Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?
open
Total volume
$16,581
$2 in 24h
Trades
604
Unique wallets
207
Liquidity
$5,229
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-04 15:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+77.9¢
(top1%: 84% YES on $271
vs crowd: 6% YES on $11.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $347 | $2.7K | $2.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 25 | $146 | $833 | $687 |
| 🐟 Fish | 40 | $53 | $4.0K | $3.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 126 | $186 | $3.2K | $3.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $229 | $43 | +$186 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 17 | $98 | $2.4K | $2.3K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 10 | $8 | $171 | $163 |
| Median | 25 | $32 | $335 | $303 |
| Below median | 35 | $80 | $66 | +$14 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $38 | $184 | $146 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 12 | $83 | $410 | $327 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $14 | $283 | $270 |
| unranked | 90 | $150 | $6.8K | $6.7K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ready-Progression 0xa9ac…c5d1 | Yes | +2,838 | $132 | $326 | 19 | 06-29 12:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x6960…56e2 | No | +2,111 | $2,109 | $2,109 | 10 | 07-04 15:09 |
| Fake-Polyester 0x2525…b919 | No | +1,390 | $1,213 | $1,213 | 35 | 06-16 01:33 |
| Eager-Cough 0x66ca…8078 | No | +928 | $927 | $927 | 1 | 07-04 15:14 |
| Original-Physiology-Savannah 0x180a…8c61 | No | +515 | $513 | $513 | 2 | 07-04 13:59 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle 0x1ee9…197f | Yes | +400 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-21 16:34 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +377 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 06-21 16:34 |
| Sociable-Rooster 0x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | +313 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 06-19 18:28 |
| Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | +309 | $-3 | $8 | 56 | 07-04 15:09 |
| Modern-Malice 0x9bae…5d34 | Yes | +299 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 06-14 18:18 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | +255 | $24 | $24 | 21 | 07-04 03:04 |
| Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | +250 | $250 | $250 | 1 | 07-04 13:13 |
| Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | +246 | $215 | $215 | 21 | 07-02 03:22 |
| Velvety-Pantsuit 0x02ab…cda4 | Yes | +225 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 06-26 22:39 |
| Striped-Crazy 0x2c79…e0aa | No | +200 | $194 | $194 | 2 | 06-29 12:05 |
| Square-Trust 0xefdd…8370 | No | +178 | $160 | $594 | 12 | 06-23 16:30 |
| Purple-Erosion 0xe5bd…f03e | Yes | +151 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-04 14:49 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +141 | $137 | $137 | 2 | 06-30 05:51 |
| Sparkling-Self 0xf257…3ed5 | No | +110 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-31 09:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa340…cac0 | Yes | +106 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 07-02 03:22 |
| Accomplished-Property 0x7b84…a13e | No | +102 | $101 | $101 | 1 | 07-04 03:04 |
| Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | No | +99 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 07-04 14:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x81b2…2e06 | Yes | +93 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 11:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9883…1d31 | Yes | +88 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-15 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x8e88…284b | No | +79 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 06-29 22:23 |
| Valuable-Browser 0x2759…62a9 | Yes | +79 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-14 05:59 |
| Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | +73 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-04 15:09 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e9e…ba71 | Yes | +65 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-15 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xbff0…f21d | Yes | +62 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 06-14 06:03 |
| Untimely-Mood 0x0711…f03c | Yes | +57 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 06-14 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x12c6…e328 | No | +55 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 07-01 07:27 |
| Biodegradable-Veto 0x0388…6f05 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 06-25 11:17 |
| Proud-Homework 0x9e45…3662 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-14 10:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x48c3…04e9 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-26 22:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xb679…bd5e | No | +46 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 07-02 03:22 |
| Fuzzy-Peek 0x838c…70da | Yes | +45 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-26 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | +41 | $3 | $6 | 2 | 06-29 20:30 |
| Actual-Characterization 0x4e4f…a849 | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 06-22 14:02 |
| Tepid-Hydrolyze 0xd011…e928 | Yes | +34 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 23:28 |
