Gripping-Dungarees — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$723

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-27 16:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

79% 50% +$6

Politics

21% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	2	$33	25	25	+0	open	—	03-16 19:18
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	3	$33	40	25	+15	open	—	06-09 18:45
Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	4	$31	18	18	+0	Yes	+$4	05-05 05:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-12 02:28
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	8	$28	25	25	+0	Yes	+$11	05-10 21:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$28	16	16	+0	open	—	04-02 00:07
will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	2	$27	45	45	+0	open	—	07-15 22:43
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	3	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	05-08 01:02
will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 3 2026	8	$24	53	53	+0	open	—	04-03 01:15
will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	03-23 14:43
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	03-24 19:39
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	03-18 18:05
will the median home value in the los angeles metro area be less than 1130000 by february 1	4	$19	25	10	+15	open	—	01-09 19:21
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	4	$18	27	18	+9	open	—	05-15 21:46
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$17	28	0	+28	open	—	03-23 14:43
Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,180,000 on April 30?	4	$15	24	15	+9	open	—	04-28 05:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$14	36	0	+36	open	—	06-14 22:05
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	07-01 23:42
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$14	19	10	+9	open	—	01-23 23:02
will february 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	3	$13	26	26	+0	open	—	03-05 23:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	05-27 01:27
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	07-01 23:41
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-24 23:35
will the median home value in the austin texas metro area be between 400000 and 405000 on april 1	2	$11	125	69	+56	open	—	03-24 19:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 05:55
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	03-26 23:55
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	1	$11	18	0	+18	No	+$7	04-24 04:52
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	1	$11	0	13	-13	open	—	07-27 16:42
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	06-02 19:08
will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	03-19 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 16:42:15	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x5ef7c0…
07-15 22:43:43	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	SELL	45	39¢	$18	0xd27ced…
07-14 17:20:47	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$5	0x684ecb…
07-01 23:43:08	will mgm resorts be acquired before 2027	No	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0xccd661…
07-01 23:42:13	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xabd800…
07-01 23:41:38	Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x965bba…
06-14 22:05:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa8d38b…
06-13 04:06:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xc3b94b…
06-10 00:27:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0x58ecc7…
06-09 19:13:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x85f8b4…
06-09 18:45:12	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xb2e96d…
06-09 18:45:07	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0x5781d0…
06-05 17:21:33	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xe91e6f…
06-02 22:16:32	Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x91e976…
06-02 19:08:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x10b76e…
06-02 19:08:28	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xbc1da0…
06-02 19:08:23	Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xc78e37…
05-27 01:27:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xdd7145…
05-21 05:55:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xd9ba4e…
05-15 21:46:23	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x263914…
05-15 21:43:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0xd1782d…
05-15 21:43:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0x2a710e…
05-14 20:47:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x48b7b0…
05-14 20:46:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x334ddc…
05-10 21:24:34	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xce9c51…
05-08 01:29:07	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	29¢	$8	0x6a197b…
05-08 01:02:03	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xe0e0fc…
05-06 20:35:31	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xc5ebcf…
05-05 05:28:48	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x1a4a0d…
04-30 04:57:10	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x1375a0…
04-28 05:19:36	Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,180,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x3a9e9a…
04-27 16:55:08	Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,180,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x7cd899…
04-27 07:06:32	Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,180,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xac8314…
04-24 23:35:40	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x9d1881…
04-24 22:04:48	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xe56f23…
04-24 04:52:36	Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in April?	No	BUY	18	63¢	$11	0xa8c422…
04-21 14:08:36	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0xe1dc0d…
04-21 06:24:28	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x0deb06…
04-21 06:24:20	Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x881efe…
04-21 06:24:14	Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?	No	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xe3d3f8…
04-18 10:19:42	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xcc0508…
04-18 09:37:08	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x59558b…
