Mellow-Cushion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.43K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.9%

Resolved

430

Trades

1,922

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 09-06 03:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

99% 29% +$3,446

Politics

0% 100% +$3

Crypto

0% 22% -$13

Sports

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 240 259	25	$1.2K	621	621	+0	No	+$12	02-10 16:43
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 280 299	3	$1.0K	550	550	+0	No	-$16	02-13 17:49
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	16	$655	796	791	+5	Yes	+$413	03-10 14:32
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	12	$654	1,167	1,167	+0	No	+$540	05-29 10:05
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	2	$619	319	319	+0	No	+$19	03-20 10:46
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	18	$619	2,980	2,980	+0	No	+$430	06-01 23:20
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	42	$496	2,645	2,631	+14	No	+$381	03-20 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	6	$321	1,019	1,019	+0	Yes	+$117	06-03 06:37
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	18	$317	1,322	1,322	+0	No	+$121	05-24 03:58
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	11	$309	2,683	2,683	+0	No	+$295	02-10 14:19
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	9	$295	587	587	+0	Yes	+$211	05-27 23:00
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	13	$233	1,072	1,072	+0	Yes	+$13	05-18 23:10
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	10	$231	539	506	+34	No	+$109	05-18 12:17
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 400 419	6	$205	1,064	1,064	+0	No	+$119	03-22 02:29
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	15	$203	1,580	1,467	+113	No	+$141	06-01 11:01
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	17	$201	7,548	7,548	+0	No	+$99	06-01 02:23
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	14	$201	2,503	2,503	+0	No	-$71	06-04 23:12
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	16	$199	1,943	1,943	+0	No	-$4	06-05 09:49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	9	$196	1,008	1,008	+0	No	+$76	05-18 23:09
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 340 359	4	$191	149	149	+0	No	-$11	03-12 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	21	$185	1,037	1,010	+27	No	+$86	05-19 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	6	$184	1,019	1,019	+0	No	+$100	05-19 01:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?	49	$181	9,435	9,435	+0	No	-$7	05-28 22:19
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	34	$175	10,051	10,051	+0	No	-$14	06-02 01:48
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	14	$163	755	755	+0	No	+$72	05-21 03:53
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	20	$157	505	505	+0	No	+$44	05-23 00:22
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	8	$153	1,008	1,008	+0	No	+$31	05-23 21:09
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	7	$151	1,017	1,017	+0	No	+$85	05-21 03:09
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	21	$148	3,335	3,335	+0	No	-$28	06-05 02:25
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 220 239	14	$147	8,432	4,224	+4,208	No	-$130	03-26 09:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 03:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x0f1c6b…
09-06 03:37:09	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x60626b…
09-06 03:36:45	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x2252a1…
09-06 03:36:40	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	156	3¢	$5	0x98008a…
09-05 10:26:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6cf7e9…
09-05 10:26:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x24d868…
09-05 10:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xe7f4d9…
09-05 10:25:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9a2005…
09-05 10:25:37	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x7eda43…
07-21 14:41:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd04b1b…
07-21 14:41:09	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x82272a…
07-21 14:40:46	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x47ffd5…
07-09 22:46:07	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,388	0¢	$5	0x58df51…
07-09 18:27:11	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x9de367…
07-09 11:22:11	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x363d90…
07-07 11:28:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0x55c36d…
07-07 11:27:13	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	3¢	$4	0xd831d1…
07-07 11:27:07	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x23e590…
07-05 08:41:28	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0xaecc2c…
07-05 08:41:25	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	142	4¢	$5	0x4d5bc3…
07-05 08:41:19	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	1¢	$5	0xda9453…
06-29 12:04:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	38¢	$24	0xbdb13b…
06-26 15:25:55	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	637	2¢	$10	0x2c5bfd…
06-23 15:34:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	201	0¢	$1	0xf6f1cc…
06-23 15:33:17	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	805	1¢	$4	0xbdbd8f…
06-23 15:30:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x364a19…
06-23 15:30:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x2b3672…
06-23 15:30:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x690749…
06-23 15:29:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x43268d…
06-23 15:29:44	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0xf1969d…
06-22 12:18:22	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0xbebf45…
06-22 12:18:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa8edf0…
06-22 03:38:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x52497b…
06-22 03:38:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x914cea…
06-22 03:38:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xd64c2c…
06-22 03:33:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xc7c92a…
06-22 03:33:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x9c8ac9…
06-22 03:33:14	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xf869a3…
06-22 03:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	3¢	$3	0x141525…
06-22 03:32:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x64129d…
06-22 03:32:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0x56fed8…
06-22 03:32:32	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x572fe6…
06-22 03:32:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xbab35d…
06-22 03:26:26	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x24c1a2…
06-20 08:17:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6dbedf…
06-19 21:42:29	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x6f8fcd…
06-19 21:41:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x3cae9b…
06-18 22:43:52	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x7db31c…
06-16 23:52:10	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	5¢	$2	0xb9fc85…
06-16 23:51:52	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xc323c4…
06-16 23:50:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	10¢	$9	0xf8056e…
06-16 23:50:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	113	4¢	$5	0x6a4267…
06-16 23:50:41	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	1¢	$3	0x505838…
06-16 23:50:37	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	556	0¢	$1	0x2612b2…
06-16 23:48:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x092e98…
06-16 15:10:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,182	0¢	$4	0x321cce…
06-16 14:49:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xffb43b…
06-16 14:48:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb572d4…
06-16 14:47:58	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x573bf4…
06-16 14:44:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	536	1¢	$7	0xdb0771…
06-16 14:43:23	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xc231c1…
06-16 14:43:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$14	0xec7f17…
06-16 09:05:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	22¢	$10	0x35026b…
06-16 08:41:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	412	1¢	$5	0xbd794d…
06-15 22:45:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	6¢	$3	0x478200…
06-15 22:44:06	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	6¢	$6	0x66aaf5…
06-15 21:05:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	36¢	$21	0x739d6c…
06-15 01:30:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x1908b8…
06-14 14:25:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4f025f…
06-14 14:24:40	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	446	1¢	$5	0xccd685…
06-14 14:24:34	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$5	0x19aa2a…
06-14 14:24:30	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	5¢	$5	0xb59711…
06-14 14:24:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	7¢	$5	0xdd5446…
06-14 13:18:45	Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x85854b…
06-14 09:29:39	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x02b1a5…
06-14 09:29:36	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x0b4af9…
06-14 09:29:13	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6013f6…
06-14 09:28:34	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x27e7e6…
06-14 09:28:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x132237…
06-14 09:28:16	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	3¢	$1	0xba4ccc…
06-14 09:28:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0x934254…
06-14 09:27:45	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0x6b8cf4…
06-14 09:27:30	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0x5acf4b…
06-14 09:25:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	20¢	$4	0x37321b…
06-14 09:25:46	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	15¢	$17	0xaaa7f0…
06-14 09:25:45	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	7¢	$11	0x58b8a6…
06-14 04:36:43	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	32¢	$3	0xf9f9e6…
06-14 04:36:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x448255…
06-14 04:36:04	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x454209…
06-14 04:36:00	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x671dd7…
06-14 04:35:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xfdbd81…
06-12 14:33:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	83¢	$28	0xef510f…
06-10 16:03:09	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$2	0xac5b4d…
06-10 16:02:55	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0x8a5e7b…
06-10 16:02:31	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xf7f6b2…
06-10 16:02:27	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x877fc9…
06-10 16:02:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc6a753…
06-08 15:20:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x56f8bd…
06-08 15:18:54	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x63773a…
06-08 00:51:01	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x94b540…