Healthy-Kill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.58K

Unrealized P&L

-$145

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,463

lifetime

Volume

$762.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$310

Open exposure

$845

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-01 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

58% 100% +$480

Other

40% 25% $-4,057

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		-933	$-700	90¢	$-845	$-145	06-01 08:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	268	$140.0K	297,046	233,297	+63,749	open	—	04-22 14:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	158	$52.7K	51,205	51,205	+0	open	—	04-23 22:29
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	14	$46.2K	28,016	28,016	+0	open	—	04-05 04:03
us strikes iraq by february 28	53	$29.9K	32,033	31,393	+640	open	—	03-03 22:38
us strikes iraq by march 7	64	$29.4K	20,086	17,544	+2,541	open	—	03-08 18:13
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	47	$27.6K	18,093	17,874	+218	open	—	04-14 21:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	31	$26.5K	15,748	15,748	+0	open	—	04-05 04:03
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	4	$14.3K	8,000	8,000	+0	open	—	04-11 05:19
us strikes iraq by march 31	21	$14.0K	8,843	6,979	+1,865	open	—	03-08 06:07
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	59	$13.9K	8,500	8,500	+0	open	—	03-23 22:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	18	$13.7K	10,900	10,707	+193	open	—	05-22 00:12
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	36	$13.4K	10,031	9,354	+677	open	—	03-30 16:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	20	$12.3K	7,500	7,500	+0	open	—	05-20 03:50
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	53	$11.6K	10,313	10,313	+0	open	—	04-11 07:50
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$11.1K	20,000	20,000	+0	open	—	02-28 17:16
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	43	$11.1K	11,731	6,922	+4,809	open	—	05-22 23:57
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	16	$10.7K	11,902	4,580	+7,321	open	—	05-23 08:53
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	20	$10.7K	6,000	6,000	+0	open	—	03-30 09:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	19	$10.2K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	03-29 03:06
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.5% before 2027?	31	$9.4K	5,718	5,718	+0	open	—	05-12 19:18
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	9	$9.4K	5,500	6,000	-500	No	+$329	05-09 05:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	19	$9.1K	11,000	10,788	+212	open	—	04-23 12:45
will the us invade iran by march 31	11	$8.6K	4,500	4,500	+0	open	—	03-31 23:04
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	3	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-30 08:20
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	18	$7.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	03-03 20:57
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	15	$7.3K	3,877	3,877	+0	open	—	04-03 05:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	34	$7.2K	3,719	3,719	+0	open	—	04-22 10:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	61	$7.0K	10,251	10,243	+8	open	—	04-21 02:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	12	$6.5K	3,518	3,518	+0	open	—	05-21 05:45
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	45	$6.2K	18,955	18,955	+0	open	—	04-23 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 08:33:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0x1201a9…
06-01 08:31:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0xfc0a71…
06-01 08:23:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x1ecff6…
06-01 08:22:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x465486…
06-01 08:21:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x9a4973…
06-01 08:19:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	385	75¢	$289	0xbf75a6…
06-01 08:14:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x6398e4…
06-01 08:14:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0x53cd09…
06-01 08:13:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	67	75¢	$50	0xceeb85…
06-01 08:10:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x8c035c…
06-01 08:08:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	41	75¢	$31	0x12f056…
06-01 07:51:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x59689f…
05-29 00:31:21	Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0x0b5456…
05-29 00:11:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x81d753…
05-29 00:10:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11,000	3¢	$282	0x5a7ac6…
05-29 00:04:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	600	80¢	$477	0x20b839…
05-28 09:20:54	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,982	0x7b3084…
05-24 00:10:03	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	68	50¢	$34	0x6d45dd…
05-23 18:16:08	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x3fa8c8…
05-23 17:25:07	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	56	50¢	$28	0xa37509…
05-23 14:10:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	704	4¢	$28	0xe663de…
05-23 13:57:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$6	0xc4787b…
05-23 13:57:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	153	4¢	$6	0xc31971…
05-23 08:53:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7,321	48¢	$3,548	0x3af600…
05-22 23:57:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	5,433	2¢	$94	0x33db7c…
05-22 23:54:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0xaf4182…
05-22 23:38:18	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	600	99¢	$594	0x574055…
05-22 23:38:11	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	490	99¢	$485	0x047947…
05-22 23:35:23	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	290	79¢	$229	0xa9bcef…
