Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,495
$22 in 24h
Trades
88
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$976
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-06 22:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $20 | $98 | $78 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $1 | $122 | $121 |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | — | $724 | $724 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $208 | $12 | +$196 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $104 | $104 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 9 | $1 | $9 | $8 |
| Below median | 5 | $16 | $56 | $40 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $79 | $78 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| unranked | 22 | $191 | $708 | $517 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | +770 | $664 | $664 | 11 | 06-18 09:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xa24d…6f2a | Yes | +532 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-14 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xb497…fa28 | Yes | +317 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-06 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5cf9…803b | Yes | +144 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 06-22 15:35 |
| Live-Piglet 0x3e4c…877f | Yes | +110 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-29 08:57 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +94 | $19 | $21 | 3 | 07-06 05:47 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +77 | $63 | $106 | 5 | 06-30 09:01 |
| Buoyant-Ice 0x30a7…02fa | No | +67 | $56 | $56 | 2 | 07-05 23:53 |
| Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | +41 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 06-14 08:11 |
| Chilly-Ravioli 0xb7c4…be7b | Yes | +35 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-15 21:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-20 14:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | +27 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 06-14 15:51 |
| Mellow-Fork 0xf2aa…21fb | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-22 15:30 |
| Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | +12 | $8 | $123 | 13 | 07-06 05:47 |
| Soulful-Controversy 0x0e0b…a0f5 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-14 08:11 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-14 15:51 |
| Gripping-Dungarees 0xf7cc…2506 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-02 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-14 15:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x0f44…f4bd | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 20:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xb566…121c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-06 22:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-24 12:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-29 06:57 |
| High-Bronchitis 0xedf9…43ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 00:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 22:05:16 | (anonymous) 0xb566…121c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xa99e90… |
| 07-06 22:05:16 | Playful-Lawn 0x24aa…7e0a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xa99e90… |
| 07-06 05:47:53 | Playful-Lawn 0x24aa…7e0a | Yes | SELL | 82 | 20¢ | $16 | 0xfcca43… |
| 07-06 05:47:53 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xfcca43… |
| 07-06 05:47:53 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 94 | 20¢ | $19 | 0xfcca43… |
| 07-05 23:53:43 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x0ff017… |
| 07-05 23:53:43 | Buoyant-Ice 0x30a7…02fa | No | BUY | 17 | 86¢ | $14 | 0x0ff017… |
| 07-02 20:19:58 | (anonymous) 0x0f44…f4bd | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x49f8a7… |
| 07-02 20:19:58 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0x49f8a7… |
| 06-30 09:01:11 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | SELL | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x8a9cab… |
| 06-30 09:01:11 | Dearest-Logic 0xfb3e…94ce | Yes | SELL | 17 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x8a9cab… |
| 06-30 09:01:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 16 | 85¢ | $14 | 0x8a9cab… |
| 06-29 06:57:55 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x3b3641… |
| 06-29 06:57:55 | (anonymous) 0x05e0…1fd7 | No | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x3b3641… |
| 06-28 10:50:55 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x646cb6… |
| 06-28 10:50:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 9 | 86¢ | $8 | 0x646cb6… |
| 06-28 08:04:08 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 2 | 82¢ | $2 | 0xd29995… |
| 06-28 08:04:08 | Wiggly-Blood 0xc9a3…10f6 | No | SELL | 4 | 82¢ | $3 | 0xd29995… |
| 06-28 04:18:35 | Enraged-Drive 0x95d6…c370 | No | SELL | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0xcbae47… |
| 06-28 04:18:35 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0xcbae47… |
| 06-27 22:25:58 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0x9934fe… |
| 06-27 22:25:58 | (anonymous) 0x66cb…f1e2 | No | SELL | 4 | 83¢ | $3 | 0x9934fe… |
| 06-27 17:16:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x3e7517… |
| 06-27 17:16:14 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x3e7517… |
| 06-27 17:16:14 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 0 | 83¢ | $0 | 0x3e7517… |
| 06-24 16:27:50 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x9545e7… |
| 06-24 16:27:50 | Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x9545e7… |
| 06-24 12:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xa9f640… |
