Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,833
$2,059 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$22,261
Latest YES mid
44¢
Latest NO mid
56¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-14 21:30
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $350 | $350 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $842 | $253 | +$589 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $205 | $41 | +$164 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | — | $259 | $259 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| Median | 4 | $54 | $15 | +$39 |
| Below median | 4 | $842 | $43 | +$799 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $2 | $15 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $306 | $306 |
| unranked | 9 | $123 | $7 | +$116 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detailed-Lip 0xcca9…4c9f | Yes | +1,643 | $842 | $842 | 3 | 05-13 03:46 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +413 | $256 | $256 | 4 | 05-13 01:26 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +191 | $109 | $109 | 3 | 05-13 01:26 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +115 | $77 | $77 | 5 | 05-12 21:00 |
| Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | +101 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 05-09 19:13 |
| MKB 0x1d77…fdbe | Yes | +100 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 05-13 09:09 |
| Trustworthy-Faculty 0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | +100 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 21:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xc209…5196 | Yes | +60 | $36 | $36 | 1 | 05-10 06:47 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +60 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-09 19:12 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +52 | $38 | $38 | 7 | 05-13 03:27 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +50 | $38 | $38 | 2 | 05-12 20:55 |
| Crushing-Drapes 0x3e4b…b35f | Yes | +47 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-14 01:42 |
| Petty-Silver 0x24d2…1472 | Yes | +45 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 05-13 19:13 |
| Villainous-Hypothermia 0x52df…d61d | Yes | +39 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 02:05 |
| Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-09 19:13 |
| Compassionate-Fame 0xe7f7…e73b | No | +30 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 07:59 |
| Shadowy-Making 0x7005…0eec | Yes | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 20:57 |
| Natural-Carrot 0x1d57…3f78 | Yes | +22 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 20:02 |
| Harmful-Biscuit 0xde9b…1ae3 | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 21:08 |
| Majestic-Pliers 0x0368…9336 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 09:29 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-13 03:27 |
| Serene-Butterfly 0x1e5b…73d0 | No | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 21:30 |
| Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 03:27 |
| Clear-Surgeon 0x2f4d…e79b | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-13 03:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 21:30:11 | Serene-Butterfly 0x1e5b…73d0 | No | BUY | 8 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x94cdbe… |
| 05-14 20:57:10 | Shadowy-Making 0x7005…0eec | Yes | BUY | 22 | 45¢ | $10 | 0xaedc08… |
| 05-14 10:19:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x6cf223… |
| 05-14 10:18:51 | (anonymous) 0x13ae…bc72 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x90d36a… |
| 05-14 05:51:41 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 139 | 54¢ | $75 | 0x618bda… |
| 05-14 02:05:31 | Villainous-Hypothermia 0x52df…d61d | Yes | BUY | 39 | 46¢ | $18 | 0x9f205b… |
| 05-14 01:55:19 | Paltry-Manipulation 0xd7e0…c1bb | Yes | SELL | 152 | 41¢ | $62 | 0x29d758… |
| 05-14 01:42:11 | Crushing-Drapes 0x3e4b…b35f | Yes | BUY | 47 | 45¢ | $21 | 0x7892aa… |
| 05-13 23:21:49 | (anonymous) 0x1b29…5ad7 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xe94adc… |
| 05-13 21:08:50 | Harmful-Biscuit 0xde9b…1ae3 | No | BUY | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0x919a14… |
| 05-13 20:02:59 | Natural-Carrot 0x1d57…3f78 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 46¢ | $10 | 0xd9e62e… |
