Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

59.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$477

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 11-01 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

44% 27% +$5

Politics

31% 33% -$10

Tech

21% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+21	-$3	10¢	$2	+$5	09-19 13:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+4	$2	34¢	$1	-$1	10-28 17:56
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	+170	$1	1¢	$1	+$0	10-08 12:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	2	$98	54	54	+0	open	—	10-14 08:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$48	52	0	+52	No	+$4	03-08 18:44
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$43	220	198	+21	open	—	09-19 13:57
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	2	$39	28	28	+0	open	—	10-31 08:21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$25	19	19	+0	Yes	+$5	09-12 09:00
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$21	60	30	+30	Yes	+$31	07-14 20:04
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	08-10 17:42
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	09-12 09:01
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$19	21	21	+0	No	-$1	03-14 19:42
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	2	$18	60	60	+0	open	—	10-28 17:38
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	-$4	03-10 18:22
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$14	11	11	+0	Yes	+$4	10-03 08:57
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$14	18	18	+0	No	-$6	03-18 12:03
Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	3	$12	29	24	+5	open	—	11-01 08:44
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$10	32	0	+32	Yes	-$10	03-16 18:13
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	1	$10	26	0	+26	No	+$16	08-02 14:45
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$9	7	7	+0	Yes	-$1	01-17 20:07
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	2	$9	10	10	+0	Yes	-$1	01-17 20:07
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	2	$8	43	43	+0	open	—	08-16 13:31
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-25 14:29
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	2	$6	100	0	+100	open	—	09-21 17:57
Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 26?	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	-$5	10-24 08:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	10-28 17:56
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$1	170	0	+170	open	—	10-08 12:22
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	07-20 12:50
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	07-20 12:47
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$1	07-20 12:50
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$1	9	0	+9	No	-$1	09-15 10:00
US strike on Cuba by January 31?	1	$1	21	0	+21	No	-$1	01-12 12:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 08:44:06	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	Yes	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xec3a9a…
11-01 08:20:06	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	Yes	SELL	15	25¢	$4	0xf44e04…
10-31 08:21:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	28	69¢	$19	0x1dce89…
10-28 17:56:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0b413a…
10-28 17:38:13	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0x4c8b28…
10-24 08:26:57	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x36c920…
10-14 08:31:52	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	54	90¢	$49	0xa56ac0…
10-08 12:22:17	Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x8668ed…
10-03 08:57:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0xd5533b…
10-03 08:56:44	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	54	90¢	$49	0x0fdc71…
09-24 15:52:02	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x3f8687…
09-21 17:57:45	Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x26842c…
09-19 13:57:29	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	220	9¢	$20	0x1d0600…
09-19 13:55:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xac5241…
09-17 15:24:01	Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x955780…
09-15 10:00:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0a942a…
09-15 09:41:21	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	198	11¢	$23	0x87a9ec…
09-12 09:01:19	Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	No	SELL	15	75¢	$11	0x769c85…
09-12 09:00:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x0f54cb…
09-08 16:45:58	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x4deaa9…
09-04 21:21:48	Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x15a201…
08-16 13:31:52	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x76d711…
08-10 17:42:51	Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0xa92984…
08-10 17:42:12	Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xe9b6fe…
08-02 14:45:50	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9d4dbc…
08-02 14:32:32	Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.6% and 2.8%?	Yes	BUY	29	19¢	$6	0x1ae20f…
07-20 12:59:51	will apple purchase memory cxmt chips in 2026 20260630171913147	No	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0x846191…
07-20 12:50:33	Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xaaad1c…
07-20 12:50:22	Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe8b5b0…
07-20 12:47:54	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc9a39e…
07-14 20:04:20	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0xb45ec3…
05-16 21:44:55	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x28ee9e…
03-18 12:03:37	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0xa136c9…
03-16 18:13:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x7ef5df…
03-14 19:42:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0xf98a90…
03-14 13:15:09	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0a9c83…
03-14 13:12:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x35cea6…
03-10 18:22:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0xeb5a40…
03-08 18:44:21	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x3e5966…
03-08 18:38:15	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x7527fc…
01-25 14:29:16	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x4f6f5a…
01-17 20:07:52	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x9a84df…
01-17 20:07:52	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x12ccea…
01-14 20:45:30	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8b2f16…
01-12 12:06:10	US strike on Cuba by January 31?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xff66fd…
01-10 16:17:20	israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcce3ef…