Realized P&L
-$80
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
43.6%
Resolved
148
Trades
166
lifetime
Volume
$429
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$19
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-24
last 09-29 23:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
38% 20% -$46
Politics
24% 21% +$15
Crypto
22% 42% -$2
Tech
14% 22% -$52
Sports
2% 56% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $5 40¢ $6 +$1 07-26 08:10
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-17 13:06
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +3 $2 96¢ $3 +$1 06-22 00:07
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-22 00:06
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 09-23 22:53
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1 $1 66¢ $1 $0 09-23 22:52
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +8 $3 12¢ $1 -$2 05-18 21:37
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +5 $1 14¢ $1 $0 07-16 12:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +12 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 07-11 06:51
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +9 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 06-03 23:06