Insubstantial-Coffee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

Trades

9,242

lifetime

Volume

$787.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$85

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 07-20 22:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

86% 62% +$7,170

Politics

12% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 401 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	65	$18.9K	9,646	10,000	-354	open	—	03-02 22:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$17.3K	17,500	0	+17,500	open	—	06-03 14:45
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	37	$14.9K	18,500	15,958	+2,542	open	—	03-09 00:45
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	46	$14.2K	10,000	10,503	-503	open	—	01-07 05:57
tpg quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 09 2026 0pt68	13	$13.1K	11,191	2,000	+9,191	open	—	02-05 18:58
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$13.0K	8,500	4,500	+4,000	open	—	01-03 21:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$13.0K	9,443	7,876	+1,567	open	—	01-06 02:31
jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	39	$11.7K	6,860	6,860	+0	open	—	01-13 13:47
jnj quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 21 2026 2pt51	57	$9.7K	6,151	7,477	-1,327	open	—	01-21 14:48
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	9	$8.6K	6,940	3,000	+3,940	open	—	01-21 10:31
will canvas valuation hit low 39 by july 31 20260629184737588	28	$8.1K	5,140	4,372	+768	open	—	07-19 17:32
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	51	$7.4K	24,915	23,656	+1,260	open	—	03-09 16:28
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	82	$7.3K	9,929	10,222	-293	open	—	03-22 19:55
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	86	$7.0K	9,390	8,542	+848	open	—	03-08 21:33
vz quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 30 2026 1pt05	4	$6.9K	6,976	0	+6,976	open	—	01-30 12:56
will krakens valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184742672	22	$6.5K	3,786	3,762	+24	open	—	07-11 09:35
tfc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 21 2026 1pt1	20	$6.1K	3,231	3,616	-385	open	—	01-21 14:27
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	33	$6.1K	6,142	2,006	+4,137	Yes	+$1,620	05-07 15:06
will andurils valuation hit low 85 by july 31 20260629184730576	27	$6.0K	3,860	3,500	+360	open	—	07-17 16:31
will krakens valuation hit low 8 by july 31 20260629184742678	21	$6.0K	3,381	3,311	+70	open	—	07-17 16:01
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	39	$5.9K	5,155	3,662	+1,493	open	—	06-08 14:54
wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 08 2026 1pt45	37	$5.4K	7,590	1,500	+6,090	open	—	01-08 22:29
mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 1pt81	15	$5.3K	5,701	0	+5,701	open	—	01-20 11:55
pg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 22 2026 1pt87	29	$5.3K	5,838	1,345	+4,493	open	—	01-22 15:30
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	45	$5.3K	40,003	39,545	+458	open	—	03-09 16:23
will epic games valuation hit high 15b by december 31	71	$5.0K	4,229	3,430	+799	open	—	07-20 10:50
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	3	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-07 14:02
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt45	28	$4.8K	5,543	210	+5,333	open	—	01-28 23:01
dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 13 2026 1pt57	9	$4.8K	4,808	0	+4,808	open	—	01-13 16:00
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	19	$4.6K	3,099	3,021	+77	open	—	04-16 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 22:51:15	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xc66b61…
07-20 22:08:34	will stripes valuation hit low 160b by december 31	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb3a3b3…
07-20 22:00:54	will gleans valuation hit high 7pt5b by december 31 20260701011238542	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x4c85c5…
07-20 22:00:51	will gleans valuation hit high 7pt5b by december 31 20260701011238542	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd937e9…
07-20 22:00:37	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by december 31 20260701011238545	No	SELL	51	69¢	$35	0xf5bc29…
07-20 20:11:54	will andurils valuation hit low 90 by july 31 20260629184730575	Yes	BUY	23	29¢	$7	0xd6a947…
07-20 19:57:33	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x45a7e9…
07-20 19:42:42	will gleans valuation hit high 7pt5b by december 31 20260701011238542	No	SELL	16	51¢	$8	0x8a8483…
07-20 19:11:19	will stripes valuation hit low 160b by december 31	No	SELL	50	50¢	$25	0xd04ab6…
07-20 18:52:45	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by december 31 20260701011238545	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x46cca7…
07-20 18:28:36	will stripes valuation hit low 160b by december 31	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x8eb786…
07-20 17:01:51	will stripes valuation hit low 160b by december 31	Yes	SELL	106	51¢	$54	0xfb9d6e…
07-20 16:47:42	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	SELL	173	10¢	$17	0xd802c6…
07-20 16:33:39	will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x66bd41…
07-20 16:33:39	will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by december 31	No	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0x66bd41…
