Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
open
Total volume
$2,438
$3,441 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$4,401
Latest YES mid
94¢
Latest NO mid
6¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 11:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $2.1K | $166 | +$2.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $20 | $20 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 3 | $65 | $14 | +$51 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 11 | $2.1K | $127 | +$1.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thorny-Oversight 0xa62a…a8ff | Yes | +1,553 | $1,352 | $1,352 | 4 | 05-11 06:34 |
| Absolute-Clamp-Alteration 0x7461…97e3 | No | +798 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 05-10 10:49 |
| Unwritten-Quiet 0x4baf…5fdf | Yes | +560 | $504 | $504 | 1 | 05-13 23:04 |
| Shady-Wolf 0xc93f…445d | No | +557 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 05-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5d8…2722 | Yes | +219 | $175 | $175 | 1 | 05-07 05:23 |
| Welcome-Technologist 0x3069…f8ef | No | +175 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 04:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xa621…46a1 | No | +115 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 06:56 |
| Little-Anguish 0x6b11…38e8 | Yes | +78 | $65 | $65 | 2 | 05-13 22:50 |
| Long-Term-Overcoat 0xa9d8…5806 | No | +64 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 13:41 |
| Pointed-Symmetry 0xaacb…2103 | No | +50 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:40 |
| Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | No | +42 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:35 |
| Unrealistic-Opinion 0x4fb3…a39b | No | +41 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 00:37 |
| Internal-Grandpa-Rock 0x479e…2f6d | Yes | +38 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-13 21:18 |
| Safe-Error 0xb237…f959 | No | +18 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 03:48 |
| Crafty-Peninsula-Stencil 0xadb0…cf09 | No | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 14:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 11:25:05 | Shady-Wolf 0xc93f…445d | No | BUY | 429 | 7¢ | $30 | 0x9e7aed… |
| 05-14 11:12:29 | Shady-Wolf 0xc93f…445d | No | BUY | 129 | 7¢ | $9 | 0xda9c59… |
| 05-13 23:04:47 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 84 | 8¢ | $7 | 0x653d68… |
| 05-13 23:04:43 | Unwritten-Quiet 0x4baf…5fdf | Yes | BUY | 560 | 90¢ | $504 | 0x1f61e1… |
| 05-13 22:50:47 | Little-Anguish 0x6b11…38e8 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 87¢ | $15 | 0x38c6bd… |
| 05-13 22:12:34 | Exalted-Seashore 0x1e0d…bd03 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 87¢ | $21 | 0xe08aa7… |
| 05-13 21:18:35 | Internal-Grandpa-Rock 0x479e…2f6d | Yes | BUY | 38 | 89¢ | $34 | 0x33ea2a… |
| 05-13 04:34:33 | Welcome-Technologist 0x3069…f8ef | No | BUY | 175 | 11¢ | $20 | 0xd5e5c6… |
| 05-13 00:37:22 | Unrealistic-Opinion 0x4fb3…a39b | No | BUY | 41 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x99adbe… |
| 05-12 03:48:37 | Safe-Error 0xb237…f959 | No | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x3269d2… |
| 05-11 06:34:04 | Thorny-Oversight 0xa62a…a8ff | Yes | BUY | 914 | 85¢ | $777 | 0x280f6f… |
| 05-11 03:47:58 | Exalted-Seashore 0x1e0d…bd03 | No | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xef0018… |
| 05-10 16:40:36 | Pointed-Symmetry 0xaacb…2103 | No | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xca37ad… |
| 05-10 15:51:48 | Thorny-Oversight 0xa62a…a8ff | Yes | BUY | 37 | 90¢ | $33 | 0x9e4ee0… |
| 05-10 14:47:26 | Crafty-Peninsula-Stencil 0xadb0…cf09 | No | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x49aea0… |
| 05-10 13:41:28 | Long-Term-Overcoat 0xa9d8…5806 | No | BUY | 64 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x40fe02… |
| 05-10 10:49:09 | Strong-Visual 0x168f…9e00 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 86¢ | $43 | 0x961535… |
| 05-10 10:49:07 | Absolute-Clamp-Alteration 0x7461…97e3 | No | BUY | 798 | 12¢ | $94 | 0x3577f1… |
| 05-10 07:52:32 | Thorny-Oversight 0xa62a…a8ff | Yes | BUY | 107 | 90¢ | $96 | 0x6e13c3… |
| 05-10 07:03:45 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | No | SELL | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xe2cf50… |
| 05-10 06:56:41 | (anonymous) 0xa621…46a1 | No | BUY | 115 | 13¢ | $15 | 0xc9d012… |
| 05-10 01:35:53 | Plush-Loft 0xa284…fbba | No | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x13f4b6… |
| 05-09 18:10:41 | Thorny-Oversight 0xa62a…a8ff | Yes | BUY | 495 | 90¢ | $446 | 0x1afeb6… |
| 05-08 23:11:22 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 35 | 15¢ | $5 | 0x718914… |
| 05-08 21:51:26 | Little-Anguish 0x6b11…38e8 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 82¢ | $50 | 0x61bd50… |
| 05-07 05:48:38 | Functional-Bit 0x3e3e…ea35 | No | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0xe1c94e… |
| 05-07 05:23:22 | (anonymous) 0xd5d8…2722 | Yes | BUY | 219 | 80¢ | $175 | 0x65ff0c… |
| 05-06 18:32:50 | Little-Anguish 0x6b11…38e8 | No | SELL | 60 | 31¢ | $19 | 0x745e24… |
| 05-06 14:40:21 | (anonymous) 0xc10b…96d5 | No | SELL | 20 | 21¢ | $4 | 0x63b417… |