Realized P&L
+$909
Unrealized P&L
+$85
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
454
Trades
3,639
lifetime
Volume
$72.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.19K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-28 00:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Other
46% 44% +$1,436
Politics
43% 37% +$383
Tech
8% 32% -$581
Sports
2% 33% -$133
Crypto
1% 25% -$131
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +228 $58 80¢ $181 +$123 09-24 16:01
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +248 $169 64¢ $160 -$9 10-12 17:32
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +275 $136 52¢ $142 +$6 10-12 18:56
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +343 $133 34¢ $118 -$15 10-26 11:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +480 $126 24¢ $117 -$8 10-26 08:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +170 $66 56¢ $94 +$28 10-27 21:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +260 $99 34¢ $90 -$9 10-26 08:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +640 $38 11¢ $67 +$29 10-15 22:49
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +420 $95 14¢ $59 -$37 10-23 02:33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,293 $8 3¢ $43 +$36 10-11 21:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,461 $48 3¢ $39 -$9 10-26 13:39
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +33 $8 77¢ $25 +$17 10-27 19:40
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992 Yes +380 $41 5¢ $19 -$22 09-01 02:35
Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 31, 2026? Yes +550 $44 3¢ $16 -$28 10-26 16:03
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +7 -$68 84¢ $6 +$74 10-28 00:39
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +330 $52 2¢ $5 -$47 10-15 23:33
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +992 $18 0¢ $4 -$14 10-28 01:57
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 Yes +0 $31 15¢ $0 -$31 09-18 02:33