Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.23K

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

64.3%

Resolved

2,126

Trades

17,130

lifetime

Volume

$86.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$117

25 positions

First seen

2026-06-22

last 10-27 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 121 days

Categories

Other

65% 36% -$1,687

Politics

15% 43% -$272

Crypto

9% 43% +$32

Sports

7% 33% -$115

Tech

4% 38% -$162

Pop-Culture

1% 33% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 269 trades/day

Open positions (25) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	+53	$9	37¢	$20	+$11	10-27 09:05
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?	Yes	+60	$3	30¢	$18	+$15	10-22 00:07
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	+150	$39	12¢	$17	-$22	07-30 11:20
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+60	$11	21¢	$13	+$2	10-17 09:55
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	Yes	+34	$7	32¢	$11	+$4	10-27 04:44
Nara Smith confirmed pregnant in 2026?	Yes	+50	$12	15¢	$8	-$5	09-03 14:10
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	+50	-$4	11¢	$5	+$10	10-26 13:46
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$10	11¢	$5	-$5	09-26 17:24
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?	Yes	+76	$16	6¢	$5	-$11	08-22 19:39
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$1	96¢	$4	+$3	07-23 06:00
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	+50	$2	6¢	$3	+$0	10-27 15:07
will an international court find israel or its leaders guilty of genocide by december 31 2027 20260629142909679	Yes	+14	$0	16¢	$2	+$2	09-04 08:36
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	Yes	+9	$1	10¢	$1	+$0	10-14 22:15
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+9	$1	10¢	$1	$0	10-23 20:55
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?	Yes	+1	-$7	97¢	$1	+$8	08-26 22:12
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	Yes	+46	$5	1¢	$1	-$4	08-12 21:40
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	11¢	$1	+$0	07-10 22:28
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$1	10¢	$1	$0	08-21 22:57
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	+65	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	08-21 10:23
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	No	+0	$1	88¢	$0	$0	08-05 10:08
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	+0	-$1	98¢	$0	+$1	07-16 15:50
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+2	$0	16¢	$0	+$0	09-14 12:30
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	+5	$0	4¢	$0	$0	07-12 12:07
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	+2	$0	6¢	$0	+$0	09-05 18:45
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?	Yes	+0	$0	2¢	$0	+$0	10-15 03:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will solana reach 100 by december 31 2026 from june 8	40	$681	737	737	+0	Yes	+$64	08-17 07:16
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	17	$530	650	650	+0	No	+$167	07-30 11:43
todd blanche confirmed as attorney general by august 30 20260608213258431	14	$479	738	638	+100	Yes	+$180	08-07 14:50
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	10	$420	368	368	+0	No	+$49	08-02 02:46
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	21	$379	446	446	+0	open	—	09-07 17:37
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?	26	$361	356	356	+0	Yes	+$39	08-30 13:20
Another crypto hack over $100m by September 30?	7	$295	325	260	+65	Yes	+$4	08-15 06:54
will trump say soaking wet in august 20260728220215928	4	$270	300	300	+0	No	+$24	08-03 02:14
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	19	$259	439	439	+0	open	—	10-22 09:47
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	8	$251	297	296	+0	open	—	08-05 10:08
what will be the next fed rate change 20260713235358796	5	$242	227	227	+0	Hike	+$61	08-05 17:01
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?	10	$242	300	300	+0	open	—	08-18 21:58
Will Viking win Norway Eliteserien?	13	$241	235	235	+0	open	—	10-16 04:43
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	10	$239	292	292	+0	No	-$20	09-10 04:09
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	15	$238	290	290	+0	Yes	+$21	08-19 16:11
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	11	$237	224	224	+0	Yes	+$15	09-26 20:13
will the uptspt lift caatsa sanctions on turkey by december 31 2026 20260708213004787	6	$230	240	240	+0	open	—	08-26 08:01
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	14	$229	656	476	+180	No	+$6	07-31 19:57
Will the Houston Astros win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	4	$224	215	215	+0	O 80.5	-$4	09-05 18:36
will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	7	$220	264	230	+34	Yes	-$5	08-12 14:38
Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch?	6	$217	235	235	+0	open	—	08-26 16:57
Will Mirana Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026?	9	$214	260	195	+65	Yes	+$50	08-23 12:23
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)	5	$209	204	204	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$6	08-29 02:26
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?	26	$206	243	196	+46	open	—	08-12 21:40
Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa?	4	$205	215	215	+0	No	+$20	08-16 20:19
pacifica fdv above 50m one day after launch	23	$202	385	385	+0	open	—	09-29 04:53
