Brilliant-Laparoscope — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$251

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,435

lifetime

Volume

$881.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-08 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$202

Other

42% 100% +$49

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

54 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	245	$72.2K	54,686	33,527	+21,159	open	—	01-23 06:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	87	$36.0K	31,456	22,350	+9,106	open	—	03-02 23:52
netanyahu out by march 31 854	110	$32.3K	18,643	15,300	+3,343	open	—	03-22 01:16
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	3	$29.9K	15,000	15,200	-200	open	—	01-03 13:54
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	316	$28.0K	19,696	14,091	+5,604	open	—	04-03 02:04
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	60	$25.2K	14,500	11,090	+3,410	open	—	04-21 19:58
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	16	$18.5K	16,600	2,000	+14,600	open	—	04-08 23:29
will l minh hng be the next prime minister of vietnam	173	$18.1K	12,299	8,561	+3,738	open	—	04-06 01:09
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	42	$16.4K	13,118	8,709	+4,409	open	—	02-28 09:17
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	155	$16.1K	14,356	15,047	-691	open	—	03-25 20:34
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	43	$15.9K	15,884	6,600	+9,284	open	—	04-08 23:35
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	115	$14.8K	11,445	6,196	+5,249	open	—	05-11 01:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	83	$13.9K	10,042	8,362	+1,680	open	—	04-27 14:27
will iran strike turkey in march	142	$13.6K	8,206	7,928	+279	open	—	03-24 22:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	147	$12.9K	15,633	12,601	+3,032	open	—	05-29 16:31
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	34	$11.9K	11,400	1,000	+10,400	open	—	02-28 07:10
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	11	$11.5K	5,852	5,952	-100	open	—	04-07 23:18
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	37	$11.3K	11,332	11,332	-0	open	—	05-15 00:43
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	15	$11.2K	11,947	500	+11,447	open	—	04-07 03:39
will tran cam tu be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	89	$10.9K	3,767	7,383	-3,615	open	—	01-22 08:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	83	$10.7K	6,000	6,600	-600	open	—	04-21 23:44
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	81	$10.7K	7,976	6,482	+1,494	open	—	04-06 01:19
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	28	$10.6K	5,300	5,525	-225	open	—	01-19 20:53
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	15	$10.6K	10,550	550	+10,000	open	—	05-01 00:14
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	37	$9.9K	4,572	5,972	-1,400	open	—	01-22 18:46
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	27	$9.7K	8,782	951	+7,831	open	—	01-04 01:54
Iran leadership change by March 13?	47	$9.6K	4,848	5,300	-452	open	—	03-14 09:17
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	10	$9.4K	9,500	0	+9,500	open	—	02-26 21:27
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	25	$9.3K	3,471	6,205	-2,734	open	—	04-06 07:25
will israel nuke iran by january 31	14	$9.3K	5,422	3,950	+1,472	open	—	01-20 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 22:40:24	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	500	94¢	$472	0x8fced7…
08-05 14:31:02	tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	No	BUY	600	95¢	$571	0x74baa3…
08-04 15:46:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2e30d1…
08-04 14:42:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	99	79¢	$78	0xdf9a78…
08-02 21:43:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xa2d036…
08-02 06:31:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	263	69¢	$181	0x84adaa…
08-02 06:21:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0x70813a…
08-02 06:20:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	500	97¢	$486	0x1712c4…
08-02 06:19:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x00bc1e…
08-02 06:18:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	13	69¢	$9	0x7ba56c…
08-02 06:13:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xc413df…
08-02 04:04:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xc31887…
08-02 02:44:54	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	250	40¢	$100	0xc399f2…
08-02 01:31:18	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	151	33¢	$50	0xcd69b8…
08-02 00:29:57	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	51	33¢	$17	0x735385…
08-02 00:27:38	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x2f0f46…
08-01 17:22:14	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xdfc6bc…
08-01 17:22:14	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x502945…
08-01 17:22:12	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8a6eeb…
08-01 16:06:02	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0x5b8272…
08-01 16:03:39	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	23	28¢	$7	0x647577…
08-01 15:58:21	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	81	77¢	$62	0x9af33a…
08-01 15:58:14	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1d5e97…
08-01 15:58:11	will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	No	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x76a52b…
08-01 11:16:08	will super typhoon dolphin hit china 20260730202351925	No	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x5c8929…
08-01 02:04:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x86aca0…
07-31 02:26:12	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0x257233…
07-31 01:02:00	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xf88ebe…
07-31 01:01:51	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x083fdc…
07-30 22:44:00	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xf84469…
