Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$72,718
$7 in 24h
Trades
1,042
Unique wallets
208
Liquidity
$22,218
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-23 17:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+95.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $180
vs crowd: 4% YES on $40.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 14 | $23 | $11.2K | $11.2K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 13 | $218 | $638 | $420 |
| 🐟 Fish | 31 | $314 | $6.6K | $6.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 150 | $1.3K | $20.4K | $19.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $180 | — | +$180 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $10 | $4.9K | $4.9K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $40 | $6.4K | $6.4K |
| Median | 15 | $160 | $237 | $77 |
| Below median | 28 | $88 | $1.8K | $1.7K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $1 | $19 | $19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $9 | $238 | $229 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 7 | $46 | $423 | $377 |
| unranked | 136 | $1.3K | $24.8K | $23.5K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1086…27d2 | Yes | +5,742 | $286 | $286 | 1 | 07-21 22:08 |
| Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | +3,531 | $3,338 | $6,193 | 154 | 07-17 12:50 |
| Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | +2,899 | $2,774 | $6,626 | 7 | 07-21 22:08 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +2,000 | $80 | $280 | 33 | 07-21 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xb5cd…6055 | Yes | +684 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-13 17:28 |
| Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | +668 | $646 | $1,042 | 4 | 07-21 06:04 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +400 | $382 | $382 | 11 | 07-21 22:08 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +389 | $18 | $18 | 10 | 07-06 14:50 |
| Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | +339 | $16 | $29 | 11 | 07-21 22:08 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +248 | $238 | $238 | 2 | 07-05 23:21 |
| Untimely-Charge 0x391d…def1 | No | +183 | $174 | $174 | 1 | 07-13 17:28 |
| Limp-Attraction 0x9d06…c4e8 | No | +167 | $160 | $268 | 14 | 07-16 05:42 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +133 | $127 | $127 | 2 | 07-16 05:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +128 | $122 | $200 | 5 | 07-16 12:59 |
| Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | +115 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 07-21 06:03 |
| Obvious-Rumor-Arrest 0x071f…62f0 | Yes | +91 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-23 17:24 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +73 | $2 | $18 | 19 | 07-23 17:24 |
| PaveR 0x2a63…2eb3 | No | +37 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 06-07 03:12 |
| Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 07-21 22:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 2 | 07-19 07:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf040…d11f | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-02 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +21 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-16 08:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6334…227f | No | +20 | $19 | $25 | 15 | 07-16 05:42 |
| Honorable-Bough 0xd37c…281a | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-05 05:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 7 | 07-17 12:50 |
| Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | +14 | $14 | $23 | 3 | 07-18 02:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x742a…1385 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-08 06:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x80a5…cb9a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-10 17:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | No | +9 | $9 | $99 | 66 | 07-17 12:50 |
| Jubilant-Direction 0x7c83…d800 | No | +8 | $8 | $12 | 13 | 07-16 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x95e8…81ef | No | +7 | $7 | $9 | 10 | 07-16 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xad5c…b927 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 07-16 06:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 07-16 15:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xebf7…897e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-05 08:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | +5 | $5 | $6 | 7 | 07-16 15:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xcd51…50e8 | No | +4 | $4 | $6 | 3 | 07-16 05:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x91ad…b29e | No | +4 | $3 | $5 | 5 | 07-16 15:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x39cb…77fb | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-16 15:17 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-16 15:40 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 17:24:22 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x03fa4a… |
| 07-23 17:24:22 | Obvious-Rumor-Arrest 0x071f…62f0 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 5¢ | $5 | 0x03fa4a… |
| 07-23 00:50:28 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 51 | 94¢ | $48 | 0x3223a9… |
| 07-23 00:50:28 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x3223a9… |
| 07-21 22:08:37 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 2,000 | 5¢ | $100 | 0x16ba60… |
| 07-21 22:08:37 | Punctual-Sand 0x21d0…ce91 | No | BUY | 2,297 | 95¢ | $2,182 | 0x16ba60… |
| 07-21 22:08:37 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x16ba60… |
| 07-21 22:08:37 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | SELL | 125 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x16ba60… |
| 07-21 22:08:37 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x16ba60… |
| 07-21 22:08:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 406 | 5¢ | $20 | 0x16ba60… |
| 07-21 22:08:37 | (anonymous) 0x1086…27d2 | Yes | BUY | 5,742 | 5¢ | $286 | 0x16ba60… |
| 07-21 22:08:37 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | BUY | 51 | 95¢ | $49 | 0x16ba60… |
| 07-21 22:08:37 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 27 | 95¢ | $26 | 0x16ba60… |
| 07-21 22:08:37 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 192 | 95¢ | $182 | 0x16ba60… |
| 07-21 14:41:40 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x1b7150… |
| 07-21 14:41:40 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0x1b7150… |
| 07-21 06:04:30 | Handy-Grasshopper 0x4fc1…ec92 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xe4a79c… |
| 07-21 06:04:30 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xe4a79c… |
| 07-21 06:04:27 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x37648a… |
| 07-21 06:04:27 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x37648a… |
| 07-21 06:03:58 | Teeming-Min 0x198a…3ca3 | No | BUY | 115 | 96¢ | $110 | 0xb15014… |
| 07-21 06:03:58 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xb15014… |
