Creepy-Orient — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$431

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-18 21:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 30% $-5

Other

2% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776552300	4	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	04-18 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-18 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	05-18 14:18
btc updown 5m 1776553200	7	$10	8	4	+3	open	—	04-18 23:04
btc updown 5m 1776547200	5	$9	7	4	+3	open	—	04-18 21:24
btc updown 5m 1776553800	8	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	04-18 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 20:53
btc updown 5m 1776554100	6	$8	9	6	+2	open	—	04-18 23:19
btc updown 5m 1776548400	6	$8	6	5	+1	open	—	04-18 21:43
btc updown 5m 1776547800	7	$7	7	5	+1	open	—	04-18 21:34
btc updown 5m 1776544200	3	$7	10	4	+6	open	—	04-18 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-18 20:10
btc updown 5m 1776546300	3	$7	8	2	+6	open	—	04-18 21:09
btc updown 5m 1776553500	5	$7	7	6	+0	open	—	04-18 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	3	$6	6	3	+2	open	—	05-18 14:21
btc updown 5m 1776544500	2	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-18 20:39
btc updown 5m 1776576900	5	$6	4	3	+1	open	—	04-19 05:38
btc updown 5m 1776552000	5	$6	4	3	+1	open	—	04-18 22:45
btc updown 5m 1776545400	3	$6	8	4	+4	open	—	04-18 20:53
btc updown 5m 1776611700	5	$6	10	8	+2	open	—	04-19 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$5	8	3	+4	open	—	05-18 14:37
btc updown 5m 1776552600	5	$5	5	3	+2	open	—	04-18 22:54
btc updown 5m 1776548100	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	04-18 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 14:45
btc updown 5m 1776548700	5	$5	3	2	+1	open	—	04-18 21:49
btc updown 5m 1776512400	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	04-18 11:44
btc updown 5m 1776538800	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-18 19:04
btc updown 5m 1776573000	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-19 04:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 22:50
btc updown 5m 1776554400	5	$5	5	4	+1	open	—	04-18 23:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 21:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1821d4…
05-18 21:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa581c2…
05-18 21:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xac8e8d…
05-18 21:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x285175…
05-18 21:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7d66d3…
05-18 20:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7c4dd6…
05-18 20:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x400895…
05-18 20:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa2e0b8…
05-18 20:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x4c78be…
05-18 20:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1589ae…
05-18 20:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xce0eae…
05-18 20:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x35847b…
05-18 20:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8d0282…
05-18 20:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x91ea0b…
05-18 20:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$1	0xcec4e5…
05-18 20:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xba4727…
05-18 20:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0xe392bc…
05-18 20:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdf189e…
05-18 14:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5cac3e…
05-18 14:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb06dc2…
05-18 14:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xaffb22…
05-18 14:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc8aaf7…
05-18 14:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x306bbc…
05-18 14:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x145858…
05-18 14:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x286ea0…
05-18 14:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x69c796…
05-18 14:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4ae270…
05-18 14:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xf9aaf8…
05-18 14:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x1596c6…
05-18 14:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xe47b26…
05-18 14:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2c5fb0…
05-18 14:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xcdd348…
05-18 14:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x58aefa…
05-18 14:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xb47c16…
05-18 14:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	63¢	$3	0x7e39ca…
05-18 14:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x87217b…
05-18 14:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x6752b8…
05-18 14:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x655e79…
05-18 14:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5291ca…
05-18 14:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x1a3455…
05-18 14:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x647386…
05-18 14:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0bb4d9…
05-14 06:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb59433…
05-14 06:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc4a914…
05-11 19:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x1443f5…
05-11 19:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x129d4e…
05-11 19:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x139f2c…
05-11 19:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x97a7e6…
05-11 19:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x5a24e1…
05-11 19:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xbb7cee…
05-11 19:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdd0419…
05-11 19:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xaa7d5b…
05-11 19:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3331f9…
05-11 19:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x997738…
05-07 12:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x696f98…
05-05 03:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xab1420…
05-02 05:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x16fd9a…
05-01 18:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xd9d59d…
05-01 18:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xb103e0…
04-29 20:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc94d52…
04-29 20:31:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xba455c…
04-29 20:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x25d721…
04-29 20:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x860a2f…
04-29 20:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb148a0…
04-29 20:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc5f5d0…
04-26 19:41:08	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x278471…
04-26 18:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbbcc1a…
04-26 18:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1c0eef…
04-26 18:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xaf076b…
04-26 18:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x07b0a7…
04-26 17:38:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xe018a9…
04-26 08:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82186f…
04-26 08:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe18c84…
04-26 08:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf82a69…
04-25 09:20:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe72a59…
04-25 09:20:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x299863…
04-24 22:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x232d04…
04-24 22:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1a508d…
04-24 22:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0xac0c77…
04-24 22:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa6f759…
04-24 22:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x15c53f…
04-24 22:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xde0f13…
04-24 22:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2a5912…
04-24 22:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x15166b…
04-24 22:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x3d963c…
04-24 22:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9752c8…
04-24 22:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x06bcae…
04-24 21:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x4b25b7…
04-24 21:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8c02cd…
04-24 21:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x60a240…
04-24 21:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x23d7f2…
04-24 21:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x99e7d8…
04-24 21:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd9deb2…
04-24 21:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd6a941…
04-24 21:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x210c77…
04-24 21:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x95543c…
04-24 21:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xffef9a…
04-24 21:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x261525…
04-24 21:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc64506…
04-24 21:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfbe1dc…