Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
open
Total volume
$964
Trades
140
Unique wallets
53
Liquidity
$9,262
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-20 09:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | $70 | $70 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $11 | $12 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $5 | $143 | $138 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $27 | $269 | $242 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $5 | $63 | $59 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $7 | $94 | $87 |
| Median | 6 | — | $46 | $46 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $48 | $48 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 27 | $27 | $231 | $204 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | +90 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 07-14 11:54 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +74 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 07-14 11:54 |
| Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | +73 | $68 | $68 | 3 | 07-15 11:54 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +53 | $2 | $4 | 7 | 07-20 09:28 |
| Easy-Going-Reef 0xbfe6…16f6 | No | +46 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-31 08:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x84fe…1222 | No | +44 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 07-02 18:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x213c…92ee | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 4 | 07-17 13:11 |
| Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | +36 | $-2 | $15 | 32 | 07-19 16:34 |
| Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-04 16:35 |
| Tired-Exterior 0x42aa…7d26 | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-13 18:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x290d…dc40 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-12 00:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x63dc…6839 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | +14 | $0 | $1 | 5 | 07-10 07:29 |
| Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-15 11:54 |
| Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-10 07:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-09 11:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x18dd…5c04 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 06-21 17:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 07-09 11:51 |
| Limited-Hub 0xb44b…3fdb | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-19 19:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x84d3…3805 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-17 12:26 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 11:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-17 12:26 |
| Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | +5 | $0 | $4 | 9 | 07-15 18:51 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +4 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 07-17 12:26 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-09 11:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a3f…83f6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-27 09:11 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 09:28:51 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc0d54b… |
| 07-20 09:28:51 | (anonymous) 0x9939…7ebe | Yes | SELL | 0 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xc0d54b… |
| 07-20 09:28:03 | (anonymous) 0x9939…7ebe | Yes | SELL | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3bdd7a… |
| 07-20 09:28:03 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 18 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3bdd7a… |
| 07-19 16:34:55 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xbbd94e… |
| 07-19 16:34:55 | (anonymous) 0x63dc…6839 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xbbd94e… |
| 07-19 16:34:55 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xbbd94e… |
| 07-17 13:11:52 | (anonymous) 0x213c…92ee | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x2b31b8… |
| 07-17 13:11:52 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2b31b8… |
| 07-17 13:11:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xaeaef3… |
| 07-17 13:11:43 | (anonymous) 0x213c…92ee | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xaeaef3… |
| 07-17 13:11:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x9ccbcb… |
| 07-17 13:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x213c…92ee | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x9ccbcb… |
| 07-17 13:11:06 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xbc4552… |
| 07-17 13:11:06 | (anonymous) 0x213c…92ee | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xbc4552… |
| 07-17 12:26:00 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x497bc3… |
| 07-17 12:26:00 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x497bc3… |
| 07-17 12:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x497bc3… |
| 07-17 12:26:00 | Wee-Convenience 0xca37…a2ae | No | SELL | 68 | 92¢ | $63 | 0x497bc3… |
| 07-17 12:26:00 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x497bc3… |
| 07-17 12:26:00 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x497bc3… |
| 07-15 18:51:07 | (anonymous) 0xf6f6…1bbf | Yes | SELL | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa70675… |
| 07-15 18:51:07 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa70675… |
| 07-15 18:51:07 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa70675… |
| 07-15 11:54:05 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xc7239c… |
| 07-15 11:54:05 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc7239c… |
| 07-15 11:53:55 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x7895fd… |
| 07-15 11:53:55 | Defenseless-Eyebrow 0xe50c…d88c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x7895fd… |
| 07-14 11:54:05 | Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x389a0e… |
| 07-14 11:54:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 74 | 86¢ | $63 | 0x389a0e… |
| 07-14 11:54:05 | (anonymous) 0x961f…0549 | No | SELL | 74 | 86¢ | $64 | 0x389a0e… |
| 07-14 11:53:40 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x809c5a… |
| 07-14 11:53:40 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x809c5a… |