| Close-Hatred 0x4865…0e90 | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 23:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa06…1e0f | Yes | +33 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 23:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd281…a3c9 | No | +29 | $25 | $25 | 3 | 06-16 17:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x9039…a7fa | Yes | +27 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 02:24 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 06-12 05:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x72cb…98f5 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 06-28 23:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x28b8…5e00 | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-19 18:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xddfd…a0d0 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-28 03:41 |
| Rubbery-Section 0xb557…ef84 | Yes | +18 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-07 15:23 |
| Splendid-Progression 0xf13f…31cb | Yes | +16 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-25 08:52 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-15 23:29 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-13 20:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | +14 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-04 13:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-31 18:57 |
| Raw-Contributor 0xc624…ee24 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-22 02:58 |
| Sunny-Halfsister 0x320f…176c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-26 00:04 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +10 | $8 | $95 | 14 | 06-23 02:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 15:14:38 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | SELL | 928 | 100¢ | $927 | 0xb2c6bc… |
| 07-04 15:14:38 | Eager-Cough 0x66ca…8078 | No | BUY | 928 | 100¢ | $927 | 0xb2c6bc… |
| 07-04 15:09:07 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x95f95f… |
| 07-04 15:09:07 | (anonymous) 0x6960…56e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x95f95f… |
| 07-04 15:09:07 | Subdued-Pasta 0xe397…bfcb | Yes | BUY | 73 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x95f95f… |
| 07-04 14:49:31 | Triangular-Genre 0xca12…ea03 | No | BUY | 99 | 100¢ | $99 | 0xfb2700… |
| 07-04 14:49:31 | Purple-Erosion 0xe5bd…f03e | Yes | BUY | 99 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfb2700… |
| 07-04 14:48:34 | (anonymous) 0x6960…56e2 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x507a75… |
| 07-04 14:48:34 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x507a75… |
| 07-04 14:48:34 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x507a75… |
| 07-04 14:48:34 | Purple-Erosion 0xe5bd…f03e | Yes | BUY | 52 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x507a75… |
| 07-04 14:48:34 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x507a75… |
| 07-04 13:59:17 | Original-Physiology-Savannah 0x180a…8c61 | No | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xddcbcb… |
| 07-04 13:59:17 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | SELL | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0xddcbcb… |
| 07-04 13:22:23 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xf7b795… |
| 07-04 13:22:23 | Multicolored-Series 0x0a4b…db51 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf7b795… |
| 07-04 13:14:08 | Grounded-Concept 0xa39a…980d | No | SELL | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xeccb9a… |
| 07-04 13:14:08 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeccb9a… |
| 07-04 13:14:08 | (anonymous) 0x6960…56e2 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xeccb9a… |
| 07-04 13:13:41 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | SELL | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x9efa37… |
| 07-04 13:13:41 | Sudden-Snowstorm 0xd25b…9f3d | No | BUY | 250 | 100¢ | $250 | 0x9efa37… |
| 07-04 13:12:32 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | SELL | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xdf5515… |
| 07-04 13:12:32 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x88912f… |
| 07-04 13:12:32 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x88912f… |
| 07-04 13:12:32 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf5515… |
| 07-04 13:12:05 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x382c8d… |
| 07-04 13:12:05 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x382c8d… |
| 07-04 13:12:05 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x382c8d… |
| 07-04 13:12:05 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | SELL | 1,588 | 100¢ | $1,586 | 0x382c8d… |
| 07-04 13:12:05 | (anonymous) 0x6960…56e2 | No | BUY | 1,750 | 100¢ | $1,748 | 0x382c8d… |
| 07-04 13:12:05 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x382c8d… |
| 07-04 13:12:05 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x382c8d… |
| 07-04 13:11:44 | (anonymous) 0x6960…56e2 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x4d8070… |
| 07-04 13:11:44 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d8070… |
| 07-04 13:11:37 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | SELL | 34 | 100¢ | $33 | 0x788a0b… |
| 07-04 13:11:37 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x788a0b… |
| 07-04 13:11:37 | (anonymous) 0x6960…56e2 | No | BUY | 306 | 100¢ | $305 | 0x788a0b… |
| 07-04 08:02:46 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75a24e… |
| 07-04 08:02:46 | Irritating-Advice 0x6d9b…a7da | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75a24e… |
| 07-04 03:04:13 | Accomplished-Property 0x7b84…a13e | No | BUY | 102 | 99¢ | $101 | 0x9715f3… |
| 07-04 03:04:13 | (anonymous) 0xecf2…c477 | No | SELL | 38 | 98¢ | $37 | 0x9715f3… |
