 +$0 06-23 22:37
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +154 $146 98¢ $151 +$6 06-26 12:38