| 07-14 11:53:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x809c5a… |
| 07-14 11:53:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x809c5a… |
| 07-14 11:53:40 | (anonymous) 0x961f…0549 | No | BUY | 74 | 93¢ | $69 | 0x809c5a… |
| 07-13 18:48:40 | Tired-Exterior 0x42aa…7d26 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x146ca1… |
| 07-13 18:48:40 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x146ca1… |
| 07-13 02:32:59 | Bulky-Suit 0x30df…beef | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xdb89c3… |
| 07-13 02:32:59 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xdb89c3… |
| 07-12 15:54:29 | (anonymous) 0xdab9…48b4 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8d1e5a… |
| 07-12 15:54:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x8d1e5a… |
| 07-12 15:54:29 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8d1e5a… |
| 07-12 15:54:07 | (anonymous) 0xdab9…48b4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe08081… |
| 07-12 15:54:07 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe08081… |
| 07-12 15:54:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 0 | 88¢ | $0 | 0xe08081… |
| 07-12 09:13:22 | Bulky-Suit 0x30df…beef | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1056e8… |
| 07-12 09:13:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x1056e8… |
| 07-12 01:53:58 | (anonymous) 0x2c62…7d8c | No | SELL | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x9e1b8d… |
| 07-12 01:53:58 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x9e1b8d… |
| 07-12 00:01:40 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdae0d4… |
| 07-12 00:01:40 | (anonymous) 0xf8fb…1974 | No | SELL | 35 | 88¢ | $31 | 0xdae0d4… |
| 07-12 00:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x290d…dc40 | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xdae0d4… |
| 07-12 00:01:40 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdae0d4… |
| 07-12 00:01:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xc5da2f… |
| 07-12 00:01:14 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xc5da2f… |
| 07-12 00:01:14 | (anonymous) 0xf8fb…1974 | No | BUY | 35 | 92¢ | $32 | 0xc5da2f… |
| 07-10 20:48:46 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x5f7337… |
| 07-10 20:48:46 | (anonymous) 0x29a8…8a06 | No | SELL | 21 | 86¢ | $18 | 0x5f7337… |
| 07-10 20:48:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x5f7337… |
| 07-10 20:48:32 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdf85d7… |
| 07-10 20:48:32 | (anonymous) 0x29a8…8a06 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xdf85d7… |
| 07-10 20:46:17 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xd7f36c… |
| 07-10 20:46:17 | (anonymous) 0x29a8…8a06 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xd7f36c… |
| 07-10 20:45:55 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4132bd… |
| 07-10 20:45:55 | (anonymous) 0x29a8…8a06 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x4132bd… |
| 07-10 07:30:10 | (anonymous) 0x6813…1701 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x183c9c… |
| 07-10 07:30:10 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x183c9c… |
| 07-10 07:29:58 | Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | BUY | 4 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x166974… |
| 07-10 07:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x6813…1701 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x166974… |
| 07-10 07:29:58 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | SELL | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x166974… |
| 07-09 11:51:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xc15d50… |
| 07-09 11:51:22 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xc15d50… |
| 07-09 11:51:22 | (anonymous) 0xff02…056d | No | SELL | 13 | 88¢ | $11 | 0xc15d50… |
| 07-09 11:51:04 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd7226c… |
| 07-09 11:51:04 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xd7226c… |
| 07-09 11:51:04 | (anonymous) 0xff02…056d | No | BUY | 13 | 95¢ | $12 | 0xd7226c… |
| 07-09 07:50:35 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x1c9334… |
| 07-09 07:50:35 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1c9334… |
| 07-09 07:50:35 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x1c9334… |
| 07-09 06:10:53 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0fd83c… |
| 07-09 06:10:53 | Homely-Trek 0x4262…358e | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x0fd83c… |
| 07-06 19:15:40 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6f4484… |
| 07-06 19:15:40 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6f4484… |
| 07-05 19:34:29 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x2c222c… |
| 07-05 19:34:29 | Uneven-Hearing 0xaa66…73a8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0x2c222c… |
| 07-05 19:34:29 | Unripe-Persimmon 0xa271…2727 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2c222c… |
| 07-05 19:34:29 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x2c222c… |
| 07-05 19:34:29 | Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x2c222c… |
| 07-05 18:18:29 | Irresponsible-Bibliography 0xd4b8…7bf1 | No | BUY | 63 | 92¢ | $58 | 0xe203ca… |
| 07-05 18:18:29 | Easy-Going-Urgency 0x5588…f061 | Yes | BUY | 63 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xe203ca… |
| 07-04 16:35:22 | Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | BUY | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0x187028… |
| 07-04 16:35:22 | (anonymous) 0x9939…7ebe | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x187028… |
| 07-04 16:35:22 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x187028… |
| 07-04 16:35:22 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x187028… |
| 07-03 00:58:55 | (anonymous) 0xc38f…1638 | No | SELL | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0xb06491… |
| 07-03 00:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xb06491… |
| 07-03 00:58:55 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb06491… |
| 07-03 00:51:13 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x6a3b09… |
| 07-03 00:51:13 | Uneven-Hearing 0xaa66…73a8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x6a3b09… |