07-20 16:33:34	will gleans valuation hit high 8b by december 31 20260701011238541	No	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x4baec1…
07-20 16:18:04	will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by december 31	Yes	SELL	44	65¢	$29	0x8b9024…
07-20 16:02:30	will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0x9558b7…
07-20 15:30:36	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0xb69e6b…
07-20 14:35:45	spgi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 4pt95	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0xed8f02…
07-20 14:07:31	will neuralinks valuation hit low 32pt5b by december 31	No	SELL	87	60¢	$52	0xd0a196…
07-20 14:07:25	will neuralinks valuation hit low 35b by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0xec2bed…
07-20 13:39:24	will chevron cvx q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt1m 20260718020317332	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x9d12fc…
07-20 13:27:00	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by december 31 20260701011238545	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xc9abbb…
07-20 13:26:24	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by december 31 20260701011238545	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x84a06c…
07-20 12:03:27	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt6b 20260718022655034	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x770dab…
07-20 11:38:19	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xc8d2e4…
07-20 11:37:21	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by december 31 20260701011238545	No	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x279345…
07-20 11:36:15	will gleans valuation hit high 7pt5b by december 31 20260701011238542	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0x78fa7c…
07-20 11:25:55	will rtx rtx q2 pratt whitney sales be above 8pt5b 20260707030902629	No	SELL	69	56¢	$39	0xf816e6…
07-20 11:11:06	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by december 31 20260701011238545	No	SELL	55	70¢	$38	0xbb10ea…
07-20 10:54:18	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by december 31 20260701011238545	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0xb82d10…
07-20 10:50:10	will epic games valuation hit high 15b by december 31	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0xc1eb42…
07-20 10:50:10	will epic games valuation hit high 15b by december 31	No	SELL	732	77¢	$560	0x4bf303…
07-20 10:49:42	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xd5c9c6…
07-20 10:49:12	will gleans valuation hit high 7pt5b by december 31 20260701011238542	No	SELL	156	51¢	$80	0x683593…
07-20 10:48:36	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xd53ec5…
07-20 10:48:34	will epic games valuation hit high 13 by july 31 20260629184732966	No	SELL	230	90¢	$207	0x5a5677…
07-20 10:47:40	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	BUY	59	9¢	$5	0x30e81b…
07-20 10:45:49	will gleans valuation hit high 8b by december 31 20260701011238541	No	BUY	589	64¢	$380	0x8f6ee9…
07-20 10:45:45	will gleans valuation hit high 7pt5b by december 31 20260701011238542	No	BUY	666	36¢	$239	0x301f6a…
07-20 10:45:34	will gleans valuation hit low 5pt5b by december 31 20260701011238545	No	BUY	775	55¢	$430	0x19f95d…
07-20 10:44:33	will neuralinks valuation hit high 75b by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xb61bf2…
07-20 10:44:18	will gleans valuation hit high 7pt25b by july 31 20260630205002625	No	SELL	369	94¢	$348	0xdecff8…
07-20 10:43:48	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by december 31	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x9590ea…
07-20 10:43:48	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by december 31	Yes	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0x9590ea…
07-20 10:43:00	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	SELL	139	11¢	$15	0x52ad61…
07-20 10:41:03	will neuralinks valuation hit high 75b by december 31	Yes	SELL	647	20¢	$129	0x6c97ef…
07-20 10:40:45	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xc08c0b…
07-20 10:40:45	will neuralinks valuation hit high 100b by december 31	Yes	SELL	1,584	16¢	$253	0x85cc39…
07-20 10:40:34	will stripes valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184728769	No	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xbad4d8…
07-20 10:38:07	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by december 31	Yes	SELL	27	57¢	$16	0xe959a1…
07-20 10:37:42	will lambdas valuation hit low 7pt25 by july 31 20260629184508154	Yes	SELL	449	29¢	$131	0xe1ca93…
07-20 10:35:28	will canvas valuation hit high 42 by july 31 20260629184737585	No	SELL	304	91¢	$275	0xea4ed7…
07-20 10:32:03	will stripes valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184728769	No	SELL	335	48¢	$160	0x966c97…
07-20 10:28:52	will perplexitys valuation hit low 15b by december 31	No	SELL	32	40¢	$13	0xfbe3be…
07-20 10:28:01	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xfd9ad8…
07-20 10:27:48	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by december 31	No	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0xc02ef1…
07-20 10:27:24	will perplexitys valuation hit low 15b by december 31	No	SELL	512	54¢	$274	0x57fa24…
07-20 10:26:49	will perplexitys valuation hit high 20b by december 31	No	SELL	516	58¢	$301	0xc0e52c…
