Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?
open
Total volume
$54,533
$8,794 in 24h
Trades
1,005
Unique wallets
302
Liquidity
$27,112
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-30 23:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-2.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $10.9K
vs crowd: 2% YES on $36.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 24 | $148 | $17.8K | $17.7K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 23 | $88 | $9.7K | $9.6K |
| 🐟 Fish | 48 | $41 | $6.1K | $6.0K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 207 | $463 | $2.4K | $2.0K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $6 | $10.9K | $10.9K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 21 | $138 | $1.3K | $1.2K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $18 | $180 | $162 |
| Median | 102 | $59 | $757 | $698 |
| Below median | 52 | $34 | $630 | $596 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 11 | $11 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 21 | $70 | $8.7K | $8.6K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $16 | $8.5K | $8.5K |
| unranked | 79 | $389 | $4.0K | $3.6K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +9,724 | $9,714 | $9,714 | 1 | 06-30 23:16 |
| Quick-Cardboard 0xf92a…a517 | No | +5,445 | $5,372 | $5,372 | 10 | 06-19 17:15 |
| Wobbly-Tooth 0x0b65…293e | No | +4,569 | $4,445 | $4,445 | 27 | 06-23 16:02 |
| Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | +3,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-30 23:16 |
| Prestigious-Autoimmunity 0x8310…62b3 | Yes | +2,853 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-03 17:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x268d…4820 | Yes | +2,374 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 06-15 05:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xab1f…caf6 | Yes | +1,938 | $53 | $53 | 1 | 06-11 20:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +1,881 | $3 | $76 | 14 | 06-23 16:20 |
| Finished-Wind 0xd44e…67e2 | No | +1,834 | $1,798 | $2,350 | 2 | 06-12 11:07 |
| Wry-Elm 0x43cc…9211 | No | +1,246 | $1,220 | $1,220 | 2 | 06-17 20:12 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +1,218 | $14 | $14 | 9 | 06-19 17:15 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +1,178 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 06-30 23:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3d1…f6eb | Yes | +1,084 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-15 10:37 |
| Glum-Kitty 0x30d1…4525 | No | +1,025 | $1,007 | $1,007 | 7 | 06-24 07:17 |
| Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | +1,000 | $0 | $4 | 5 | 06-30 23:16 |
| Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 6 | 06-30 23:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | +771 | $751 | $1,004 | 11 | 06-30 04:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x9909…cbda | No | +762 | $748 | $748 | 5 | 06-14 00:06 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +671 | $11 | $21 | 6 | 06-24 07:17 |
| Timely-Photo 0xf01a…f231 | No | +400 | $393 | $790 | 8 | 06-22 13:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x8706…2d06 | Yes | +365 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 09:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x507c…3139 | Yes | +340 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-08 12:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf9f…c444 | Yes | +315 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-30 23:16 |
| Jumbo-Cupcake 0x6b17…03b2 | Yes | +299 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 06-15 06:13 |
| Long-Term-Wastebasket 0xe6d6…58f0 | Yes | +268 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-13 21:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xd11c…0d06 | No | +247 | $242 | $243 | 4 | 06-12 11:08 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +223 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 06-12 11:07 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +220 | $4 | $4 | 11 | 06-14 06:37 |
| Aged-Drum 0xdc70…cc56 | No | +190 | $188 | $216 | 2 | 06-12 11:08 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | No | +183 | $180 | $199 | 8 | 06-15 06:13 |
| Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | +161 | $-17 | $172 | 188 | 06-26 19:11 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | +150 | $3 | $6 | 5 | 06-24 07:18 |
| Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-30 23:16 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +150 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-14 10:49 |
| Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | No | +150 | $148 | $148 | 2 | 06-14 10:49 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +150 | $149 | $443 | 5 | 06-14 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | +144 | $0 | $6 | 6 | 06-24 15:37 |
| Fuzzy-Astrolabe 0xab19…4876 | No | +143 | $139 | $139 | 2 | 06-23 16:52 |
| Glamorous-Nickel 0xdbe4…e51f | Yes | +130 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-21 10:01 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +130 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 06-15 06:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x950d…dac5 | Yes | +113 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-27 11:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x43f3…dd7b | Yes | +111 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 12:11 |
| Monthly-Slang 0xfa4b…dcd8 | Yes | +108 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 06-14 19:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | +107 | $1 | $1 | 5 | 06-27 10:19 |
| Scared-Administrator 0xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-04 15:30 |
