Realized P&L
-$65
Unrealized P&L
+$97
Hit rate
30.6%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,285
lifetime
Volume
$28.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$527
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-09 09:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
58% 0% $-84
Other
35% 50% +$19
Tech
4%
Crypto
2%
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +160 $96 86¢ $138 +$42 05-28 17:23
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +600 $78 15¢ $87 +$9 06-04 22:32
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +100 $58 71¢ $71 +$13 06-01 17:37
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30? No -57 $-53 97¢ $-55 $-2 06-02 00:38
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No -52 $-39 88¢ $-46 $-7 05-30 08:41
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +60 $31 73¢ $44 +$13 06-01 12:23
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No -50 $-29 73¢ $-36 $-7 06-01 05:23
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot? No +300 $21 12¢ $34 +$14 06-04 00:35
Will Waymo launch in Nashville by June 30 2026? No +17 $-9 81¢ $14 +$22 06-07 15:25
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes +12 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 06-01 17:59