(anonymous) 0x592306…2649cd
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Realized P&L (30d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$138
Hit rate
—
Resolved (30d)
0
Trades (30d)
216
218 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$14.1K
$14.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$9.75K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 06-10 18:35
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
55% — —
Other
39% — —
Sports
6% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,954 $1,900 97¢ $1.9K $-8 06-10 18:14
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +859 $837 98¢ $839 +$2 06-10 12:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,015 $856 78¢ $797 $-60 06-09 12:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +581 $570 98¢ $569 $-1 06-10 15:31
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +726 $518 62¢ $446 $-72 06-09 12:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +520 $439 86¢ $445 +$5 06-10 06:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +602 $438 74¢ $443 +$5 06-09 12:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +466 $439 95¢ $442 +$4 06-09 09:22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +503 $427 84¢ $425 $-2 06-09 12:39
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +404 $376 94¢ $378 +$2 06-09 18:34
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +353 $328 92¢ $323 $-5 06-10 06:35
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +307 $296 99¢ $303 +$7 06-09 12:39
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? No +279 $274 98¢ $274 $-0 06-06 14:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +410 $290 66¢ $272 $-17 06-09 18:34
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30? No +233 $228 97¢ $227 $-1 06-09 12:40
Trump out as President before 2027? No +249 $226 90¢ $225 $-1 06-06 14:11
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +169 $166 97¢ $164 $-2 06-09 12:40
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +179 $164 92¢ $163 $-1 06-09 12:40
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +167 $152 88¢ $148 $-4 06-09 12:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +133 $126 96¢ $128 +$2 06-09 12:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +127 $114 94¢ $119 +$4 06-09 12:18
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +142 $117 82¢ $117 $-1 06-09 12:41
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +116 $113 95¢ $111 $-2 06-10 15:29
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +110 $107 98¢ $107 $-0 06-09 12:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +148 $106 72¢ $106 +$0 06-09 12:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +146 $74 55¢ $80 +$6 06-09 12:41
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +63 $62 98¢ $62 +$0 06-09 06:04
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +64 $63 97¢ $62 $-0 06-09 12:41
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +62 $46 75¢ $47 +$1 06-06 14:11
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +62 $43 69¢ $43 $-1 06-06 12:11