(anonymous) 0x592306…2649cd
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,042
lifetime
Volume
$41.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$10.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 06-30 00:51
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
55% — —
Other
43% — —
Sports
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,864 $1,792 100¢ $1.9K +$70 06-29 03:59
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +1,056 $1,025 100¢ $1.1K +$30 06-23 02:30
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +771 $751 100¢ $770 +$19 06-30 04:08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +729 $632 86¢ $631 $-1 06-30 00:50
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +587 $514 88¢ $520 +$6 06-30 00:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -509 $-511 100¢ $-508 +$3 06-29 21:12
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +610 $450 74¢ $451 +$1 06-30 00:34
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +510 $431 85¢ $433 +$2 06-29 23:51
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +778 $570 52¢ $408 $-162 06-30 05:51
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +380 $356 96¢ $364 +$8 06-29 22:55
Trump out as President before 2027? No +361 $328 90¢ $326 $-2 06-28 23:46
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +304 $299 100¢ $304 +$5 06-24 02:47
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +300 $289 100¢ $299 +$11 06-30 04:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +270 $229 86¢ $233 +$4 06-27 23:44
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +231 $225 100¢ $230 +$5 06-15 12:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +200 $186 94¢ $187 +$1 06-21 00:18
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +199 $186 93¢ $185 $-1 06-30 00:51
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +188 $167 88¢ $166 $-1 06-29 08:47
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +165 $162 100¢ $165 +$3 06-13 00:39
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +157 $151 100¢ $157 +$6 06-21 08:47
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +163 $151 85¢ $139 $-12 06-30 00:51
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +148 $134 94¢ $138 +$4 06-23 02:46
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +142 $134 94¢ $134 $-0 06-25 14:17
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +133 $126 100¢ $133 +$7 06-09 12:41
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +130 $126 100¢ $129 +$4 06-30 04:04
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +147 $129 86¢ $128 $-1 06-30 05:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +164 $116 74¢ $120 +$5 06-29 23:36
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +121 $114 96¢ $115 +$2 06-16 07:47
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +110 $107 100¢ $110 +$2 06-09 12:41
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +100 $98 100¢ $100 +$2 06-30 04:03