Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$940
$7 in 24h
Trades
77
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$22,218
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-03 05:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+94.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 6% YES on $656)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $17 | $463 | $446 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | — | $57 | $57 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $15 | $97 | $82 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | $124 | $122 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $313 | $313 |
| Median | 3 | — | $14 | $14 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $31 | $31 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| unranked | 13 | $15 | $135 | $120 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | +339 | $17 | $17 | 8 | 06-19 06:16 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +333 | $313 | $313 | 4 | 06-01 03:31 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +131 | $123 | $125 | 4 | 07-03 05:22 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +86 | $4 | $4 | 20 | 07-03 05:23 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +50 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-30 11:22 |
| PaveR 0x2a63…2eb3 | No | +37 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-07 03:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-16 10:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x2bf3…ae28 | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 07-02 03:07 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-02 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-26 08:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x6829…b791 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-02 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd51…50e8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-03 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 07-03 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-02 03:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x95e8…81ef | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-03 05:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xac0d…cdfa | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x39cb…77fb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-03 05:23 |
| Hateful-Cord 0xbaf9…a7b7 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 03:13 |
| Lopsided-Weight 0xec4f…9d60 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 11:16 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 05:23:14 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x92218a… |
| 07-03 05:23:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x92218a… |
| 07-03 05:23:07 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb04dc2… |
| 07-03 05:23:07 | (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb04dc2… |
| 07-03 05:23:04 | (anonymous) 0x95e8…81ef | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xb38a7e… |
| 07-03 05:23:04 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb38a7e… |
| 07-03 05:23:01 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x0c018b… |
| 07-03 05:23:01 | (anonymous) 0x39cb…77fb | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x0c018b… |
| 07-03 05:22:59 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xa26070… |
| 07-03 05:22:59 | (anonymous) 0x2b0b…bb6b | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xa26070… |
| 07-02 03:08:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf17c51… |
| 07-02 03:08:29 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf17c51… |
| 07-02 03:07:41 | (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9735d3… |
| 07-02 03:07:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9735d3… |
| 07-02 03:07:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2ada15… |
| 07-02 03:07:38 | (anonymous) 0x2bf3…ae28 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x2ada15… |
| 07-02 03:07:35 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x919bc7… |
| 07-02 03:07:35 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x919bc7… |
| 07-02 03:07:34 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xc02497… |
| 07-02 03:07:34 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $11 | 0xc02497… |
| 07-02 03:05:50 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x2828f0… |
| 07-02 03:05:50 | Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x2828f0… |
| 07-02 03:05:41 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xe4675b… |
| 07-02 03:05:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe4675b… |
| 07-02 03:05:31 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8443fd… |
| 07-02 03:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x8443fd… |
| 07-02 03:05:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbc9ad3… |
| 07-02 03:05:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x486fb1… |
| 07-02 03:05:28 | (anonymous) 0x95e8…81ef | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x486fb1… |
| 07-02 03:05:28 | (anonymous) 0x6829…b791 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xbc9ad3… |
| 07-02 03:05:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x312d7d… |
| 07-02 03:05:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x105908… |
| 07-02 03:05:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 24 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2c0c4c… |
| 07-02 03:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x2bf3…ae28 | No | BUY | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0x2c0c4c… |
| 07-02 03:05:26 | (anonymous) 0xac0d…cdfa | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x105908… |
| 07-02 03:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x2b0b…bb6b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x312d7d… |
| 07-02 03:05:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x373891… |
| 07-02 03:05:23 | (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0xdb12d8… |
| 07-02 03:05:23 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 160 | 94¢ | $150 | 0x39b30b… |
| 07-02 03:05:23 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 6¢ | $2 | 0x39b30b… |
| 07-02 03:05:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xdb12d8… |
| 07-02 03:05:23 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 120 | 94¢ | $113 | 0x39b30b… |
| 07-02 03:05:23 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9102ac… |
| 07-02 03:05:23 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9102ac… |
| 07-02 03:05:23 | (anonymous) 0xcd51…50e8 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x373891… |
| 06-30 11:22:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x02497d… |
| 06-30 11:22:14 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x02497d… |
| 06-30 11:22:14 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x02497d… |
| 06-26 08:27:40 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb79176… |
| 06-26 08:27:40 | (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0xb79176… |
| 06-19 06:16:50 | Adventurous-Traveler 0x7f13…f06a | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc620fd… |
| 06-19 06:16:50 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xc620fd… |
| 06-16 10:30:37 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 27 | 95¢ | $25 | 0xe38a3f… |
| 06-16 10:30:37 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 27 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe38a3f… |
| 06-07 03:12:43 | PaveR 0x2a63…2eb3 | No | BUY | 37 | 95¢ | $35 | 0xe2c75c… |
| 06-07 03:12:43 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 37 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xe2c75c… |
| 06-03 12:59:40 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x528892… |
| 06-03 12:59:40 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x528892… |
| 06-01 11:16:49 | Lopsided-Weight 0xec4f…9d60 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x9ac003… |
| 06-01 11:16:49 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x9ac003… |
| 06-01 03:31:42 | Glittering-Pitcher 0xa0c3…5b9a | No | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x6b1798… |
| 06-01 03:31:42 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0x6b1798… |
| 05-31 22:33:34 | Taut-Blessing-Drinking 0x317e…62e2 | No | SELL | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xa1ebde… |
| 05-31 22:33:34 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0xa1ebde… |
| 05-31 19:32:23 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xfb38a2… |
| 05-31 19:32:23 | Taut-Blessing-Drinking 0x317e…62e2 | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xfb38a2… |
| 05-31 15:19:46 | Outlandish-Crosscontamination 0x7fda…7453 | Yes | SELL | 183 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xd7d398… |
| 05-31 15:19:46 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 183 | 5¢ | $9 | 0xd7d398… |
| 05-31 15:06:31 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | BUY | 67 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x0d18dc… |
| 05-31 15:06:31 | White-Accident 0xb508…c9ee | Yes | SELL | 67 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x0d18dc… |
| 05-31 08:03:26 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 67 | 94¢ | $63 | 0x3b2f5b… |
| 05-31 08:03:26 | White-Accident 0xb508…c9ee | Yes | BUY | 67 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x3b2f5b… |
| 05-31 07:16:44 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | BUY | 28 | 94¢ | $26 | 0xbe76bb… |
| 05-31 07:16:44 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 155 | 94¢ | $146 | 0xbe76bb… |
| 05-31 07:16:44 | Outlandish-Crosscontamination 0x7fda…7453 | Yes | BUY | 183 | 6¢ | $11 | 0xbe76bb… |
| 05-28 03:13:35 | Hateful-Cord 0xbaf9…a7b7 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x60255b… |
| 05-28 03:13:35 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x60255b… |