Extra-Large-Lottery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.9%

Resolved

381

Trades

854

lifetime

Volume

$67.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$79

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-05 07:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 7% -$36

Other

27% 0% -$10

Politics

20% 0% -$7

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	10	$2.9K	1,450	1,450	+0	No	-$1	03-16 13:34
will iran strike israel on march 10	8	$2.4K	1,180	1,180	+0	Yes	-$1	03-16 13:22
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	6	$1.8K	886	886	+0	No	-$1	03-16 13:04
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	6	$1.8K	883	883	+0	No	-$1	03-16 13:10
Katana FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$1.8K	877	877	+0	No	-$1	03-16 13:18
will the momentum movement momentum win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$1.4K	682	682	+0	No	-$1	03-29 07:05
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$1.2K	599	599	+0	No	-$1	03-16 12:53
will the christian democratic peoples party kdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	4	$1.2K	595	595	+0	No	-$1	03-16 12:58
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 380 399	4	$1.2K	594	594	+0	No	-$1	03-16 12:59
Iran leadership change by March 13?	4	$1.2K	592	592	+0	No	-$1	03-16 13:01
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	4	$1.2K	586	586	+0	No	-$1	03-16 13:14
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	4	$1.2K	577	577	+0	No	-$1	03-16 13:40
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	8	$622	311	311	+0	No	$0	04-15 15:43
will conservative win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	2	$589	295	295	+0	No	$0	03-16 13:05
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$586	294	294	+0	No	$0	03-16 13:12
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$578	289	289	+0	No	$0	03-16 13:36
will xrp dip to 0pt6 in march 2026	6	$523	262	262	+0	No	$0	03-29 06:52
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	6	$456	228	228	+0	No	$0	04-21 15:01
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	4	$355	178	178	+0	No	$0	03-29 06:25
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 29	4	$350	175	175	+0	No	$0	03-29 06:45
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 29	4	$350	175	175	+0	No	$0	03-29 06:41
EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	4	$349	175	175	+0	No	$0	03-30 13:14
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 60 79	4	$345	173	173	+0	No	$0	03-29 07:09
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$343	172	172	+0	No	$0	03-30 13:33
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	4	$318	159	159	+0	No	$0	04-11 12:41
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	4	$300	150	150	+0	No	$0	04-21 14:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	4	$298	149	149	+0	No	$0	04-19 08:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 20-26?	4	$292	146	146	+0	No	$0	04-24 14:04
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 25?	4	$289	145	145	+0	Yes	$0	04-25 06:10
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$214	107	107	+0	No	$0	05-16 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 07:17:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 5?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xbd00e1…
07-05 07:17:53	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x68b99f…
07-05 07:16:47	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x85a1f3…
07-05 07:16:41	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xe82f3d…
07-05 07:16:22	ethereum above 1600 on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xe4370d…
07-05 07:16:08	ethereum above 1600 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x70dade…
07-05 07:15:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xd71dbb…
07-05 07:15:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x554779…
07-05 07:14:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x977b88…
07-05 07:14:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xf67bb0…
07-05 07:14:11	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x80ccf0…
07-05 07:14:01	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xec32f5…
07-05 07:13:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x1b1b8d…
07-05 07:13:40	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x9b95de…
07-04 06:46:26	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x3c3eec…
07-04 06:46:19	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x8bd055…
07-04 06:44:52	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$43	0xf04655…
07-04 06:44:46	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x819823…
07-04 06:43:10	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x25f27a…
07-04 06:43:04	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x215682…
07-04 06:41:56	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x632939…
07-04 06:41:47	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xc5e682…
07-04 06:39:34	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x033cbd…
07-04 06:39:25	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xb6e431…
06-28 07:45:20	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xb5a1bb…
06-28 07:44:58	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x14498e…
06-28 07:44:40	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x9878e5…
06-28 07:44:34	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x380a6e…
06-28 07:42:08	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xc09cd9…
06-28 07:42:01	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x19ba22…
06-27 07:27:17	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x1c6b1c…
06-27 07:27:08	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x82d06a…
06-27 07:26:34	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xd73841…
06-27 07:26:29	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x016871…
06-27 07:25:37	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x9c692f…
06-27 07:25:31	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x1ffe12…
