Insubstantial-Coffee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

87.2%

Resolved

Trades

6,047

lifetime

Volume

$582.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-30 12:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

81% 62% +$7,170

Politics

16% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 248 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	65	$18.9K	9,646	10,000	-354	open	—	03-02 22:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$17.3K	17,500	0	+17,500	open	—	06-03 14:45
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	37	$14.9K	18,500	15,958	+2,542	open	—	03-09 00:45
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	46	$14.2K	10,000	10,503	-503	open	—	01-07 05:57
tpg quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 09 2026 0pt68	13	$13.1K	11,191	2,000	+9,191	open	—	02-05 18:58
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	4	$13.0K	8,500	4,500	+4,000	open	—	01-03 21:56
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	12	$13.0K	9,443	7,876	+1,567	open	—	01-06 02:31
jpm quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 13 2026 4pt94	39	$11.7K	6,860	6,860	+0	open	—	01-13 13:47
jnj quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 21 2026 2pt51	57	$9.7K	6,151	7,477	-1,327	open	—	01-21 14:48
earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times	9	$8.6K	6,940	3,000	+3,940	open	—	01-21 10:31
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	51	$7.4K	24,915	23,656	+1,260	open	—	03-09 16:28
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	82	$7.3K	9,929	10,222	-293	open	—	03-22 19:55
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	86	$7.0K	9,390	8,542	+848	open	—	03-08 21:33
vz quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 30 2026 1pt05	4	$6.9K	6,976	0	+6,976	open	—	01-30 12:56
tfc quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 21 2026 1pt1	20	$6.1K	3,231	3,616	-385	open	—	01-21 14:27
Will Sweetgreen (SG) beat quarterly earnings?	33	$6.1K	6,142	2,006	+4,137	Yes	+$1,620	05-07 15:06
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	39	$5.9K	5,155	3,662	+1,493	open	—	06-08 14:54
wdfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 08 2026 1pt45	37	$5.4K	7,590	1,500	+6,090	open	—	01-08 22:29
mmm quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 20 2026 1pt81	15	$5.3K	5,701	0	+5,701	open	—	01-20 11:55
pg quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 22 2026 1pt87	29	$5.3K	5,838	1,345	+4,493	open	—	01-22 15:30
will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	45	$5.3K	40,003	39,545	+458	open	—	03-09 16:23
new stranger things episode released by wednesday	3	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-07 14:02
tsla quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 28 2026 0pt45	28	$4.8K	5,543	210	+5,333	open	—	01-28 23:01
dal quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 13 2026 1pt57	9	$4.8K	4,808	0	+4,808	open	—	01-13 16:00
nflx quarterly earnings gaap eps 04 16 2026 0pt76	19	$4.6K	3,099	3,021	+77	open	—	04-16 20:15
will hillary say under oath during her epstein testimony	7	$4.6K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	03-04 01:35
will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	55	$4.3K	5,381	3,047	+2,334	open	—	06-27 16:35
wfc quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 14 2026 1pt68	19	$4.3K	5,960	3,060	+2,900	open	—	01-14 12:18
will spd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	20	$4.2K	3,609	2,244	+1,365	open	—	03-22 18:32
all quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 04 2026 9pt86	1	$4.0K	4,000	0	+4,000	open	—	02-04 21:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 12:57:14	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt8b 20260618022527839	Yes	SELL	856	10¢	$86	0x18823c…
06-29 21:56:28	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	No	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x1e4e72…
06-29 21:20:14	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd85b94…
06-29 21:19:46	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	Yes	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x21f0c0…
06-29 12:56:25	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x7b1a85…
06-29 12:23:56	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	BUY	32	80¢	$25	0x4a0aa1…
06-29 11:55:28	will canvas valuation hit high 42pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xf714c6…
06-29 11:54:59	will andurils valuation hit high 100b by june 30	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0xe8b239…
06-29 11:53:08	will lambdas valuation hit low 7b by june 30	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0xea2d7e…
06-29 11:52:55	will lambdas valuation hit high 12pt5b by june 30	No	BUY	530	99¢	$524	0x495fcb…
06-29 11:34:23	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0xa31b5f…
06-29 11:19:43	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x113153…
06-29 11:17:34	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3e8100…
06-29 11:17:17	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	BUY	49	80¢	$39	0x64d603…
06-29 11:10:17	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x2cd85d…
