Healthy-Kill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.58K

Unrealized P&L

+$527

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,524

lifetime

Volume

$783.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$310

Open exposure

$8.44K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-01 17:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

56% 100% +$480

Other

40% 25% $-4,057

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	-4,933	$-4,560	100¢	$-4916	$-356	06-23 14:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	+5,000	$2,650	70¢	$3.5K	+$875	06-23 13:48
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	-750	$-9	0¢	$-1	+$8	06-29 17:36

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	268	$140.0K	297,046	233,297	+63,749	open	—	04-22 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	158	$52.7K	51,205	51,205	+0	open	—	04-23 22:29
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	14	$46.2K	28,016	28,016	+0	open	—	04-05 04:03
us strikes iraq by february 28	53	$29.9K	32,033	31,393	+640	open	—	03-03 22:38
us strikes iraq by march 7	64	$29.4K	20,086	17,544	+2,541	open	—	03-08 18:13
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	47	$27.6K	18,093	17,874	+218	open	—	04-14 21:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	31	$26.5K	15,748	15,748	+0	open	—	04-05 04:03
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	4	$14.3K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	04-11 05:19
us strikes iraq by march 31	21	$14.0K	8,843	6,979	+1,865	open	—	03-08 06:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	59	$13.9K	8,500	8,500	+0	open	—	03-23 22:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	18	$13.7K	10,900	10,707	+193	open	—	05-22 00:12
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	36	$13.4K	10,031	9,354	+677	open	—	03-30 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	20	$12.3K	7,500	7,500	+0	open	—	05-20 03:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	53	$11.6K	10,313	10,313	+0	open	—	04-11 07:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$11.1K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	02-28 17:16
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	43	$11.1K	11,731	6,922	+4,809	open	—	05-22 23:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	16	$10.7K	11,902	4,580	+7,321	open	—	05-23 08:53
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	20	$10.7K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	03-30 09:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$10.2K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	03-29 03:06
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	31	$9.4K	5,718	5,718	+0	open	—	05-12 19:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$9.4K	5,500	6,000	-500	No	+$329	05-09 05:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	19	$9.1K	11,000	10,788	+212	open	—	04-23 12:45
will the us invade iran by march 31	11	$8.6K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	03-31 23:04
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-30 08:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	18	$7.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-03 20:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	15	$7.3K	3,877	3,877	+0	open	—	04-03 05:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	34	$7.2K	3,719	3,719	+0	open	—	04-22 10:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	61	$7.0K	10,251	10,243	+8	open	—	04-21 02:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	12	$6.5K	3,518	3,518	+0	open	—	05-21 05:45
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	45	$6.2K	18,955	18,955	+0	open	—	04-23 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 17:47:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	96	3¢	$3	0xf33561…
07-01 17:45:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	571	3¢	$17	0x521a14…
07-01 17:36:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xa807bd…
07-01 17:23:55	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	No	SELL	2,500	2¢	$40	0xdeb37f…
07-01 09:43:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 3	No	BUY	5,000	1¢	$40	0xff591b…
07-01 09:36:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	1,444	2¢	$24	0x74d7e3…
06-30 15:34:02	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0xb3feb2…
06-29 21:15:46	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	588	78¢	$459	0x47c6b4…
06-29 20:42:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	250	78¢	$195	0xb4cc2e…
06-29 20:23:20	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	118	78¢	$92	0x47cfe9…
06-29 20:06:43	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0xc1cbf3…
06-29 19:59:19	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	92	78¢	$72	0x1a58a8…
06-29 19:14:46	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0x0aa792…
06-29 18:21:40	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	405	78¢	$316	0x4210e7…
06-29 18:20:05	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x9ea5e7…
06-29 18:09:29	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xf707b9…
06-29 18:04:23	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0x137852…
06-29 17:50:50	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0x3189e0…
06-29 17:48:07	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x82b349…
06-29 17:40:41	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x98273f…
06-29 17:37:05	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x58528a…
06-29 17:36:41	US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	1¢	$9	0x0c8b03…
06-29 17:34:02	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	SELL	335	3¢	$10	0x7bafc2…
06-29 17:33:14	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0x0c33c4…
06-29 17:32:49	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5bc3de…
06-29 17:32:47	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,035	78¢	$808	0x9ebe10…
06-29 17:32:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2,470	8¢	$198	0x8a8bfb…
06-29 03:22:10	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8b9385…
