Realized P&L
+$159.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.90K
Hit rate
94.8%
Resolved
19,897
Trades
1,713,410
lifetime
Volume
$104.6M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$129.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-08 01:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 249 days
Categories
Other
60% 85% +$83,598
Politics
19% 89% +$6,143
Sports
18% 95% +$222,409
Tech
1% 71% -$154,301
Pop-Culture
0% 88% -$446
Crypto
0% 89% +$1,711
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +8,978 $8,456 99¢ $8.9K +$474 05-27 19:58
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +7,352 $4,804 100¢ $7.3K +$2,537 05-28 14:36
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +10,628 $7,402 59¢ $6.3K -$1,131 05-27 01:53
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +6,423 $5,854 97¢ $6.2K +$357 05-28 14:30
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,118 $6,091 100¢ $6.1K +$18 05-28 14:11
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,102 $6,029 100¢ $6.1K +$67 05-28 14:11
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +6,103 $6,082 100¢ $6.1K +$11 05-28 14:11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +5,720 $4,493 99¢ $5.6K +$1,152 05-28 14:11
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,427 $4,733 100¢ $5.4K +$683 05-28 14:11
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +5,147 $4,884 100¢ $5.1K +$250 05-28 14:11
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +4,950 $4,831 100¢ $4.9K +$114 05-25 17:21
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +11,937 $3,505 41¢ $4.9K +$1,389 05-27 01:53
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +4,794 $4,682 100¢ $4.8K +$105 05-28 14:11
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,696 $4,663 100¢ $4.7K +$26 05-28 03:03
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,696 $4,675 100¢ $4.7K +$14 05-28 03:03
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,696 $4,662 100¢ $4.7K +$17 05-28 03:03
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +4,294 $4,275 100¢ $4.3K +$13 05-28 03:03
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3,862 $2,845 98¢ $3.8K +$943 05-28 03:03
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3,157 $3,049 99¢ $3.1K +$90 05-28 03:03
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +6,458 $5,820 45¢ $2.9K -$2,933 05-28 13:12
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,896 $2,742 98¢ $2.8K +$87 05-24 08:11
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +5,086 $1,567 56¢ $2.8K +$1,256 05-28 13:12
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +2,884 $2,321 94¢ $2.7K +$389 05-28 02:06
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +3,909 $3,626 66¢ $2.6K -$1,050 05-28 03:03
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,012 $2,004 100¢ $2.0K +$5 05-24 08:11
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,012 $2,002 100¢ $2.0K +$6 05-24 08:11
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,012 $2,007 100¢ $2.0K +$2 05-24 08:11
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,012 $1,996 100¢ $2.0K +$12 05-24 08:11
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,012 $2,007 100¢ $2.0K +$1 05-24 08:11
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,012 $2,009 100¢ $2.0K $0 05-24 08:11