(anonymous) 0x592306…2649cd
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$171
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
1,866
lifetime
Volume
$56.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$5.56K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 07-20 22:34
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
51% — —
Other
48% — —
Sports
2% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 99 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +601 $514 88¢ $532 +$18 07-19 21:32
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +586 $513 86¢ $501 $-12 07-20 11:36
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +469 $444 96¢ $452 +$8 07-20 08:32
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +826 $593 52¢ $434 $-160 07-20 19:32
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +432 $312 78¢ $339 +$27 07-14 05:30
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +427 $386 74¢ $314 $-72 07-19 16:34
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +327 $292 90¢ $294 +$1 07-17 09:32
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +322 $290 90¢ $288 $-2 07-20 08:33
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +305 $285 95¢ $288 +$3 07-20 21:59
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +279 $237 86¢ $238 +$1 07-20 22:34
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +202 $189 94¢ $191 +$2 07-14 05:31
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +168 $162 94¢ $157 $-4 07-20 21:59
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +170 $157 91¢ $154 $-2 07-16 06:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +166 $117 83¢ $138 +$20 07-14 05:31
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +128 $122 95¢ $122 $-1 07-16 12:59
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +133 $122 90¢ $120 $-2 07-12 09:30
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +105 $100 94¢ $99 $-1 07-16 15:59
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +107 $101 90¢ $96 $-5 07-20 17:33
Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? No +100 $95 94¢ $94 $-1 07-19 09:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +143 $74 64¢ $92 +$19 06-29 23:36
Trump out as President before 2027? No +96 $85 92¢ $89 +$4 07-20 16:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +89 $80 95¢ $84 +$4 07-19 21:49
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +94 $82 88¢ $83 +$0 07-18 14:31
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +90 $68 80¢ $72 +$5 07-20 05:33
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +83 $68 84¢ $70 +$2 07-20 18:29
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +151 $78 38¢ $57 $-22 07-12 09:29
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +57 $53 92¢ $52 $-1 07-19 06:41
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? No +45 $43 93¢ $42 $-1 07-17 17:32
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? No +41 $36 88¢ $36 $-0 06-16 10:28
Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? No +36 $34 96¢ $35 +$0 07-20 02:32