Good-Poisoning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.57K

Unrealized P&L

+$70

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.96K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$172

Open exposure

$668

11 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-12 20:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

72% 100% +$1,437

Other

25% 50% +$134

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	-2,168	$-320	20¢	$-423	$-103	05-09 19:37
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	-239	$-91	51¢	$-122	$-31	05-11 14:13
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	-3,546	$-65	2¢	$-76	$-12	05-07 00:02
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-21	$-16	72¢	$-15	+$0	05-11 10:55
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	+16	$12	74¢	$12	$-0	05-08 15:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	+630	$78	2¢	$10	$-68	05-06 12:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	+43	$11	16¢	$7	$-4	05-06 09:00
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	-1,375	$-330	0¢	$-1	+$329	05-12 20:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	+13	$3	8¢	$1	$-1	05-09 13:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	+250	$13	0¢	$1	$-12	05-07 07:13
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	+200	$28	0¢	$0	$-28	05-12 18:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 20:32:52	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	SELL	1,375	24¢	$330	0x54627a…
05-12 18:06:34	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xde92f8…
05-12 16:36:19	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	1,000	2¢	$16	0x33cbbe…
05-12 16:31:18	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	BC.Game Esports	BUY	1,899	5¢	$94	0x7fad9f…
05-11 14:13:04	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	239	38¢	$91	0x39132d…
05-11 10:55:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	21	74¢	$16	0x187897…
05-10 23:06:50	Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	Yes	BUY	162	49¢	$80	0xcf883b…
05-09 19:37:10	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,487	16¢	$548	0x93f419…
05-09 18:49:11	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,318	17¢	$228	0xe19b0a…
05-09 13:38:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x778419…
05-08 18:12:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,870	24¢	$457	0x062f1b…
05-08 15:27:24	Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0x243155…
05-07 15:06:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x653a34…
05-07 14:46:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xa7d9fe…
05-07 14:46:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	Down	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xb9592c…
05-07 11:20:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	685	98¢	$670	0xf09f44…
05-07 11:05:32	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	867	99¢	$858	0x24314c…
05-07 07:13:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$13	0x2740f6…
05-07 00:02:10	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,638	2¢	$47	0x37d827…
05-06 12:26:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	630	12¢	$78	0x970e4c…
05-06 09:00:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	26¢	$11	0x724e9e…
05-06 08:41:12	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	907	2¢	$17	0x9163a4…
05-05 14:59:52	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	SELL	300	93¢	$280	0x50ac9a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Junior-Burn 0xc77b…a526	8	$1.67K	50	05-11 15:27
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	8	$1.62K	25	05-12 20:17
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	7	$861	21	05-12 18:42
Glamorous-Supervision 0x30bc…c428	7	$625	58	05-12 22:12
(anonymous) 0xb6ce…895d	7	$604	24	05-11 10:53
Peppery-Capital 0x7c3d…5c6b	6	$87.4K	23	05-10 20:16
Juvenile-Jicama 0xd53e…0b73	6	$4.81K	28	05-10 20:15
Wicked-Implication 0xceca…3f67	6	$1.72K	9	05-11 23:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 7, 2026?	2	$1.5K	1,552	0	+1,552	Yes	+$24	05-07 11:20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	2	$775	1,318	3,487	-2,168	open	—	05-09 19:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$457	1,870	0	+1,870	Yes	+$1,413	05-08 18:12
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$330	0	1,375	-1,375	open	—	05-12 20:32
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$280	0	300	-300	open	—	05-05 14:59
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$110	2,899	0	+2,899	open	—	05-12 16:36
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$91	0	239	-239	open	—	05-11 14:13
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?	3	$86	300	0	+300	Down	+$214	05-07 15:06
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?	1	$80	162	0	+162	No	$-80	05-10 23:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$78	630	0	+630	open	—	05-06 12:26
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$65	0	3,546	-3,546	open	—	05-07 00:02
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	1	$28	200	0	+200	open	—	05-12 18:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$16	0	21	-21	open	—	05-11 10:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$13	250	0	+250	open	—	05-07 07:13
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	1	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	05-08 15:27
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$11	43	0	+43	open	—	05-06 09:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$3	13	0	+13	open	—	05-09 13:38