Demanding-City — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31.3K

Unrealized P&L

-$39

Hit rate

88.8%

Resolved

933

Trades

9,906

lifetime

Volume

$547.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$55

Open exposure

$586

15 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 11-01 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Other

66% 73% +$25,062

Politics

25% 63% +$5,693

Tech

6% 58% -$548

Crypto

2% 67% +$218

Sports

1% 43% +$874

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 137 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+9,492	$287	2¢	$233	-$54	10-31 01:08
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+2,000	$215	10¢	$190	-$25	11-01 07:21
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	+56	$51	88¢	$49	-$1	04-28 19:25
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	-40	-$37	96¢	$-38	-$1	05-12 01:05
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+4,066	$45	1¢	$35	-$11	11-01 07:19
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	+3,914	$16	0¢	$20	+$4	10-26 19:44
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+1,000	$16	1¢	$9	-$6	09-02 06:26
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+344	$12	1¢	$3	-$9	06-27 04:41
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	+2,000	$12	0¢	$3	-$9	09-02 11:02
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-19	-$12	12¢	$-2	+$10	09-29 00:43
Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	+2,000	$20	0¢	$2	-$18	10-31 20:52
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?	Yes	+143	$3	1¢	$1	-$2	09-13 14:05
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-100	-$3	0¢	$-0	+$2	06-16 20:05
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	+2	$0	4¢	$0	$0	06-12 20:28
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+0	-$81	2¢	$0	+$81	06-03 10:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	123	$18.8K	12,879	10,388	+2,490	Yes	-$852	07-01 08:06
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?	145	$17.0K	10,673	8,169	+2,504	Yes	+$972	07-29 20:30
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	76	$14.3K	16,162	16,162	+0	open	—	10-14 11:35
will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	30	$13.0K	8,158	7,298	+859	Yes	-$320	08-13 07:55
will alien arrests in new york hit 4900 by june 30	43	$10.9K	5,932	5,932	+0	No	+$423	06-29 00:55
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	38	$9.3K	8,411	2,401	+6,009	No	+$1,381	08-26 21:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	27	$8.8K	12,764	9,020	+3,744	No	+$67	06-04 00:14
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?	72	$7.7K	4,149	4,149	+0	Yes	+$310	06-30 16:21
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	182	$7.5K	10,123	2,937	+7,186	Yes	+$4,846	09-30 16:03
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	137	$7.2K	7,656	6,371	+1,285	No	+$3,017	05-22 01:07
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?	26	$7.0K	3,664	3,664	+0	Yes	+$316	05-27 20:54
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by September 30, 2026?	41	$6.9K	7,073	0	+7,073	Yes	+$174	09-17 18:15
Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	53	$6.9K	7,036	551	+6,485	Yes	+$408	08-18 10:23
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $12.5B by December 31?	28	$6.3K	5,909	5,820	+89	Yes	+$445	09-20 09:00
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	23	$6.2K	6,447	0	+6,447	Yes	+$265	09-30 23:06
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?	43	$6.0K	3,491	3,306	+185	No	+$419	06-29 10:17
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$6.0K	6,006	0	+6,006	Yes	+$6	09-21 09:39
Will BN win the 2026 Negeri Sembilan general elections?	28	$5.4K	3,474	2,793	+682	Yes	+$251	08-01 19:23
fda approves sanofi subcutaneous sarclisa 07 23 2026	3	$5.0K	5,258	0	+5,258	Yes	+$242	07-10 13:38
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	34	$4.7K	3,535	2,291	+1,244	open	—	11-01 07:04
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?	1	$4.5K	4,716	0	+4,716	Yes	+$189	08-26 14:50
will alien arrests in new york hit 4800 by june 30	47	$4.5K	2,668	2,668	+0	No	+$274	06-21 18:11
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?	21	$4.4K	3,626	3,626	+0	Yes	+$748	09-15 08:15
fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	206	$4.4K	2,247	2,247	+0	Yes	+$95	06-28 21:19
Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by December 31, 2026?	35	$4.3K	2,971	2,657	+314	open	—	09-12 07:39
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by September 30?	20	$4.3K	3,265	1,594	+1,671	No	+$369	09-30 18:34
will michelle yeoh appear on hall h stage at sdcc 2026 20260714142553824	25	$4.3K	3,390	2,259	+1,131	Yes	+$651	07-24 17:17
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?	7	$4.2K	4,308	0	+4,308	Yes	+$80	10-25 16:39
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 15, 2026?	6	$4.1K	4,310	0	+4,310	Yes	+$210	10-07 20:01
LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?	15	$4.0K	2,386	1,953	+433	Yes	+$225	09-09 14:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 07:21:37	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	970	11¢	$107	0x826eb3…
11-01 07:20:37	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,030	11¢	$113	0x46a03c…
11-01 07:19:52	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x542d3d…
11-01 07:08:52	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x81f502…
11-01 07:04:40	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	SELL	107	90¢	$96	0xd434af…
11-01 00:45:36	Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0xdd4997…
10-31 21:58:49	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$18	0xc44a99…
10-31 21:10:21	Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xb4457f…
10-31 21:09:48	Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?	Yes	SELL	236	38¢	$90	0xbf0eaf…
10-31 20:52:49	Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x88a797…
10-31 17:33:40	Will Raphaël Glucksmann receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$1	0xeab4a4…
10-31 16:10:18	Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd15c6d…
10-31 16:09:57	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x8e2ecb…
10-31 15:58:31	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	0¢	$1	0xdfe57b…
10-31 15:57:30	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	185	0¢	$1	0xd046a8…
10-31 15:57:28	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xf5e645…
10-31 15:57:28	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0xcc0845…
10-31 15:57:28	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xabfc64…
10-31 15:57:28	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$2	0x9e6b19…
10-31 13:09:24	Will Polymarket mindshare hit 70% by December 31?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xce61f2…
10-31 09:44:39	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x547bc0…
10-31 08:00:22	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0x18a926…
10-31 07:51:07	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa095e8…
