Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
open
Total volume
$306
$22,098 in 24h
Trades
21
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$18,018
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-19
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 12:10
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $9 | $133 | $124 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Median | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $133 | $133 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 5 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mellow-Cushion 0xf71c…4dab | Yes | +1,667 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 13:43 |
| Plump-Ballet 0xada0…44a4 | Yes | +366 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 07:13 |
| Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | Yes | +180 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 14:03 |
| Creepy-Orient 0x14dd…c8b0 | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 11:10 |
| Short-Anything 0x7412…c3a6 | Yes | +105 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 04:56 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-09 10:05 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 12:10:33 | Defensive-Legislator 0xe2bc…d182 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1633eb… |
| 05-10 11:37:09 | Zany-Pentagon 0x54d7…c0bf | Yes | SELL | 115 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb29ea… |
| 05-10 11:01:55 | Kooky-Wrist 0x2fcf…1ce6 | Yes | SELL | 250 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b8be9… |
| 05-10 09:03:07 | Smug-Fraction 0x1781…e20a | No | SELL | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x085ea2… |
| 05-10 09:03:00 | Smug-Fraction 0x1781…e20a | No | BUY | 70 | 100¢ | $70 | 0x02e033… |
| 05-10 08:53:02 | Better-Suburb 0x9acd…a3fe | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x7a2d33… |
| 05-10 08:21:27 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x94e9de… |
| 05-10 08:18:12 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5bccf… |
| 05-10 08:17:29 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbf02f7… |
| 05-10 07:16:29 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 60 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xde5ed7… |
| 05-10 07:13:12 | Plump-Ballet 0xada0…44a4 | Yes | BUY | 366 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x2766b3… |
| 05-10 07:03:55 | Extra-Large-Lottery 0x5dcb…ec18 | No | SELL | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0xe2cac8… |
| 05-10 07:03:50 | Extra-Large-Lottery 0x5dcb…ec18 | No | BUY | 58 | 100¢ | $58 | 0x539f2b… |
| 05-10 04:56:05 | Short-Anything 0x7412…c3a6 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e5a1b… |
| 05-10 01:04:04 | Kooky-Wrist 0x2fcf…1ce6 | Yes | BUY | 250 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x07a7f3… |
| 05-09 14:03:16 | Secondary-Clogs 0x74ff…be5b | Yes | BUY | 180 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xfb3c63… |
| 05-09 13:43:15 | Mellow-Cushion 0xf71c…4dab | Yes | BUY | 1,667 | 0¢ | $5 | 0x653ce7… |
| 05-09 11:10:20 | Creepy-Orient 0x14dd…c8b0 | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x607340… |
| 05-09 10:05:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x049b2e… |
| 05-09 10:05:17 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x59122f… |
| 05-09 08:35:05 | Better-Suburb 0x9acd…a3fe | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x888925… |