Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,154
$22 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$976
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-20 14:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $63 | $63 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $673 | $673 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $175 | $40 | +$135 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $49 | $49 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $9 | $9 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 4 | $16 | — | +$16 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 15 | $159 | $705 | $545 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | +770 | $664 | $664 | 11 | 06-18 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24d…6f2a | Yes | +532 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-14 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xb497…fa28 | Yes | +317 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-06 12:08 |
| Live-Piglet 0x3e4c…877f | Yes | +110 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 08:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +56 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 05-29 08:57 |
| Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | +41 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-14 08:11 |
| Chilly-Ravioli 0xb7c4…be7b | Yes | +35 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-15 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-20 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | +27 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-14 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0de…370d | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 14:41 |
| Soulful-Controversy 0x0e0b…a0f5 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-14 08:11 |
| Gripping-Dungarees 0xf7cc…2506 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-02 22:16 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-14 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-14 15:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 14:12:28 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 72 | 83¢ | $59 | 0x435eab… |
| 06-20 14:12:28 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x435eab… |
| 06-20 14:12:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x435eab… |
| 06-18 09:00:35 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xccb5c6… |
| 06-18 09:00:35 | (anonymous) 0x5741…4612 | No | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xccb5c6… |
| 06-15 21:50:43 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 35 | 83¢ | $29 | 0xc2860f… |
| 06-15 21:50:43 | Chilly-Ravioli 0xb7c4…be7b | Yes | BUY | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0xc2860f… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…6f2a | Yes | BUY | 532 | 19¢ | $100 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xac49…51c4 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | Repulsive-Tailbud 0x462d…ea6f | Yes | SELL | 33 | 33¢ | $11 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 323 | 86¢ | $278 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | BUY | 27 | 52¢ | $14 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 9 | 76¢ | $7 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 12:22:39 | Decisive-Dependency 0xe4db…b966 | No | SELL | 75 | 86¢ | $64 | 0x6b6f70… |
| 06-14 12:22:39 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6b6f70… |
| 06-14 12:22:39 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 55 | 86¢ | $47 | 0x6b6f70… |
| 06-14 08:11:03 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa57cc5… |
| 06-14 08:11:03 | Soulful-Controversy 0x0e0b…a0f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa57cc5… |
| 06-14 08:11:03 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa57cc5… |
| 06-14 08:11:03 | (anonymous) 0x81af…57d3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xa57cc5… |
| 06-12 04:23:49 | Rotating-Logistics 0x4c5d…cf6f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x973541… |
| 06-12 04:23:49 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x973541… |
| 06-12 04:23:27 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x265f65… |
| 06-12 04:23:27 | Soulful-Controversy 0x0e0b…a0f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x265f65… |
| 06-12 04:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x265f65… |
| 06-12 00:25:31 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0x48d08e… |
| 06-12 00:25:31 | Rotating-Logistics 0x4c5d…cf6f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x48d08e… |
| 06-06 12:08:12 | (anonymous) 0xb497…fa28 | Yes | BUY | 317 | 13¢ | $40 | 0x422d6b… |
| 06-06 12:08:12 | Unique-Dentist 0xcf00…353f | Yes | SELL | 118 | 12¢ | $14 | 0x422d6b… |
| 06-06 12:08:12 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 199 | 87¢ | $173 | 0x422d6b… |
| 06-06 08:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x81af…57d3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xd4cc80… |
| 06-06 08:13:49 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xd4cc80… |
| 06-04 09:06:28 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xf5a815… |
| 06-04 09:06:28 | (anonymous) 0xd2d4…b078 | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xf5a815… |
| 06-02 22:16:32 | Gripping-Dungarees 0xf7cc…2506 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x91e976… |
| 06-02 22:16:32 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x91e976… |
| 06-02 18:42:41 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0xf07d16… |
| 06-02 18:42:41 | Fixed-Reef 0x71f3…0b6c | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0xf07d16… |
| 06-01 14:41:27 | Dearest-Logic 0xfb3e…94ce | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcfd59b… |
| 06-01 14:41:27 | (anonymous) 0xd0de…370d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcfd59b… |
| 05-29 08:57:34 | Live-Piglet 0x3e4c…877f | Yes | BUY | 110 | 14¢ | $15 | 0xda96dd… |
| 05-29 08:57:34 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 75 | 86¢ | $65 | 0xda96dd… |
| 05-29 08:57:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 34 | 87¢ | $30 | 0xda96dd… |
| 05-28 06:39:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0xd3e5af… |
| 05-28 06:39:23 | Acrobatic-Spread 0x88c0…5a03 | No | SELL | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0xd3e5af… |