Creepy-Orient — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

184

Trades

398

lifetime

Volume

$510

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-18 21:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 60% -$18

Other

17% 41% +$11

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-18).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:45 UTC	4	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	04-18 22:49
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	4	$10	189	189	+0	No	+$6	05-12 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$10	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-18 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$10	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	05-18 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:00 UTC	7	$10	8	4	+3	Up	+$1	04-18 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:20 UTC	5	$9	7	4	+3	Up	+$1	04-18 21:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:10 UTC	8	$9	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	04-18 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$3	05-18 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:15 UTC	6	$8	9	6	+2	Down	-$2	04-18 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:40 UTC	6	$8	6	5	+1	Up	+$1	04-18 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:30 UTC	7	$7	7	5	+1	Down	+$0	04-18 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:30 UTC	3	$7	10	4	+6	Up	+$1	04-18 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	Up	+$3	05-18 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:05 UTC	3	$7	8	2	+6	Up	+$1	04-18 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 23:05 UTC	5	$7	7	6	+0	Down	+$1	04-18 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$6	6	3	+2	Up	+$1	05-18 14:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:35 UTC	2	$6	9	0	+9	Up	-$6	04-18 20:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 05:35 UTC	5	$6	4	3	+1	Down	+$1	04-19 05:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:40 UTC	5	$6	4	3	+1	Up	+$1	04-18 22:45
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$6	100	100	+0	No	+$4	05-13 04:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 20:50 UTC	3	$6	8	4	+4	Down	+$4	04-18 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 15:15 UTC	5	$6	10	8	+2	Up	$0	04-19 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$5	8	3	+4	Up	-$3	05-18 14:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 22:50 UTC	5	$5	5	3	+2	Down	-$1	04-18 22:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:35 UTC	5	$5	4	3	+1	Down	+$0	04-18 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-18 14:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 21:45 UTC	5	$5	3	2	+1	Up	+$0	04-18 21:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 11:40 UTC	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	04-18 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-18 19:00 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	04-18 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-19 04:30 UTC	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	04-19 04:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 21:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1821d4…
05-18 21:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa581c2…
05-18 21:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xac8e8d…
05-18 21:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x285175…
05-18 21:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7d66d3…
05-18 20:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7c4dd6…
05-18 20:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x400895…
05-18 20:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa2e0b8…
05-18 20:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x4c78be…
05-18 20:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1589ae…
05-18 20:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xce0eae…
05-18 20:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x35847b…
05-18 20:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8d0282…
05-18 20:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x91ea0b…
05-18 20:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xcec4e5…
05-18 20:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xba4727…
05-18 20:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xe392bc…
05-18 20:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdf189e…
05-18 14:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5cac3e…
05-18 14:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb06dc2…
05-18 14:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xaffb22…
05-18 14:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc8aaf7…
05-18 14:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x306bbc…
05-18 14:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x145858…
05-18 14:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x286ea0…
05-18 14:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x69c796…
05-18 14:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4ae270…
05-18 14:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xf9aaf8…
05-18 14:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1596c6…
05-18 14:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xe47b26…
05-18 14:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2c5fb0…
05-18 14:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xcdd348…
05-18 14:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x58aefa…
05-18 14:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb47c16…
05-18 14:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$3	0x7e39ca…
05-18 14:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x87217b…
05-18 14:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x6752b8…
05-18 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x655e79…
05-18 14:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5291ca…
05-18 14:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1a3455…
05-18 14:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x647386…
05-18 14:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0bb4d9…
05-18 13:58:55	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0x7b6542…
05-18 13:58:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xad0bf2…
05-18 04:14:39	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd78fbf…
05-18 04:09:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x3b8a6a…
05-18 04:08:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xb65def…
05-15 19:25:32	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x88ab02…
05-15 19:25:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xca40a7…
05-15 19:24:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xbb2458…
05-15 19:24:41	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x017ed7…
05-15 19:24:33	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x7e5b73…
05-15 17:23:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xced1d8…
05-15 17:23:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xa9f522…
05-15 15:24:04	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc8c439…
05-15 15:23:55	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd09235…
05-15 15:22:42	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x140b13…
05-15 15:21:18	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x50c1b6…
05-14 20:12:57	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x85d4d4…
05-14 20:06:54	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xae8d11…
05-14 19:11:59	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x967d0c…
05-14 11:39:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x0b9e7f…
05-14 06:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb59433…
05-14 06:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc4a914…
05-13 07:34:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xe073ef…
05-13 04:22:46	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$1	0x5dc669…
05-13 04:22:23	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x55ac82…
05-12 18:13:27	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x5bd280…
05-12 18:08:03	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x80c116…
05-12 12:14:49	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4bcad7…
05-12 12:12:51	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x943ac4…
05-12 12:12:43	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1aed7c…
05-12 09:14:41	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x8ca669…
05-12 09:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4012d1…
05-12 09:12:05	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x46ae86…
05-12 09:11:56	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0xd3c5be…
05-12 09:11:40	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0x97ea19…
05-12 06:34:47	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	5¢	$3	0xc387f8…
05-12 04:55:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1d61b9…
05-12 04:54:34	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5f1d4d…
05-11 21:42:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0xe3b7cc…
05-11 20:40:13	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5f4cbd…
05-11 20:40:06	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xaf03cf…
05-11 20:35:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	1¢	$1	0x6eb824…
05-11 20:31:32	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x19fb59…
05-11 20:31:16	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x90896f…
05-11 19:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x1443f5…
05-11 19:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x129d4e…
05-11 19:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x139f2c…
05-11 19:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x97a7e6…
05-11 19:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x5a24e1…
05-11 19:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbb7cee…
05-11 19:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdd0419…
05-11 19:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xaa7d5b…
05-11 19:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3331f9…
05-11 19:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x997738…
05-11 19:21:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0xe12827…
05-11 19:20:15	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	4¢	$6	0xaa4d2b…
05-11 12:35:11	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0x159860…
05-10 19:16:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x37e4d1…