Realized P&L
+$18
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
89.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
129
lifetime
Volume
$690
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$55
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-09
last 07-01 23:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
80% 50% +$6
Politics
20% 100% +$11
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No +15 $14 97¢ $15 +$0 07-01 23:42
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +20 $13 70¢ $14 +$2 07-01 23:41
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 $-0 06-02 19:08
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +10 $9 84¢ $8 $-0 06-02 22:16
Fed rate hike in 2026? No -12 $-7 52¢ $-6 +$0 06-09 19:13
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes -18 $-3 11¢ $-2 +$1 06-09 18:45