07-30 15:57:17	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xb1e730…
07-30 15:57:12	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x4b98f0…
07-30 14:50:26	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x51c1f9…
07-30 07:40:48	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x045978…
07-29 23:13:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x7eb952…
07-29 21:51:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x8e6378…
07-29 13:55:38	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	BUY	67	67¢	$45	0xe4701c…
07-29 10:56:54	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x30ed4b…
07-29 10:44:51	china x philippines military clash before 2027 20260723214807932	No	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x1c858a…
07-28 22:40:52	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x52a5a3…
07-28 22:29:44	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x144d29…
07-28 16:16:08	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0x981e3b…
07-28 16:01:04	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	SELL	695	99¢	$686	0x9f9f88…
07-28 11:59:01	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0x8dfc32…
07-28 10:50:59	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x8f22aa…
07-28 10:21:16	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x4f7c52…
07-28 03:34:01	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xb7abc5…
07-28 00:17:21	will spider man brand new day score at least 95 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260630144026314	No	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0xd451ed…
07-26 17:17:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xf38238…
07-26 15:36:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0xb7178d…
07-26 07:56:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x44a0db…
07-26 07:37:31	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x2bfc28…
07-26 07:19:55	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	BUY	400	85¢	$340	0x3ff783…
07-26 07:19:45	nba lebron james and bronny james jrpt to play together in 2026 27 20260630182039143	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x5f24d9…
07-26 06:42:27	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xfb9e8e…
07-25 20:30:06	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x1ca4ba…
07-23 12:28:52	Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	300	95¢	$284	0xd1d3d9…
07-23 12:26:57	Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?	Yes	BUY	98	94¢	$92	0xa9564b…
07-21 15:48:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	91	93¢	$85	0x12b92b…
07-21 15:47:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	No	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x2f1255…
07-21 15:42:48	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xebea65…
07-20 22:17:42	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0x741e0b…
07-20 19:15:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x40e6a8…
07-20 16:16:52	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$458	0x051335…
07-20 16:15:51	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	800	92¢	$734	0x050479…
07-20 15:54:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	345	42¢	$145	0x842d53…
07-20 15:54:00	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xaf732a…
07-20 15:53:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x0f2514…
07-20 15:53:24	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xeba263…
07-20 15:52:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	135	42¢	$57	0xbc56db…
07-20 15:48:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	72	42¢	$30	0xe50fb1…
07-20 15:48:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	156	42¢	$66	0x928703…
07-20 15:47:57	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	55	42¢	$23	0x27155b…
07-20 15:47:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	500	42¢	$210	0xae5851…
07-20 15:45:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	26	39¢	$10	0xd4179c…
07-20 15:45:39	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x199648…
07-20 15:45:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	50	39¢	$19	0x2dcdf7…
07-20 15:44:51	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	74	39¢	$29	0xc848dd…
07-20 15:20:19	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	500	35¢	$175	0xac1589…
07-20 14:07:18	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x6bfb66…
07-20 14:07:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xdc5627…
07-20 14:07:12	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x84f86b…
07-20 14:07:03	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xe65017…
07-20 14:05:01	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xb44c6a…
07-20 13:54:13	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xced1b1…
07-20 13:53:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x40b4e9…
07-20 13:49:25	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	300	51¢	$153	0x9be192…
07-20 13:43:33	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x523e6f…
07-20 13:11:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	500	76¢	$380	0x138488…
07-20 13:05:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	500	72¢	$360	0x82c782…
07-20 12:29:40	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x8de87b…
07-20 11:39:15	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	500	61¢	$305	0x0aabaf…
07-20 11:35:42	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	400	65¢	$260	0x6da9b6…
07-20 10:54:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x0dedf8…
07-20 10:53:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcceed1…
07-20 10:53:58	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x5e7aca…
07-20 10:52:06	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x4a6d05…
07-20 10:51:04	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0xdae0ec…
07-19 22:20:10	Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0xc9692f…
07-19 17:41:39	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	71	91¢	$65	0xa4d9dc…