Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.15K

Unrealized P&L

-$446

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

157

Trades

596

lifetime

Volume

$47.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

$1.19K

4 positions

First seen

2026-06-04

last 10-17 13:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Other

54% 30% +$668

Politics

31% 22% +$1,724

Sports

12% 20% +$1,087

Crypto

2% 0% -$346

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$17

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+4,800	$1,223	18¢	$888	-$335	10-17 13:29
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+1,600	$208	11¢	$168	-$40	07-05 19:01
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,857	$200	4¢	$129	-$71	08-30 10:07
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+75	$5	6¢	$5	+$0	06-24 10:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	10	$5.3K	7,200	7,200	+0	open	—	09-22 05:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	9	$4.8K	7,950	7,950	+0	open	—	09-09 15:20
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	5	$3.2K	2,700	2,700	+0	Yes	+$2,125	06-16 01:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	9	$3.0K	2,412	2,412	+0	No	+$501	07-07 06:41
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$1.7K	1,450	1,450	+0	Yes	+$1,227	07-19 23:55
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$241	10-05 13:41
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$460	07-24 18:00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$1.4K	3,785	2,335	+1,450	No	+$519	07-15 21:05
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	12	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$534	08-21 06:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	5	$1.2K	4,800	0	+4,800	open	—	10-17 13:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	6	$1.2K	794	794	+0	No	+$266	07-02 11:43
will lab reach 22 before 2027	15	$1.1K	820	820	+0	open	—	07-10 06:32
iran successfully targets shipping by june 30 20260625215135369	3	$1.1K	600	600	+0	Yes	+$136	06-27 22:25
wti closes above 84 on august 18 2026	3	$884	500	500	+0	Yes	+$114	08-18 20:59
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	6	$805	681	681	+0	open	—	07-09 07:47
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	4	$746	455	455	+0	No	+$137	08-13 10:26
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?	2	$655	500	500	+0	No	+$15	06-27 22:41
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	7	$641	546	546	+0	Yes	+$283	06-21 06:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$631	3,032	3,032	+0	No	-$40	06-22 21:23
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	8	$623	2,500	1,000	+1,500	No	-$315	07-17 23:37
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	1	$503	825	0	+825	Yes	+$322	07-06 14:20
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?	6	$493	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$87	07-09 16:30
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	7	$449	384	184	+200	Yes	+$36	06-21 07:10
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	2	$441	300	300	+0	No	+$129	08-18 17:52
will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232	6	$414	846	846	+0	Yes	-$2	07-09 12:20
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	5	$390	3,413	2,000	+1,413	Yes	-$110	09-15 20:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$360	300	300	+0	open	—	07-14 17:22
starmer out by june 22 2026	11	$349	265	265	+0	Yes	-$17	06-21 08:58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	7	$318	760	760	+0	open	—	08-30 10:07
gta vi released before november 2026	5	$313	606	292	+314	open	—	06-18 13:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 13:29:12	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,300	16¢	$208	0x3eafbd…
10-05 13:46:43	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	8¢	$80	0xeb7762…
10-05 13:41:22	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,000	84¢	$845	0x083428…
09-30 15:33:41	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	727	60¢	$439	0xf69fe3…
09-30 15:16:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	273	60¢	$165	0xd541ba…
09-22 05:16:49	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7,200	36¢	$2,598	0xa598ca…
09-15 21:00:13	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	895	7¢	$64	0x6213ab…
09-15 20:58:16	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	BUY	1,413	5¢	$70	0x34c63e…
09-15 20:53:54	Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?	No	BUY	1,822	6¢	$115	0x275687…
09-15 20:52:52	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	No	BUY	500	6¢	$33	0x289032…
09-15 20:52:21	SlingshotDAO FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0x8574dc…
09-15 20:52:12	SlingshotDAO FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	94	43¢	$40	0xc9f67a…
09-15 20:51:58	SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	71	63¢	$44	0x097bb6…
09-09 18:34:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,564	42¢	$1,497	0x8f745c…
09-09 17:05:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x0512d8…
09-09 17:03:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	161	42¢	$68	0x57cf7f…
09-09 16:28:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	430	42¢	$181	0x94244b…
09-09 16:28:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	308	42¢	$129	0x653d3b…
09-09 16:17:22	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	227	42¢	$95	0xa48353…
09-09 15:20:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	3,800	80¢	$3,040	0x142c1e…
09-09 14:59:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	SELL	200	80¢	$160	0x923670…
09-01 02:49:46	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	954	13¢	$124	0xd06e82…
09-01 02:11:10	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xdf9b02…
09-01 01:39:28	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x24d8ee…
08-31 21:40:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x403150…
08-31 20:56:58	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x4e9e50…
08-31 19:45:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xf9d5c9…
08-31 05:40:25	US x China tariff agreement by December 31?	No	SELL	746	10¢	$74	0xd9fa9d…
08-30 10:07:52	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,857	7¢	$200	0x5d7b77…
