Fluffy-Toast 0xc327cc…dc31f5 Create alert
bot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$730
Unrealized P&L
+$302
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
488
Trades
3,877
lifetime
Volume
$76.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$2.00K
25 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 11-11 14:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
47% 44% +$1,483
Politics
42% 36% +$233
Tech
8% 32% -$658
Sports
2% 33% -$133
Crypto
1% 25% -$131
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? No +1,143 $171 27¢ $307 +$135 10-18 15:16
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? Yes +510 $102 58¢ $298 +$197 11-08 14:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +260 $99 72¢ $188 +$90 10-26 08:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +550 $109 29¢ $160 +$50 11-10 13:32
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +343 $133 38¢ $132 -$1 10-26 11:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,780 $294 7¢ $122 -$172 11-09 17:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,113 $141 10¢ $107 -$34 11-10 22:45
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +800 $149 12¢ $97 -$52 11-10 01:29
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Yes +130 $64 74¢ $96 +$32 10-26 07:38
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31? No +110 $33 86¢ $94 +$61 11-10 09:34
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +477 $146 17¢ $81 -$65 11-08 16:10
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? No +92 $35 85¢ $78 +$43 11-10 21:32
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? No +220 $53 27¢ $59 +$7 11-07 02:07
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? No +105 $14 34¢ $36 +$22 10-18 01:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +8,470 $95 0¢ $34 -$61 11-11 15:25
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes +48 -$146 66¢ $32 +$178 11-09 11:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +4,323 $81 1¢ $30 -$51 11-11 14:17
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +268 $23 7¢ $19 -$5 11-05 01:54
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? Yes +236 $37 6¢ $15 -$21 11-09 18:42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,293 $8 1¢ $7 -$1 10-11 21:13
Will Faber announce it will resume sales of Sally Rooney's books in the UK by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 43¢ $3 +$1 10-26 20:12
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,000 $22 0¢ $3 -$19 10-28 14:04
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the UAE? Yes +76 $1 2¢ $1 +$1 09-30 11:11
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? Yes +2 $0 6¢ $0 $0 11-10 09:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +0 $31 8¢ $0 -$31 09-18 02:33