Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$22,131
$8,794 in 24h
Trades
532
Unique wallets
179
Liquidity
$27,112
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-13 12:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+97.1¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $0
vs crowd: 3% YES on $15.9K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 19 | $92 | $5.0K | $4.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 15 | $49 | $4.8K | $4.7K |
| 🐟 Fish | 23 | $20 | $3.6K | $3.6K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 122 | $294 | $2.1K | $1.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 14 | $88 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $6 | $131 | $125 |
| Median | 52 | $40 | $455 | $415 |
| Below median | 29 | $14 | $417 | $403 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $8 | $825 | $817 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $43 | $5.4K | $5.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $9 | $4.7K | $4.7K |
| unranked | 47 | $247 | $2.2K | $1.9K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prestigious-Autoimmunity 0x8310…62b3 | Yes | +2,853 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 17:02 |
| Quick-Cardboard 0xf92a…a517 | No | +2,467 | $2,416 | $2,416 | 7 | 06-12 05:19 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +2,440 | $2,364 | $2,364 | 13 | 06-12 10:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xab1f…caf6 | Yes | +1,938 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-11 20:28 |
| Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | +1,834 | $1,798 | $2,350 | 2 | 06-12 11:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x268d…4820 | Yes | +1,751 | $39 | $39 | 2 | 06-12 15:16 |
| Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | +1,000 | $970 | $970 | 1 | 06-03 17:02 |
| Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | No | +830 | $797 | $797 | 15 | 06-04 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +740 | $721 | $953 | 8 | 06-11 08:03 |
| Beautiful-Sarong 0x76c6…be09 | No | +733 | $713 | $713 | 3 | 05-30 06:02 |
| Miserly-Rank 0x5510…5cc7 | Yes | +716 | $22 | $22 | 4 | 06-11 18:01 |
| CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | +605 | $589 | $1,709 | 4 | 06-11 20:28 |
| Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | +600 | $583 | $583 | 1 | 06-01 17:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8706…2d06 | Yes | +365 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x507c…3139 | Yes | +340 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 12:04 |
| Light-Pantologist 0x9783…ac60 | Yes | +280 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-10 12:28 |
| Peppery-Leaf 0xf020…5b54 | Yes | +261 | $10 | $10 | 6 | 06-11 23:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b62…b8ab | Yes | +256 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 06-09 20:02 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +250 | $6 | $6 | 5 | 06-13 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | +247 | $242 | $243 | 4 | 06-12 11:08 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +242 | $4 | $14 | 4 | 06-12 11:07 |
| Complete-Monocle 0xe85c…ed6b | Yes | +241 | $2 | $14 | 5 | 06-12 11:07 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +223 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 06-12 11:07 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +200 | $4 | $4 | 10 | 06-12 10:37 |
| Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | +190 | $188 | $216 | 2 | 06-12 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4579…f6b0 | Yes | +150 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-13 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +140 | $3 | $54 | 12 | 06-12 15:16 |
| Piercing-Hourglass 0x196d…9688 | Yes | +115 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-31 19:18 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-04 15:30 |
| Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | +100 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 06-12 15:16 |
| Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | +98 | $97 | $112 | 2 | 06-12 11:08 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +61 | $-4 | $98 | 91 | 06-12 15:16 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 06-11 20:29 |
| Zesty-Socialism 0x7b81…b5a2 | Yes | +60 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-10 14:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x79d5…710e | No | +57 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 06-11 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x138a…de2a | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-28 09:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xd83b…70c2 | No | +51 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 05-29 17:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xef0d…7e94 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-12 11:07 |
| Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | +50 | $-2 | $12 | 5 | 06-13 09:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x6330…9a92 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-11 08:03 |
| Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-07 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xf399…6bf5 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-10 12:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xaae6…a85c | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-10 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a55…0b10 | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-11 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xd37e…5199 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x4505…d7fd | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 06-03 15:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x839e…bedb | No | +39 | $38 | $38 | 1 | 06-08 09:15 |
| Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | +35 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 06-07 19:18 |
| Fussy-Defeat 0x7a86…f8e8 | Yes | +34 | $-2 | $4 | 3 | 06-08 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xafa7…6e67 | No | +33 | $32 | $32 | 1 | 06-12 11:07 |
| Whimsical-Defender 0x3797…8be6 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-12 05:19 |
| Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-31 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xb184…f0af | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-06 11:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa858…b742 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 06-06 11:41 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +29 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 06-11 21:18 |
| Ill-Fated-Pegboard 0x837f…7f46 | Yes | +26 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 17:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-13 12:00:31 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | Yes | SELL | 89 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x739ff1… |
| 06-13 12:00:31 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x739ff1… |
| 06-13 12:00:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x739ff1… |
| 06-13 09:20:52 | Hideous-Series 0x2590…b26e | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2ad051… |
| 06-13 09:20:52 | (anonymous) 0x9909…cbda | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x2ad051… |
| 06-13 09:20:51 | (anonymous) 0x9909…cbda | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x227694… |
