Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$4,422
Trades
234
Unique wallets
56
Liquidity
$3,256
Latest YES mid
58¢
Latest NO mid
42¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-16 13:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-31.2¢
(top1%: 23% YES on $229
vs crowd: 54% YES on $3.1K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $180 | $144 | +$36 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $959 | $603 | +$356 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $336 | $164 | +$172 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $234 | $532 | $297 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $53 | $176 | $123 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $750 | $58 | +$692 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $115 | $25 | +$89 |
| Median | 4 | $196 | $57 | +$138 |
| Below median | 5 | $78 | $108 | $30 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $24 | $30 | $7 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $77 | $112 | $35 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 6 | $97 | $230 | $133 |
| unranked | 23 | $320 | $645 | $325 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | Yes | +455 | $215 | $215 | 4 | 07-14 05:35 |
| Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | +425 | $181 | $1,161 | 18 | 06-28 08:28 |
| Useful-Commander 0x9127…6ff3 | No | +395 | $168 | $168 | 8 | 07-16 13:39 |
| Misty-Worship 0xc1cf…9656 | No | +377 | $147 | $147 | 1 | 06-09 08:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | +355 | $200 | $200 | 10 | 07-14 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | Yes | +305 | $165 | $165 | 6 | 07-16 13:39 |
| Modest-Larva 0x7b58…eb2b | Yes | +135 | $79 | $79 | 2 | 06-10 09:57 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +122 | $52 | $52 | 5 | 07-13 16:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x3366…b03c | Yes | +121 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 06-22 11:46 |
| Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | +107 | $55 | $55 | 3 | 07-14 14:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +80 | $35 | $35 | 7 | 07-13 16:37 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +76 | $33 | $130 | 12 | 06-28 08:28 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +76 | $47 | $47 | 5 | 06-19 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | +75 | $36 | $36 | 4 | 07-13 14:39 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +60 | $31 | $31 | 3 | 07-16 08:37 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +60 | $29 | $29 | 3 | 07-16 09:31 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +51 | $31 | $106 | 5 | 06-10 09:20 |
| Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | +50 | $23 | $70 | 3 | 07-16 13:39 |
| Spiffy-Labourer 0xbcdb…87d9 | No | +40 | $23 | $23 | 2 | 06-05 10:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | +35 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 07-13 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +34 | $18 | $33 | 4 | 07-16 13:39 |
| Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | +32 | $8 | $172 | 13 | 06-24 20:41 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 07-16 13:39 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +29 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 06-05 10:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +24 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-09 17:29 |
| Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | Yes | +20 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-09 08:06 |
| Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | Yes | +20 | $13 | $34 | 3 | 06-10 09:20 |
| Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | +16 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-12 21:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +10 | $4 | $15 | 3 | 07-16 13:39 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-05 10:45 |
| Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-19 00:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +5 | $2 | $8 | 3 | 07-16 09:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-16 09:31 |
| Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 15:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 13:39:44 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 57¢ | $3 | 0xe30715… |
| 07-16 13:39:44 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 58¢ | $58 | 0xe30715… |
| 07-16 13:39:44 | Useful-Commander 0x9127…6ff3 | No | BUY | 95 | 42¢ | $40 | 0xe30715… |
| 07-16 13:39:37 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xcdff9b… |
| 07-16 13:39:37 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | Yes | BUY | 121 | 56¢ | $67 | 0xcdff9b… |
| 07-16 13:39:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 45¢ | $14 | 0xcdff9b… |
| 07-16 13:39:37 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0xcdff9b… |
| 07-16 13:39:37 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 31 | 44¢ | $14 | 0xcdff9b… |
| 07-16 09:31:37 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xfe01a2… |
| 07-16 09:31:37 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | Yes | BUY | 30 | 50¢ | $15 | 0xfe01a2… |
| 07-16 09:31:37 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xfe01a2… |
| 07-16 09:31:37 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xfe01a2… |
| 07-16 08:37:28 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x4b4b1f… |
| 07-16 08:37:28 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0x4b4b1f… |
| 07-14 14:20:58 | Misty-Boudoir 0x26cf…c612 | No | BUY | 40 | 55¢ | $22 | 0xa48a66… |
| 07-14 14:20:58 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | Yes | BUY | 40 | 45¢ | $18 | 0xa48a66… |
| 07-14 08:19:14 | (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0xda9328… |
| 07-14 08:19:14 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xda9328… |
| 07-14 08:19:10 | (anonymous) 0xb891…e65a | Yes | BUY | 4 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xdaa7ec… |
| 07-14 08:19:10 | (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | BUY | 4 | 56¢ | $2 | 0xdaa7ec… |
| 07-14 05:35:16 | (anonymous) 0xf0f5…72bc | Yes | SELL | 6 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xc961d9… |
| 07-14 05:35:16 | (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xc961d9… |
| 07-14 05:18:07 | (anonymous) 0xf0f5…72bc | Yes | BUY | 6 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xc70799… |
| 07-14 05:18:07 | (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | BUY | 6 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xc70799… |
| 07-13 19:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | BUY | 96 | 57¢ | $54 | 0x9eea82… |
| 07-13 19:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | Yes | BUY | 96 | 43¢ | $41 | 0x9eea82… |
| 07-13 19:07:41 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x526f2b… |
| 07-13 19:07:41 | (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x526f2b… |