| 05-13 19:13:31 | Petty-Silver 0x24d2…1472 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 46¢ | $8 | 0x3439e7… |
| 05-13 09:29:43 | Majestic-Pliers 0x0368…9336 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x800857… |
| 05-13 09:09:28 | MKB 0x1d77…fdbe | Yes | BUY | 100 | 53¢ | $53 | 0x0d8b66… |
| 05-13 08:01:20 | Petty-Silver 0x24d2…1472 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 54¢ | $12 | 0xc8f714… |
| 05-13 07:59:56 | Compassionate-Fame 0xe7f7…e73b | No | BUY | 30 | 49¢ | $15 | 0xa99947… |
| 05-13 06:00:34 | Petty-Silver 0x24d2…1472 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xe4a1fe… |
| 05-13 03:46:24 | Detailed-Lip 0xcca9…4c9f | Yes | BUY | 1,019 | 53¢ | $540 | 0x5ade58… |
| 05-13 03:38:24 | Detailed-Lip 0xcca9…4c9f | Yes | BUY | 618 | 49¢ | $300 | 0xb1b719… |
| 05-13 03:38:24 | Clear-Surgeon 0x2f4d…e79b | Yes | SELL | 1 | 43¢ | $0 | 0xb35ece… |
| 05-13 03:27:35 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 66¢ | $4 | 0xd838c7… |
| 05-13 03:27:26 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 7 | 66¢ | $5 | 0xe72cd9… |
| 05-13 03:27:24 | Shimmering-Corruption 0x5968…3fc4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0x093575… |
| 05-13 03:26:49 | Clear-Surgeon 0x2f4d…e79b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x68f646… |
| 05-13 01:26:55 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 75¢ | $22 | 0x610eaa… |
| 05-13 01:26:55 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 101 | 75¢ | $76 | 0x837762… |
| 05-13 01:26:38 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 75¢ | $22 | 0x03637b… |
| 05-13 01:26:38 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 70 | 75¢ | $52 | 0x7da539… |
| 05-13 01:17:53 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 16 | 75¢ | $12 | 0x5ed6f2… |
| 05-13 00:16:41 | Detailed-Lip 0xcca9…4c9f | Yes | BUY | 7 | 25¢ | $2 | 0x13e523… |
| 05-12 21:41:45 | Trustworthy-Faculty 0x3bf2…70a4 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 25¢ | $25 | 0xd80c20… |
| 05-12 21:00:53 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 11 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xa85d1e… |
| 05-12 21:00:52 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 15 | 77¢ | $11 | 0x69cfbb… |
| 05-12 21:00:50 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 37 | 77¢ | $29 | 0x09f930… |
| 05-12 20:55:42 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x602969… |
| 05-12 20:55:14 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0x231576… |
| 05-12 20:55:10 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 40 | 76¢ | $30 | 0xe1da56… |
| 05-12 20:55:09 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x7d1df0… |
| 05-12 20:50:48 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x378087… |
| 05-12 20:50:48 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0x8683d3… |
| 05-11 11:38:25 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0xa97e6a… |
| 05-11 11:38:24 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 69¢ | $1 | 0x404813… |
| 05-11 11:38:15 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x8d6939… |
| 05-10 08:11:28 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 220 | 53¢ | $117 | 0x4ef59b… |
| 05-10 06:47:49 | (anonymous) 0xc209…5196 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 61¢ | $36 | 0x3c9175… |
| 05-09 19:13:27 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 40 | 49¢ | $20 | 0x44e95b… |
| 05-09 19:13:23 | Ornery-Hello 0x5136…0e4f | No | BUY | 30 | 49¢ | $15 | 0x95c16a… |
| 05-09 19:13:23 | Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | BUY | 43 | 49¢ | $21 | 0x0b5cd4… |
| 05-09 19:13:22 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 131 | 49¢ | $64 | 0xca7643… |
| 05-09 19:12:43 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 41 | 49¢ | $20 | 0x436768… |
| 05-09 19:12:43 | Scornful-Conductor 0x1e82…af92 | No | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x67b5a7… |
| 05-09 19:12:43 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 48¢ | $14 | 0x614cd8… |
| 05-09 19:12:41 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 22 | 48¢ | $11 | 0x24cccb… |
| 05-09 18:58:15 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 48¢ | $14 | 0x703dbf… |