Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

Trades

171

lifetime

Volume

$3.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$50

7 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 07-31 03:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Other

47% 87% +$92

Tech

30% 86% +$20

Crypto

20% 46% -$16

Politics

2% 50% -$2

Sports

1% 33% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	+11	$10	94¢	$10	+$0	07-19 12:05
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+11	$10	90¢	$10	$0	07-19 12:03
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$10	91¢	$10	$0	07-19 12:07
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	+10	$9	94¢	$9	+$0	07-14 03:58
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	+11	$10	46¢	$5	-$5	07-19 12:14
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	+14	$10	26¢	$4	-$6	07-19 12:06
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	+10	$4	20¢	$2	-$2	07-20 02:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tariffs generate 250b in 2025	15	$578	305	280	+25	No	$0	02-11 09:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?	1	$300	309	0	+309	No	+$9	06-03 02:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	1	$300	303	0	+303	Yes	+$3	06-03 01:59
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$203	104	104	+0	No	+$3	06-25 07:57
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	1	$200	204	0	+204	No	+$4	06-12 04:09
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	4	$199	106	106	+0	No	+$10	07-21 04:04
solana above 120 on march 5	4	$175	90	90	+0	No	-$3	02-27 02:22
xrp above 1pt9 on march 5	4	$135	70	70	+0	No	-$3	02-27 02:23
will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	5	$124	189	0	+189	Yes	+$65	07-23 07:40
solana above 110 on march 5	3	$116	60	60	+0	No	-$1	02-27 02:23
solana above 100 on march 5	3	$74	40	40	+0	No	-$2	02-27 02:23
will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	7	$51	48	4	+44	Yes	+$2	02-27 03:58
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	06-20 12:39
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	2	$44	24	24	+0	Yes	+$4	07-19 07:58
will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	7	$44	46	0	+46	No	+$2	02-25 02:41
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$43	45	0	+45	No	+$2	02-25 02:41
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$42	43	0	+43	No	+$1	02-25 06:41
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	8	$37	39	0	+39	No	+$1	02-25 02:41
will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	2	$36	20	20	+0	Yes	+$4	07-19 11:58
solana above 60 on march 5	1	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	02-27 03:10
will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on march 11	4	$19	21	21	+0	Yes	-$1	03-09 13:39
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	2	$19	11	11	+0	No	-$1	07-21 04:04
will viktor hovland win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	02-23 14:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	4	$17	9	9	+0	No	+$0	04-07 16:12
bitcoin above 70k on march 11	3	$16	14	14	+0	Yes	-$4	03-10 13:57
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	07-31 03:41
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$15	8	8	+0	No	+$0	03-15 01:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	2	$13	7	7	+0	No	+$0	04-07 16:12
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	06-30 02:15
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	07-19 12:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 03:41:18	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x4671f5…
07-30 11:42:00	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x09df1f…
07-23 07:40:03	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	29	58¢	$17	0x1e3fa3…
07-21 04:04:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xb3c37a…
07-21 04:04:07	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x47cf78…
07-20 02:47:28	will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb3d980…
07-20 02:47:19	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xc422b9…
07-19 12:15:36	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x765fef…
07-19 12:14:01	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x74a49a…
07-19 12:13:12	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8bb748…
07-19 12:07:27	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x906af2…
07-19 12:06:40	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd165b6…
07-19 12:05:10	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xc0a3ee…
07-19 12:03:57	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x215973…
07-19 11:58:06	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x5b8b7e…
07-19 08:02:12	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x157192…
07-19 08:01:19	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x1ca2bd…
07-19 07:59:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xad82a2…
07-19 07:58:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	98¢	$24	0x026695…
07-14 03:58:41	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1fe1b8…
07-14 03:58:04	will a chinese company have one of the top 10 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x6d2613…
07-14 03:58:02	will a chinese company have one of the top 5 ai models by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x90862f…
06-30 02:15:56	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0xce2df1…
06-30 02:15:02	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xba7789…
06-25 07:58:40	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x3abbf5…
06-25 07:57:59	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$103	0x5be210…
06-21 17:30:40	Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdbeda8…
06-21 01:17:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x035c45…
06-21 01:13:50	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 20	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xedb6b9…
06-21 01:13:40	will bitcoin dip to 63k on june 20	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0706dc…
06-20 15:46:41	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8de096…
06-20 15:46:13	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x34ef4e…
06-20 15:22:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe5fa8f…
06-20 12:39:11	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xc7795e…
06-20 12:37:49	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xe91d53…
06-20 12:37:43	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x25b618…
