(anonymous) 0x592306…2649cd
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$72
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
187
lifetime
Volume
$13.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$72
Open exposure
$9.32K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 06-09 18:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
56% — —
Other
38% — —
Sports
6% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,818 $1,768 97¢ $1.8K $-7 06-10 00:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,015 $856 82¢ $827 $-29 06-09 12:39
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +754 $734 98¢ $741 +$7 06-09 18:35
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +726 $518 64¢ $461 $-57 06-09 12:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +512 $432 87¢ $445 +$13 06-09 12:39
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +602 $438 74¢ $443 +$5 06-09 12:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +466 $439 95¢ $441 +$2 06-09 09:22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +503 $427 84¢ $425 $-2 06-09 12:39
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +404 $376 94¢ $378 +$2 06-09 18:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +362 $354 98¢ $356 +$2 06-05 10:32
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +307 $296 98¢ $301 +$5 06-09 12:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +410 $290 68¢ $277 $-13 06-09 18:34
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +279 $274 99¢ $276 +$2 06-06 14:11
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +306 $283 90¢ $275 $-8 06-08 04:28
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +233 $228 97¢ $227 $-1 06-09 12:40
Trump out as President before 2027? No +249 $226 90¢ $223 $-4 06-06 14:11
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +169 $166 98¢ $166 $-0 06-09 12:40
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +179 $164 92¢ $163 $-1 06-09 12:40
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +167 $152 89¢ $149 $-3 06-09 12:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +133 $126 96¢ $128 +$2 06-09 12:41
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +142 $117 82¢ $117 $-1 06-09 12:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +127 $114 90¢ $115 +$1 06-09 12:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +148 $106 72¢ $108 +$2 06-09 12:40
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +110 $107 98¢ $107 $-0 06-09 12:41
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +103 $100 96¢ $99 $-1 06-07 04:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +146 $74 56¢ $81 +$7 06-09 12:41
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +64 $63 97¢ $62 $-0 06-09 12:41
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +63 $62 98¢ $62 +$0 06-09 06:04
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +79 $51 74¢ $58 +$7 06-09 16:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +59 $52 88¢ $51 $-1 06-09 12:41