Realized P&L
-$5.50K
Unrealized P&L
-$67
Hit rate
63.8%
Resolved
7,456
Trades
58,982
lifetime
Volume
$327.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$3.45K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-15 20:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 282 days
Categories
Other
40% 37% +$918
Crypto
34% 51% -$6,805
Politics
14% 63% +$62
Sports
12% 52% +$304
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$30
Tech
0% 67% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 3670 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? No +222 $188 82¢ $183 -$4 10-17 15:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +200 $174 91¢ $181 +$8 10-07 06:06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +200 $164 85¢ $171 +$7 10-08 03:02
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? No +310 $109 53¢ $164 +$56 11-12 07:11
Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026? Yes +305 $143 47¢ $143 $0 10-13 22:46
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +210 $53 66¢ $140 +$87 10-29 17:46
Will White House post 200+ posts from November 10 to November 17, 2026? Yes +330 $177 34¢ $114 -$63 11-15 20:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -111 -$99 98¢ $-109 -$9 07-20 18:34
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +107 $106 100¢ $107 +$1 10-12 23:11
Will there be at least 7000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +545 $253 20¢ $106 -$147 11-12 11:12
Anne Hathaway baby: Boy or Girl? Boy +211 $105 50¢ $104 -$1 11-07 08:16
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:32
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:23
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:25
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:26
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 +$0 10-09 00:47
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:41
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:48
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $101 99¢ $101 $0 10-09 01:05
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 99¢ $101 $0 10-09 00:36
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $101 99¢ $101 $0 10-09 02:34
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $101 99¢ $101 $0 10-10 07:17
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 03:21
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-09 11:08
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 10:47
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 03:15
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 10:51
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 03:20
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 +$0 10-11 10:59
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 10:45