06-28 09:10:43	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xd25ba0…
06-27 23:43:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31 668 138	Yes	SELL	3,000	95¢	$2,845	0xc000b3…
06-26 01:02:25	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	Yes	BUY	3,000	2¢	$60	0x4ec56f…
06-24 15:26:10	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$795	0x64fdae…
06-24 15:02:08	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	No	BUY	1,000	92¢	$920	0xbd3d63…
06-24 07:09:32	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	SELL	3,000	13¢	$391	0x7be1b3…
06-23 14:08:35	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	3,000	12¢	$360	0xfa0332…
06-23 14:05:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	96¢	$193	0x6e6558…
06-23 14:04:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by august 31	Yes	BUY	3,000	73¢	$2,184	0x9bb3b5…
06-23 13:55:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x8d64c9…
06-23 13:55:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x642e03…
06-23 13:55:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x4ebc89…
06-23 13:55:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	37	96¢	$36	0x2cf4a6…
06-23 13:54:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x64cb59…
06-23 13:52:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	3,600	97¢	$3,474	0xdf1d0f…
06-23 13:49:53	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$492	0xd32f18…
06-23 13:48:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5,000	53¢	$2,650	0x092808…
06-22 06:15:37	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	BUY	1,940	5¢	$97	0x830e87…
06-21 17:55:49	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xec7c70…
06-15 06:38:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	3,315	51¢	$1,691	0x1e53ea…
06-15 06:32:00	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0xcadc33…
06-15 06:17:24	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	27	51¢	$14	0x0e0fc5…
06-15 06:16:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xade75f…
06-15 06:16:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	61	51¢	$31	0xf475c5…
06-15 06:01:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0x22885a…
06-15 05:43:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xf8703c…
06-15 05:43:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x4696ba…
06-15 05:42:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	204	51¢	$104	0x7cd983…
06-15 05:42:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x357df0…
06-15 05:41:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x516f1d…
06-15 05:39:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf406f2…
06-15 04:21:21	trump talks to cuba leader diaz canel by june 30	Yes	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x41106e…
06-15 04:18:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	265	51¢	$135	0x728e64…
06-01 08:33:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x1201a9…
06-01 08:31:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xfc0a71…
06-01 08:23:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x1ecff6…
06-01 08:22:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x465486…
06-01 08:21:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x9a4973…
06-01 08:19:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	385	75¢	$289	0xbf75a6…
06-01 08:14:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x6398e4…
06-01 08:14:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0x53cd09…
06-01 08:13:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	67	75¢	$50	0xceeb85…
06-01 08:10:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x8c035c…
06-01 08:08:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	41	75¢	$31	0x12f056…
06-01 07:51:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x59689f…
05-29 00:31:21	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x0b5456…
05-29 00:11:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x81d753…
05-29 00:10:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11,000	3¢	$282	0x5a7ac6…
05-29 00:04:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	600	80¢	$477	0x20b839…
05-28 09:20:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,982	0x7b3084…
05-24 00:10:03	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	68	50¢	$34	0x6d45dd…
05-23 18:16:08	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x3fa8c8…
05-23 17:25:07	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	56	50¢	$28	0xa37509…
05-23 14:10:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	704	4¢	$28	0xe663de…
05-23 13:57:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$6	0xc4787b…
05-23 13:57:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	153	4¢	$6	0xc31971…
05-23 08:53:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7,321	48¢	$3,548	0x3af600…
05-22 23:57:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	5,433	2¢	$94	0x33db7c…
05-22 23:54:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0xaf4182…
05-22 23:38:18	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	600	99¢	$594	0x574055…
05-22 23:38:11	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	490	99¢	$485	0x047947…
05-22 23:35:23	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	290	79¢	$229	0xa9bcef…
05-22 22:47:48	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	500	36¢	$180	0x055f13…
05-22 22:46:28	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	280	50¢	$140	0x1f979d…
05-22 22:46:24	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb2a303…
05-22 22:44:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	1,056	96¢	$1,013	0xf1b58e…
05-22 22:44:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9e8810…
05-22 22:44:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x26c0e0…
05-22 22:44:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xd1a18c…
05-22 22:43:57	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x762df5…
05-22 22:43:19	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0x8645ca…
05-22 22:39:00	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	563	92¢	$518	0x9e7338…