Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
open
Total volume
$596
$4,465 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$17,724
Latest YES mid
18¢
Latest NO mid
82¢
End date
2026-05-22
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 10:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-26.1¢
(top1%: 60% YES on $42
vs crowd: 87% YES on $491)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $2 | $25 | $23 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $423 | $41 | +$382 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $25 | $17 | +$9 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $47 | $47 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| Median | 4 | $73 | $1 | +$71 |
| Below median | 8 | $53 | — | +$53 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $40 | $1 | +$39 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $210 | — | +$210 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 6 | $12 | — | +$12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Realistic-Authentication 0xf79c…94ea | Yes | +1,053 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-13 08:49 |
| Friendly-Mailbox 0x11c5…79d8 | Yes | +263 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 21:06 |
| Alert-Pagoda 0x4d32…76e1 | Yes | +105 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 06:56 |
| Impure-Lode 0xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | +100 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-12 13:42 |
| Foolhardy-Vertigo 0x482d…74a3 | Yes | +79 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 10:04 |
| Spiteful-Future 0x3a44…0196 | Yes | +79 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 19:38 |
| Equal-Gopher 0xed79…64b8 | Yes | +62 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 18:37 |
| Unique-Inbox 0xc20b…9881 | Yes | +52 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 02:32 |
| Writhing-Eraser 0x48f5…bd72 | Yes | +51 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 08:27 |
| Snappy-Interferometer-Mandate 0xbebe…656e | Yes | +50 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 22:05 |
| Treasured-Opera 0xe2e9…02ba | Yes | +40 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 07:26 |
| Inborn-Circumstance 0x2084…0759 | Yes | +40 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 07:06 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 05-13 00:48 |
| Treasured-Pearl 0x4fbf…6cf7 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 03:33 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | +29 | $6 | $44 | 3 | 05-13 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | +27 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-12 04:54 |
| Earnest-Muscatel 0x0945…de0f | Yes | +26 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 21:04 |
| Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-13 01:38 |
| Narrow-Laryngitis 0xfb5f…1ad5 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 17:11 |
| Tense-Silicon 0x58a6…70c3 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 02:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 07:24 |
| Watery-Tug 0x2f90…e17f | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:08 |
| Growling-Musicbox 0xdb90…8472 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 19:30 |
| cryptomoti75 0x47d9…24d0 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:31 |
| Beautiful-Tech 0x47ce…bd56 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:11 |
| Fumbling-Soot 0x9061…b871 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 08:32 |
| Rural-Identification 0x9ed3…b04b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 10:04:00 | Foolhardy-Vertigo 0x482d…74a3 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 19¢ | $15 | 0x63a072… |
| 05-14 07:24:05 | (anonymous) 0xe907…cff6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x7be2be… |
| 05-14 06:02:13 | Rural-Identification 0x9ed3…b04b | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x533d0b… |
| 05-14 02:32:18 | Unique-Inbox 0xc20b…9881 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 19¢ | $10 | 0xb4ef00… |
| 05-13 22:05:53 | Snappy-Interferometer-Mandate 0xbebe…656e | Yes | BUY | 50 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x255d0d… |
| 05-13 21:11:03 | Beautiful-Tech 0x47ce…bd56 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x13bca8… |
| 05-13 21:06:02 | Friendly-Mailbox 0x11c5…79d8 | Yes | BUY | 263 | 19¢ | $50 | 0x6d06e0… |
| 05-13 21:04:05 | Earnest-Muscatel 0x0945…de0f | Yes | BUY | 26 | 19¢ | $5 | 0x8461c2… |
| 05-13 20:08:24 | Watery-Tug 0x2f90…e17f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xeb4bba… |
| 05-13 19:38:53 | Spiteful-Future 0x3a44…0196 | Yes | BUY | 79 | 19¢ | $15 | 0x60d186… |
| 05-13 17:22:46 | Sarcastic-Antennae-Mineshaft 0x514b…6931 | No | SELL | 60 | 81¢ | $49 | 0x518f1c… |
| 05-13 09:31:21 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 19¢ | $17 | 0xbdcf54… |
| 05-13 09:31:21 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xa6eb65… |
| 05-13 08:49:05 | Realistic-Authentication 0xf79c…94ea | Yes | BUY | 1,053 | 19¢ | $200 | 0xd4aab8… |
| 05-13 07:06:13 | Inborn-Circumstance 0x2084…0759 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 19¢ | $8 | 0x2a30b1… |
| 05-13 06:56:34 | Alert-Pagoda 0x4d32…76e1 | Yes | BUY | 105 | 19¢ | $20 | 0x84e384… |
| 05-13 06:11:09 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 18¢ | $19 | 0x303e09… |
| 05-13 05:28:13 | cryptomoti75 0x47d9…24d0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x7ea975… |
| 05-13 03:33:20 | Treasured-Pearl 0x4fbf…6cf7 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0xd0546d… |
| 05-13 03:11:55 | Spry-Bondsman 0x5569…c927 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xcd43b8… |
| 05-13 02:44:07 | Tense-Silicon 0x58a6…70c3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xe15f69… |
| 05-13 01:38:16 | (anonymous) 0xf240…1ac1 | No | BUY | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0x9a2f28… |
| 05-13 01:38:14 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0xbc47b2… |
| 05-13 00:48:43 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x6b0a2b… |
| 05-13 00:48:39 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 83¢ | $12 | 0xd9e5b3… |
| 05-13 00:48:29 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 16 | 83¢ | $13 | 0x527c97… |
| 05-12 19:30:35 | Growling-Musicbox 0xdb90…8472 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xb53ad4… |
| 05-12 18:37:25 | Equal-Gopher 0xed79…64b8 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 16¢ | $10 | 0x7840b1… |
| 05-12 17:51:32 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 42 | 15¢ | $6 | 0xe473de… |
| 05-12 17:11:31 | Narrow-Laryngitis 0xfb5f…1ad5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xdab9ed… |
| 05-12 13:42:54 | Impure-Lode 0xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 19¢ | $19 | 0x5a337e… |
| 05-12 11:42:30 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x0da612… |
| 05-12 10:32:30 | Ondra 0x849c…4009 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 19¢ | $8 | 0x44b537… |
| 05-12 09:27:32 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x8cf86c… |
| 05-12 09:27:31 | Honorable-Beach 0x8ba4…351a | Yes | SELL | 0 | 19¢ | $0 | 0x352d04… |
| 05-12 08:42:32 | Respectful-Midcourse 0x7c33…f910 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 18¢ | $18 | 0x0e3374… |
| 05-12 08:32:20 | Fumbling-Soot 0x9061…b871 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xa2819f… |
| 05-12 08:27:34 | Writhing-Eraser 0x48f5…bd72 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 20¢ | $10 | 0x72dc59… |
| 05-12 08:22:32 | Secret-Neurobiologist 0xb7fd…cc88 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0xbcb4c2… |
| 05-12 07:26:18 | Treasured-Opera 0xe2e9…02ba | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x00c56c… |
| 05-12 04:54:17 | (anonymous) 0x5567…6178 | No | BUY | 27 | 83¢ | $22 | 0x521181… |