Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
open
Total volume
$9,129
$2 in 24h
Trades
551
Unique wallets
193
Liquidity
$5,229
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-02 04:57
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+74.6¢
(top1%: 84% YES on $271
vs crowd: 10% YES on $7.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $346 | $1.5K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $145 | $734 | $589 |
| 🐟 Fish | 36 | $47 | $4.0K | $3.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 122 | $191 | $583 | $392 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $229 | $43 | +$186 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 13 | $98 | $1.4K | $1.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $8 | $171 | $163 |
| Median | 22 | $31 | $234 | $203 |
| Below median | 34 | $80 | $66 | +$14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 8 | $38 | $184 | $146 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $82 | $410 | $328 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $14 | $33 | $20 |
| unranked | 86 | $150 | $4.2K | $4.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | +3,383 | $3,238 | $3,238 | 8 | 07-02 00:10 |
| Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | +2,838 | $132 | $326 | 19 | 06-29 12:05 |
| Fake-Polyester 0x2525…b919 | No | +1,390 | $1,213 | $1,213 | 35 | 06-16 01:33 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | +400 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-21 16:34 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +377 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-21 16:34 |
| Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | +313 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 06-19 18:28 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | Yes | +299 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-14 18:18 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +246 | $215 | $215 | 21 | 07-02 03:22 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +240 | $24 | $24 | 19 | 07-01 09:05 |
| Velvety-Pantsuit 0x02ab…cda4 | Yes | +225 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-26 22:39 |
| Striped-Crazy 0x2c79…e0aa | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 2 | 06-29 12:05 |
| Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | +178 | $160 | $594 | 12 | 06-23 16:30 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +141 | $137 | $137 | 2 | 06-30 05:51 |
| Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa340…cac0 | Yes | +106 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 07-02 03:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x81b2…2e06 | Yes | +93 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 11:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9883…1d31 | Yes | +88 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-15 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e88…284b | No | +79 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-29 22:23 |
| Valuable-Browser 0x2759…62a9 | Yes | +79 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 05:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e9e…ba71 | Yes | +65 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xbff0…f21d | Yes | +62 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-14 06:03 |
| Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | +57 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 06-14 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x12c6…e328 | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 07-01 07:27 |
| Biodegradable-Veto 0x0388…6f05 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-25 11:17 |
| Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-14 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x48c3…04e9 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-26 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xecf2…c477 | No | +51 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-26 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb679…bd5e | No | +46 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 07-02 03:22 |
| Fuzzy-Peek 0x838c…70da | Yes | +45 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-26 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | +41 | $3 | $6 | 2 | 06-29 20:30 |
| Actual-Characterization 0x4e4f…a849 | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 06-22 14:02 |
| Tepid-Hydrolyze 0xd011…e928 | Yes | +34 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 23:28 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +34 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 05-31 04:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa06…1e0f | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 23:29 |
| Close-Hatred 0x4865…0e90 | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd281…a3c9 | No | +29 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-16 17:26 |
| Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | +27 | $-3 | $7 | 22 | 07-02 04:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x9039…a7fa | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 02:24 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-12 05:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x72cb…98f5 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-28 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-19 18:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xddfd…a0d0 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-28 03:41 |
