Realized P&L
-$68
Unrealized P&L
-$493
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
12
Trades
37
lifetime
Volume
$1.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$918
18 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-14 13:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Sports
58% 33% $-33
Other
35% 11% $-35
Politics
5%
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes -1,051 $-259 71¢ $-743 $-484 05-13 00:12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +100 $67 67¢ $67 +$0 05-11 03:11
Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31? No +101 $28 22¢ $22 $-6 05-14 09:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes -201 $-22 $-15 +$7 05-13 23:36
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes -100 $-20 15¢ $-15 +$5 05-14 13:05
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? No -14 $-11 75¢ $-10 +$0 05-13 09:50
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes -100 $-8 $-9 $-1 05-13 19:35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Yes +200 $7 $7 $-0 05-14 13:07
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -100 $-10 $-7 +$3 05-11 03:10
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes -25 $-8 20¢ $-5 +$3 05-13 01:52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes -101 $-6 $-5 +$1 05-13 19:35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes -170 $-4 $-5 $-1 05-14 12:42
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes -100 $-2 $-2 +$1 05-13 23:37
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +507 $2 $2 +$0 05-14 13:11
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +1,557 $22 $2 $-21 05-13 09:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 05-09 03:14
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Yes +145 $0 $1 +$0 05-10 18:46
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Yes +80 $0 $1 +$0 05-14 09:09