Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$79,600
$7 in 24h
Trades
1,176
Unique wallets
228
Liquidity
$22,218
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 08-13 22:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+11.5¢
(top1%: 16% YES on $1.2K
vs crowd: 5% YES on $46.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 16 | $31 | $15.2K | $15.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 18 | $279 | $1.4K | $1.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 44 | $564 | $11.3K | $10.8K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 150 | $1.2K | $16.5K | $15.2K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $199 | $1.0K | $845 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $20 | $7.0K | $7.0K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $40 | $6.6K | $6.6K |
| Median | 19 | $164 | $437 | $272 |
| Below median | 29 | $112 | $2.0K | $1.9K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $30 | $29 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $22 | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $46 | $457 | $411 |
| unranked | 147 | $1.5K | $25.6K | $24.1K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1086…27d2 | Yes | +9,700 | $492 | $492 | 13 | 08-03 20:49 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +5,557 | $5,259 | $8,114 | 155 | 08-03 20:49 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +3,054 | $2,921 | $6,774 | 10 | 08-10 20:11 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,470 | $99 | $299 | 37 | 08-11 22:25 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +1,130 | $1,075 | $1,075 | 6 | 08-11 22:25 |
| Cheery-Preparation 0xcaab…24dd | No | +1,000 | $948 | $948 | 2 | 08-01 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xb5cd…6055 | Yes | +684 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-13 17:28 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +600 | $572 | $572 | 16 | 08-10 17:17 |
| Attentive-Algebra 0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | +509 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 08-10 17:08 |
| Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | +505 | $491 | $1,196 | 5 | 07-28 03:43 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +389 | $18 | $18 | 10 | 07-06 14:50 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | +339 | $16 | $29 | 11 | 07-21 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +189 | $181 | $259 | 7 | 08-03 22:41 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +169 | $161 | $161 | 3 | 07-29 19:56 |
| Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | +167 | $160 | $268 | 14 | 07-16 05:42 |
| Calm-Locomotive 0x6747…a64f | No | +142 | $135 | $135 | 2 | 08-10 17:17 |
| Unripe-Capon 0x7818…d185 | No | +125 | $118 | $118 | 2 | 07-28 03:43 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +115 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-21 06:03 |
| Rusty-Vegetation 0xcc8a…7d9c | No | +104 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 08-08 13:50 |
| Rundown-Schoolhouse 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | +100 | $96 | $96 | 1 | 08-10 22:16 |
| Obvious-Rumor-Arrest 0x071f…62f0 | Yes | +91 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-23 17:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | +63 | $60 | $75 | 4 | 08-03 20:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xaafe…9a9b | No | +56 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 08-13 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xe621…19ff | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 07-29 19:56 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +50 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 08-01 14:32 |
| PaveR 0x2a63…2eb3 | No | +37 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-07 03:12 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-21 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xb903…939a | Yes | +24 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-13 22:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-02 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 08:18 |
| Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | +20 | $21 | $409 | 89 | 08-03 20:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x6334…227f | No | +20 | $19 | $25 | 15 | 07-16 05:42 |
| Honorable-Bough 0xd37c…281a | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-05 05:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x80a5…cb9a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5ac…8071 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-13 13:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | No | +9 | $9 | $99 | 66 | 07-17 12:50 |
| Jubilant-Direction 0x7c83…d800 | No | +8 | $8 | $12 | 13 | 07-16 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | No | +8 | $8 | $42 | 3 | 07-25 04:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x95e8…81ef | No | +7 | $7 | $9 | 10 | 07-16 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x5d78…1ca0 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-13 22:17 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-16 15:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-13 22:17:31 | (anonymous) 0xb903…939a | Yes | BUY | 24 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x506fa5… |
| 08-13 22:17:31 | (anonymous) 0xaafe…9a9b | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x506fa5… |
| 08-13 22:17:31 | (anonymous) 0x5d78…1ca0 | No | BUY | 7 | 96¢ | $7 | 0x506fa5… |
| 08-13 13:01:12 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 46 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf3cb75… |
| 08-13 13:01:12 | Some-Symptom 0x5851…ec04 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xf3cb75… |
| 08-13 13:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xf3cb75… |
| 08-13 13:01:12 | (anonymous) 0xf5ac…8071 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xf3cb75… |
| 08-13 12:59:30 | Vibrant-Chairperson 0x725e…3525 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x364f66… |
| 08-13 12:59:30 | (anonymous) 0xd424…1991 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x364f66… |
| 08-13 12:59:22 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x9e5cd0… |
| 08-13 12:59:22 | Some-Symptom 0x5851…ec04 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x9e5cd0… |
| 08-13 12:59:22 | (anonymous) 0xaafe…9a9b | No | BUY | 39 | 96¢ | $37 | 0x9e5cd0… |
| 08-13 12:58:10 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xffce3e… |
| 08-13 12:58:10 | Vibrant-Chairperson 0x725e…3525 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xffce3e… |
| 08-12 06:44:21 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x1096db… |
| 08-12 06:44:21 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x1096db… |
| 08-11 22:25:03 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa20712… |
| 08-11 22:25:03 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xa20712… |
| 08-11 14:59:07 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xe1afe7… |
| 08-11 14:59:07 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0xe1afe7… |
| 08-11 07:45:42 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdbe5a8… |
| 08-11 07:45:42 | Dim-Pillbox-Tolerance 0x9614…d217 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xdbe5a8… |
