Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,821
$25,623 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$10,641
Latest YES mid
28¢
Latest NO mid
72¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-06 00:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $463 | $463 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $844 | $285 | +$559 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $62 | $62 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 23 | $841 | $681 | +$159 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x07cd…c4fe | Yes | +1,288 | $398 | $398 | 4 | 05-05 23:10 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +643 | $451 | $451 | 5 | 05-05 11:16 |
| Full-Extent 0x828e…c21b | Yes | +380 | $122 | $122 | 1 | 05-05 08:46 |
| Silent-Carving 0xe411…d640 | Yes | +317 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-05 12:05 |
| Proud-Role 0x05be…78d0 | Yes | +300 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-05 04:05 |
| Golden-Salmon 0xb069…0e1c | Yes | +207 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-05 12:41 |
| Agile-Selfesteem 0xb779…ab22 | No | +182 | $129 | $129 | 1 | 05-05 21:59 |
| Joyful-Victory 0xb37f…86cb | Yes | +91 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-05 04:14 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +60 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-05 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ce8…6414 | Yes | +59 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 21:15 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +55 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 05-05 19:03 |
| Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | +36 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-05 10:05 |
| Handy-Retina 0x15f7…a018 | No | +35 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 05-06 00:24 |
| Rectangular-Keystone 0x2892…71dd | Yes | +31 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 09:06 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-05 19:03 |
| Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | +16 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 19:26 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 14:12 |
| Calm-Bassoon 0x3ce3…1f93 | Yes | +13 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 21:24 |
| Whirlwind-Damage 0x6924…e6c0 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 00:24 |
| Cautious-Samurai 0x550c…55fd | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-04 21:54 |
| Tepid-Cast 0x170e…7228 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 15:09 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 21:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 00:49:18 | Vital-Vision 0x1c14…6342 | Yes | SELL | 824 | 24¢ | $195 | 0x14f8ec… |
| 05-06 00:24:20 | Handy-Retina 0x15f7…a018 | No | BUY | 5 | 74¢ | $4 | 0xbfb4ce… |
| 05-06 00:23:32 | Handy-Retina 0x15f7…a018 | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x1d3188… |
| 05-05 23:10:22 | (anonymous) 0x07cd…c4fe | Yes | BUY | 369 | 27¢ | $99 | 0xacc0fc… |
| 05-05 21:59:32 | Agile-Selfesteem 0xb779…ab22 | No | BUY | 182 | 71¢ | $129 | 0x374621… |
| 05-05 21:15:10 | (anonymous) 0x4ce8…6414 | Yes | BUY | 59 | 34¢ | $20 | 0x08cb84… |
| 05-05 20:29:54 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | SELL | 45 | 31¢ | $14 | 0x8fbf51… |
| 05-05 19:54:50 | (anonymous) 0x07cd…c4fe | Yes | BUY | 299 | 33¢ | $99 | 0xd0c151… |
| 05-05 19:54:42 | (anonymous) 0x07cd…c4fe | Yes | BUY | 309 | 32¢ | $99 | 0x2f388f… |
| 05-05 19:54:36 | (anonymous) 0x07cd…c4fe | Yes | BUY | 311 | 32¢ | $100 | 0x3adced… |
| 05-05 19:26:24 | Grimy-Turnstile 0xf5bb…bdb8 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x63b37f… |
| 05-05 19:03:04 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 55 | 72¢ | $39 | 0xdcfa92… |
| 05-05 19:03:04 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x89a183… |
| 05-05 17:27:24 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x160116… |
| 05-05 15:52:36 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 33¢ | $5 | 0x7d1dc6… |
| 05-05 15:09:42 | Tepid-Cast 0x170e…7228 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x86f670… |
| 05-05 14:12:08 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 16 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x48c918… |
| 05-05 14:12:08 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 64¢ | $19 | 0xb71c67… |
| 05-05 12:41:46 | Golden-Salmon 0xb069…0e1c | Yes | BUY | 207 | 29¢ | $60 | 0xdf5f5b… |
| 05-05 12:05:26 | Silent-Carving 0xe411…d640 | Yes | BUY | 317 | 28¢ | $90 | 0x379e43… |
| 05-05 11:45:14 | Past-Basis 0xbe6a…c9d6 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x6e1625… |
| 05-05 11:16:52 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x557a8e… |
| 05-05 11:16:52 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 300 | 72¢ | $215 | 0xb5eeb3… |
| 05-05 10:36:26 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 98 | 69¢ | $68 | 0x8115f0… |
| 05-05 10:05:16 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 46 | 70¢ | $32 | 0x2bb3af… |
| 05-05 10:05:14 | Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92 | No | BUY | 36 | 68¢ | $24 | 0x6ee1d8… |
| 05-05 10:05:14 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 100 | 70¢ | $70 | 0xcaeed4… |
| 05-05 09:55:02 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 99 | 67¢ | $67 | 0xd02490… |
| 05-05 09:06:26 | Rectangular-Keystone 0x2892…71dd | Yes | BUY | 31 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x8b4de3… |
| 05-05 08:46:16 | Offbeat-Flax 0x61d0…87b8 | No | SELL | 9 | 67¢ | $6 | 0xf2faa7… |
| 05-05 08:46:16 | Pointed-Sitar 0xd008…fa05 | No | SELL | 9 | 67¢ | $6 | 0x3d0a61… |
| 05-05 08:46:14 | Full-Extent 0x828e…c21b | Yes | BUY | 380 | 32¢ | $122 | 0x65c6af… |
| 05-05 04:14:48 | Joyful-Victory 0xb37f…86cb | Yes | BUY | 61 | 33¢ | $20 | 0x2e9e6c… |
| 05-05 04:10:42 | Joyful-Victory 0xb37f…86cb | Yes | BUY | 30 | 33¢ | $10 | 0xc5d5d3… |
| 05-05 04:05:28 | Proud-Role 0x05be…78d0 | Yes | BUY | 300 | 33¢ | $99 | 0x3805ea… |
| 05-05 00:24:44 | Whirlwind-Damage 0x6924…e6c0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0xa08ff6… |
| 05-04 21:54:50 | Cautious-Samurai 0x550c…55fd | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0xd69393… |
| 05-04 21:24:42 | Calm-Bassoon 0x3ce3…1f93 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 23¢ | $3 | 0x3eeabd… |
| 05-04 21:04:22 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x0a2499… |
| 05-04 21:04:22 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 79¢ | $2 | 0xc17ee9… |