Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?
open
Total volume
$12,033
$60 in 24h
Trades
608
Unique wallets
129
Liquidity
$401
End date
2027-01-11
First seen
2026-10-02
last 10-30 02:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+5.3¢
(top1%: 34% YES on $2.3K
vs crowd: 29% YES on $8.0K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 37 | $530 | $3.4K | $2.9K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 48 | $1.4K | $1.7K | $325 |
| 🐟 Fish | 34 | $342 | $493 | $151 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $68 | $42 | +$26 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 17 | $792 | $1.5K | $713 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $27 | $13 | +$14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $191 | $170 | +$20 |
| Median | 3 | $27 | $8 | +$19 |
| Below median | 22 | $114 | $228 | $114 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 17 | $221 | $516 | $295 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 19 | $266 | $557 | $291 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 41 | $713 | $2.7K | $2.0K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sore-Pitching 0x564f…7026 | Yes | +1,401 | $212 | $1,290 | 4 | 10-20 08:24 |
| Chief-Plot 0xf9f2…5cba | No | +569 | $286 | $452 | 6 | 10-17 05:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +568 | $133 | $133 | 19 | 10-30 02:12 |
| Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | +447 | $212 | $1,413 | 18 | 10-28 13:58 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +444 | $274 | $282 | 12 | 10-25 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +266 | $102 | $102 | 11 | 10-22 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +233 | $133 | $133 | 8 | 10-25 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +175 | $75 | $75 | 7 | 10-22 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +175 | $105 | $105 | 7 | 10-22 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +170 | $124 | $124 | 9 | 10-20 15:04 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | +140 | $47 | $47 | 3 | 10-25 13:46 |
| Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | +140 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 10-25 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +124 | $76 | $103 | 13 | 10-20 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +124 | $54 | $56 | 15 | 10-20 05:34 |
| Eminent-Pepper 0x0ded…9025 | No | +105 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 10-19 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +100 | $99 | $329 | 14 | 10-26 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +100 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 10-22 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +98 | $67 | $67 | 3 | 10-25 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +95 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 10-22 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +81 | $34 | $48 | 6 | 10-22 17:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +80 | $48 | $48 | 4 | 10-22 17:29 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +80 | $38 | $52 | 6 | 10-25 13:46 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | +80 | $45 | $45 | 4 | 10-25 13:46 |
| Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | +74 | $52 | $85 | 3 | 10-15 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +66 | $22 | $52 | 9 | 10-22 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +66 | $55 | $155 | 12 | 10-16 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | Yes | +60 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-22 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | Yes | +60 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 10-13 16:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x0cf6…3ed9 | No | +60 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 10-13 08:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9530…5699 | No | +60 | $47 | $47 | 1 | 10-13 08:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | No | +55 | $38 | $40 | 6 | 10-20 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xea7f…b855 | Yes | +55 | $19 | $40 | 6 | 10-20 08:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x53b3…7f9a | Yes | +51 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 10-20 03:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x53b3…7f9a | No | +51 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 10-19 16:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | Yes | +40 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 10-22 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +40 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 10-16 09:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +40 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 10-16 09:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +33 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 10-10 09:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c2d…1b16 | No | +32 | $23 | $89 | 4 | 10-22 15:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa6e…cdda | Yes | +30 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-15 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xaa6e…cdda | No | +30 | $27 | $76 | 2 | 10-15 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | +29 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 10-22 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x75df…a2b5 | No | +24 | $15 | $17 | 3 | 10-25 19:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x75df…a2b5 | Yes | +24 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 10-25 13:46 |