| 08-10 22:16:42 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x7c9854… |
| 08-10 22:16:42 | Rundown-Schoolhouse 0x6abe…d6a5 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x7c9854… |
| 08-10 20:11:04 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xcadad0… |
| 08-10 20:11:04 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0xcadad0… |
| 08-10 17:17:19 | Calm-Locomotive 0x6747…a64f | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0xe6de0c… |
| 08-10 17:17:19 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $47 | 0xe6de0c… |
| 08-10 17:17:16 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0x952a01… |
| 08-10 17:17:16 | Calm-Locomotive 0x6747…a64f | No | BUY | 92 | 95¢ | $88 | 0x952a01… |
| 08-10 17:17:16 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0x952a01… |
| 08-10 17:17:12 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x6d70ba… |
| 08-10 17:17:12 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x6d70ba… |
| 08-10 17:17:09 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 103 | 95¢ | $98 | 0x1ff505… |
| 08-10 17:17:09 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 150 | 95¢ | $143 | 0x1ff505… |
| 08-10 17:17:09 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 47 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x1ff505… |
| 08-10 17:17:04 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x6adf73… |
| 08-10 17:17:04 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x6adf73… |
| 08-10 17:08:51 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x6ae153… |
| 08-10 17:08:51 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x6ae153… |
| 08-10 17:08:51 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x6ae153… |
| 08-10 17:08:51 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x6ae153… |
| 08-10 17:08:51 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x6ae153… |
| 08-10 17:08:51 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x6ae153… |
| 08-10 17:08:51 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x6ae153… |
| 08-10 17:08:51 | Attentive-Algebra 0x8e4f…4594 | Yes | BUY | 509 | 4¢ | $21 | 0x6ae153… |
| 08-10 17:08:51 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 150 | 96¢ | $144 | 0x6ae153… |
| 08-08 13:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x24c7bd… |
| 08-08 13:50:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 97 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x24c7bd… |
| 08-08 13:50:25 | Rusty-Vegetation 0xcc8a…7d9c | No | BUY | 104 | 96¢ | $100 | 0x24c7bd… |
| 08-08 03:28:39 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | SELL | 42 | 95¢ | $40 | 0x57ec9f… |
| 08-08 03:28:39 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 29 | 95¢ | $27 | 0x57ec9f… |
| 08-08 03:28:39 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 13 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x57ec9f… |
| 08-08 02:01:51 | (anonymous) 0xba6c…618b | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x463cf7… |
| 08-08 02:01:51 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x463cf7… |
| 08-08 02:01:51 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x463cf7… |
| 08-07 15:33:57 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x366959… |
| 08-07 15:33:57 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x366959… |
| 08-07 08:32:15 | Untimely-Charge 0x391d…def1 | No | SELL | 183 | 96¢ | $175 | 0x24ac8a… |
| 08-07 08:32:15 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 614 | 4¢ | $25 | 0x24ac8a… |
| 08-07 08:32:15 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 431 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x24ac8a… |
| 08-06 15:57:08 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xbfcbb1… |
| 08-06 15:57:08 | (anonymous) 0x8422…69f7 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xbfcbb1… |
| 08-06 15:16:12 | Blank-Waveform 0xc966…bac9 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xed92de… |
| 08-06 15:16:12 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xed92de… |
| 08-06 15:02:38 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x97765c… |
| 08-06 15:02:38 | Granular-Pantsuit 0x15b8…495b | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x97765c… |
| 08-06 14:56:02 | Lively-Hemp 0x3f63…b9ee | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x84ceb2… |
| 08-06 14:56:02 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x84ceb2… |
| 08-06 14:43:14 | Silky-Museum 0x009a…9ce1 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x974f19… |
| 08-06 14:43:14 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x974f19… |
| 08-06 01:27:06 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc6c32d… |
| 08-06 01:27:06 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xc6c32d… |
| 08-05 12:50:57 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7a090b… |
| 08-05 12:50:57 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7a090b… |
| 08-05 05:54:24 | (anonymous) 0x742a…1385 | No | SELL | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x47e616… |
| 08-05 05:54:24 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x47e616… |
| 08-05 00:50:57 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x621265… |
| 08-05 00:50:57 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x621265… |
| 08-03 22:41:57 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 38 | 96¢ | $36 | 0xc6f2b7… |
| 08-03 22:41:57 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc6f2b7… |
| 08-03 22:41:57 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xc6f2b7… |
| 08-03 20:49:51 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 24 | 95¢ | $23 | 0xd81229… |
| 08-03 20:49:51 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xd81229… |
| 08-03 20:49:41 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x28938d… |
| 08-03 20:49:41 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0x28938d… |
| 08-03 20:49:33 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xf3cb7c… |
| 08-03 20:49:33 | (anonymous) 0x3677…c090 | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xf3cb7c… |
| 08-03 20:49:30 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 2,026 | 95¢ | $1,921 | 0x9ce470… |
| 08-03 20:49:30 | (anonymous) 0x1086…27d2 | Yes | BUY | 1,874 | 5¢ | $97 | 0x9ce470… |
| 08-03 20:49:30 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x9ce470… |
| 08-03 20:49:30 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x9ce470… |
| 08-03 20:49:30 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 51 | 5¢ | $3 | 0x9ce470… |
| 08-02 22:26:02 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 826 | 95¢ | $783 | 0x9b77a6… |
| 08-02 22:26:02 | (anonymous) 0x1086…27d2 | Yes | BUY | 826 | 5¢ | $43 | 0x9b77a6… |
| 08-02 04:19:59 | (anonymous) 0x1086…27d2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xad3fbb… |
| 08-02 04:19:59 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | BUY | 6 | 95¢ | $6 | 0xad3fbb… |
| 08-01 14:46:18 | (anonymous) 0x1086…27d2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x87e54b… |
| 08-01 14:46:18 | (anonymous) 0x99fe…5705 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x87e54b… |
| 08-01 14:32:05 | (anonymous) 0x1086…27d2 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2668e3… |