| Lighthearted-Sick 0x5c5b…1a6d | No | +98 | $97 | $112 | 2 | 06-12 11:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x2f77…4b79 | No | +87 | $86 | $115 | 6 | 06-24 07:17 |
| Curvy-Urgency 0x2a0c…89cc | No | +80 | $79 | $79 | 1 | 06-26 12:45 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +60 | $58 | $58 | 2 | 06-11 20:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xef0d…7e94 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 06-12 11:07 |
| Heartfelt-Eyrie 0x30b2…1a36 | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 06-07 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xaae6…a85c | No | +50 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 06-10 13:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x4505…d7fd | No | +40 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 06-03 15:10 |
| Required-Portrait 0x37af…2f21 | No | +35 | $34 | $34 | 2 | 06-07 19:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 23:16:53 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 3,257 | 100¢ | $3,254 | 0x38c77c… |
| 06-30 23:16:53 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 9,724 | 100¢ | $9,714 | 0x38c77c… |
| 06-30 23:16:53 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x38c77c… |
| 06-30 23:16:53 | Deafening-Possible 0x75cb…1556 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38c77c… |
| 06-30 23:16:53 | Messy-Lecture 0xff4e…5502 | Yes | BUY | 3,000 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x38c77c… |
| 06-30 23:16:53 | (anonymous) 0xaf9f…c444 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38c77c… |
| 06-30 23:16:53 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 1,111 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x38c77c… |
| 06-30 23:16:53 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x38c77c… |
| 06-30 23:16:53 | (anonymous) 0xa05c…6f9f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x38c77c… |
| 06-30 16:59:25 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 273 | 100¢ | $273 | 0x25e32a… |
| 06-30 16:59:25 | (anonymous) 0x8f82…69cf | Yes | SELL | 273 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x25e32a… |
| 06-30 16:33:34 | Bland-Caviar 0xa9ec…57d5 | No | SELL | 1,000 | 100¢ | $998 | 0x3c621f… |
| 06-30 16:33:34 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 889 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x3c621f… |
| 06-30 16:33:34 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 87 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c621f… |
| 06-30 16:33:34 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c621f… |
| 06-30 15:39:50 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 854 | 100¢ | $853 | 0xa12721… |
| 06-30 15:39:50 | (anonymous) 0x3de8…a747 | Yes | SELL | 854 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xa12721… |
| 06-30 12:38:56 | Worthy-Gratitude 0x44a6…f3b2 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xe6bcea… |
| 06-30 12:38:56 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe6bcea… |
| 06-30 06:13:47 | Original-Physiology-Savannah 0x180a…8c61 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xa46dc5… |
| 06-30 06:13:47 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa46dc5… |
| 06-30 04:08:25 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd6382… |
| 06-30 04:08:25 | (anonymous) 0x5923…49cd | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xfd6382… |
| 06-30 00:51:14 | (anonymous) 0x59f6…64ee | Yes | SELL | 52 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x75d3ce… |
| 06-30 00:51:14 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 52 | 100¢ | $52 | 0x75d3ce… |
| 06-29 19:28:50 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 56 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc1a861… |
| 06-29 19:28:50 | Hideous-Toughguy 0x9af0…5816 | No | SELL | 56 | 100¢ | $56 | 0xc1a861… |
| 06-29 15:25:43 | (anonymous) 0xeaf1…6d30 | No | SELL | 55 | 100¢ | $55 | 0xc6fd0a… |
| 06-29 15:25:43 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc6fd0a… |
| 06-29 15:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xeaf1…6d30 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf4e253… |
| 06-29 15:16:43 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xf4e253… |
| 06-29 15:01:23 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x423f4a… |
| 06-29 15:01:23 | (anonymous) 0xeaf1…6d30 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x423f4a… |
| 06-29 14:46:29 | (anonymous) 0xeaf1…6d30 | No | BUY | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x64bd25… |
| 06-29 14:46:29 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 22 | 100¢ | $22 | 0x64bd25… |
| 06-29 05:47:43 | (anonymous) 0xb2f4…5f0d | Yes | SELL | 1,991 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x3d9b08… |
| 06-29 05:47:43 | CompulsiveGambler 0xe0f1…c4bd | No | SELL | 991 | 100¢ | $990 | 0x3d9b08… |
| 06-29 05:47:43 | Musty-Lag 0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x3d9b08… |
| 06-29 02:08:07 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5c73… |
| 06-29 02:08:07 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8d5c73… |
| 06-28 19:07:19 | (anonymous) 0x0515…a166 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa53072… |
| 06-28 19:07:19 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa53072… |
| 06-28 19:05:22 | (anonymous) 0x6ffd…cdbc | Yes | SELL | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02e43c… |
| 06-28 19:05:22 | Jolly-Chaplain 0x0873…09e8 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x02e43c… |
| 06-28 15:49:34 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1526e6… |
| 06-28 15:49:34 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 67 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1526e6… |
