Realized P&L
-$4.40K
Unrealized P&L
+$161
Hit rate
64.5%
Resolved
6,836
Trades
53,893
lifetime
Volume
$306.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$3.47K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 01:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 263 days
Categories
Other
39% 38% +$938
Crypto
35% 50% -$6,826
Politics
14% 62% +$108
Sports
12% 52% +$1,357
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$30
Tech
0% 67% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 3670 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +300 $205 98¢ $295 +$91 10-25 07:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +200 $174 87¢ $174 +$1 10-07 06:06
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +200 $164 84¢ $167 +$3 10-08 03:02
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +205 $164 77¢ $158 -$6 10-22 03:37
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? Yes +205 $50 64¢ $132 +$83 10-24 20:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -111 -$99 97¢ $-108 -$9 07-20 18:34
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +107 $106 99¢ $106 +$0 10-12 23:11
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:36
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:32
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:28
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:26
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 +$0 10-09 00:47
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:23
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 100¢ $102 $0 10-09 00:41
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $102 99¢ $101 $0 10-09 00:48
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $101 99¢ $101 $0 10-09 01:05
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $101 99¢ $101 $0 10-09 02:34
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $101 99¢ $101 +$0 10-09 03:01
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +102 $101 99¢ $101 $0 10-10 07:17
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 03:21
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-09 11:08
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 10:45
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 10:43
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 03:13
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 10:51
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 10:49
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-09 11:55
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 03:15
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 10:47
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +101 $101 100¢ $101 $0 10-11 03:20