06-21 09:39:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xd5c5b8…
06-21 09:39:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xb05bdc…
06-21 09:39:20	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x3b0dc6…
06-21 09:39:13	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xf77780…
06-21 09:38:58	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xd1fb36…
06-21 09:38:38	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xfd05e1…
06-21 09:38:25	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x2f0a6c…
06-21 09:38:17	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x472dd0…
06-20 05:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or below on June 21?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x33e1e1…
06-20 05:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C or below on June 21?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x191dc7…
06-20 05:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C or higher on June 21?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$44	0x6ac611…
06-20 05:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$44	0xc27079…
06-20 05:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 21?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$44	0x1ee402…
06-20 05:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 21?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x4ae839…
06-20 05:49:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x19281e…
06-20 05:48:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x1ef032…
06-20 05:47:46	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x1df8c3…
06-20 05:47:34	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x077557…
06-20 05:46:52	will bitcoin reach 70k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x6de0cd…
06-20 05:46:40	will bitcoin reach 70k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x61b94e…
06-20 05:44:01	bitcoin above 60k on june 20 2026	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x81c1e0…
06-20 05:43:16	bitcoin above 60k on june 20 2026	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xc74314…
06-19 09:36:26	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x01cc9e…
06-19 09:36:20	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xd4ce08…
06-19 09:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xd9a03d…
06-19 09:35:37	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x14db6b…
06-19 09:35:16	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x38aa41…
06-19 09:35:10	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x1926be…
06-19 09:34:52	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x9dffbd…
06-19 09:34:46	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x083ba2…
06-19 09:34:25	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x82f6d6…
06-19 09:34:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x7176d0…
06-19 09:33:50	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x3ed13d…
06-19 09:33:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x356abb…
06-19 09:32:32	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x589b15…
06-19 09:32:26	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x1a1fe3…
06-19 09:31:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xa578ae…
06-19 09:31:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0xcb814f…
06-19 09:31:28	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x12aeef…
06-19 09:31:14	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	No	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x2c097a…
06-19 09:31:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x82b800…
06-19 09:30:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x01eadf…
06-19 09:28:49	ethereum above 1800 on june 19 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x8abd15…
06-19 09:28:35	ethereum above 1800 on june 19 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x6babf2…
06-19 09:27:59	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x1d5213…
06-19 09:27:53	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x05e3a6…
06-13 06:34:25	will ethereum dip to 1000 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x5cba4c…
06-13 06:34:21	will ethereum dip to 1000 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x8aea10…
06-13 06:33:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x7e29cf…
06-13 06:33:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 13?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf661c4…
06-13 06:33:16	will bitcoin dip to 52k june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x0f35c1…
06-13 06:33:10	will bitcoin dip to 52k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xccadca…
06-13 06:32:43	bitcoin above 60k on june 13 2026	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x163312…
06-13 06:32:37	bitcoin above 60k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x49b70c…
06-09 14:01:39	will ethereum reach 2400 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xdd878d…
06-09 14:01:33	will ethereum reach 2400 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x8999b2…
06-09 14:01:04	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 9?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x9859e3…
06-09 14:00:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 9?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x401d68…
06-09 14:00:46	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 9?	No	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xd6d7cd…
06-09 14:00:40	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 9?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xf8b8d6…
06-09 13:59:49	ethereum above 1800 on june 9 2026	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x1ea3be…
06-09 13:59:28	ethereum above 1800 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x0b9da6…
06-09 13:59:19	ethereum above 1500 on june 9 2026	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x2dc83b…
06-09 13:59:13	ethereum above 1500 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xeec735…