| Ethical-Carrier 0xf571…d2dc | No | +22 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-19 06:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-22 09:35 |
| Insidious-Meteor 0xb777…3ff9 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-22 15:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | +20 | $6 | $43 | 6 | 10-25 13:54 |
| Hard-To-Find-Emerald 0xc798…8aab | Yes | +20 | $10 | $11 | 2 | 10-19 18:34 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +20 | $12 | $13 | 2 | 10-23 22:01 |
| Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | Yes | +20 | $10 | $23 | 5 | 10-22 15:48 |
| (anonymous) 0xea24…2cc8 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-16 01:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-04 16:17 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +20 | $12 | $33 | 3 | 10-20 08:24 |
| Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-22 15:35 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +20 | $14 | $88 | 3 | 10-23 22:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-30 02:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-15 09:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 10-10 02:44 |
| Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | No | +20 | $15 | $41 | 3 | 10-22 15:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 02:28:52 | (anonymous) 0x0c28…9844 | No | BUY | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x5bba6d… |
| 10-30 02:28:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0x5bba6d… |
| 10-30 02:28:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x3a2977… |
| 10-30 02:28:49 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 62¢ | $6 | 0x3a2977… |
| 10-30 02:12:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xeb6bac… |
| 10-30 02:12:15 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0xeb6bac… |
| 10-30 02:12:13 | (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x9a2b1d… |
| 10-30 02:12:13 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x9a2b1d… |
| 10-28 13:58:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 56 | 56¢ | $31 | 0x9db96f… |
| 10-28 13:58:16 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | BUY | 56 | 56¢ | $31 | 0x9db96f… |
| 10-27 15:43:47 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | BUY | 19 | 56¢ | $11 | 0xc3ce4a… |
| 10-27 15:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x85ed…a122 | No | SELL | 19 | 56¢ | $11 | 0xc3ce4a… |
| 10-26 14:40:33 | (anonymous) 0x07ea…7fc4 | No | SELL | 25 | 56¢ | $14 | 0xe56226… |
| 10-26 14:40:33 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | BUY | 25 | 56¢ | $14 | 0xe56226… |
| 10-26 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | SELL | 36 | 56¢ | $20 | 0x0279a2… |
| 10-26 13:46:05 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | BUY | 36 | 56¢ | $20 | 0x0279a2… |
| 10-26 12:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x85ed…a122 | No | SELL | 1 | 57¢ | $0 | 0x2ac3f4… |
| 10-26 12:54:23 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 43¢ | $0 | 0x2ac3f4… |
| 10-25 20:30:27 | Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 42¢ | $0 | 0x942909… |
| 10-25 20:30:27 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | SELL | 1 | 42¢ | $0 | 0x942909… |
| 10-25 19:54:24 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | BUY | 59 | 56¢ | $33 | 0x38b0bc… |
| 10-25 19:54:24 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | SELL | 59 | 56¢ | $33 | 0x38b0bc… |
| 10-25 19:46:09 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | BUY | 1 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xf0b28b… |
| 10-25 19:46:09 | (anonymous) 0x75df…a2b5 | No | SELL | 1 | 56¢ | $1 | 0xf0b28b… |
| 10-25 14:01:57 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | BUY | 1 | 55¢ | $0 | 0xc2bd94… |
| 10-25 14:01:57 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | SELL | 1 | 55¢ | $0 | 0xc2bd94… |
| 10-25 13:54:21 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | SELL | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x0c0f65… |
| 10-25 13:54:21 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | SELL | 20 | 56¢ | $11 | 0x0c0f65… |
| 10-25 13:47:42 | Glamorous-Gran 0x2773…045c | No | SELL | 30 | 54¢ | $16 | 0xcff340… |
| 10-25 13:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x791f…e166 | No | SELL | 101 | 54¢ | $54 | 0xcff340… |
| 10-25 13:47:42 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | BUY | 230 | 54¢ | $124 | 0xcff340… |
| 10-25 13:47:42 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 100 | 54¢ | $54 | 0xcff340… |
| 10-25 13:46:14 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 60 | 56¢ | $34 | 0x32dd41… |