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	6	$201	300	300	+0	No	+$18	08-05 20:12
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	7	$199	215	215	+0	Yes	+$26	08-28 01:37
will spcx reach 140 in august 2026	9	$196	363	354	+10	Yes	+$90	08-12 14:38
will fenerbahce qualify for the league phase of the 2026 27 uefa champions league 20260724201627100	5	$195	188	188	+0	Yes	-$5	08-18 19:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:20:39	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xcccd58…
10-27 15:07:41	Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x0e3678…
10-27 14:47:54	Will Together win 13% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x2d5b23…
10-27 14:39:36	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xf271df…
10-27 14:39:20	Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x22a37d…
10-27 14:38:32	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x7b8110…
10-27 14:27:29	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0x4181d8…
10-27 14:24:33	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.65 and $0.70 on November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xdeae02…
10-27 14:20:38	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x0a21ca…
10-27 14:19:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,500 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xc3e9a2…
10-27 14:19:03	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x6f1793…
10-27 14:18:38	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xd4c4ab…
10-27 14:18:38	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x2ab4c0…
10-27 14:16:59	Will Tencent have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0xb5783a…
10-27 14:08:12	Will Ian Happ win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x0db4e5…
10-27 14:05:06	Will Movistar KOI Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x479a2a…
10-27 13:59:12	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027?	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc2253c…
10-27 13:58:50	Will a hurricane make landfall in Texas by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$0	0x469f46…
10-27 13:50:53	Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.75% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x65e714…
10-27 13:45:30	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0xa19d91…
10-27 13:45:30	Will China GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x4f0c20…
10-27 13:42:05	Will Diable play for Natus Vincere in 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc968e1…
10-27 13:38:38	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xb4c663…
10-27 13:38:00	Will PSOE win the most seats in Catalonia in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xa91ab8…
10-27 13:36:59	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	No	BUY	21	15¢	$3	0x3a481d…
10-27 13:36:44	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x8bd1f6…
10-27 13:36:44	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	No	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x5cd301…
10-27 13:36:42	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xf6be38…
10-27 13:36:42	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbc964f…
10-27 13:36:42	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x6ec7d8…
10-27 13:36:42	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in November?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x0919a6…
10-27 13:36:05	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xf01b3b…
10-27 13:36:05	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb54661…
10-27 13:36:05	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$2	0x44ddce…
10-27 13:34:57	Will PP win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	9	32¢	$3	0xeac7bc…
10-27 13:24:42	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0x62d998…
10-27 13:15:29	Will global temperature increase by more than 1.49ºC in October 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	49¢	$29	0xfd4ca0…
10-27 13:15:05	Will Ra'am win 8 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$3	0xde12cb…
10-27 13:14:05	Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?	No	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x247435…
10-27 13:04:48	Will TreVeyon Henderson have 6.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x1502d9…
10-27 13:04:35	Will Lana Nusseibeh be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd780a1…
10-27 13:01:41	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 0%-5%?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0x691810…
10-27 12:44:20	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x058392…
10-27 12:41:41	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	0	22¢	$0	0x5528ed…
10-27 12:41:39	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 4.25% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	31	83¢	$26	0xc5a582…
10-27 12:37:44	Will Sabrina Carpenter rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xaa76cb…
10-27 12:31:24	Will Waymo launch in Charlotte, NC by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	5¢	$2	0x3c28d8…
10-27 12:16:00	Will the peak water level at La Jolla be 8.10 ft MLLW or more?	No	SELL	28	46¢	$13	0xe5125c…
10-27 11:58:51	Will Vox win 76 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	27	16¢	$4	0x99ccf2…
10-27 11:57:42	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xf28450…