10-31 07:50:46	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xde3f04…
10-31 07:50:46	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xdb6ea6…
10-31 07:50:46	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	54	3¢	$2	0xb38b21…
10-31 07:50:46	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	175	3¢	$6	0xaebb8c…
10-31 07:50:21	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	102	3¢	$3	0xc45cba…
10-31 07:50:21	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0x961c1e…
10-31 07:50:21	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x9185a5…
10-31 07:50:21	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x767b28…
10-31 07:50:21	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x47faf7…
10-31 07:14:58	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xd67c82…
10-31 07:14:48	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xea2d5b…
10-31 05:33:04	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xef9533…
10-31 05:33:04	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa5c3b0…
10-31 01:54:33	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x351b08…
10-31 01:08:45	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$3	0x117842…
10-31 01:04:31	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,397	2¢	$34	0xe88c73…
10-31 01:04:31	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	96	2¢	$2	0xcf32e0…
10-31 00:51:03	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	382	2¢	$9	0xfff56f…
10-30 23:47:37	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0xc0bce4…
10-30 23:26:46	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	23	3¢	$1	0x4aa3c6…
10-30 21:36:51	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xc0a987…
10-30 21:36:51	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x2b500c…
10-30 21:36:43	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xd9fd62…
10-30 21:36:39	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x340e44…
10-30 17:18:16	Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,667	3¢	$50	0xee29c8…
10-30 17:07:37	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	114	3¢	$4	0x5511c4…
10-30 17:07:37	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	211	3¢	$7	0x1c34df…
10-30 14:18:37	Will Gabriel Attal win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x68c088…
10-30 14:13:40	Will Gabriel Attal win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	42	95¢	$40	0x669553…
10-30 13:23:06	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0xb3b47a…
10-30 09:35:10	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0150 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	83	94¢	$78	0xd5221a…
10-30 01:25:00	California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition	No	SELL	115	79¢	$90	0xb6d969…
10-29 23:39:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	46	78¢	$36	0xa4bfc5…
10-29 22:49:48	Will Raphaël Glucksmann receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x4183e3…
10-29 21:00:19	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0x526eb7…
10-29 20:24:28	Will Raphaël Glucksmann receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x911d78…
10-29 20:23:12	Will Raphaël Glucksmann receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x9dfb15…
10-29 19:59:13	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	566	85¢	$480	0x2931c4…
10-29 19:42:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	24	65¢	$16	0x1e9f5d…
10-29 19:42:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x1adf32…
10-29 19:27:33	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-27 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	39	65¢	$26	0xe7547b…
10-29 19:12:12	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	785	78¢	$612	0x87985d…
10-29 17:53:46	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,103	90¢	$1,893	0x8a682e…
10-29 15:04:29	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	91¢	$30	0x9f44ec…
10-29 14:21:22	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	104	4¢	$4	0xc9a687…
10-29 13:30:01	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb4624c…
10-29 13:23:01	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by November 7?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x953ae9…
10-29 12:57:13	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0x688105…
10-29 12:55:13	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	436	3¢	$11	0x093027…
10-29 12:27:11	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd4dc4a…
10-29 12:27:08	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x5b3a4a…
10-29 12:25:53	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	223	89¢	$199	0x0b6ede…
10-29 12:17:34	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,327	100¢	$1,326	0x067f3b…
10-29 12:17:23	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by November 7?	Yes	BUY	386	100¢	$385	0xc24da4…
10-29 11:52:10	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xf7d207…
10-29 11:21:53	Will Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x6bbc85…
10-29 09:25:46	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x83e5f5…
10-29 08:29:04	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0xf094bb…
10-29 08:15:46	California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x564ada…
10-28 22:23:07	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1dd8df…
10-28 20:45:10	Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0xa7da44…
10-28 20:10:01	Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?	No	SELL	50	97¢	$49	0xc71632…
10-28 19:00:16	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$0	0x61308b…
10-28 13:32:05	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0x8a465d…
10-28 13:32:05	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	69	2¢	$2	0x8499a1…
10-28 12:25:43	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0xa33c0b…
10-28 12:25:43	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x3693e1…
10-28 11:43:04	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x4e4ffd…
10-28 11:37:17	Will Carlos Coronel win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?	No	BUY	2,098	100¢	$2,095	0xb2d93d…
10-28 10:52:02	Will another artist be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xc70c52…
10-28 06:37:29	Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,025	10¢	$102	0x1b7115…
10-27 22:17:30	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,048	99¢	$1,037	0xf18ad3…
10-27 22:05:24	Will Luis Barraza win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?	No	BUY	164	100¢	$164	0x765c26…
10-27 19:45:33	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by November 7?	Yes	BUY	1,200	99¢	$1,188	0x6f9982…
10-27 19:45:03	Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,379	98¢	$1,350	0x68efae…
10-27 18:02:08	Will Raphaël Glucksmann receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x44e95b…
10-27 17:53:05	Will Raphaël Glucksmann receive the most signatures from elected officials in the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x8ce432…