Realized P&L
+$159.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.90K
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
19,897
Trades
1,713,410
lifetime
Volume
$104.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$129.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-08 01:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 249 days
Categories
Other
60%
85%
+$83,598
Politics
19%
89%
+$6,143
Sports
18%
95%
+$222,409
Tech
1%
71%
-$154,301
Pop-Culture
0%
88%
-$446
Crypto
0%
89%
+$1,711
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk
• peak 2 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 2,019 | $823.0K | 829,773 | 2,265 | +827,508 | No | +$6,765 | 04-19 16:48 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 1,923 | $747.3K | 778,881 | 0 | +778,881 | No | +$31,621 | 04-29 17:34 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | 1,994 | $733.6K | 745,976 | 556 | +745,420 | No | +$12,354 | 04-29 17:34 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | 2,208 | $611.9K | 614,728 | 58,210 | +556,519 | No | +$3,748 | 04-12 19:17 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting | 1,530 | $605.0K | 606,692 | 6,951 | +599,741 | No | +$1,737 | 01-26 16:37 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | 2,572 | $552.9K | 554,942 | 10,439 | +544,503 | No | +$2,102 | 03-04 16:16 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 2,426 | $512.9K | 521,199 | 32,367 | +488,833 | No | +$9,256 | 03-04 18:54 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 1,289 | $503.0K | 528,915 | 0 | +528,915 | No | +$25,869 | 01-28 19:00 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | 2,474 | $499.9K | 516,556 | 44,707 | +471,849 | No | +$16,711 | 03-04 16:16 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 2,474 | $495.5K | 518,791 | 32,332 | +486,460 | No | +$23,369 | 03-04 16:16 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai? | 1,934 | $457.7K | 461,124 | 0 | +461,124 | No | +$3,379 | 04-03 02:52 |
| fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 1,162 | $455.9K | 456,496 | 1,312 | +455,185 | No | +$559 | 01-26 16:37 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | 1,885 | $443.1K | 443,684 | 75,421 | +368,263 | No | +$694 | 04-11 05:21 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 1,153 | $413.7K | 416,954 | 3,518 | +413,436 | No | +$3,324 | 03-11 18:20 |
| will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 1,161 | $411.6K | 411,643 | 2,942 | +408,701 | No | +$2,835 | 03-11 18:20 |
| will luong cuong be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party | 2,684 | $380.9K | 383,457 | 932 | +382,525 | No | +$2,564 | 01-22 18:36 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 2,099 | $377.0K | 396,539 | 161,679 | +234,861 | No | +$19,893 | 03-04 16:16 |
| will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party | 2,630 | $371.9K | 376,076 | 0 | +376,076 | No | +$4,210 | 01-22 18:36 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | 2,026 | $356.8K | 530,201 | 3,778 | +526,423 | No | +$176,314 | 04-12 19:42 |
| Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair? | 1,628 | $345.9K | 346,090 | 185,095 | +160,995 | No | +$531 | 02-12 14:44 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 1,014 | $335.9K | 367,066 | 3,711 | +363,355 | No | +$31,781 | 03-18 17:57 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 4,084 | $317.2K | 331,098 | 6,862 | +324,236 | No | +$14,401 | 05-25 23:51 |
| will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election | 1,485 | $316.3K | 322,108 | 302 | +321,807 | No | +$6,133 | 02-08 14:15 |
| Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair? | 1,698 | $303.6K | 304,170 | 265,025 | +39,145 | No | +$1,084 | 03-04 16:13 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,970 | $302.5K | 304,147 | 1,513 | +302,634 | No | +$1,689 | 05-03 22:18 |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,988 | $301.3K | 306,885 | 4,255 | +302,630 | No | +$5,598 | 05-05 06:13 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,978 | $300.6K | 302,795 | 0 | +302,795 | No | +$2,183 | 05-03 16:21 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,902 | $293.5K | 294,802 | 1,612 | +293,190 | No | +$1,325 | 04-29 19:07 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,970 | $291.5K | 299,233 | 5,480 | +293,753 | No | +$8,152 | 05-05 06:13 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 3,967 | $290.4K | 302,521 | 6,782 | +295,739 | No | +$12,241 | 05-05 06:13 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||