Realized P&L
+$18
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
124
lifetime
Volume
$647
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$47
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 06-10 00:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
82% 50% +$6
Politics
18% 100% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? Yes +15 $-4 82¢ $12 +$17 06-09 18:45
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +12 $10 81¢ $10 $-0 06-02 19:08
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-02 22:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +9 $7 84¢ $8 +$0 06-10 00:27
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -12 $-7 46¢ $-5 +$1 06-09 19:13
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes -18 $-3 16¢ $-3 $-0 06-09 18:45