07-20 10:26:33	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	No	SELL	509	68¢	$345	0x6f7167…
07-20 10:11:45	will krakens valuation hit low 8b by december 31	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x59354a…
07-20 09:21:24	will andurils valuation hit low 90 by july 31 20260629184730575	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x2da16f…
07-20 09:13:27	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt3b 20260718022655031	No	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xdd3708…
07-20 08:40:49	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt7b 20260718022655035	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xa23ba1…
07-20 08:40:28	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt3b 20260718022655031	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x11600d…
07-20 08:07:10	will chevron cvx q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt1m 20260718020317332	Yes	SELL	80	25¢	$20	0x7a48ca…
07-20 08:01:37	will neuralinks valuation hit high 75b by december 31	Yes	SELL	57	21¢	$12	0x2fb1db…
07-20 07:19:46	will western digital wdc q4 exabytes shipped be above 240 20260718025354560	Yes	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0xa3c10c…
07-20 05:04:12	hon quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 23 2026 1pt83	Yes	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x3a5f81…
07-20 04:29:49	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt4b 20260718022655032	No	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0xedec09…
07-20 03:08:03	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt5b 20260718022655033	Yes	BUY	90	44¢	$40	0xc72998…
07-20 02:38:06	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt5b 20260718022655033	No	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x54fc9d…
07-20 01:22:46	will chevron cvx q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt1m 20260718020317332	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x28d46e…
07-20 01:01:33	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x9d3f4e…
07-20 01:01:04	will perplexitys valuation hit low 15b by december 31	No	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0x5b66e2…
07-20 01:00:06	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0xe0bfd2…
07-19 23:35:37	will exxonmobil xom q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt3m 20260718015701118	No	BUY	120	24¢	$29	0x06ba3d…
07-19 23:32:16	will booking bkng q2 gross bookings be above 51b 20260718020809241	No	BUY	142	33¢	$47	0x9fa155…
07-19 23:27:01	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt5b 20260718022655033	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5222de…
07-19 23:22:57	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt5b 20260718022655033	No	BUY	48	53¢	$26	0x0a56b5…
07-19 23:22:24	will altria mo q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in millions be above 16m 20260718021248123	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xdcb86f…
07-19 23:20:39	will kla corp klac q4 total revenues be above 3pt6b 20260718023640061	No	SELL	27	15¢	$4	0xad009d…
07-19 23:20:22	will kla corp klac q4 total revenues be above 3pt6b 20260718023640061	No	SELL	131	17¢	$23	0xf21ede…
07-19 20:57:30	will gleans valuation hit high 8b by december 31 20260701011238541	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x6e71ec…
07-19 20:55:46	will epic games valuation hit high 15b by december 31	Yes	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0xd61e0f…
07-19 20:25:58	will lambdas valuation hit low 7pt25 by july 31 20260629184508154	Yes	BUY	92	30¢	$28	0x064fa6…
07-19 20:22:34	will altria mo q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in millions be above 16m 20260718021248123	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xa7cfa2…
07-19 20:04:22	will neuralinks valuation hit high 75b by december 31	Yes	SELL	48	21¢	$10	0xf8a115…
07-19 18:35:06	will perplexitys valuation hit high 22pt5b by december 31	No	SELL	20	69¢	$14	0x0cc466…
07-19 18:27:24	will western digital wdc q4 exabytes shipped be above 240 20260718025354560	Yes	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x3d76c6…
07-19 18:17:09	will booking bkng q2 gross bookings be above 51b 20260718020809241	No	SELL	93	30¢	$28	0xf5a51f…
07-19 18:16:39	will booking bkng q2 gross bookings be above 51b 20260718020809241	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x6872f9…
07-19 18:16:34	will abbvie q2 global rinvoq net revenues be above 2pt4b 20260718022655032	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x44a026…
07-19 18:14:37	will booking bkng q2 gross bookings be above 51b 20260718020809241	No	BUY	193	25¢	$48	0xe7ca55…
07-19 18:10:49	will kla corp klac q4 total revenues be above 3pt75b 20260718023640061	No	BUY	196	76¢	$148	0xf754a2…
07-19 18:05:37	will kla corp klac q4 total revenues be above 3pt6b 20260718023640061	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0xab3982…
07-19 17:56:07	will booking bkng q2 gross bookings be above 51b 20260718020809241	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x310323…
07-19 17:45:13	will altria mo q2 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume sticks in millions be above 15m 20260718021248121	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xe37035…
07-19 17:32:39	will canvas valuation hit low 39 by july 31 20260629184737588	No	SELL	1,104	95¢	$1,044	0xd647a4…