Watery-Tug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.5%

Resolved

Trades

304

lifetime

Volume

$6.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-01 02:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

86% 50% $-1

Politics

12% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% 20% $-3

Sports

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 1win vp 2026 06 20	30	$1.3K	1,104	1,071	+33	open	—	06-20 12:48
cs2 inf6 ruby1 2026 06 19 game2	14	$1.0K	780	692	+88	open	—	06-19 12:30
cs2 nem tdk 2026 06 20	8	$533	615	402	+213	open	—	06-20 12:14
cs2 k271 shishk 2026 06 19 game2	17	$306	755	617	+138	open	—	06-19 13:42
will andurils valuation hit high 95b by june 30	3	$270	188	188	+0	open	—	06-10 19:41
will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	11	$255	171	171	+0	open	—	06-21 11:57
will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	18	$220	181	180	+1	open	—	06-22 12:47
will nflx dip to 75 in june 2026	4	$144	200	200	+0	open	—	06-22 11:46
will wti dip to 70 by june 15 2026	2	$126	200	200	+0	open	—	06-18 13:49
another gta vi trailer released by june 30	6	$121	94	94	+0	open	—	06-19 20:01
Gemini 3.2 released by May 15, 2026?	2	$120	80	80	+0	open	—	05-08 18:15
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	2	$96	62	62	+0	open	—	06-05 13:48
will propr launch a token by december 31 2026	3	$88	66	66	+0	open	—	06-20 01:57
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	7	$85	80	80	+0	open	—	06-21 11:23
will mark juncosa be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212484	2	$74	53	53	+0	open	—	06-16 07:36
will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	4	$66	102	102	+0	open	—	06-22 03:35
will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	3	$61	100	100	+0	open	—	06-22 10:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$60	100	0	+100	open	—	05-29 08:58
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	3	$60	41	41	+0	open	—	05-29 14:58
spy closes above 750 on june 8 2026	1	$57	71	0	+71	open	—	06-06 15:08
will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	2	$56	52	50	+2	open	—	06-21 10:13
Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?	1	$56	110	0	+110	open	—	05-14 07:15
starmer out by june 23 2026	4	$55	162	162	+0	open	—	06-21 23:44
will ng reach 3 20 by june 15 2026	1	$54	200	0	+200	open	—	06-15 13:36
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	1	$53	0	99	-99	open	—	06-22 08:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	6	$53	58	58	+0	open	—	06-22 01:27
will stripes valuation hit high 190b by december 31	4	$53	78	78	+0	open	—	06-22 16:12
another gta vi trailer released by june 26	16	$51	46	46	+0	open	—	06-19 20:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	05-29 09:01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 11?	1	$45	50	0	+50	Yes	+$5	05-11 14:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 02:55:37	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x435bc9…
06-23 16:46:29	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by june 30	Yes	SELL	299	0¢	$1	0x88d889…
06-23 16:35:55	will databricks valuation hit low 135b by june 30	Yes	SELL	376	0¢	$1	0xdc91dc…
06-23 07:05:44	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x26e8c5…
06-23 00:52:26	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1a1990…
06-22 20:26:07	will nflx reach 90 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x575b3f…
06-22 20:23:41	will nflx reach 90 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	28	4¢	$1	0xd9bc74…
06-22 16:12:28	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by december 31	No	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x546b5c…
06-22 15:52:55	will stripes valuation hit high 190b by december 31	No	SELL	64	36¢	$23	0xc9f713…
06-22 14:54:35	will stripes valuation hit high 225b by december 31	No	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x722012…
06-22 14:21:50	will nflx reach 90 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	63	2¢	$1	0xfa92c3…
06-22 13:30:05	will perplexitys valuation hit high 21b by june 30	Yes	SELL	27	4¢	$1	0x318bde…
06-22 13:29:40	will anthropics valuation hit low 850b by june 30	Yes	SELL	90	1¢	$1	0x59abf2…
06-22 12:47:55	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0xbcb188…
06-22 12:43:17	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xbb291c…
06-22 12:37:16	will stripes valuation hit high 225b by december 31	No	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0xcedf4d…
06-22 12:36:52	will stripes valuation hit high 225b by december 31	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x2647d6…
06-22 11:46:53	will nflx dip to 75 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	145	49¢	$71	0x9f74bc…
06-22 10:48:52	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x7e5c98…
06-22 10:36:11	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	47	70¢	$33	0xcd2f2f…
06-22 10:33:19	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x85c23d…
06-22 10:14:58	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x98247e…
06-22 10:14:47	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x0432da…
06-22 10:14:46	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xe36519…
06-22 10:05:01	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xee5aae…
06-22 09:49:02	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x8397c2…
06-22 09:30:14	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x5a0c77…
06-22 08:04:28	Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	99	54¢	$53	0x974501…
06-22 07:52:07	starmer out by june 24 2026	No	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x6e9df7…
06-22 07:50:43	starmer out by june 24 2026	No	SELL	89	9¢	$8	0xe0a6cc…
06-22 07:42:16	starmer out by june 24 2026	No	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x0d001a…
06-22 07:04:34	starmer out by june 24 2026	No	BUY	144	10¢	$14	0xe74561…
06-22 03:35:14	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0x5ecf89…
