Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$25
Hit rate
97.6%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,812
lifetime
Volume
$3.02K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$191
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 07-20 18:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
66%
Politics
20%
Crypto
8% 50% +$2
Tech
4%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? No +30 $18 64¢ $19 +$2 07-20 08:43
Will Taylor Swift release "Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version)" in 2026? No +35 $17 46¢ $16 $-1 07-20 19:15
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +35 $14 39¢ $14 $-1 07-20 12:03
MagicBlock FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +30 $4 33¢ $10 +$6 07-20 15:55
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? No +10 $1 89¢ $9 +$8 07-15 15:30
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $6 58¢ $9 +$3 07-19 03:08
Will ground beef hit $9 per pound in 2026? No +12 $10 72¢ $9 $-1 07-13 09:46
Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? No +15 $5 54¢ $8 +$3 07-15 20:05
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B? No +7 $7 91¢ $6 $-0 07-06 15:03
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? Yes +15 $6 41¢ $6 $-0 07-15 10:40
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel? No +30 $4 20¢ $6 +$2 07-18 12:51
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +10 $5 59¢ $6 +$1 07-16 12:38
Aligned FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +30 $3 19¢ $6 +$2 07-20 14:01
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes -10 $-5 53¢ $-5 $-1 07-02 22:34
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $5 48¢ $5 $-0 07-19 14:54
Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-06 00:35
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 07-04 09:17
Ethereal FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +29 $3 16¢ $4 +$1 07-20 10:25
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? Yes +30 $4 14¢ $4 +$1 07-20 07:36
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? Yes +38 $5 11¢ $4 $-1 07-20 07:27
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +16 $2 24¢ $4 +$1 07-16 11:42
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +13 $6 30¢ $4 $-2 07-02 13:46
RFK Jr. Out by December 31? Yes -10 $-4 38¢ $-4 +$1 06-30 22:35
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 07-13 18:02
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027? Yes +10 $4 36¢ $4 $-0 07-15 17:03
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.? Yes +5 $2 68¢ $3 +$1 07-13 01:46
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December? No -10 $-5 32¢ $-3 +$2 07-02 17:32
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? Yes -20 $-2 16¢ $-3 $-1 06-30 10:55
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-2 64¢ $-3 $-1 07-02 11:01
Concrete FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +6 $2 54¢ $3 +$1 07-15 20:44