Fluffy-Toast 0xc327cc…dc31f5 Create alert
bot 7W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
+$521
Unrealized P&L
+$127
Hit rate
58.5%
Resolved (90d)
134
Trades (90d)
1,181
3,734 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$22.7K
$73.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.54K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 11-05 18:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 177 days
Categories
Other
47% 45% +$1,376
Politics
43% 37% +$299
Tech
8% 32% -$658
Sports
2% 33% -$133
Crypto
1% 25% -$131
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$64
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026? Yes — +320 $22 61¢ $195 +$173 11-03 12:17
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T? Yes +272 $183 66¢ $180 -$4 11-05 01:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,080 $247 16¢ $172 -$75 11-04 21:00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +260 $99 60¢ $156 +$57 10-26 08:18
Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026? Yes +343 $133 35¢ $120 -$13 10-26 11:35
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +200 $102 52¢ $103 +$1 11-05 18:36
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +114 -$41 88¢ $100 +$141 11-02 09:11
Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +142 $56 56¢ $79 +$23 10-30 10:34
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? No — +105 $66 60¢ $62 -$4 10-29 10:50
Will Kimi K3.1 Pro debut at a score of at least 1470 by June 30, 2027? Yes — +158 $88 38¢ $59 -$29 11-04 22:49
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +266 $69 18¢ $49 -$20 11-01 17:19
Gemini Carbon released by November 15, 2026? No — +265 $40 18¢ $46 +$7 11-04 18:32
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +210 $71 22¢ $46 -$25 11-03 14:40
US imports Russian diesel by March 31? Yes — +200 $42 20¢ $41 -$1 11-05 10:46
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +860 $52 4¢ $39 -$13 11-03 11:58
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2,453 $67 2¢ $38 -$29 11-05 16:13
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026? No — +84 $12 20¢ $17 +$5 11-03 14:04
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the United States by December 31, 2027? Yes — +240 $20 6¢ $15 -$5 11-05 17:25
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $27 12¢ $13 -$15 11-05 16:31
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027? Yes +1,293 $8 1¢ $10 +$2 10-11 21:13
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,000 $22 0¢ $3 -$19 10-28 14:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +0 $31 8¢ $0 -$31 09-18 02:33