10-27 11:50:12	Will Vox win 56-60 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xe2f48f…
10-27 11:48:14	Will Moonshot be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x57185c…
10-27 11:46:44	Google announces a training pause by October 31?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xfcf58f…
10-27 11:33:53	Will Sam Darnold have 3,699.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	SELL	9	31¢	$3	0xfdd96b…
10-27 11:32:30	Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xd44cb0…
10-27 11:32:27	Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x2b9b23…
10-27 11:23:35	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	75	28¢	$21	0x311609…
10-27 11:07:53	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd27763…
10-27 11:04:50	Love Wins: 2026 Edition	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x9b2dea…
10-27 11:03:50	Will Bijan Robinson have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0xe53faa…
10-27 11:02:30	Will PSOE win fewer than 96 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x82d01c…
10-27 10:53:05	Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd3bd65…
10-27 10:52:59	Will Clavicular visit Japan in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xd74efc…
10-27 10:51:09	Will MiniMax be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb1d1f6…
10-27 10:49:48	Will 2 or more hurricanes make landfall in the US in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$3	0x1a12fe…
10-27 10:22:54	Will Ashton Jeanty have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	Yes	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0xb9f8d1…
10-27 10:21:51	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0x067a9a…
10-27 10:19:02	Will the New Orleans Saints win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 7.5	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x61f8f8…
10-27 10:19:02	Will the New Orleans Saints win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 7.5	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x20e869…
10-27 10:17:59	Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x1b5592…
10-27 10:14:03	Will the New Orleans Saints win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 7.5	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xbc3f3c…
10-27 10:14:03	Will the New Orleans Saints win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 7.5	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x6ba533…
10-27 10:08:50	Will the New Orleans Saints win more than 7.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?	O 7.5	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x0e9423…
10-27 10:03:14	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x9679cb…
10-27 10:03:14	Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x738d9e…
10-27 09:56:18	Will Trump's approval rating hit 42% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x753c4e…
10-27 09:55:56	Will Trump's approval rating hit 42% by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x89c211…
10-27 09:52:44	Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0x4834b7…
10-27 09:45:33	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xd67c63…
10-27 09:42:15	Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x6344f4…
10-27 09:35:27	Will the Nepali Congress candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xa84e35…
10-27 09:32:54	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-18 House election by 45%-50%?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xb66f34…
10-27 09:32:08	Will Mark Speakman be the next Premier of New South Wales?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xf28ac9…
10-27 09:28:14	Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0x89288b…
10-27 09:26:59	Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xf3939a…
10-27 09:16:03	Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be 1600.00 or higher at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x354285…
10-27 09:11:48	Will Larry Page be 3rd richest person on December 31?	Yes	SELL	80	19¢	$15	0x75aaee…
10-27 09:09:20	Will Becerra win the 2026 California gubernatorial election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0xbf288a…
10-27 09:07:53	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x8cd29e…
10-27 09:07:03	Will Vox win 56-60 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x347d96…
10-27 09:06:05	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win 3.75-4.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0x3c3fc7…
10-27 09:05:21	Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x43a61a…
10-27 09:03:20	Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?	Yes	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x7fd1c3…
10-27 08:59:02	Will Fiorentina be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x930fc0…
10-27 08:58:45	Will Bologna be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xbd927e…
10-27 08:56:39	Will Bologna be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x5b6236…
10-27 08:55:09	Will Bologna be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0xb40214…
10-27 08:55:09	Will Bologna be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xad57fa…
10-27 08:53:05	Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xcf8f66…
10-27 08:45:47	Will Karmine Corp Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xc09f78…