Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

+$675

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

564

Trades

11,715

lifetime

Volume

$269.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$16.9K

30 positions

First seen

2026-06-05

last 11-01 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Politics

57% 67% +$384

Other

36% 71% +$702

Sports

5% 57% +$161

Tech

1% 44% -$144

Crypto

1% 73% +$298

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions (30) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+2,264	$1,913	94¢	$2.1K	+$227	10-31 09:30
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+3,111	$1,989	62¢	$1.9K	-$60	11-01 07:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+1,967	$1,641	82¢	$1.6K	-$18	10-31 09:30
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,038	$720	90¢	$929	+$209	10-30 09:30
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+912	$813	92¢	$843	+$30	10-31 09:30
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	+793	$758	96¢	$761	+$3	10-30 20:20
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	No	+706	$619	94¢	$666	+$46	10-30 09:30
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	+700	$621	94¢	$654	+$33	10-30 09:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+682	$631	96¢	$651	+$20	10-31 09:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+654	$625	98¢	$640	+$16	10-31 23:30
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	+681	$534	88¢	$602	+$68	10-30 23:30
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+619	$579	94¢	$585	+$6	10-31 17:30
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+671	$518	72¢	$486	-$32	10-31 09:30
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+556	$366	70¢	$392	+$26	10-30 11:30
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391	No	+362	$345	97¢	$349	+$4	10-30 09:30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+473	$315	70¢	$334	+$19	10-31 10:30
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+766	$446	43¢	$330	-$116	10-31 09:30
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+355	$283	86¢	$304	+$21	10-31 09:30
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	+287	$276	98¢	$282	+$6	10-29 21:30
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+303	$246	86¢	$259	+$13	10-30 10:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	+278	$245	93¢	$259	+$14	10-30 09:30
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	+270	$233	94¢	$255	+$22	10-31 18:41
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	No	+266	$231	92¢	$246	+$15	10-30 23:50
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	+232	$223	96¢	$224	+$1	10-31 09:23
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	+230	$217	94¢	$216	-$1	11-01 06:58
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+230	$133	91¢	$209	+$76	10-30 09:30
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	No	+209	$196	96¢	$200	+$4	10-30 09:30
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	+205	$191	95¢	$195	+$4	10-30 11:30
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+195	$185	97¢	$189	+$3	10-23 05:00
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	No	+180	$159	97¢	$175	+$16	10-30 13:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	168	$13.7K	9,008	6,743	+2,264	open	—	10-31 09:30
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	325	$9.7K	5,331	4,817	+514	No	+$68	10-04 14:53
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	224	$8.2K	6,570	4,462	+2,108	open	—	10-31 17:15
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	51	$4.9K	3,871	3,361	+511	No	+$83	07-18 05:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	137	$4.0K	2,147	2,112	+35	open	—	11-01 07:30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	65	$3.8K	2,359	2,354	+5	No	+$58	09-01 05:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	161	$3.6K	4,401	1,287	+3,114	open	—	11-01 07:04
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	152	$3.6K	2,989	1,470	+1,520	Yes	+$130	09-21 05:00
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	39	$3.2K	2,589	734	+1,855	No	+$72	07-01 05:05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$3.0K	2,796	2,363	+433	No	+$118	07-14 21:23
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	75	$2.8K	1,954	1,255	+700	open	—	10-30 09:30
will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 17 20260807213124706	26	$2.7K	2,072	2,072	+0	Yes	+$232	08-12 17:03
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	18	$2.6K	2,664	7	+2,657	No	+$48	07-20 08:16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	80	$2.4K	1,706	1,660	+46	No	+$99	11-01 03:00
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	80	$2.4K	1,596	986	+610	Yes	+$83	07-06 07:01
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	29	$2.3K	1,980	1,172	+809	No	-$19	07-05 03:19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	10	$2.2K	2,076	2,034	+42	Yes	+$13	06-12 18:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	85	$2.2K	2,818	2,386	+432	open	—	10-31 08:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	113	$2.2K	1,264	1,113	+151	open	—	10-31 21:30
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	10	$2.1K	1,091	1,090	+1	No	+$13	06-29 21:12
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	90	$2.1K	2,677	1,911	+766	open	—	10-31 09:30
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	52	$2.1K	1,417	762	+654	open	—	10-31 23:30
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	130	$2.0K	2,299	1,261	+1,038	open	—	10-30 09:30
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	104	$2.0K	1,221	951	+270	open	—	10-31 18:41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	38	$1.9K	2,484	1,465	+1,019	No	-$603	09-16 19:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	74	$1.9K	3,069	1,531	+1,537	Yes	+$1,262	06-16 09:09
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	16	$1.9K	1,535	624	+912	open	—	10-31 09:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	59	$1.9K	1,085	1,083	+2	No	+$64	10-28 19:09
Trump out as President before 2027?	72	$1.9K	1,025	991	+34	open	—	10-27 23:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	40	$1.9K	2,466	1,724	+741	No	-$19	06-26 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 07:30:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	13	94¢	$12	0x4ce8fd…
11-01 07:04:46	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x758db1…
11-01 06:58:49	Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x312ad1…
11-01 06:39:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0x62f842…
11-01 06:30:12	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1,098	59¢	$648	0xea5436…
11-01 05:57:12	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 7?	No	BUY	44	19¢	$8	0x65700a…
11-01 05:30:16	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	22	98¢	$21	0xb1bbad…
11-01 04:30:10	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	43	41¢	$18	0xa69bb4…
11-01 03:00:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	415	100¢	$414	0xa906f4…
11-01 02:30:22	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0xad29a0…
11-01 02:30:22	Tusk out by December 31?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6856ef…
11-01 02:07:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x965057…
11-01 01:06:00	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x78f01f…
11-01 00:30:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$44	0x2a5070…