| Rubbery-Section 0xb557…ef84 | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 15:23 |
| Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 08:52 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 23:29 |
| Original-Physiology-Savannah 0x180a…8c61 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-07 05:11 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 20:56 |
| Irritating-Advice 0x6d9b…a7da | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-31 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xc5d7…9af2 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 20:12 |
| Grounded-Concept 0xa39a…980d | No | +11 | $10 | $30 | 3 | 06-30 00:15 |
| Nimble-Essay 0x81de…20d4 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 23:29 |
| Raw-Contributor 0xc624…ee24 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-22 02:58 |
| Sunny-Halfsister 0x320f…176c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-26 00:04 |
| Prestigious-Pleat 0x0717…a569 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-27 13:08 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $95 | 14 | 06-23 02:47 |
| Utilized-Fire 0xe8bb…6fee | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-26 22:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 04:57:37 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcc5c0… |
| 07-02 04:57:37 | (anonymous) 0xfa6f…39b2 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcc5c0… |
| 07-02 03:22:34 | (anonymous) 0xb679…bd5e | No | BUY | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0x28f069… |
| 07-02 03:22:34 | (anonymous) 0xa340…cac0 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x28f069… |
| 07-02 03:22:34 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x28f069… |
| 07-02 00:10:01 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xed3427… |
| 07-02 00:10:01 | (anonymous) 0xa340…cac0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xed3427… |
| 07-01 16:47:05 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe3a767… |
| 07-01 16:47:05 | Vicious-Patrol 0xbe53…2dba | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe3a767… |
| 07-01 14:44:44 | (anonymous) 0x35e3…57da | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x4864bf… |
| 07-01 14:44:44 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x4864bf… |
| 07-01 09:05:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x47f163… |
| 07-01 09:05:37 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x47f163… |
| 07-01 09:05:37 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x47f163… |
| 07-01 07:27:22 | (anonymous) 0x12c6…e328 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xc24a66… |
| 07-01 07:27:22 | Jaunty-Sandbar 0x0c1e…f5e5 | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xc24a66… |
| 07-01 07:27:22 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xc24a66… |
| 06-30 05:51:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 121 | 97¢ | $118 | 0xb8ddb5… |
| 06-30 05:51:55 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb8ddb5… |
| 06-30 05:51:55 | Merry-Chairman 0xd2cb…7729 | No | SELL | 164 | 97¢ | $159 | 0xb8ddb5… |
| 06-30 05:51:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0xb8ddb5… |
| 06-30 05:20:59 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc7c0d0… |
| 06-30 05:20:59 | (anonymous) 0xfa6f…39b2 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc7c0d0… |
| 06-30 05:20:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xc7c0d0… |
| 06-30 02:15:02 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xba7789… |
| 06-30 02:15:02 | (anonymous) 0x18dd…5c04 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xba7789… |
| 06-30 00:15:44 | Grounded-Concept 0xa39a…980d | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc0e606… |
| 06-30 00:15:44 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc0e606… |
| 06-30 00:15:44 | Plush-Homogenate 0xff12…cdc4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc0e606… |
| 06-29 23:22:53 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x541b84… |
| 06-29 23:22:53 | Vicious-Patrol 0xbe53…2dba | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x541b84… |
| 06-29 23:09:49 | (anonymous) 0xa340…cac0 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf88dff… |
| 06-29 23:09:49 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf88dff… |
| 06-29 23:09:49 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf88dff… |
| 06-29 23:09:49 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf88dff… |
| 06-29 22:23:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0xf46c62… |
| 06-29 22:23:40 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf46c62… |
| 06-29 22:23:40 | (anonymous) 0x8e88…284b | No | BUY | 79 | 97¢ | $76 | 0xf46c62… |
| 06-29 22:04:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x5c307f… |
| 06-29 22:04:31 | Lighthearted-Stick 0x6cc8…6304 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x5c307f… |
| 06-29 20:30:34 | (anonymous) 0xddca…0969 | No | SELL | 101 | 96¢ | $97 | 0xeb8c73… |
| 06-29 20:30:34 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xeb8c73… |
| 06-29 20:30:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 60 | 96¢ | $58 | 0xeb8c73… |
| 06-29 20:30:34 | (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xeb8c73… |
