Fluffy-Toast 0xc327cc…dc31f5 Create alert
bot 8W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$715
Unrealized P&L
+$91
Hit rate
58.9%
Resolved
489
Trades
3,905
lifetime
Volume
$76.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.95K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 11-12 07:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 182 days
Categories
Other
47% 44% +$1,469
Politics
42% 36% +$233
Tech
8% 32% -$658
Sports
2% 33% -$133
Crypto
1% 25% -$131
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026? No +1,143 $171 26¢ $301 +$129 10-18 15:16
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $30B by December 31? Yes +510 $102 58¢ $298 +$197 11-08 14:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +260 $99 75¢ $195 +$96 10-26 08:18
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,113 $141 14¢ $152 +$11 11-10 22:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +550 $109 26¢ $142 +$33 11-10 13:32
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +343 $133 32¢ $112 -$22 10-26 11:35
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027? Yes +130 $64 74¢ $96 +$32 10-26 07:38
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by December 31? No +104 $28 86¢ $89 +$61 11-11 22:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +4,323 $81 2¢ $80 -$1 11-11 14:17
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +11,354 $104 1¢ $79 -$24 11-11 20:34
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? No +92 $35 85¢ $78 +$43 11-10 21:32
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +477 $146 15¢ $72 -$75 11-08 16:10
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? No +220 $53 32¢ $70 +$18 11-07 02:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,780 $294 3¢ $61 -$233 11-09 17:41
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +800 $149 8¢ $60 -$89 11-10 01:29
Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027? Yes +168 $36 22¢ $38 +$2 10-12 14:41
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? Yes +236 $37 6¢ $15 -$21 11-09 18:42
Will Faber announce it will resume sales of Sally Rooney's books in the UK by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $2 43¢ $3 +$1 10-26 20:12
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +98 $13 3¢ $3 -$10 11-12 07:08
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,000 $22 0¢ $3 -$19 10-28 14:04
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,293 $8 0¢ $2 -$6 10-11 21:13
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? Yes +2 $0 6¢ $0 $0 11-10 09:07
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +0 $31 8¢ $0 -$31 09-18 02:33