Quick-Cardboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.80K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

23.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,456

lifetime

Volume

$1.20M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$825

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$147

Politics

43% 0% $-4,952

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$47.3K	24,806	24,806	+0	open	—	04-27 06:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	7	$35.0K	22,270	15,000	+7,270	open	—	06-25 20:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	5	$28.4K	11,732	17,000	-5,268	open	—	06-29 16:56
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	32	$27.1K	17,976	18,123	-147	open	—	03-19 07:26
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	4	$25.5K	13,421	13,421	+0	open	—	04-14 05:23
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	9	$24.9K	20,296	6,507	+13,790	open	—	05-30 07:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	5	$23.3K	5,000	18,500	-13,500	open	—	06-28 09:50
israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	41	$23.1K	12,540	11,106	+1,434	open	—	07-28 16:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$22.3K	24,867	0	+24,867	open	—	04-14 05:23
will ph win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	21	$22.1K	13,228	13,228	+0	open	—	03-22 21:33
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$21.8K	11,060	11,060	+0	open	—	05-26 05:39
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	39	$20.9K	15,108	6,442	+8,667	open	—	04-30 00:02
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	10	$20.4K	11,386	11,386	+0	open	—	03-31 06:19
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by March 31, 2026?	13	$20.4K	12,151	9,042	+3,109	open	—	03-31 22:22
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	8	$20.0K	11,600	11,600	+0	open	—	08-06 08:34
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	14	$19.7K	14,297	6,000	+8,297	open	—	07-31 07:45
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	93	$19.5K	16,143	16,804	-661	open	—	03-19 00:22
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	5	$19.4K	9,797	9,797	+0	open	—	07-14 09:37
us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	53	$17.1K	11,832	7,707	+4,125	open	—	02-01 05:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$16.9K	10,213	7,350	+2,863	open	—	07-31 08:02
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	22	$16.6K	19,077	0	+19,077	open	—	05-03 06:18
ice shooter fired by march 31	13	$16.6K	14,356	4,380	+9,976	open	—	03-30 21:30
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	14	$16.1K	17,200	0	+17,200	open	—	08-07 07:45
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	4	$16.0K	13,710	3,000	+10,710	open	—	07-27 20:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$15.0K	9,088	9,088	-0	open	—	02-06 07:23
russia x ukraine ceasefire by june 30 2026 631	2	$14.1K	7,157	7,157	+0	open	—	06-30 19:54
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$13.7K	7,040	7,040	-0	open	—	07-16 07:44
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	10	$12.6K	15,353	0	+15,353	open	—	04-01 17:57
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	13	$12.1K	10,322	8,500	+1,822	open	—	04-11 18:12
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	19	$12.1K	18,599	0	+18,599	open	—	03-12 21:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 12:15:51	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	487	74¢	$360	0xee8329…
08-11 12:13:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	1,148	95¢	$1,095	0xc0c669…
08-10 06:16:39	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	297	79¢	$235	0x2b2e92…
08-10 06:16:28	will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637	No	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0xceea76…
08-10 05:54:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	900	93¢	$837	0x2576de…
08-10 05:53:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	1,000	91¢	$910	0x5b25fc…
08-10 05:49:03	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1,311	85¢	$1,114	0x0b1282…
08-09 18:16:25	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0x4ae873…
08-09 18:14:22	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0x7f3b3d…
08-09 18:13:51	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0xd9b12c…
08-09 18:13:43	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	2,038	83¢	$1,691	0x58de6c…
08-09 10:14:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1,500	93¢	$1,395	0xf3278d…
08-09 10:14:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	SELL	1,420	99¢	$1,411	0x51de7e…
08-09 10:11:54	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	628	82¢	$515	0x65fb83…
08-09 10:10:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0xc470a3…
08-09 10:09:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	2,686	98¢	$2,629	0xf11ecd…
08-09 09:52:09	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0x24aa76…
08-09 09:50:57	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	390	97¢	$378	0x378958…
08-09 09:50:45	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	1,544	92¢	$1,420	0x8a399a…
08-08 18:33:16	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	431	96¢	$415	0xf2e18e…
08-08 13:50:30	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	BUY	238	96¢	$228	0x1ae4cc…
08-07 08:11:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	Yes	BUY	1,525	97¢	$1,481	0xd4a4d6…
08-07 08:11:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	1,500	90¢	$1,350	0x298b12…
08-07 07:46:04	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	215	96¢	$205	0x11c9b5…
08-07 07:45:24	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	97¢	$195	0x6ad362…
08-07 07:42:57	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	No	BUY	217	95¢	$207	0xe460f9…
08-06 16:39:26	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	No	BUY	1,246	94¢	$1,175	0xc84ab6…
08-06 16:38:50	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742055	No	BUY	352	95¢	$334	0xa29799…
08-06 16:38:41	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742055	No	BUY	600	95¢	$567	0x96f6c4…
08-06 16:38:09	will the netherlands send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742052	No	BUY	1,027	95¢	$980	0x558e97…
08-06 16:37:41	will italy send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742054	No	BUY	955	95¢	$911	0x5f29f6…
