Honorable-Bough 0xd37c95…44281a
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved
2,424
Trades
3,166
lifetime
Volume
$4.54K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$125
25 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 08-14 06:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 70 days
Categories
Crypto
53% 77% -$27
Other
34% 47% +$21
Politics
6% 57% -$28
Sports
6% 57% +$8
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$9
Tech
0% 67% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +57 $54 96¢ $54 $0 08-14 06:24
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No +18 $15 93¢ $17 +$2 05-31 19:47
will turkey join the abraham accords before 2027 No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$1 07-27 01:10
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 93¢ $14 $0 07-05 05:11
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -5 -$1 98¢ $-5 -$4 04-29 09:41
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +22 $3 12¢ $3 $0 06-26 02:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20 -$1 12¢ $-2 -$1 05-18 03:59
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -12 -$1 17¢ $-2 -$1 05-18 03:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2 -$1 96¢ $-2 -$1 04-29 14:54
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$2 39¢ $-2 $0 05-18 03:59
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10 -$2 20¢ $-2 +$0 04-30 23:15
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No -3 -$1 68¢ $-2 -$1 04-29 09:41
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +4 $1 32¢ $1 +$0 05-08 17:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 -$1 82¢ $-1 $0 05-06 05:51
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -10 -$1 9¢ $-1 +$0 05-06 19:33
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$1 19¢ $-1 +$0 05-06 22:18
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$1 16¢ $-1 +$0 05-18 03:59
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -2 -$1 28¢ $-1 +$1 05-09 16:15
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 04-30 02:48
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 $0 16¢ $0 $0 05-18 03:59
Ramp IPO before 2027? Yes +0 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-18 03:59
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +4 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-09 19:09
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 05-18 03:59
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +0 $0 9¢ $0 +$0 05-10 13:40
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +0 $0 11¢ $0 $0 05-10 11:00