06-20 12:37:28	Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x9dd1e1…
06-20 12:36:49	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x0388d6…
06-20 12:35:35	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6f1ae7…
06-12 04:09:04	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xfc09d0…
06-03 02:06:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x1ca100…
06-03 01:59:38	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xa946e1…
04-07 16:12:11	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x053831…
04-07 16:12:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xb08fb6…
03-22 00:50:17	xrp above 1pt5 on march 22	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xfdd78b…
03-16 18:44:21	xrp above 1pt5 on march 22	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xfaefc5…
03-16 16:34:31	bitcoin above 70k on march 23	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x889867…
03-16 14:32:23	ethereum above 2400 on march 22	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x6ddb88…
03-16 03:58:05	solana above 90 on march 22	Yes	BUY	4	67¢	$2	0x279b86…
03-15 01:53:31	Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x29b5cf…
03-14 09:54:39	will iran strike syria in march	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x37a49f…
03-13 16:27:05	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 18	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xf21549…
03-13 15:54:17	xrp above 1pt5 on march 18	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xad6fdd…
03-13 10:37:09	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 18	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd5aaec…
03-13 09:17:37	xrp above 1pt4 on march 16	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x4461dd…
03-12 16:48:41	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 18	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb93ea…
03-11 21:19:25	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on march 16	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe15e46…
03-11 17:26:07	xrp above 1pt4 on march 16	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd44315…
03-11 17:22:01	xrp above 1pt4 on march 16	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd2ad83…
03-11 13:43:49	bitcoin above 70k on march 14	No	SELL	9	38¢	$3	0x92e738…
03-11 12:23:07	bitcoin above 70k on march 14	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1d365d…
03-10 14:54:41	will the price of solana be between 80 90 on march 12	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x02579b…
03-10 13:57:01	bitcoin above 70k on march 11	No	SELL	14	47¢	$6	0x2b9c51…
03-09 13:39:51	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on march 11	Yes	SELL	10	44¢	$5	0x13723d…
03-09 13:31:43	ethereum above 2100 on march 11	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0x85034c…
03-09 13:30:51	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on march 11	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4ed6c1…
03-09 13:25:55	ethereum above 2100 on march 11	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2f80de…
03-09 10:09:13	bitcoin above 70k on march 11	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5658f0…
03-09 10:05:49	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on march 11	Yes	SELL	11	43¢	$5	0x22f27d…
03-09 10:03:07	will the price of xrp be between 1pt30 1pt40 on march 11	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9efd13…
03-09 10:01:51	bitcoin above 70k on march 11	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1957d1…
03-09 09:21:21	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	No	SELL	1	56¢	$1	0xf8dbf0…
03-09 09:21:17	will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	No	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0xb4daaf…
03-09 09:21:13	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x93a5ed…
03-09 09:21:09	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x692275…
03-09 09:21:03	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0xdfcaa8…
03-09 02:56:05	will the price of solana be between 80 90 on march 11	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb87788…
03-09 01:44:43	will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xb4ac1f…
03-05 15:59:55	will the reserve bank of australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the march meeting	No	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xf3365e…
03-04 10:19:09	will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x32ac64…
03-04 03:01:45	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x5f54fd…
03-04 02:50:53	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x55aaca…
03-04 02:24:57	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x662d2b…
03-03 16:36:51	bun mai stu 2026 03 07 stu	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x96f551…
03-03 15:29:35	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0xc98d17…
03-03 15:17:01	fl1 tou olm 2026 03 07 olm	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd9b0a5…
03-03 14:38:35	will iran strike syria in march	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe35933…
03-03 14:06:59	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x682f7e…
02-27 03:58:50	will the us collect less than 100b in revenue in 2025	Yes	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x75a46a…
02-27 03:10:18	solana above 60 on march 5	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x2ddcb3…
02-27 02:23:20	solana above 100 on march 5	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x6394af…
02-27 02:23:18	solana above 110 on march 5	No	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x7c9459…
02-27 02:23:14	xrp above 1pt9 on march 5	No	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0xe1fbdb…
02-27 02:22:50	solana above 120 on march 5	No	SELL	90	96¢	$86	0xff22a1…
02-27 00:53:16	solana above 120 on march 5	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x895161…
02-27 00:53:10	xrp above 1pt9 on march 5	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xa27d0a…
02-27 00:30:24	xrp above 1pt9 on march 5	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd13887…
02-27 00:29:46	xrp above 1pt9 on march 5	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x6f5ea2…
02-27 00:20:12	solana above 100 on march 5	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x0eb3cf…
02-27 00:19:50	solana above 100 on march 5	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x68d548…