Healthy-Kill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$40.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$315

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

216

Trades

2,716

lifetime

Volume

$835.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$308

Open exposure

$832

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-24 18:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 90 days

Categories

Politics

55% 63% +$4,758

Other

41% 51% +$33,302

Tech

4% 50% +$2,117

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-24).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No		-900	-$518	92¢	$-832	-$315	07-04 09:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	268	$140.0K	297,046	233,297	+63,749	Yes	-$25,533	04-22 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	158	$52.7K	51,205	51,205	+0	No	+$3,598	04-23 22:29
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	14	$46.2K	28,016	28,016	+0	Yes	+$2,439	04-05 04:03
us strikes iraq by february 28	53	$29.9K	32,033	31,393	+640	Yes	+$21,878	03-03 22:38
us strikes iraq by march 7	64	$29.4K	20,086	17,544	+2,541	Yes	+$5,088	03-08 18:13
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	47	$27.6K	18,093	17,874	+218	Yes	+$7,925	04-14 21:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	31	$26.5K	15,748	15,748	+0	Yes	+$4,288	04-05 04:03
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	17	$15.8K	11,902	11,902	+0	No	+$2,181	05-23 09:14
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	4	$14.3K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$1,708	04-11 05:19
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	48	$14.0K	13,933	8,500	+5,433	Yes	+$998	05-22 23:57
us strikes iraq by march 31	21	$14.0K	8,843	6,979	+1,865	Yes	+$854	03-08 06:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	59	$13.9K	8,500	8,500	+0	Yes	+$2,448	03-23 22:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	19	$13.8K	10,900	10,900	+0	No	+$904	05-22 00:12
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	36	$13.4K	10,031	9,354	+677	Yes	-$284	03-30 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	20	$12.3K	7,500	7,500	+0	No	+$1,181	05-20 03:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	53	$11.6K	10,313	10,313	+0	Yes	+$590	04-11 07:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	37	$11.2K	8,000	8,000	+0	No	+$1,890	06-23 14:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$11.1K	20,000	20,000	+0	Yes	+$6,845	02-28 17:16
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	20	$10.7K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$313	03-30 09:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$10.2K	7,000	7,000	+0	No	+$272	03-29 03:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	10	$9.9K	6,000	6,000	+0	No	+$341	05-09 05:23
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	31	$9.4K	5,718	5,718	+0	Yes	-$560	05-12 19:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	19	$9.1K	11,000	10,788	+212	Yes	-$490	04-23 12:45
will the us invade iran by march 31	11	$8.6K	4,500	4,500	+0	No	+$159	03-31 23:04
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$240	03-30 08:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	18	$7.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$60	03-03 20:57
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	20	$7.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$2,268	07-18 16:38
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	15	$7.3K	3,877	3,877	+0	Yes	+$438	04-03 05:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	34	$7.2K	3,719	3,719	+0	No	+$126	04-22 10:03
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	18	$7.1K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$817	07-02 12:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 18:09:03	iran successfully targets shipping on july 24	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x580e6e…
07-24 12:36:16	Will fewer than 220 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	1,000	57¢	$570	0x14b55b…
07-23 08:40:36	iran successfully targets shipping on july 24	No	SELL	98	55¢	$54	0x6706a6…
07-23 06:40:03	iran successfully targets shipping on july 24	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xe257dd…
07-23 02:35:01	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	399	93¢	$370	0xe30ebf…
07-23 01:29:52	iran full airspace closure by july 24	No	BUY	1,500	89¢	$1,333	0xac4c14…
07-23 01:29:27	iran full airspace closure by july 27	No	BUY	1,400	71¢	$1,000	0x36073e…
07-23 01:27:37	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by july 31 20260626172559970	No	BUY	601	93¢	$557	0xba7150…
07-23 00:43:34	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$55	0x69e12e…
07-23 00:36:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	SELL	2,500	3¢	$78	0x8a1efb…
07-23 00:36:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,200	9¢	$108	0x1e6f56…
07-23 00:34:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	800	15¢	$122	0xe90706…
07-18 16:38:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xa12c52…
07-15 07:43:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	1,500	16¢	$239	0x32ebea…
07-15 02:51:38	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	789	72¢	$568	0x94b004…
07-15 02:31:46	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x00039c…
07-15 00:57:19	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x4177fe…
07-15 00:42:49	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	106	72¢	$76	0x03ff88…
07-14 22:11:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	800	46¢	$367	0x90397f…
07-14 22:11:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	Yes	BUY	2,500	35¢	$885	0xff04af…
07-14 22:11:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	1,200	41¢	$489	0xa1b7bb…
07-14 22:10:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	2,000	24¢	$471	0x9f21d4…
07-14 22:08:53	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	900	71¢	$639	0x726987…
07-07 20:12:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0x082ccc…
07-06 23:18:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,000	90¢	$900	0x7e0336…
07-05 12:30:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	191	85¢	$162	0x101c69…