06-22 02:21:34	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	0	11¢	$0	0x245391…
06-22 01:53:53	will titan launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	14	48¢	$7	0x30918f…
06-22 01:38:31	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xd21809…
06-22 01:27:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	23	73¢	$17	0x94356a…
06-22 01:26:25	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	77¢	$4	0x604856…
06-22 01:20:55	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	11	60¢	$6	0x40a69c…
06-22 01:10:01	Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x5ee26e…
06-22 01:02:41	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	29	84¢	$24	0xd9f287…
06-22 00:56:52	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x7f0308…
06-22 00:07:07	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x521a57…
06-22 00:07:05	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xcea9e0…
06-22 00:07:05	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x03b172…
06-21 23:59:20	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	34	57¢	$20	0x2b284e…
06-21 23:44:20	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	SELL	118	12¢	$14	0xa8fd7f…
06-21 23:26:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x461ee7…
06-21 23:18:20	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	SELL	44	13¢	$6	0xb0a714…
06-21 22:57:35	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x017e08…
06-21 22:55:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	29	13¢	$4	0x2ac86b…
06-21 22:16:35	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	SELL	52	43¢	$23	0x83f806…
06-21 21:56:13	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	BUY	57	16¢	$9	0x8b5c5d…
06-21 21:38:22	starmer out by june 23 2026	No	BUY	105	25¢	$26	0x37cbda…
06-21 21:36:59	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	No	BUY	53	56¢	$29	0x5f36f3…
06-21 21:31:11	will nflx dip to 75 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0xde3fb6…
06-21 19:54:32	will ng reach 3 60 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xde55cc…
06-21 18:15:35	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	56	25¢	$14	0x0a6ae0…
06-21 18:05:43	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	47	14¢	$7	0x6b7ddc…
06-21 18:03:38	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x7d05c0…
06-21 17:25:34	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	39	10¢	$4	0xa39f23…
06-21 16:58:14	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	29¢	$12	0xf59175…
06-21 15:48:22	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0x985443…
06-21 15:46:46	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0xb197ca…
06-21 15:24:46	will perplexitys valuation hit high 21b by june 30	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0xe71cb9…
06-21 15:23:56	will perplexitys valuation hit high 21b by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd378f2…
06-21 15:20:59	will perplexitys valuation hit high 21b by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xbb604f…
06-21 14:57:29	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x450a35…
06-21 14:56:38	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x318325…
06-21 14:54:37	will bulk launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	102	35¢	$36	0xaf9149…
06-21 14:39:04	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	26	15¢	$4	0x75164a…
06-21 14:36:14	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	SELL	9	16¢	$2	0x92f51b…
06-21 14:32:47	will trump praise allah again by june 30 20260610152457610	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x2e6cc8…
06-21 14:26:53	will xauusd reach 4700 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x689b88…
06-21 11:57:53	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x04042c…
06-21 11:32:08	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	22	80¢	$18	0x95364b…
06-21 11:23:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	36	47¢	$17	0x1c13d1…
06-21 11:22:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xb40da9…
06-21 11:22:34	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	10	45¢	$5	0x14d717…
06-21 11:18:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	31	47¢	$15	0x6ebead…
06-21 11:06:50	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xb24efa…
06-21 10:58:01	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x979e53…
06-21 10:46:50	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x91d976…
06-21 10:46:50	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x01364b…
06-21 10:41:34	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xdf9170…
06-21 10:27:07	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xb2bbe9…
06-21 10:23:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x7a4978…
06-21 10:22:07	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	72	59¢	$42	0x877ce4…
06-21 10:16:55	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xa2946a…
06-21 10:16:38	will tread launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0xb761f0…
06-21 10:13:47	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x8f204d…
06-21 10:13:14	will mohammad bagher ghalibaf sign a us x iran deal by july 31	No	BUY	52	56¢	$29	0xc43cda…
06-21 10:12:02	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x7b64e6…
06-21 10:10:02	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xcda9e8…
06-21 10:09:11	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x1fea6c…
06-20 20:57:35	will nflx dip to 75 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	48¢	$3	0xe068f8…
06-20 16:30:07	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 30b	No	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x109fb9…
06-20 16:24:56	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 30b	No	SELL	32	55¢	$18	0xbcdc15…
06-20 16:11:25	will nflx dip to 70 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x41c69e…
06-20 15:43:53	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	59	64¢	$38	0x656d78…