| 06-13 09:20:51 | Pungent-Infant 0x0c08…45ff | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x227694… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Wordy-Heartwood 0xa015…b4ff | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Pertinent-Solidarity 0xe2b0…d5f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | SELL | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Vital-Antique 0x6a3c…5149 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Low-Thrill 0x6a89…f709 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Dapper-Recovery 0x621f…89bb | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Functional-Dirndl 0x7b94…1dca | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Unfit-Venti 0x6658…343d | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Our-Shutdown 0x6f87…36de | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Novel-Assist 0xac09…4dde | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Well-Worn-Trove 0x4afe…9a4d | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Overlooked-Rancher 0xc934…1372 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Pungent-Infant 0x0c08…45ff | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Fancy-Proofreader 0x8463…6af9 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Male-Clinic 0x8ead…5f3e | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Hideous-Series 0x2590…b26e | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Internal-Manservant 0x4a6a…737c | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Serious-Wildebeest 0x3132…5850 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Drafty-Qualification 0x613a…5625 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | (anonymous) 0x4579…f6b0 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Dual-Convection 0x6736…d9b5 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-13 09:18:30 | Speedy-Urge 0x6785…3f9d | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xbe4c9a… |
| 06-12 18:23:15 | Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8835d6… |
| 06-12 18:23:15 | (anonymous) 0x782b…9098 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x8835d6… |
| 06-12 17:52:06 | Doting-Complaint 0x3168…fdc6 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1bc4f4… |
| 06-12 17:52:06 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1bc4f4… |
| 06-12 17:52:01 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf57730… |
| 06-12 17:52:01 | Passionate-Jazz 0x2c24…31de | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xf57730… |
| 06-12 17:51:55 | Heartfelt-Honeydew 0x28a2…a820 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x6b4cc5… |
| 06-12 17:51:55 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x6b4cc5… |
| 06-12 17:51:54 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc29347… |
| 06-12 17:51:54 | Scratchy-Peacoat 0x250a…2ef2 | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xc29347… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Pricey-Pray 0xe69f…9040 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Fearful-Epee 0x9525…c63e | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Creative-Hormone 0xd88e…1572 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Scratchy-Peacoat 0x250a…2ef2 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Doting-Complaint 0x3168…fdc6 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Visible-Tabernacle 0x89fa…f7e3 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Foolhardy-Impropriety 0x4265…72c3 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Blushing-Administrator 0x9848…2594 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Mean-Comedy 0x8bfd…a4d5 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Novel-Litter 0x690a…b205 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Empty-Debtor 0xaedd…150c | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Wiry-Request 0x65b5…d4a8 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Forked-Consumption 0xa0a1…f562 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 500 | 2¢ | $10 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Kosher-Hydrofoil 0x6efe…3d37 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Hard-To-Find-Timeout 0xff78…09f2 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Passionate-Jazz 0x2c24…31de | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 175 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Grand-Horde 0xf825…9601 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Enlightened-Fail 0x3f45…e22a | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | (anonymous) 0x268d…4820 | Yes | BUY | 1,351 | 2¢ | $25 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Notable-Recapitulation 0x6fe2…9071 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Punctual-Freak 0x1e66…41e7 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Quick-Witted-Establishment 0x38bb…58c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Heartfelt-Honeydew 0x28a2…a820 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Sugary-Furnace 0x8f08…f9dc | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Personal-Advance 0xf860…2228 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | (anonymous) 0xbc17…31b0 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 15:16:54 | Naive-Nursing 0xd05f…2b84 | No | BUY | 9 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x4bfeb0… |
| 06-12 11:29:00 | Glass-Asparagus-Advance 0x3566…10fe | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x52470c… |
| 06-12 11:29:00 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x52470c… |
| 06-12 11:24:03 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfabd15… |
| 06-12 11:24:03 | Acidic-Architecture 0xf8dd…ab18 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xfabd15… |
| 06-12 11:21:00 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x135f1b… |
| 06-12 11:21:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x135f1b… |
| 06-12 11:20:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x12a436… |
| 06-12 11:20:54 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x12a436… |
| 06-12 11:20:03 | Shadowy-Geology 0xb679…0e5e | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x57ded9… |
| 06-12 11:20:03 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x57ded9… |
| 06-12 11:19:40 | Negligible-Curtain 0x1a76…b26b | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xd847e9… |
| 06-12 11:19:40 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd847e9… |
| 06-12 11:17:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x926e61… |
| 06-12 11:17:01 | Tiny-Drug 0xaf75…9cd0 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x926e61… |
| 06-12 11:15:37 | Direct-Crewman 0x2f44…8202 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x786812… |
| 06-12 11:15:37 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x786812… |
| 06-12 11:13:13 | (anonymous) 0xbc17…31b0 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x863b66… |
| 06-12 11:13:13 | Hungry-Flan 0xb25f…4724 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x863b66… |
| 06-12 11:11:51 | (anonymous) 0xbc17…31b0 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa161de… |
| 06-12 11:11:51 | Fickle-Feather 0x15ad…4fc4 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xa161de… |
| 06-12 11:08:27 | (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2952ac… |
| 06-12 11:08:27 | Flickering-Viscose 0x3b78…5ce6 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2952ac… |
| 06-12 11:08:27 | Flickering-Viscose 0x3b78…5ce6 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0xb76c1a… |
| 06-12 11:08:27 | Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xb76c1a… |
| 06-12 11:08:27 | (anonymous) 0xbc17…31b0 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xb76c1a… |
| 06-12 11:08:18 | Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | SELL | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x80bc80… |
| 06-12 11:08:18 | Flickering-Viscose 0x3b78…5ce6 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x80bc80… |
| 06-12 11:08:01 | Flickering-Viscose 0x3b78…5ce6 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf9d31a… |
| 06-12 11:08:01 | (anonymous) 0x3b80…6977 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xf9d31a… |
| 06-12 11:07:57 | Flickering-Viscose 0x3b78…5ce6 | No | BUY | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x533ca7… |
| 06-12 11:07:57 | Flickering-Viscose 0x3b78…5ce6 | No | BUY | 0 | 98¢ | $0 | 0x9131b6… |