Realized P&L
+$263
Unrealized P&L
-$91
Hit rate
81.9%
Resolved
29
Trades
29,522
lifetime
Volume
$192.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.27K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 18:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
37% 67% +$32
Crypto
35%
Sports
15% 71% +$336
Politics
13% 78% $-106
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 548 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No -165 $-142 88¢ $-145 $-3 07-20 18:32
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? No -383 $-144 35¢ $-135 +$9 07-20 18:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -175 $-87 68¢ $-118 $-31 07-20 18:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -180 $-95 55¢ $-98 $-3 07-20 18:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -115 $-74 78¢ $-90 $-16 07-20 18:33
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -100 $-81 86¢ $-86 $-6 05-29 19:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -100 $-67 78¢ $-78 $-11 05-29 19:27
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-68 74¢ $-74 $-6 05-29 19:22
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -100 $-66 68¢ $-68 $-2 07-20 18:31
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -65 $-53 88¢ $-57 $-4 05-29 19:22
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? No -100 $-43 48¢ $-48 $-4 07-20 18:32
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-24 82¢ $-41 $-18 05-29 19:23
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -55 $-38 70¢ $-39 $-1 05-29 19:24
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -49 $-32 70¢ $-34 $-3 05-29 19:27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No -20 $-15 92¢ $-18 $-3 05-29 19:26
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? No -19 $-20 91¢ $-17 +$3 07-20 18:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -20 $-14 74¢ $-15 $-1 07-20 18:31
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -100 $-21 14¢ $-14 +$8 05-29 19:24
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -20 $-12 68¢ $-14 $-2 05-29 19:27
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? No -20 $-12 60¢ $-12 $-0 07-20 18:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-13 90¢ $-9 +$4 07-20 18:34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -9 $-8 94¢ $-9 $-1 06-11 21:32
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +9 $8 94¢ $9 +$0 07-20 18:34
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? No -10 $-8 84¢ $-8 $-0 07-20 18:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 +$1 07-20 18:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-9 82¢ $-8 +$1 07-20 18:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 $-0 07-20 18:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 98¢ $-5 +$0 07-20 18:34
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-3 86¢ $-4 $-1 05-29 19:27
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Pacquiao -10 $-4 43¢ $-4 $-1 05-29 19:29