| 07-13 16:38:19 | (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | BUY | 109 | 57¢ | $62 | 0x1157a7… |
| 07-13 16:38:19 | (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | Yes | BUY | 109 | 43¢ | $47 | 0x1157a7… |
| 07-13 16:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 8 | 44¢ | $3 | 0x17cf68… |
| 07-13 16:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | BUY | 23 | 56¢ | $13 | 0x17cf68… |
| 07-13 16:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 44¢ | $7 | 0xb8c361… |
| 07-13 16:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xb8c361… |
| 07-13 16:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | BUY | 70 | 56¢ | $39 | 0xb8c361… |
| 07-13 16:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xb8c361… |
| 07-13 16:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0xb8c361… |
| 07-13 16:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0xb8c361… |
| 07-13 16:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | BUY | 23 | 55¢ | $12 | 0x7879cc… |
| 07-13 16:33:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x7879cc… |
| 07-13 16:33:26 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x7879cc… |
| 07-13 16:31:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0x15a17f… |
| 07-13 16:31:05 | (anonymous) 0x16c2…01dc | No | BUY | 10 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x15a17f… |
| 07-13 14:39:43 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0xcd9cdc… |
| 07-13 14:39:43 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | No | SELL | 15 | 45¢ | $7 | 0xcd9cdc… |
| 07-13 13:25:59 | Useful-Commander 0x9127…6ff3 | No | BUY | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0xf6687f… |
| 07-13 13:25:59 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | SELL | 50 | 45¢ | $23 | 0xf6687f… |
| 07-13 13:25:59 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0xf6687f… |
| 07-13 13:25:59 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0xf6687f… |
| 07-13 11:13:58 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x66e603… |
| 07-13 11:13:58 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | No | BUY | 15 | 49¢ | $7 | 0x66e603… |
| 07-13 11:13:58 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | No | SELL | 35 | 49¢ | $17 | 0x66e603… |
| 07-13 09:06:13 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 47¢ | $24 | 0xc2a459… |
| 07-13 09:06:13 | Useful-Commander 0x9127…6ff3 | No | BUY | 50 | 47¢ | $24 | 0xc2a459… |
| 07-13 09:06:07 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0xe152c8… |
| 07-13 09:06:07 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | No | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0xe152c8… |
| 07-13 09:06:07 | Terrific-Reparation-Till 0x764a…83d3 | No | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0xe152c8… |
| 07-13 09:06:07 | (anonymous) 0x85df…fb48 | No | BUY | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xe152c8… |
| 07-13 09:06:07 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xe152c8… |
| 07-13 09:06:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xe152c8… |
| 07-13 09:06:07 | Useful-Commander 0x9127…6ff3 | No | BUY | 50 | 49¢ | $24 | 0xe152c8… |
| 07-13 09:06:07 | (anonymous) 0x4d76…d7a0 | Yes | BUY | 245 | 51¢ | $124 | 0xe152c8… |
| 07-13 09:06:07 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xe152c8… |
| 07-13 09:06:07 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xe152c8… |
| 07-12 21:01:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 38¢ | $6 | 0xc2de3e… |
| 07-12 21:01:14 | Indolent-Ceiling 0x4e48…a96d | No | BUY | 16 | 62¢ | $10 | 0xc2de3e… |
| 07-06 19:07:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 41¢ | $14 | 0x880ee2… |
| 07-06 19:07:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 35 | 41¢ | $14 | 0x880ee2… |
| 07-01 13:00:44 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x562ff0… |
| 07-01 13:00:44 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x562ff0… |
| 06-29 05:46:55 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xabdcee… |
| 06-29 05:46:55 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | No | SELL | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0xabdcee… |
| 06-28 11:44:38 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0x7ae53b… |
| 06-28 11:44:38 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0x7ae53b… |
| 06-28 08:28:41 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 53¢ | $26 | 0x3e2840… |
| 06-28 08:28:41 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 104 | 47¢ | $49 | 0x3e2840… |
| 06-28 08:28:41 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 53¢ | $29 | 0x3e2840… |
| 06-28 08:28:41 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x3e2840… |
| 06-28 08:28:41 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | SELL | 229 | 53¢ | $122 | 0x3e2840… |
| 06-25 06:20:01 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | No | SELL | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xe9a05e… |
| 06-25 06:20:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 45¢ | $9 | 0xe9a05e… |
| 06-24 20:41:08 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x6053f5… |
| 06-24 20:41:08 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x6053f5… |
| 06-24 20:40:46 | Creepy-Pin 0x82fb…bed6 | No | SELL | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x73e6bf… |
| 06-24 20:40:46 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x73e6bf… |
| 06-24 20:40:43 | Creepy-Pin 0x82fb…bed6 | No | BUY | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x6490ea… |
| 06-24 20:40:43 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | SELL | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x6490ea… |
| 06-23 08:06:56 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | No | SELL | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x24ed48… |
| 06-23 08:06:56 | Nutritious-Barium 0xaf68…e9a7 | No | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x24ed48… |
| 06-22 11:53:47 | (anonymous) 0x7c71…9338 | No | SELL | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xde1998… |
| 06-22 11:53:47 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xde1998… |
| 06-22 11:46:31 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | No | BUY | 12 | 45¢ | $5 | 0x08ca07… |
| 06-22 11:46:31 | (anonymous) 0x3366…b03c | Yes | BUY | 121 | 49¢ | $60 | 0x08ca07… |
| 06-22 11:46:31 | (anonymous) 0x7c71…9338 | No | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x08ca07… |
| 06-22 11:46:31 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | SELL | 71 | 49¢ | $35 | 0x08ca07… |
| 06-19 00:39:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 9 | 46¢ | $4 | 0x37f377… |
| 06-19 00:39:13 | Hidden-Sport 0x838b…46ed | No | BUY | 9 | 54¢ | $5 | 0x37f377… |
| 06-18 08:44:05 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x049741… |
| 06-18 08:44:05 | Demanding-City 0xd12f…e85a | Yes | BUY | 32 | 47¢ | $15 | 0x049741… |
| 06-18 08:44:05 | Thorny-Carpeting 0xb3b2…da22 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 47¢ | $6 | 0x049741… |