05-22 22:47:48	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	500	36¢	$180	0x055f13…
05-22 22:46:28	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	280	50¢	$140	0x1f979d…
05-22 22:46:24	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb2a303…
05-22 22:44:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	1,056	96¢	$1,013	0xf1b58e…
05-22 22:44:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x9e8810…
05-22 22:44:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x26c0e0…
05-22 22:44:10	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0xd1a18c…
05-22 22:43:57	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x762df5…
05-22 22:43:19	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	300	96¢	$288	0x8645ca…
05-22 22:39:00	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	563	92¢	$518	0x9e7338…
05-22 22:38:58	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x341503…
05-22 22:38:48	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	900	92¢	$828	0xcc82ed…
05-22 22:38:32	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	33	92¢	$30	0x078de7…
05-22 22:37:32	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x232382…
05-22 22:37:31	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	400	92¢	$368	0x4b89e1…
05-22 22:37:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	101	92¢	$93	0xc494de…
05-22 22:36:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x3022d6…
05-22 22:36:52	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	331	97¢	$321	0xdcb03a…
05-22 22:36:47	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0xcc1bad…
05-22 22:30:11	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1,746	64¢	$1,115	0x92344e…
05-22 22:22:36	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	1,000	90¢	$900	0xa8943c…
05-22 22:09:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	946	87¢	$823	0xdba5c7…
05-22 22:09:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x584521…
05-22 22:08:05	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x998a78…
05-22 22:08:01	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xd1ae6c…
05-22 21:48:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	61	82¢	$50	0x4e4481…
05-22 21:41:17	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	1,521	82¢	$1,247	0x423084…
05-22 21:33:59	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x6689bc…
05-22 21:32:16	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x3c9255…
05-22 20:47:24	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0xfadd34…
05-22 20:47:19	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	142	85¢	$121	0x532e1a…
05-22 20:26:30	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0x83338a…
05-22 20:09:10	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	9	50¢	$5	0xfd0557…
05-22 17:40:39	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	19	82¢	$15	0x138bc8…
05-22 17:10:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xec73bb…
05-22 17:08:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x2898da…
05-22 17:05:51	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xff72ed…
05-22 16:56:35	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x5a3c1b…
05-22 16:55:37	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0xd8412a…
05-22 16:54:04	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	120	75¢	$90	0x768121…
05-22 16:51:51	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xf280c3…
05-22 16:38:26	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$35	0x373cc2…
05-22 16:26:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x843bfe…
05-22 16:26:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x926669…
05-22 16:09:50	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	262	85¢	$223	0x5fea5b…
05-22 16:05:03	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	145	69¢	$100	0x454e59…
05-22 16:01:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	29	85¢	$25	0x735f1d…
05-22 15:51:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xcbcfa0…
05-22 15:49:28	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	56	85¢	$48	0xee6156…
05-22 15:45:28	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	40	85¢	$34	0x4941fc…
05-22 15:34:37	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x5f1880…
05-22 15:26:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	1,000	77¢	$772	0x1e6e78…
05-22 15:23:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	SELL	0	69¢	$0	0x7cc670…
05-22 15:17:56	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xd826dc…
05-22 15:16:45	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	140	82¢	$114	0x03890b…
05-22 14:55:52	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0xe7bbd9…
05-22 14:42:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	500	82¢	$410	0xb9805f…
05-22 14:18:12	Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xec1bb0…
05-22 14:16:47	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x4b0c19…
05-22 14:15:14	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x971678…
05-22 14:07:58	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	678	61¢	$414	0x02b51c…
05-22 14:07:27	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	39	82¢	$32	0x5073ee…
05-22 14:03:32	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0xc3817b…
05-22 14:02:43	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x3196a2…
05-22 13:51:07	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x0ab0ed…
05-22 13:32:49	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	900	68¢	$609	0x84ae5b…
05-22 06:42:53	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	913	4¢	$32	0xe4214a…
05-22 05:48:15	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	259	73¢	$189	0x5925c1…
05-22 05:34:57	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x1985cd…
05-22 05:31:36	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	155	56¢	$87	0x7a43cf…
05-22 05:29:53	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0xa27e6b…