Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
open
Total volume
$1,358
$2 in 24h
Trades
101
Unique wallets
47
Liquidity
$5,229
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 06-11 18:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.7¢
(top1%: 19% YES on $53
vs crowd: 18% YES on $599)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $14 | — | +$14 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $35 | $89 | $54 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $13 | $101 | $88 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $48 | $299 | $251 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $10 | $43 | $32 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $6 | $1 | +$5 |
| Median | 3 | $9 | $42 | $34 |
| Below median | 9 | $29 | $44 | $15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $100 | $98 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $9 | $3 | +$6 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 18 | $25 | $257 | $232 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merry-Chairman 0xd2cb…7729 | No | +164 | $150 | $150 | 1 | 05-31 03:30 |
| Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 09:29 |
| Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | +100 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-30 19:59 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-30 19:59 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +65 | $9 | $9 | 5 | 06-11 18:20 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +51 | $42 | $42 | 5 | 06-11 17:49 |
| Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | No | +50 | $43 | $43 | 3 | 06-11 17:49 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +43 | $4 | $4 | 6 | 05-31 03:54 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +34 | $31 | $31 | 2 | 05-31 04:06 |
| Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | +27 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-11 18:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-31 03:30 |
| Rubbery-Section 0xb557…ef84 | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 15:23 |
| Original-Physiology-Savannah 0x180a…8c61 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-07 05:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-31 18:57 |
| Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | +11 | $1 | $6 | 3 | 06-11 18:20 |
| Jaunty-Sandbar 0x0c1e…f5e5 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-10 09:48 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Hobbit 0x56e8…a57c | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 18:20 |
| Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-30 19:59 |
| Gregarious-Jiffy 0xf3f6…bc90 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-06 06:10 |
| Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 18:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-29 19:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x7365…61b0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 07:53 |
| Unacceptable-Blackfish 0x2606…b542 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 03:05 |
| Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | +1 | $-0 | $7 | 4 | 06-09 18:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 18:20:52 | Kaleidoscopic-Hobbit 0x56e8…a57c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe160b8… |
| 06-11 18:20:52 | (anonymous) 0x6258…fa6b | No | SELL | 58 | 87¢ | $51 | 0xe160b8… |
| 06-11 18:20:52 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 24 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xe160b8… |
| 06-11 18:20:52 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xe160b8… |
| 06-11 18:20:52 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe160b8… |
| 06-11 18:20:52 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xe160b8… |
| 06-11 18:20:52 | Cluttered-Lieutenant 0xa341…2154 | Yes | SELL | 147 | 12¢ | $18 | 0xe160b8… |
| 06-11 17:49:21 | Cluttered-Lieutenant 0xa341…2154 | Yes | BUY | 147 | 15¢ | $22 | 0x32ea1c… |
| 06-11 17:49:21 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | No | BUY | 25 | 85¢ | $22 | 0x32ea1c… |
| 06-11 17:49:21 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 18 | 85¢ | $15 | 0x32ea1c… |
| 06-11 17:49:21 | (anonymous) 0x99bc…4f35 | Yes | SELL | 104 | 15¢ | $16 | 0x32ea1c… |
| 06-10 18:32:52 | (anonymous) 0x77ec…6f4b | No | SELL | 2 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x539b54… |
| 06-10 18:32:52 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 2 | 84¢ | $1 | 0x539b54… |
| 06-10 10:53:13 | (anonymous) 0x77ec…6f4b | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x96a21f… |
| 06-10 10:53:13 | (anonymous) 0x6258…fa6b | No | SELL | 2 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x96a21f… |
| 06-10 09:48:48 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x721be0… |
| 06-10 09:48:48 | Jaunty-Sandbar 0x0c1e…f5e5 | No | BUY | 10 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x721be0… |
| 06-09 18:58:16 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 3 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xf61ffc… |
| 06-09 18:58:16 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf61ffc… |
| 06-09 18:58:16 | Evergreen-Spray 0x7e7a…5323 | No | SELL | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0xf61ffc… |
| 06-09 17:07:33 | Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | BUY | 17 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xa5b78c… |
| 06-09 17:07:33 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | No | BUY | 17 | 86¢ | $15 | 0xa5b78c… |
| 06-08 07:53:21 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x6150ef… |
| 06-08 07:53:21 | (anonymous) 0x7365…61b0 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x6150ef… |
| 06-08 03:05:45 | Unacceptable-Blackfish 0x2606…b542 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x5ce66c… |
| 06-08 03:05:45 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x5ce66c… |
| 06-07 18:57:34 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x0d64a4… |
| 06-07 18:57:34 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x0d64a4… |
| 06-07 18:57:34 | Courageous-Disadvantage 0x5270…715d | Yes | SELL | 45 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x0d64a4… |
| 06-07 18:57:34 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x0d64a4… |
| 06-07 15:23:52 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 10 | 83¢ | $8 | 0xd47780… |
| 06-07 15:23:52 | Rubbery-Section 0xb557…ef84 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xd47780… |
| 06-07 15:23:52 | Sane-Symbol 0x347b…c9bc | No | BUY | 8 | 83¢ | $6 | 0xd47780… |
| 06-07 05:11:01 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x46bd31… |