08-30 10:07:04	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	760	22¢	$171	0xd20efa…
08-30 10:05:46	UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?	Yes	SELL	596	4¢	$26	0x50e0f7…
08-30 10:05:22	Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	6,000	1¢	$79	0x951723…
08-23 16:48:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	BUY	1,706	29¢	$495	0xcd850b…
08-23 16:40:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	BUY	282	29¢	$82	0x1a046f…
08-23 16:39:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	No	BUY	512	29¢	$149	0x207b5b…
08-21 06:41:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	941	97¢	$913	0xafa094…
08-21 06:40:04	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x583e3f…
08-21 06:40:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xe9be19…
08-21 06:40:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0x1dc595…
08-18 20:59:57	wti closes above 84 on august 18 2026	Yes	SELL	365	100¢	$365	0x87f096…
08-18 20:59:37	wti closes above 84 on august 18 2026	Yes	SELL	135	100¢	$135	0x0e25e9…
08-18 20:18:00	wti closes above 84 on august 18 2026	Yes	BUY	500	77¢	$385	0x63f2e6…
08-18 17:52:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0x6fd0dc…
08-13 10:26:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	329	97¢	$320	0x7b9186…
08-13 10:26:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	125	97¢	$122	0x172633…
07-29 17:10:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	400	26¢	$103	0x914ae2…
07-24 18:01:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	29¢	$435	0x755850…
07-24 18:00:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$950	0x3dc28a…
07-23 16:01:37	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	512	20¢	$102	0xeb1efb…
07-23 15:58:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x7eb9ea…
07-23 14:09:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0xb205c9…
07-23 05:27:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$8	0xeea3fc…
07-22 17:49:28	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0x64abbe…
07-22 15:24:31	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$16	0x73f531…
07-20 17:22:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	400	8¢	$30	0xe3614e…
07-20 17:20:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,500	7¢	$102	0xa62371…
07-20 12:02:00	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	No	SELL	2,000	7¢	$140	0x612350…
07-20 09:49:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0x8701ef…
07-19 23:55:03	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,450	100¢	$1,449	0x8d162d…
07-19 15:38:37	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x574e88…
07-19 13:13:03	greece x turkey military engagement by december 31	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$2	0x52e756…
07-19 12:29:40	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0x2226b0…
07-19 12:18:10	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x99193c…
07-19 10:22:36	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	300	16¢	$48	0xb123aa…
07-19 08:42:51	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	100	66¢	$66	0x7c5e5c…
07-18 14:16:15	greece x turkey military engagement by december 31	Yes	BUY	61	4¢	$3	0xf19f7a…
07-18 10:50:40	SlingshotDAO FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$19	0xc7cf27…
07-18 09:18:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	28¢	$280	0xce57ad…
07-17 23:37:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$8	0xf5b18b…
07-17 10:58:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	425	68¢	$289	0xd3c197…
07-16 15:44:59	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on july 15 20260708001726331	No	BUY	340	2¢	$8	0xde9fb9…
07-16 13:53:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	400	41¢	$164	0xf7b4fc…
07-16 11:42:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	177	40¢	$71	0x5590e1…
07-16 11:03:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	123	40¢	$49	0x836a9b…
07-16 08:55:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	Yes	BUY	2,684	2¢	$64	0xb5da79…
07-15 21:05:38	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,335	42¢	$976	0x5dd45e…
07-14 21:11:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	300	34¢	$102	0x29da94…
07-14 17:22:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	60¢	$180	0x464126…
07-14 16:18:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	479	15¢	$73	0x6f5144…
07-14 16:18:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	SELL	521	16¢	$81	0x5284bd…
07-14 15:37:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	145	43¢	$62	0x9f97d1…
07-14 15:34:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x898f16…
07-14 15:23:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0xe7d80c…
07-14 10:50:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x5e7bd6…
07-14 09:07:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0xd5b854…
07-14 08:02:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	500	43¢	$215	0x4160ad…
07-14 07:24:19	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	161	18¢	$29	0x17cae7…
07-14 07:23:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	105	47¢	$49	0x8d9c7a…
07-13 21:39:23	mlp cal col 2026 07 16	California Black Bears	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0xbd1a0b…
07-13 21:35:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x178c1c…
07-13 21:35:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xb78aad…
07-13 16:37:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x36e59b…
07-13 16:36:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf3c625…
07-13 16:35:56	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x76b26b…
07-13 15:37:43	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	500	23¢	$114	0x99861e…
07-13 15:37:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	500	23¢	$115	0xba917b…
07-13 15:37:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	321	24¢	$76	0xa97098…
07-13 15:36:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	90	23¢	$21	0xa0e130…
07-13 15:36:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	Yes	BUY	589	23¢	$135	0x903ff1…
07-13 14:38:04	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	No	SELL	500	5¢	$26	0x5b3a1d…