04-18 04:45:52	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x75d18c…
04-18 02:32:40	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0xa40fb8…
04-12 02:28:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x9f32bb…
04-10 22:43:51	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,180,000 and $1,215,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x03e45c…
04-10 22:38:23	Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,180,000 and $1,215,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	14	16¢	$2	0x0a2586…
04-10 22:38:21	Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,180,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x55720f…
04-10 22:38:19	Will the median home value in the US be between $435,000 and $437,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	56	16¢	$9	0xcf4f3b…
04-10 22:38:17	Will the median home value in the Austin, Texas metro area be between $419,000 and $423,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0xe43dfb…
04-03 01:15:33	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 3 2026	Yes	SELL	14	18¢	$3	0x1fb33f…
04-03 01:15:23	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 3 2026	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x167922…
04-02 16:21:49	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7b8d83…
04-02 00:07:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x0978b2…
04-01 21:27:11	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 3 2026	Yes	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0x3e12aa…
04-01 06:06:03	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xea3eb9…
04-01 06:04:03	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x854245…
04-01 04:56:39	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x3fc8bf…
04-01 02:36:13	will trumps approval rating be between 39pt0 and 39pt4 on april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcc998f…
03-26 23:55:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xcbd8aa…
03-25 01:11:25	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0x7385b2…
03-24 21:50:59	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xa12602…
03-24 20:13:03	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x4ec86f…
03-24 19:51:49	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0xcf08fa…
03-24 19:51:35	Will inflation reach more than 3.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x38e3ce…
03-24 19:39:49	will the median home value in the austin texas metro area be between 400000 and 405000 on april 1	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x082ec0…
03-24 19:39:43	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x799235…
03-23 19:03:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xd495b7…
03-23 19:01:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xbe11aa…
03-23 19:00:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xcf3146…
03-23 14:43:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf9c0cc…
03-23 14:43:33	will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x35c2bc…
03-21 03:22:31	will the median home value in the austin texas metro area be between 400000 and 405000 on april 1	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xf1fd81…
03-20 21:35:27	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xf67532…
03-20 21:34:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0x761396…
03-20 21:34:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	18	66¢	$12	0x0923de…
03-19 19:47:01	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9dc471…
03-18 18:05:35	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	15	62¢	$9	0x5edee9…
03-17 17:50:21	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xca28ea…
03-17 17:50:19	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x0b3fe4…
03-16 20:36:41	will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0667fb…
03-16 20:28:17	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd99fd9…
03-16 19:18:01	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x5ba052…
03-06 03:34:53	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xac7994…
03-05 23:11:51	will february 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	Yes	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0x4a67d6…
02-27 20:18:21	will the median home value in the austin texas metro area be less than 405000 by march 1	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe911c4…
02-27 18:09:53	will the median home value in the austin texas metro area be less than 405000 by march 1	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x83eae5…
02-24 23:23:30	will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	Yes	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x0559cc…
02-24 23:23:20	will trump say biden 10 times during the 2026 state of the union address 599	No	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x873208…
02-24 23:23:18	will trump say drill baby drill during the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0xa0fa20…
02-14 03:20:13	will the median home value in the austin texas metro area be less than 405000 by march 1	Yes	BUY	9	40¢	$4	0x99c2e7…
02-12 20:45:47	will the median home value in the dc metro area be between 517000 and 527000 by march 1	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x254cb0…
02-11 22:49:53	will february 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	Yes	BUY	23	23¢	$5	0x76f298…
02-11 22:46:13	will february 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x81e756…
02-10 22:34:41	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x3d53cd…
02-10 19:23:19	will the median home value in the austin texas metro area be less than 405000 by march 1	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbe0671…
02-10 19:22:49	will the median home value in the austin texas metro area be less than 405000 by march 1	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4e0982…
02-03 06:04:52	will the median home value in the san francisco metro area be between 1040000 and 1060000 by march 1	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xaaf695…
02-02 16:40:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16	74¢	$12	0xbc6360…
01-28 19:54:00	will powell say inflation 50 times during january press conference	No	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x31fefe…