Realized P&L
+$50.9K
Unrealized P&L
-$82
Hit rate
75.9%
Resolved
758
Trades
15,517
lifetime
Volume
$2.62M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$169
Open exposure
$3.89K
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-18 16:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Politics
47% 56% +$33,436
Other
43% 63% +$12,273
Sports
6% 62% +$1,158
Tech
2% 75% +$2,799
Crypto
2% 58% +$1,272
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,342 $534 98¢ $1.3K +$779 05-19 11:44
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,000 $570 90¢ $905 +$335 05-02 00:34
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +894 $751 72¢ $648 -$103 09-21 13:00
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1,677 $715 16¢ $260 -$455 09-23 23:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +217 $197 98¢ $214 +$16 05-07 19:00
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -980 -$214 18¢ $-179 +$36 09-22 08:32
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +1,000 $401 10¢ $95 -$306 05-02 00:40
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +400 $212 18¢ $74 -$138 06-06 20:29
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? No +914 $31 6¢ $50 +$19 09-28 14:53
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +604 $201 8¢ $45 -$155 05-29 16:29
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -689 -$37 4¢ $-29 +$8 05-01 14:29
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,342 $89 2¢ $29 -$60 05-02 19:51
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? Yes -1,439 -$27 2¢ $-27 $0 09-16 18:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +300 $81 3¢ $10 -$71 05-07 08:18
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? Yes -151 -$18 3¢ $-4 +$14 05-19 05:28
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $2 43¢ $2 +$0 09-21 08:05