11-01 00:30:09	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	41	72¢	$29	0xe7443a…
11-01 00:25:19	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	48	93¢	$44	0x9af253…
10-31 23:30:10	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	232	98¢	$227	0x39e6c1…
10-31 23:29:51	Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?	No	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0x738cbc…
10-31 23:27:13	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xc2b66a…
10-31 23:27:10	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	No	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x4e757c…
10-31 22:30:19	Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x6382f7…
10-31 22:24:28	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xc520e8…
10-31 22:24:28	Israel election: will Likud lose seats?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x42a8e1…
10-31 21:57:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xe52f14…
10-31 21:42:34	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7f015a…
10-31 21:30:22	Tusk out by December 31?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xf0d299…
10-31 21:30:21	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	25	93¢	$23	0x52f970…
10-31 21:30:21	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x111147…
10-31 21:30:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xb888f7…
10-31 21:30:09	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa94bbe…
10-31 21:09:42	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x873b41…
10-31 21:09:37	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xf97228…
10-31 21:04:04	Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc51225…
10-31 20:55:13	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xe9a132…
10-31 20:30:19	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0x266bb1…
10-31 20:30:13	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0x8b235e…
10-31 20:30:12	Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xb1bad8…
10-31 20:30:12	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x9f051a…
10-31 20:30:12	Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	95¢	$8	0x09a07c…
10-31 20:23:19	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$0	0x9b2864…
10-31 20:23:19	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	0	83¢	$0	0x602360…
10-31 20:23:18	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x98f414…
10-31 20:23:10	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x86f383…
10-31 20:23:09	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x698115…
10-31 20:23:03	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6d1ad2…
10-31 20:22:58	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xec65a0…
10-31 20:22:31	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x13bae3…
10-31 20:10:27	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0x4195fe…
10-31 19:37:00	Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x525abb…
10-31 19:31:06	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	192	34¢	$65	0x71b2df…
10-31 19:21:40	Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe5a038…
10-31 19:10:49	Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0xae55c0…
10-31 18:54:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x420c1b…
10-31 18:41:52	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0xaadc7a…
10-31 18:30:57	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x349fcc…
10-31 18:30:52	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x0a2921…
10-31 18:23:34	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	Yes	BUY	28	42¢	$12	0x91301f…
10-31 18:12:34	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x715e90…
10-31 18:01:51	Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x1a39e6…
10-31 17:45:34	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9426d6…
10-31 17:33:15	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0xe20eaa…
10-31 17:33:10	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x9af87f…
10-31 17:30:58	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x18f2ae…
10-31 17:30:54	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	98¢	$33	0xfd792a…
10-31 17:30:54	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0xe9a0c5…
10-31 17:29:39	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xecc98e…
10-31 17:19:30	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?	No	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x20cdc8…
10-31 17:15:18	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x475d12…
10-31 16:33:36	Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	13	98¢	$13	0x8e42ab…
10-31 16:30:45	Will PRI win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x9d2304…
10-31 16:30:39	Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Chihuahua Congress election?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x6053f2…
10-31 16:30:36	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	197	95¢	$187	0xe8f4a3…
10-31 16:28:06	Tusk out by December 31?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x6f444d…
10-31 16:19:15	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0xa7bb74…
10-31 16:17:49	Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0xdf487d…
10-31 15:43:04	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$17	0x37ca1b…
10-31 15:40:28	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	78	93¢	$72	0x2582c4…
10-31 15:27:34	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x289609…
10-31 15:20:30	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7af7b4…
10-31 14:55:55	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	54	99¢	$53	0x9df8d8…
10-31 14:35:16	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0xc65fe9…
10-31 14:21:39	Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xe8fe68…
10-31 13:41:12	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	64	13¢	$8	0xf5c201…
10-31 13:27:03	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0x36b289…
10-31 13:17:07	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	33	67¢	$22	0x787b8a…
10-31 13:17:01	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x9bd803…
10-31 12:16:07	Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xcb1acb…
10-31 11:40:43	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	91	13¢	$12	0x871b59…
10-31 11:28:36	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xb9b4b2…
10-31 10:49:36	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	27	13¢	$3	0x86763a…
10-31 10:48:04	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xa4d4b1…
10-31 10:30:15	Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$11	0xf7190d…
10-31 10:30:15	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xe67473…
10-31 10:30:15	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xbe7df4…
10-31 10:00:34	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	Yes	BUY	33	26¢	$9	0x4e92e1…
10-31 10:00:16	Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0xb90e48…
10-31 09:45:28	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x86109d…
10-31 09:30:25	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Quintana Roo Congress election?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc2e968…
10-31 09:30:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	46	29¢	$13	0x95b0c5…
10-31 09:30:12	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0xf3b3db…