08-06 16:37:12	will germany send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742055	No	BUY	671	94¢	$630	0x8a3546…
08-06 16:36:48	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xe17a1f…
08-06 16:36:20	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	No	BUY	137	95¢	$130	0x7b7abc…
08-06 16:36:03	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742050	No	BUY	542	94¢	$510	0xdbbf74…
08-06 08:48:05	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	810	98¢	$793	0xc388cb…
08-06 08:46:24	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by september 30 20260709004922353	No	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0x6176ae…
08-06 08:43:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	1,608	97¢	$1,559	0xb02c0d…
08-06 08:41:56	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0xc37ee9…
08-06 08:41:12	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	1,186	90¢	$1,067	0xc30b77…
08-06 08:40:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	2,286	78¢	$1,783	0x2f177a…
08-06 08:34:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	11,600	84¢	$9,744	0xabde4b…
08-05 08:28:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	206	74¢	$152	0x20ce3e…
08-05 08:20:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0x2cbef7…
08-05 08:19:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	321	71¢	$228	0x4a2645…
08-05 08:11:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	2,191	98¢	$2,139	0xd1c253…
08-05 08:10:32	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	4,829	96¢	$4,626	0xbaed40…
08-05 08:08:30	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	664	99¢	$656	0xeb511b…
08-05 08:08:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	1,754	70¢	$1,233	0x6f4aef…
08-05 08:05:35	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	566	74¢	$419	0x9f5447…
08-05 08:04:56	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0xcfdf01…
08-05 08:03:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1,798	97¢	$1,735	0x8e8ee1…
08-03 08:07:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	685	74¢	$507	0x6c3d36…
08-02 17:33:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1,115	97¢	$1,087	0x4c41e6…
08-02 17:29:29	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	1,396	77¢	$1,075	0xcf21f5…
08-02 17:28:29	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	123	95¢	$116	0x16c67b…
08-02 17:28:09	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	178	94¢	$168	0x170535…
08-02 17:25:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	2,315	95¢	$2,199	0x311698…
08-02 17:24:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	2,000	95¢	$1,900	0x3f8251…
08-02 17:21:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	3,155	76¢	$2,398	0x775adb…
08-02 06:30:03	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2,933	88¢	$2,581	0x9c0c99…
08-02 06:29:33	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	2,150	94¢	$2,021	0x17623d…
08-02 06:27:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	1,000	74¢	$740	0x950133…
08-02 06:24:35	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	54¢	$162	0xc70345…
08-02 06:23:09	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	No	BUY	2,145	97¢	$2,079	0xfbf364…
07-31 17:13:35	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	No	BUY	40	96¢	$39	0xf5da46…
07-31 08:03:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	3,306	96¢	$3,163	0x46deee…
07-31 08:02:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,350	100¢	$1,349	0xe3d0d3…
07-31 07:58:30	iran invades kuwait by august 31 20260720015031546	No	BUY	5,000	97¢	$4,842	0x0804e8…
07-31 07:57:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	6,000	100¢	$5,994	0x01ac8e…
07-31 07:47:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	71	76¢	$54	0xe4a924…
07-31 07:46:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	1,541	95¢	$1,470	0xa4227b…
07-31 07:45:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0x45876b…
07-30 10:51:18	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0xe78c76…
07-30 07:45:15	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0xb80402…
07-30 07:44:36	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	2,060	76¢	$1,563	0x4a8b5a…
07-30 07:42:21	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0x41155e…
07-30 07:25:06	iran charges hormuz fees by july 31	No	BUY	1,303	99¢	$1,288	0x4e717a…
07-30 07:23:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x29d16a…
07-30 07:22:14	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	1,613	97¢	$1,563	0x236f30…
07-30 07:20:48	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	397	73¢	$290	0xbdf84f…
07-30 07:18:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0xb2df36…
07-29 17:38:00	iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	No	SELL	3,000	100¢	$2,994	0x3ba6f2…
07-29 17:36:00	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	800	97¢	$776	0x2bcc33…
07-29 17:34:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	5,000	91¢	$4,550	0xa1fe60…
07-29 11:46:48	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	1,639	100¢	$1,633	0xd1d793…
07-28 17:35:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0x91b5c7…
07-28 17:33:58	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0xbcf7bd…
07-28 17:29:08	hormuz island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014603393	No	BUY	349	97¢	$338	0x76f442…
07-28 17:28:26	greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720014332853	No	BUY	988	96¢	$948	0x49b611…
07-28 17:27:53	abu musa island no longer under iranian control by august 31 20260720011758216	No	BUY	190	96¢	$183	0xafb6db…
07-28 17:23:10	israel withdraws from lebanon by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2,000	97¢	$1,948	0x6aa713…
07-28 17:21:26	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	No	BUY	1,974	96¢	$1,895	0x6e8ce1…
07-28 17:16:50	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	1,296	75¢	$971	0x1d292a…
07-28 16:33:31	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	847	100¢	$845	0x4208f3…
07-28 14:55:07	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0x47e9cb…
07-28 14:52:58	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x1744b4…
07-28 14:52:56	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xfcc883…
07-28 14:52:56	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x60a65c…
07-28 14:52:56	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	150	100¢	$150	0x5995a7…