Realized P&L
+$319
Unrealized P&L
+$96
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved
26
Trades
2,656
lifetime
Volume
$175.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$1.34K
25 positions
First seen
2026-04-13
last 07-20 20:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
82% 84% +$321
Politics
7% 0% $-2
Crypto
5%
Sports
4%
Tech
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -376 $-301 88¢ $-333 $-32 06-07 12:51
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +425 $181 65¢ $276 +$95 06-28 08:28
Will Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -191 $-174 84¢ $-161 +$12 06-26 21:53
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No -117 $-110 94¢ $-110 $-1 05-31 12:39
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -77 $-65 86¢ $-66 $-1 06-25 08:46
Will Bryson DeChambeau leave LIV Golf by June 30th? No +54 $53 99¢ $54 +$1 07-01 12:35
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -67 $-38 74¢ $-49 $-11 05-28 09:34
Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -44 $-40 97¢ $-42 $-3 06-28 08:33
Will Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -44 $-40 94¢ $-41 $-2 06-26 21:53
Luigi Mangione tried before 2027? Yes +54 $34 68¢ $36 +$2 06-29 18:37
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -95 $-33 32¢ $-30 +$2 06-08 08:48
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +72 $23 31¢ $22 $-1 06-28 16:54
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? No +35 $5 61¢ $21 +$17 07-01 07:17
Will Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -21 $-20 94¢ $-20 $-0 06-28 08:33
Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026? Yes -75 $-15 22¢ $-16 $-1 06-25 03:39
Will Kyle Langford advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? No -15 $-15 100¢ $-15 $-0 06-01 23:13
Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +43 $10 26¢ $11 +$1 06-13 17:22
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +700 $9 $10 +$1 07-14 04:32
Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027? No -12 $-11 78¢ $-9 +$1 07-06 14:38
Will Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027? No -11 $-10 75¢ $-8 +$2 07-15 14:44
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -40 $-19 20¢ $-8 +$10 05-31 18:40
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? No +2 $-2 73¢ $1 +$3 06-27 14:10
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027? No -0 $-0 90¢ $-0 +$0 07-14 06:09
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? Yes +2 $0 $0 $-0 06-12 20:28
Will Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 05-31 22:05