Realized P&L
+$263
Unrealized P&L
+$51
Hit rate
81.9%
Resolved
29
Trades
26,812
lifetime
Volume
$172.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$913
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
38% 67% +$32
Crypto
32%
Sports
16% 71% +$336
Politics
14% 78% $-106
Pop-Culture
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 590 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No -151 $-131 74¢ $-111 +$19 06-29 10:59
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? No -283 $-112 37¢ $-105 +$7 06-16 16:23
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -100 $-81 82¢ $-82 $-2 05-29 19:22
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -100 $-67 74¢ $-74 $-7 05-29 19:27
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-68 65¢ $-65 +$3 05-29 19:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No -170 $-84 36¢ $-62 +$21 06-28 09:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -110 $-70 54¢ $-59 +$11 06-28 09:17
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No -65 $-53 84¢ $-54 $-2 05-29 19:22
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -55 $-38 83¢ $-46 $-8 05-29 19:24
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -50 $-24 81¢ $-41 $-17 05-29 19:23
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -49 $-32 74¢ $-36 $-5 05-29 19:27
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -100 $-21 27¢ $-27 $-6 05-29 19:24
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +21 $20 100¢ $21 +$1 06-08 21:06
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No -20 $-15 92¢ $-18 $-3 05-29 19:26
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -20 $-12 66¢ $-13 $-2 05-29 19:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -80 $-44 16¢ $-13 +$31 06-29 08:12
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? No +20 $9 66¢ $13 +$4 06-16 20:55
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 $-0 06-11 03:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-13 10:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -9 $-8 92¢ $-8 $-0 06-11 21:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-12 84¢ $-8 +$4 06-29 05:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-8 72¢ $-6 +$2 06-18 15:01
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 06-16 03:59
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 Pacquiao -10 $-4 49¢ $-5 $-1 05-29 19:29
Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-3 80¢ $-4 $-1 05-29 19:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-4 97¢ $-4 +$0 06-15 05:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -4 $-4 96¢ $-4 +$0 06-15 05:47
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 06-10 21:47
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -5 $-3 70¢ $-4 $-1 05-29 19:27
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 05-29 19:26