Realized P&L (30d)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$935
Hit rate
73.5%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
1
596 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$208
$47.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$79
Open exposure
$705
5 positions
First seen
2026-06-04
last 10-17 13:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
54% 30% +$473
Politics
31% 21% +$1,674
Sports
12% 20% +$1,087
Crypto
2% 0% -$346
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$17
Tech
0% 0% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +4,800 $1,223 11¢ $504 -$719 10-17 13:29
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,600 $208 8¢ $136 -$72 07-05 19:01
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,857 $200 2¢ $56 -$144 08-30 10:07
greece x turkey military engagement by december 31 Yes +100 $4 5¢ $5 +$1 07-19 13:13
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +75 $5 6¢ $4 $0 06-24 10:04