Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$125
Trades
20
Unique wallets
12
Liquidity
$5,493
Latest YES mid
72¢
Latest NO mid
28¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-04
last 06-16 05:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $4 | $7 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +56 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-12 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | +25 | $4 | $5 | 2 | 06-09 10:27 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-12 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-04 14:03 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 05:11:31 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xb97aab… |
| 06-16 05:11:31 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xb97aab… |
| 06-16 05:09:19 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x8a3878… |
| 06-16 05:09:19 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x8a3878… |
| 06-14 04:00:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x56711b… |
| 06-14 04:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | No | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x56711b… |
| 06-12 20:38:36 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | SELL | 75 | 18¢ | $13 | 0xcab11d… |
| 06-12 20:38:36 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 56 | 18¢ | $10 | 0xcab11d… |
| 06-12 20:38:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xcab11d… |
| 06-12 20:38:36 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | No | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xcab11d… |
| 06-10 08:41:00 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | No | BUY | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x016e46… |
| 06-10 08:41:00 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | No | SELL | 0 | 17¢ | $0 | 0x016e46… |
| 06-09 10:27:01 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 0 | 74¢ | $0 | 0xc43489… |
| 06-09 10:27:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 0 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xc43489… |
| 06-05 03:20:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 25 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x345841… |
| 06-05 03:20:28 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0x345841… |
| 06-05 03:20:28 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | No | BUY | 75 | 15¢ | $11 | 0x345841… |
| 06-05 03:20:28 | Crisp-Fuel-Gloom 0xaa1d…0eac | No | SELL | 150 | 17¢ | $25 | 0x345841… |
| 06-04 14:03:12 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x7a19dd… |
| 06-04 14:03:12 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 3 | 68¢ | $2 | 0x7a19dd… |