Realized P&L
+$1.25K
Unrealized P&L
-$2.24K
Hit rate
95.4%
Resolved
3,369
Trades
5,664
lifetime
Volume
$480.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$85
Open exposure
$3.28K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-02 11:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Crypto
54% 89% -$1,088
Other
25% 80% +$2,226
Politics
19% 82% +$92
Tech
1% 81% +$25
Pop-Culture
0% 73% -$6
Sports
0% 64% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -676 -$595 95¢ $-642 -$47 06-05 01:31
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No -377 -$335 96¢ $-361 -$26 06-04 01:11
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -339 -$292 91¢ $-308 -$16 06-14 21:43
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -224 -$218 99¢ $-222 -$3 06-02 22:58
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -198 -$197 92¢ $-182 +$15 06-08 15:55
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No -204 -$159 89¢ $-182 -$23 06-06 03:21
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -125 -$116 97¢ $-122 -$5 06-04 01:11
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? No -118 -$108 95¢ $-112 -$3 06-05 16:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -111 -$100 97¢ $-107 -$7 06-12 17:14
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No -111 -$104 94¢ $-103 +$1 06-04 00:48
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No -102 -$97 98¢ $-101 -$3 06-02 22:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -937 $1,310 11¢ $-98 -$1,408 08-21 08:04
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No -87 -$81 98¢ $-85 -$4 06-02 22:59
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -515 $840 12¢ $-64 -$904 08-21 08:05
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? No -57 -$55 99¢ $-57 -$1 06-02 22:59
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? No -55 -$52 98¢ $-54 -$2 06-03 14:23
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No -56 -$49 96¢ $-54 -$5 06-02 23:01
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -77 -$147 68¢ $-53 +$94 06-08 10:24
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -198 -$70 26¢ $-51 +$19 08-21 08:06
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -4,923 -$34 1¢ $-49 -$15 06-14 22:03
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $1,000 -127 -$86 36¢ $-46 +$41 06-05 19:40
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$36 97¢ $-38 -$3 06-02 23:01
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No -29 -$15 97¢ $-28 -$13 06-12 17:17
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? No -31 -$24 85¢ $-26 -$2 06-12 17:16
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? Yes -982 -$111 2¢ $-24 +$87 06-14 21:44
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No -24 -$21 97¢ $-23 -$1 06-02 22:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -23 -$22 98¢ $-23 -$1 06-12 17:15
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No -24 -$18 92¢ $-22 -$4 06-12 17:16
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -23 -$21 98¢ $-22 -$1 06-12 17:15
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? No -22 -$22 98¢ $-22 +$0 06-12 17:15