Elon Bull Run Parlay
open
Total volume
$326
Trades
27
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$6,617
Latest YES mid
13¢
Latest NO mid
87¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-13 08:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $8
vs crowd: 10% YES on $209)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | $141 | $141 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $2 | $38 | $37 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $18 | $8 | +$10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $1 | $133 | $133 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | $27 | $26 |
| Median | 4 | — | $8 | $8 |
| Below median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | $11 | $10 |
| unranked | 2 | $18 | — | +$18 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x33be…adc8 | Yes | +212 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-13 08:47 |
| Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | No | +101 | $92 | $92 | 1 | 06-13 08:47 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +45 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 06-13 08:47 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +38 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 14:50 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 06-13 08:47 |
| Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-28 14:50 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-10 02:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 14:50 |
| Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-13 08:47 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 04:40 |
| Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-31 04:40 |
| Spicy-Collar 0xd353…465d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 13:58 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +1 | $-3 | $4 | 3 | 06-01 13:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 08:47:36 | (anonymous) 0x33be…adc8 | Yes | BUY | 212 | 9¢ | $18 | 0x64ba2c… |
| 06-13 08:47:36 | Past-Polish 0x3c30…d8ab | No | BUY | 7 | 91¢ | $6 | 0x64ba2c… |
| 06-13 08:47:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 45 | 91¢ | $41 | 0x64ba2c… |
| 06-13 08:47:36 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $27 | 0x64ba2c… |
| 06-13 08:47:36 | Feline-Resemblance 0xd6a8…58fd | No | BUY | 101 | 92¢ | $92 | 0x64ba2c… |
| 06-13 08:47:36 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x64ba2c… |
| 06-12 17:22:34 | Closed-Rating 0x505e…affc | No | SELL | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0xe21847… |
| 06-12 17:22:34 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xe21847… |
| 06-12 17:22:34 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe21847… |
| 06-10 02:20:34 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0x590f22… |
| 06-10 02:20:34 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x590f22… |
| 06-03 15:28:39 | Peppery-Lung 0xe18e…cfb5 | No | SELL | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xf9ce5b… |
| 06-03 15:28:39 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0xf9ce5b… |
| 06-01 13:58:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3bc7aa… |
| 06-01 13:58:38 | Spicy-Collar 0xd353…465d | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x3bc7aa… |
| 05-31 04:40:57 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xabb882… |
| 05-31 04:40:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xabb882… |
| 05-28 14:50:22 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 13 | 84¢ | $11 | 0x82c059… |
| 05-28 14:50:22 | (anonymous) 0x210e…d213 | No | SELL | 100 | 89¢ | $89 | 0x82c059… |
| 05-28 14:50:22 | (anonymous) 0xca8f…d963 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x82c059… |
| 05-28 14:50:22 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x82c059… |
| 05-28 14:50:21 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x369311… |
| 05-28 14:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x210e…d213 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x369311… |
| 05-28 14:50:21 | Envious-Version 0x0ad7…0971 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x369311… |
| 05-28 14:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x369311… |
| 05-28 14:50:21 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 38 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x369311… |
| 05-28 14:50:21 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x369311… |