| 07-04 03:04:13 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9715f3… |
| 07-04 03:04:13 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9715f3… |
| 07-03 19:28:29 | Academic-Forecast 0x0314…2f6d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8e681b… |
| 07-03 19:28:29 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8e681b… |
| 07-03 15:03:20 | Prestigious-Pleat 0x0717…a569 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xd64cae… |
| 07-03 15:03:20 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd64cae… |
| 07-03 14:44:25 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7855cb… |
| 07-03 14:44:25 | (anonymous) 0xecf2…c477 | No | SELL | 13 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x7855cb… |
| 07-03 10:01:58 | (anonymous) 0x9875…e68f | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xaffc01… |
| 07-03 10:01:58 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaffc01… |
| 07-03 07:09:23 | Annual-Beach 0x9797…2532 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe66800… |
| 07-03 07:09:23 | (anonymous) 0xc5d7…9af2 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe66800… |
| 07-02 04:57:37 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcc5c0… |
| 07-02 04:57:37 | (anonymous) 0xfa6f…39b2 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbcc5c0… |
| 07-02 03:22:34 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x28f069… |
| 07-02 03:22:34 | (anonymous) 0xb679…bd5e | No | BUY | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0x28f069… |
| 07-02 03:22:34 | (anonymous) 0xa340…cac0 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x28f069… |
| 07-02 00:10:01 | (anonymous) 0xa340…cac0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xed3427… |
| 07-02 00:10:01 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0xed3427… |
| 07-01 16:47:05 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe3a767… |
| 07-01 16:47:05 | Vicious-Patrol 0xbe53…2dba | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xe3a767… |
| 07-01 14:44:44 | (anonymous) 0x35e3…57da | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x4864bf… |
| 07-01 14:44:44 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x4864bf… |
| 07-01 09:05:37 | (anonymous) 0xe17d…7c1a | No | BUY | 53 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x47f163… |
| 07-01 09:05:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 36 | 98¢ | $35 | 0x47f163… |
| 07-01 09:05:37 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x47f163… |
| 07-01 07:27:22 | (anonymous) 0x12c6…e328 | No | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xc24a66… |
| 07-01 07:27:22 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xc24a66… |
| 07-01 07:27:22 | Jaunty-Sandbar 0x0c1e…f5e5 | No | SELL | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0xc24a66… |
| 06-30 05:51:55 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 121 | 97¢ | $118 | 0xb8ddb5… |
| 06-30 05:51:55 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xb8ddb5… |
| 06-30 05:51:55 | Merry-Chairman 0xd2cb…7729 | No | SELL | 164 | 97¢ | $159 | 0xb8ddb5… |
| 06-30 05:51:55 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 36 | 97¢ | $35 | 0xb8ddb5… |
| 06-30 05:20:59 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc7c0d0… |
| 06-30 05:20:59 | (anonymous) 0xfa6f…39b2 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xc7c0d0… |
| 06-30 05:20:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xc7c0d0… |
| 06-30 02:15:02 | (anonymous) 0x18dd…5c04 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xba7789… |
| 06-30 02:15:02 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xba7789… |
| 06-30 00:15:44 | Grounded-Concept 0xa39a…980d | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc0e606… |
| 06-30 00:15:44 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc0e606… |
| 06-30 00:15:44 | Plush-Homogenate 0xff12…cdc4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc0e606… |
| 06-29 23:22:53 | Vicious-Patrol 0xbe53…2dba | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x541b84… |
| 06-29 23:22:53 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x541b84… |
| 06-29 23:09:49 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf88dff… |
| 06-29 23:09:49 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf88dff… |
| 06-29 23:09:49 | (anonymous) 0xa340…cac0 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf88dff… |
| 06-29 23:09:49 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf88dff… |
| 06-29 22:23:40 | Unsightly-Dialogue 0xbcc2…8c9a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xf46c62… |
| 06-29 22:23:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0xf46c62… |
| 06-29 22:23:40 | (anonymous) 0x8e88…284b | No | BUY | 79 | 97¢ | $76 | 0xf46c62… |
| 06-29 22:04:31 | Lighthearted-Stick 0x6cc8…6304 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x5c307f… |
| 06-29 22:04:31 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x5c307f… |
| 06-29 20:30:34 | (anonymous) 0xddca…0969 | No | SELL | 101 | 96¢ | $97 | 0xeb8c73… |
| 06-29 20:30:34 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 60 | 96¢ | $58 | 0xeb8c73… |
| 06-29 20:30:34 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xeb8c73… |
| 06-29 20:30:34 | (anonymous) 0x5695…002b | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xeb8c73… |
| 06-29 19:27:08 | Those-Shame 0xce30…3760 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcd29b5… |
| 06-29 19:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcd29b5… |
| 06-29 19:27:08 | (anonymous) 0xa340…cac0 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xcd29b5… |