| 10-25 13:46:14 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 60 | 56¢ | $34 | 0x32dd41… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x7b7e16… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x791f…e166 | No | BUY | 101 | 59¢ | $60 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 19 | 59¢ | $11 | 0x39310f… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0xa39d…511b | No | BUY | 20 | 59¢ | $12 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x7b7e16… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | Glamorous-Gran 0x2773…045c | No | BUY | 20 | 57¢ | $11 | 0xeef65b… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x75df…a2b5 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 43¢ | $8 | 0xe1466a… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0xbbc71b… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x75df…a2b5 | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 41¢ | $8 | 0x39310f… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 36 | 59¢ | $21 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | SELL | 526 | 59¢ | $313 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x85ed…a122 | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 43¢ | $5 | 0xbbc71b… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | No | BUY | 59 | 60¢ | $35 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 60 | 60¢ | $36 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | Glamorous-Gran 0x2773…045c | No | BUY | 10 | 57¢ | $5 | 0xbbc71b… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 20 | 60¢ | $12 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | BUY | 20 | 43¢ | $9 | 0xeef65b… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | (anonymous) 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | SELL | 19 | 43¢ | $8 | 0xe1466a… |
| 10-25 13:46:05 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | BUY | 100 | 59¢ | $59 | 0x6435b4… |
| 10-24 12:29:12 | Outlandish-Official 0xe50e…45c5 | No | SELL | 10 | 61¢ | $6 | 0xc0ba64… |
| 10-24 12:29:12 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xc0ba64… |
| 10-23 22:01:23 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | SELL | 0 | 61¢ | $0 | 0xe77b06… |
| 10-23 22:01:23 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 39¢ | $0 | 0xe77b06… |
| 10-23 22:01:23 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0xf8714b… |
| 10-23 22:01:23 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0xf8714b… |
| 10-23 22:01:21 | (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x2b14ce… |
| 10-23 22:01:21 | (anonymous) 0xadb4…bc39 | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $12 | 0x2946ed… |
| 10-23 22:01:21 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 38¢ | $0 | 0x2b14ce… |
| 10-23 22:01:21 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $12 | 0x2946ed… |
| 10-23 22:01:21 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $13 | 0x2b14ce… |
| 10-23 15:21:17 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | SELL | 80 | 63¢ | $50 | 0xdfb114… |
| 10-23 15:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | BUY | 80 | 63¢ | $50 | 0xdfb114… |
| 10-23 15:21:15 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xe9d4a1… |
| 10-23 15:21:15 | (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xe9d4a1… |
| 10-22 21:01:59 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xa51176… |
| 10-22 21:01:59 | Adorable-Cat 0x6dd3…59ae | Yes | SELL | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xa51176… |
| 10-22 18:20:17 | (anonymous) 0x440d…0b63 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 37¢ | $0 | 0xfe6c1b… |
| 10-22 18:20:17 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | SELL | 0 | 63¢ | $0 | 0xfe6c1b… |
| 10-22 17:29:08 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xd8dd2d… |
| 10-22 17:29:08 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0xd8dd2d… |
| 10-22 17:29:08 | Fine-Tassel 0x0084…2ecf | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xc0ea6a… |
| 10-22 17:29:08 | Meaty-Dynamics 0xf566…85d6 | No | SELL | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xc0ea6a… |
| 10-22 17:29:06 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x8c8d13… |
| 10-22 17:29:06 | (anonymous) 0x440d…0b63 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 40¢ | $0 | 0x8c8d13… |
| 10-22 17:29:06 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x8c8d13… |
| 10-22 16:53:32 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0xc21d99… |
| 10-22 16:53:32 | (anonymous) 0x6fdb…6b9d | No | SELL | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xe74b4b… |
| 10-22 16:53:32 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xc21d99… |
| 10-22 16:53:32 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0xe74b4b… |
| 10-22 16:21:15 | Few-Prevention 0xa58d…b9b8 | No | SELL | 100 | 63¢ | $63 | 0xf02bf4… |
| 10-22 16:21:15 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 37¢ | $37 | 0xf02bf4… |
| 10-22 15:48:45 | (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | SELL | 40 | 37¢ | $15 | 0xad38da… |
| 10-22 15:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xad38da… |
| 10-22 15:48:45 | Meaty-Dynamics 0xf566…85d6 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xad38da… |
| 10-22 15:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x6fdb…6b9d | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xad38da… |
| 10-22 15:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x07ea…7fc4 | No | BUY | 25 | 63¢ | $16 | 0xad38da… |
| 10-22 15:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x1cfc…2111 | No | BUY | 29 | 63¢ | $18 | 0xad38da… |
| 10-22 15:48:45 | (anonymous) 0x1e49…b618 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xad38da… |
| 10-22 15:48:45 | Low-Greatgrandmother-Kneejerk 0x05f7…22bc | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xad38da… |