| 07-21 06:03:58 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xb15014… |
| 07-21 06:03:58 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb15014… |
| 07-19 07:17:06 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3f7ef5… |
| 07-19 07:17:06 | (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | No | BUY | 17 | 95¢ | $16 | 0x3f7ef5… |
| 07-19 07:17:06 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 16 | 95¢ | $15 | 0x3f7ef5… |
| 07-19 06:57:07 | (anonymous) 0x8807…d08a | No | BUY | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x68d309… |
| 07-19 06:57:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 9 | 95¢ | $9 | 0x68d309… |
| 07-18 02:02:07 | Mundane-Airbag 0xa3af…b7a6 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf965c0… |
| 07-18 02:02:07 | Near-Familiar 0x6139…6b7a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf965c0… |
| 07-17 16:47:16 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | SELL | 8 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4e6350… |
| 07-17 16:47:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 8 | 95¢ | $8 | 0x4e6350… |
| 07-17 12:50:36 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x28518a… |
| 07-17 12:50:36 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x28518a… |
| 07-17 12:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x51c604… |
| 07-17 12:50:33 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x51c604… |
| 07-17 12:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x9a6ee4… |
| 07-17 12:50:30 | (anonymous) 0x601f…76ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x9a6ee4… |
| 07-17 12:50:28 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 51 | 95¢ | $49 | 0xb11835… |
| 07-17 12:50:28 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | No | SELL | 51 | 95¢ | $49 | 0xb11835… |
| 07-16 15:43:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x38828c… |
| 07-16 15:43:20 | Harmful-Detective 0x4203…6646 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x38828c… |
| 07-16 15:40:29 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x840e88… |
| 07-16 15:40:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x840e88… |
| 07-16 15:40:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x840e88… |
| 07-16 15:40:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x318875… |
| 07-16 15:40:22 | (anonymous) 0x9cdd…df3e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x318875… |
| 07-16 15:40:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x322b20… |
| 07-16 15:40:20 | (anonymous) 0x0e19…3f79 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x322b20… |
| 07-16 15:40:19 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x36f111… |
| 07-16 15:40:19 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x36f111… |
| 07-16 15:40:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 24 | 95¢ | $22 | 0x36f111… |
| 07-16 15:39:25 | Faint-Sponsor 0x391e…ae23 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x824155… |
| 07-16 15:39:25 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x824155… |
| 07-16 15:23:07 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4d7b79… |
| 07-16 15:23:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4d7b79… |
| 07-16 15:18:04 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xc9c33b… |
| 07-16 15:18:04 | (anonymous) 0x46b1…428c | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xc9c33b… |
| 07-16 15:17:53 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9f9771… |
| 07-16 15:17:53 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x9f9771… |
| 07-16 15:17:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdc5635… |
| 07-16 15:17:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x128916… |
| 07-16 15:17:49 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf2d425… |
| 07-16 15:17:49 | (anonymous) 0x95e8…81ef | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x128916… |
| 07-16 15:17:49 | (anonymous) 0x91ad…b29e | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xf2d425… |
| 07-16 15:17:49 | (anonymous) 0x1241…d325 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xdc5635… |
| 07-16 15:17:46 | (anonymous) 0x39cb…77fb | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe792a9… |
| 07-16 15:17:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x377d29… |
| 07-16 15:17:46 | Greedy-Cultivar 0x8338…2ea3 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x377d29… |
| 07-16 15:17:46 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 0 | 95¢ | $0 | 0x377d29… |
| 07-16 15:17:46 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xe792a9… |
| 07-16 14:51:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x082199… |
| 07-16 14:51:41 | Sweltering-Carpet 0x2378…4ba4 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x082199… |
| 07-16 14:49:49 | Meek-Beancurd 0x2719…2a89 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xcf2576… |
| 07-16 14:49:49 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xcf2576… |
| 07-16 14:47:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xadbd00… |
| 07-16 14:47:38 | Vicious-Bay 0xeea4…5705 | No | SELL | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xadbd00… |
| 07-16 13:32:37 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xde121b… |
| 07-16 13:32:37 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xde121b… |
| 07-16 13:32:34 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2b2a7e… |
| 07-16 13:32:34 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x2b2a7e… |
| 07-16 12:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x7ef839… |
| 07-16 12:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x7ef839… |
| 07-16 11:36:07 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x311d50… |
| 07-16 11:36:07 | Dull-Universe 0x1f0a…f7aa | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x311d50… |
| 07-16 11:36:07 | (anonymous) 0x87f8…b109 | No | SELL | 50 | 95¢ | $48 | 0x311d50… |
| 07-16 09:43:44 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x749beb… |
| 07-16 09:43:44 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x749beb… |
| 07-16 09:43:43 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x8bbb49… |
| 07-16 09:43:43 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x8bbb49… |
| 07-16 09:43:41 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x71bc8c… |
| 07-16 09:43:41 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x670aed… |
| 07-16 09:43:41 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x71bc8c… |
| 07-16 09:43:41 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x670aed… |
| 07-16 09:43:40 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x7c883f… |
| 07-16 09:43:40 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x7c883f… |
| 07-16 09:43:38 | Guilty-Trail 0xae58…e5c5 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x3e446b… |
| 07-16 09:43:38 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3e446b… |
| 07-16 09:43:37 | Breakable-Stepsister 0xe23b…f147 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x916a85… |