| 06-28 15:48:40 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 800 | 0¢ | $2 | 0xe54049… |
| 06-28 15:48:40 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe54049… |
| 06-28 15:48:40 | Glistening-Contributor 0x748a…3c56 | No | SELL | 700 | 100¢ | $699 | 0xe54049… |
| 06-28 13:55:38 | Tempting-Tell 0xb7c1…675e | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0x37eaed… |
| 06-28 13:55:38 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x37eaed… |
| 06-28 09:38:53 | Speedy-Urge 0x6785…3f9d | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x4c3959… |
| 06-28 09:38:53 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4c3959… |
| 06-27 14:11:32 | Piercing-Hourglass 0x196d…9688 | Yes | SELL | 115 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x82b305… |
| 06-27 14:11:32 | (anonymous) 0xaf9f…c444 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x82b305… |
| 06-27 12:50:16 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 313 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbe936b… |
| 06-27 12:50:16 | (anonymous) 0xf94f…ffc0 | Yes | SELL | 313 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xbe936b… |
| 06-27 11:26:14 | (anonymous) 0x0515…a166 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0784ea… |
| 06-27 11:26:14 | Miserly-Rank 0x5510…5cc7 | Yes | SELL | 716 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x0784ea… |
| 06-27 11:26:14 | (anonymous) 0x950d…dac5 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0784ea… |
| 06-27 11:26:14 | Crisp-Circumference 0x907d…20c4 | Yes | BUY | 570 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0784ea… |
| 06-27 10:19:32 | (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc87892… |
| 06-27 10:19:32 | (anonymous) 0x7589…8f4e | No | BUY | 24 | 99¢ | $24 | 0xc87892… |
| 06-26 19:11:25 | (anonymous) 0xf94f…ffc0 | Yes | SELL | 64 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f5602… |
| 06-26 19:11:25 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f5602… |
| 06-26 19:11:25 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1f5602… |
| 06-26 19:09:31 | (anonymous) 0xf94f…ffc0 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xfe2fd8… |
| 06-26 19:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x6ffd…cdbc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe2fd8… |
| 06-26 19:09:31 | (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | BUY | 53 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfe2fd8… |
| 06-26 14:17:25 | Deadly-Whisper 0x5a3f…54cd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x43c991… |
| 06-26 14:17:25 | (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x43c991… |
| 06-26 13:59:42 | (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x793b1a… |
| 06-26 13:59:42 | Zesty-Socialism 0x7b81…b5a2 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x793b1a… |
| 06-26 12:45:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x18b181… |
| 06-26 12:45:32 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x18b181… |
| 06-26 12:45:32 | Curvy-Urgency 0x2a0c…89cc | No | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0x18b181… |
| 06-25 23:54:40 | Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a | No | SELL | 563 | 99¢ | $560 | 0xd74ac9… |
| 06-25 23:54:40 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 225 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd74ac9… |
| 06-25 23:54:40 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 66 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd74ac9… |
| 06-25 23:54:40 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 113 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd74ac9… |
| 06-25 23:54:40 | (anonymous) 0x0b62…b8ab | Yes | SELL | 73 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd74ac9… |
| 06-25 17:11:38 | Cloudy-Orchard 0x4e39…8cbf | Yes | BUY | 113 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6f202… |
| 06-25 17:11:38 | Peppery-Leaf 0xf020…5b54 | Yes | SELL | 113 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6f202… |
| 06-25 15:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x0b62…b8ab | Yes | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf37e68… |
| 06-25 15:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x6ffd…cdbc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf37e68… |
| 06-25 15:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x8dc4…5c9a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf37e68… |
| 06-25 13:01:07 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x1229b4… |
| 06-25 13:01:07 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1229b4… |
| 06-25 13:00:04 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x15d218… |
| 06-25 13:00:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x15d218… |
| 06-25 05:29:56 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfe29a0… |
| 06-25 05:29:56 | Doting-Complaint 0x3168…fdc6 | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xfe29a0… |
| 06-24 16:48:56 | (anonymous) 0xd96a…d8ce | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x70c990… |
| 06-24 16:48:56 | Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x70c990… |
| 06-24 15:37:59 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd5397d… |
| 06-24 15:37:59 | (anonymous) 0xa515…0093 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xace400… |
| 06-24 15:37:59 | (anonymous) 0x7d64…f001 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd5397d… |
| 06-24 15:37:59 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xace400… |
| 06-24 15:37:58 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 106 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x20b7e0… |
| 06-24 15:37:58 | Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | SELL | 106 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x20b7e0… |