| 06-29 19:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xa340…cac0 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xcd29b5… |
| 06-29 19:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcd29b5… |
| 06-29 19:27:08 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcd29b5… |
| 06-29 18:59:59 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2705ce… |
| 06-29 18:59:59 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2705ce… |
| 06-29 18:59:59 | (anonymous) 0xddca…0969 | No | BUY | 101 | 99¢ | $100 | 0x2705ce… |
| 06-29 18:59:59 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 68 | 99¢ | $67 | 0x2705ce… |
| 06-29 16:28:08 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xa21020… |
| 06-29 16:28:08 | (anonymous) 0x1bbc…58cb | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa21020… |
| 06-29 16:28:04 | (anonymous) 0x1bbc…58cb | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x061b5d… |
| 06-29 16:28:04 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x061b5d… |
| 06-29 12:05:53 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xd7edc9… |
| 06-29 12:05:53 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | BUY | 981 | 95¢ | $932 | 0xd7edc9… |
| 06-29 12:05:53 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | BUY | 1,001 | 5¢ | $50 | 0xd7edc9… |
| 06-29 12:05:49 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | BUY | 1,495 | 3¢ | $50 | 0x8ad2c9… |
| 06-29 12:05:49 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | BUY | 269 | 95¢ | $256 | 0x8ad2c9… |
| 06-29 12:05:49 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 95 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x8ad2c9… |
| 06-29 12:05:49 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 3¢ | $3 | 0x8ad2c9… |
| 06-29 12:05:49 | Striped-Crazy 0x2c79…e0aa | No | BUY | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x8ad2c9… |
| 06-29 12:05:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8ad2c9… |
| 06-29 07:46:04 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x78a472… |
| 06-29 07:46:04 | (anonymous) 0x8118…a1b9 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x78a472… |
| 06-29 07:46:01 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2ad1d2… |
| 06-29 07:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x0529…9106 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x2ad1d2… |
| 06-29 07:46:01 | Tedious-Manatee 0xe632…4f72 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8dd7a6… |
| 06-29 07:46:01 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x8dd7a6… |
| 06-29 07:45:47 | (anonymous) 0x3e3e…eeb7 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x88ab49… |
| 06-29 07:45:47 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x88ab49… |
| 06-29 07:45:16 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x339724… |
| 06-29 07:45:16 | (anonymous) 0xfc2a…3989 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x339724… |
| 06-29 07:45:14 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb2b749… |
| 06-29 07:45:14 | Courageous-Foot 0x9a83…c05b | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1c1adf… |
| 06-29 07:45:14 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x534568… |
| 06-29 07:45:14 | (anonymous) 0x9ebd…7bd6 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb2b749… |
| 06-29 07:45:14 | Specific-Opinion 0x6fe6…d2e9 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x534568… |
| 06-29 07:45:14 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1c1adf… |
| 06-29 07:44:22 | (anonymous) 0xca6a…7b17 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4e1582… |
| 06-29 07:44:22 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x4e1582… |
| 06-29 07:44:04 | (anonymous) 0xd437…b090 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb1a80e… |
| 06-29 07:44:04 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xb1a80e… |
| 06-29 07:43:55 | (anonymous) 0xd49c…5afe | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd0e41d… |
| 06-29 07:43:55 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd0e41d… |
| 06-29 07:43:53 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa05fcd… |
| 06-29 07:43:53 | (anonymous) 0x431c…a486 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xa05fcd… |
| 06-29 07:43:23 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf956cf… |
| 06-29 07:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x4903…cec1 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xf956cf… |
| 06-29 07:43:23 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe2f10e… |
| 06-29 07:43:23 | (anonymous) 0x1e02…105e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xe2f10e… |
| 06-29 07:43:22 | (anonymous) 0xa1bd…74a1 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xea5952… |
| 06-29 07:43:22 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xea5952… |
| 06-29 07:43:22 | (anonymous) 0x7038…d453 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1d8ee8… |
| 06-29 07:43:22 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1d8ee8… |
| 06-29 07:42:52 | Wicked-Bloomer 0xc54d…4d42 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3ce7ad… |
| 06-29 07:42:52 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1a9f21… |
| 06-29 07:42:52 | (anonymous) 0xad1d…f723 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x1a9f21… |
| 06-29 07:42:52 | Fluffy-Toast 0xc327…31f5 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x3ce7ad… |