07-05 12:29:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x94fcc0…
07-05 12:24:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xbeb43d…
07-05 12:02:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	588	85¢	$500	0xe5a08e…
07-05 11:36:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	50	85¢	$42	0x9e3693…
07-05 11:07:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0x567f31…
07-05 11:02:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x379128…
07-05 10:08:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	119	85¢	$101	0x5c1f7c…
07-04 13:30:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	649	80¢	$519	0xeeaedb…
07-04 13:28:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	300	80¢	$240	0x32ffed…
07-04 13:28:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	51	80¢	$41	0x5a19ab…
07-04 09:24:38	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	651	64¢	$417	0xc6b39d…
07-04 08:17:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0xcfcbfc…
07-03 21:53:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,000	94¢	$940	0x68b8e0…
07-02 23:40:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	532	75¢	$399	0x384f6c…
07-02 18:15:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	400	75¢	$300	0xd8511d…
07-02 18:02:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	68	75¢	$51	0x7915da…
07-02 17:49:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,000	93¢	$930	0x1f7e52…
07-02 12:34:01	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	3,000	82¢	$2,460	0x9dcd00…
07-02 12:09:53	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	SELL	4,000	99¢	$3,952	0x7551f7…
07-01 17:47:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	96	3¢	$3	0xf33561…
07-01 17:45:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	571	3¢	$17	0x521a14…
07-01 17:36:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xa807bd…
07-01 17:23:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	No	SELL	2,500	2¢	$40	0xdeb37f…
07-01 09:43:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	No	BUY	5,000	1¢	$40	0xff591b…
07-01 09:36:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	1,444	2¢	$24	0x74d7e3…
06-30 15:34:02	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0xb3feb2…
06-29 21:15:46	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	588	78¢	$459	0x47c6b4…
06-29 20:42:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	250	78¢	$195	0xb4cc2e…
06-29 20:23:20	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	118	78¢	$92	0x47cfe9…
06-29 20:06:43	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0xc1cbf3…
06-29 19:59:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	92	78¢	$72	0x1a58a8…
06-29 19:14:46	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x0aa792…
06-29 19:01:26	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x63307f…
06-29 18:34:11	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	305	10¢	$30	0xb8911e…
06-29 18:33:55	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xe4f32b…
06-29 18:33:55	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x8dd59e…
06-29 18:33:50	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	43	10¢	$4	0xc36038…
06-29 18:33:50	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xb5b51f…
06-29 18:33:47	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0xee35b2…
06-29 18:33:46	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xe8c5b9…
06-29 18:33:46	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xced51c…
06-29 18:33:35	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xbd613f…
06-29 18:33:35	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x386c2f…
06-29 18:33:31	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	243	10¢	$24	0xc9e583…
06-29 18:33:31	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	56	10¢	$6	0x5e2fae…
06-29 18:33:25	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x77f35b…
06-29 18:33:23	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x20f977…
06-29 18:33:17	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0xfca841…
06-29 18:33:17	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x9949ea…
06-29 18:33:17	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x7e0ef5…
06-29 18:33:13	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0xae322e…
06-29 18:33:13	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x3a267a…
06-29 18:33:11	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x73cc61…
06-29 18:33:08	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xf1f8c0…
06-29 18:33:08	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xe3a456…
06-29 18:33:08	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	45	10¢	$5	0x176301…
06-29 18:21:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	405	78¢	$316	0x4210e7…
06-29 18:20:05	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x9ea5e7…
06-29 18:09:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf707b9…
06-29 18:04:23	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x137852…
06-29 17:57:34	Will Claude Code Commits be between 700.0k and 750.0k on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0xeb461f…
06-29 17:56:53	Will Claude Code Commits be between 650.0k and 700.0k on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,500	6¢	$95	0x349218…
06-29 17:50:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0x3189e0…
06-29 17:48:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x82b349…
06-29 17:40:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x98273f…
06-29 17:37:05	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x58528a…
06-29 17:36:41	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	1¢	$9	0x0c8b03…
06-29 17:34:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x951ae9…
06-29 17:34:02	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	SELL	335	3¢	$10	0x7bafc2…
06-29 17:33:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x0c33c4…
06-29 17:32:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5bc3de…
06-29 17:32:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,035	78¢	$808	0x9ebe10…
06-29 17:32:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,470	8¢	$198	0x8a8bfb…
06-29 03:22:10	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8b9385…