| 06-07 05:11:01 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x46bd31… |
| 06-07 05:11:01 | Original-Physiology-Savannah 0x180a…8c61 | No | BUY | 15 | 88¢ | $13 | 0x46bd31… |
| 06-06 06:10:16 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 3 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xf8ea66… |
| 06-06 06:10:16 | Gregarious-Jiffy 0xf3f6…bc90 | No | BUY | 3 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xf8ea66… |
| 05-31 18:57:56 | Worrisome-Fresco 0x1b2a…705f | No | SELL | 2 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x190301… |
| 05-31 18:57:56 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x190301… |
| 05-31 14:01:43 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 23 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x50377a… |
| 05-31 14:01:43 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x50377a… |
| 05-31 14:01:43 | Courageous-Disadvantage 0x5270…715d | Yes | BUY | 45 | 11¢ | $5 | 0x50377a… |
| 05-31 09:29:58 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | SELL | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x0ae9fa… |
| 05-31 09:29:58 | Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | BUY | 110 | 91¢ | $100 | 0x0ae9fa… |
| 05-31 09:29:58 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 28 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x0ae9fa… |
| 05-31 09:29:58 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | SELL | 37 | 91¢ | $33 | 0x0ae9fa… |
| 05-31 09:29:58 | Babyish-Starboard 0xaaf7…2e27 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x0ae9fa… |
| 05-31 08:55:38 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xc5ad54… |
| 05-31 08:55:38 | Joint-Tracksuit 0x53bd…8ab8 | No | SELL | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xc5ad54… |
| 05-31 04:06:48 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | SELL | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0xb2e902… |
| 05-31 04:06:48 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 33 | 91¢ | $30 | 0xb2e902… |
| 05-31 03:54:47 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x3245ed… |
| 05-31 03:54:47 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x3245ed… |
| 05-31 03:54:47 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x3245ed… |
| 05-31 03:54:44 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xf512cf… |
| 05-31 03:54:44 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf512cf… |
| 05-31 03:54:44 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | SELL | 61 | 9¢ | $6 | 0xf512cf… |
| 05-31 03:30:01 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa13140… |
| 05-31 03:30:01 | Merry-Chairman 0xd2cb…7729 | No | BUY | 164 | 91¢ | $150 | 0xa13140… |
| 05-31 03:30:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xa13140… |
| 05-31 03:30:01 | Essential-Diarist 0x0a7a…df1b | Yes | BUY | 72 | 8¢ | $6 | 0xa13140… |
| 05-31 03:30:01 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xa13140… |
| 05-30 19:59:15 | Filthy-Octopus 0xc318…1adb | No | SELL | 9 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x8382c9… |
| 05-30 19:59:15 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 9 | 83¢ | $8 | 0x8382c9… |
| 05-30 19:59:13 | Enchanting-Texture 0x71ab…f015 | No | SELL | 227 | 88¢ | $200 | 0x3e06ab… |
| 05-30 19:59:13 | Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | SELL | 50 | 87¢ | $44 | 0x3e06ab… |
| 05-30 19:59:13 | Unsung-Ginseng 0xbb51…1a2c | No | SELL | 35 | 87¢ | $30 | 0x3e06ab… |
| 05-30 19:59:13 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x3e06ab… |
| 05-30 19:59:13 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | SELL | 600 | 11¢ | $65 | 0x3e06ab… |
| 05-30 19:59:13 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x3e06ab… |
| 05-30 19:59:13 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x3e06ab… |
| 05-30 19:59:13 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3e06ab… |
| 05-30 19:21:32 | Baggy-Square 0x9b8b…713b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6d39e9… |
| 05-30 19:21:32 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6d39e9… |
| 05-29 19:04:26 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xe573a7… |
| 05-29 19:04:26 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xe573a7… |
| 05-29 17:33:59 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x3a6b71… |
| 05-29 17:33:59 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | SELL | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x3a6b71… |
| 05-29 17:33:59 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | No | SELL | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0x3a6b71… |
| 05-29 17:33:10 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | SELL | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x3cd3af… |
| 05-29 17:33:10 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x3cd3af… |
| 05-29 17:33:10 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | No | SELL | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x3cd3af… |
| 05-29 17:31:11 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0x6178e9… |
| 05-29 17:31:11 | (anonymous) 0xb02c…ced9 | No | BUY | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0x6178e9… |
| 05-29 17:31:11 | Keen-Hate 0xcfaf…b9ea | No | BUY | 30 | 80¢ | $24 | 0xa82f3f… |
| 05-29 17:31:11 | (anonymous) 0x495a…f3a7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 20¢ | $6 | 0xa82f3f… |
| 05-29 17:30:26 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x8efe2d… |
| 05-29 17:30:26 | Decent-Deployment 0x643a…522a | No | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0x8efe2d… |
| 05-29 17:30:24 | Webbed-Machine 0xb528…9f54 | No | BUY | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0xc10aed… |
| 05-29 17:30:24 | Guilty-Science 0x6d13…e682 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xc10aed… |
| 05-28 21:05:41 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 13 | 81¢ | $11 | 0x07430c… |
| 05-28 21:05:41 | Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x07430c… |
| 05-28 20:55:39 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 7 | 77¢ | $6 | 0xe5ac33… |
| 05-28 20:55:39 | Broken-Doing 0x3b30…100f | No | SELL | 7 | 77¢ | $6 | 0xe5ac33… |
| 05-27 21:29:55 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xc18c4e… |
| 05-27 21:29:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x682029… |
| 05-27 21:29:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xb1acfe… |
| 05-27 21:29:55 | Portly-Begonia 0x645a…fd84 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x682029… |
| 05-27 21:29:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0xc18c4e… |