Realized P&L
+$251
Unrealized P&L
-$300
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
5,375
lifetime
Volume
$875.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$163
Open exposure
$7.23K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 15:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
58% 100% +$202
Other
42% 100% +$49
Tech
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
62 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +3,200 $2,259 54¢ $1.7K $-547 07-20 19:15
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +1,700 $1,436 91¢ $1.5K +$105 07-17 04:56
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +1,300 $1,192 93¢ $1.2K +$19 07-20 16:16
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -1,200 $-1,134 95¢ $-1141 $-7 07-02 11:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +500 $450 99¢ $495 +$45 07-06 22:17
China coup attempt before 2027? No -500 $-484 96¢ $-478 +$7 06-01 15:34
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +400 $360 92¢ $370 +$10 07-20 22:17
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +200 $167 90¢ $179 +$13 07-17 04:11
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes -100 $-99 92¢ $-92 +$6 07-19 22:20
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? No +15 $-1 82¢ $12 +$13 06-10 07:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +0 $-35 88¢ $0 +$35 07-19 17:41