| 06-24 12:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x8a68…f740 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa9f640… |
| 06-24 12:44:56 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa9f640… |
| 06-23 12:50:32 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | SELL | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x9cd012… |
| 06-23 12:50:32 | Buoyant-Ice 0x30a7…02fa | No | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0x9cd012… |
| 06-22 15:35:28 | (anonymous) 0x5cf9…803b | Yes | BUY | 45 | 22¢ | $10 | 0xee08d8… |
| 06-22 15:35:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 45 | 78¢ | $35 | 0xee08d8… |
| 06-22 15:30:02 | (anonymous) 0xd0de…370d | Yes | SELL | 17 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x1d1d89… |
| 06-22 15:30:02 | (anonymous) 0x5cf9…803b | Yes | BUY | 43 | 23¢ | $10 | 0x1d1d89… |
| 06-22 15:30:02 | Mellow-Fork 0xf2aa…21fb | No | BUY | 26 | 75¢ | $20 | 0x1d1d89… |
| 06-22 15:30:01 | Jovial-Blossom 0x0ab6…8eef | No | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0x5e72e3… |
| 06-22 15:30:01 | (anonymous) 0x5cf9…803b | Yes | BUY | 55 | 18¢ | $10 | 0x5e72e3… |
| 06-22 15:30:01 | (anonymous) 0xd0de…370d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x5e72e3… |
| 06-22 00:06:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xbf68b7… |
| 06-22 00:06:53 | High-Bronchitis 0xedf9…43ab | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xbf68b7… |
| 06-20 14:12:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 17¢ | $7 | 0x435eab… |
| 06-20 14:12:28 | (anonymous) 0xc6b2…3caa | No | SELL | 72 | 83¢ | $59 | 0x435eab… |
| 06-20 14:12:28 | (anonymous) 0xad99…dbab | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x435eab… |
| 06-18 09:00:35 | (anonymous) 0x5741…4612 | No | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xccb5c6… |
| 06-18 09:00:35 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0xccb5c6… |
| 06-15 21:50:43 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 35 | 83¢ | $29 | 0xc2860f… |
| 06-15 21:50:43 | Chilly-Ravioli 0xb7c4…be7b | Yes | BUY | 35 | 17¢ | $6 | 0xc2860f… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xac49…51c4 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | No | BUY | 27 | 52¢ | $14 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | Repulsive-Tailbud 0x462d…ea6f | Yes | SELL | 33 | 33¢ | $11 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 323 | 86¢ | $278 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | (anonymous) 0xa24d…6f2a | Yes | BUY | 532 | 19¢ | $100 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 15:51:52 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 9 | 76¢ | $7 | 0x6b3d34… |
| 06-14 12:22:39 | Decisive-Dependency 0xe4db…b966 | No | SELL | 75 | 86¢ | $64 | 0x6b6f70… |
| 06-14 12:22:39 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 55 | 86¢ | $47 | 0x6b6f70… |
| 06-14 12:22:39 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6b6f70… |
| 06-14 08:11:03 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa57cc5… |
| 06-14 08:11:03 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa57cc5… |
| 06-14 08:11:03 | (anonymous) 0x81af…57d3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xa57cc5… |
| 06-14 08:11:03 | Soulful-Controversy 0x0e0b…a0f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xa57cc5… |
| 06-12 04:23:49 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x973541… |
| 06-12 04:23:49 | Rotating-Logistics 0x4c5d…cf6f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x973541… |
| 06-12 04:23:27 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x265f65… |
| 06-12 04:23:27 | Soulful-Controversy 0x0e0b…a0f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x265f65… |
| 06-12 04:23:27 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 17 | 90¢ | $15 | 0x265f65… |
| 06-12 00:25:31 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 14 | 86¢ | $12 | 0x48d08e… |
| 06-12 00:25:31 | Rotating-Logistics 0x4c5d…cf6f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x48d08e… |
| 06-06 12:08:12 | Unique-Dentist 0xcf00…353f | Yes | SELL | 118 | 12¢ | $14 | 0x422d6b… |
| 06-06 12:08:12 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 199 | 87¢ | $173 | 0x422d6b… |
| 06-06 12:08:12 | (anonymous) 0xb497…fa28 | Yes | BUY | 317 | 13¢ | $40 | 0x422d6b… |
| 06-06 08:13:49 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 30 | 87¢ | $26 | 0xd4cc80… |
| 06-06 08:13:49 | (anonymous) 0x81af…57d3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 13¢ | $4 | 0xd4cc80… |
| 06-04 09:06:28 | (anonymous) 0xd2d4…b078 | No | SELL | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xf5a815… |
| 06-04 09:06:28 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0xf5a815… |
| 06-02 22:16:32 | Gripping-Dungarees 0xf7cc…2506 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x91e976… |
| 06-02 22:16:32 | Tidy-Tinderbox 0x74e6…4f6c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x91e976… |
| 06-02 18:42:41 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0xf07d16… |
| 06-02 18:42:41 | Fixed-Reef 0x71f3…0b6c | No | SELL | 8 | 86¢ | $7 | 0xf07d16… |
| 06-01 14:41:27 | Dearest-Logic 0xfb3e…94ce | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcfd59b… |
| 06-01 14:41:27 | (anonymous) 0xd0de…370d | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xcfd59b… |
| 05-29 08:57:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 34 | 87¢ | $30 | 0xda96dd… |
| 05-29 08:57:34 | Virtuous-Exhibit 0x565e…875d | No | BUY | 75 | 86¢ | $65 | 0xda96dd… |
| 05-29 08:57:34 | Live-Piglet 0x3e4c…877f | Yes | BUY | 110 | 14¢ | $15 | 0xda96dd… |
| 05-28 06:39:23 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0xd3e5af… |
| 05-28 06:39:23 | Acrobatic-Spread 0x88c0…5a03 | No | SELL | 22 | 87¢ | $19 | 0xd3e5af… |