06-29 11:09:52	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	BUY	44	80¢	$35	0xa9bbe3…
06-29 11:09:52	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x8bb355…
06-29 11:09:52	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x7fc7f0…
06-29 10:56:17	will citigroup c q2 provision for credit losses be above 2pt7b	No	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x349633…
06-29 10:54:19	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt0b	No	SELL	247	46¢	$114	0x4996dd…
06-29 10:36:55	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	Yes	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x499df8…
06-29 10:34:02	will wells fargo wfc q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt4b 20260618001830831	No	BUY	39	76¢	$29	0x401291…
06-29 10:33:43	will wells fargo wfc q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt15b 20260618001830829	Yes	BUY	279	30¢	$84	0x7d4f01…
06-29 10:32:13	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt5b 20260618015333984	Yes	BUY	458	47¢	$217	0xee421f…
06-29 10:31:56	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt25b 20260618015333983	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x3c1e47…
06-29 10:28:08	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xc7945d…
06-29 10:26:46	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt8b 20260618022527839	Yes	BUY	413	5¢	$19	0xb363b4…
06-29 10:26:41	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt8b 20260618022527839	Yes	BUY	546	3¢	$16	0x35b7b5…
06-29 10:26:20	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt35b 20260618022527836	No	BUY	598	51¢	$308	0x7419bd…
06-29 10:25:55	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	No	BUY	305	39¢	$118	0x865134…
06-29 10:25:10	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt60 20260618172009451	No	BUY	180	52¢	$94	0x16a603…
06-29 10:24:58	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt70 20260618172009453	No	BUY	164	80¢	$132	0xd683b4…
06-29 10:24:10	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt70 20260618172009453	Yes	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x46c677…
06-29 08:00:41	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	Yes	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0xd86da3…
06-29 06:46:19	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	No	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xeca7bf…
06-29 06:16:52	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt25b 20260618015333983	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xe1c8d9…
06-29 05:01:41	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt35b 20260618022527836	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7e77e0…
06-29 04:41:44	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt60 20260618172009451	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xbb787a…
06-29 00:51:04	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt70 20260618172009453	Yes	BUY	42	20¢	$8	0x26db67…
06-29 00:48:44	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt35b 20260618022527836	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xcb80f5…
06-29 00:46:56	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0x061c70…
06-29 00:46:52	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt35b 20260618022527836	No	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x4f7485…
06-29 00:44:40	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	8	47¢	$4	0xb0a980…
06-29 00:41:01	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xdb349f…
06-29 00:37:59	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x503e94…
06-29 00:37:59	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x10f498…
06-29 00:37:53	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	57	48¢	$27	0xc7f848…
06-29 00:37:47	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x5fdb58…
06-29 00:33:46	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt5b 20260618015333984	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x5f0479…
06-29 00:32:28	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt25b 20260618015333983	No	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x8c9451…
06-29 00:32:07	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt5b 20260618015333984	No	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0xb2f184…
06-29 00:31:37	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt5b 20260618015333984	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x014f7c…
06-29 00:10:22	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 12pt25b 20260618015333983	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x5a4eb5…
06-29 00:06:25	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd5e529…
06-29 00:00:25	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt2b	No	BUY	95	14¢	$13	0x730445…
06-28 23:56:53	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa0c155…
06-28 23:56:53	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x230bfe…
06-28 23:56:23	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x2de7fb…
06-28 23:49:16	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt35b 20260618022527836	No	BUY	43	50¢	$22	0x981134…
06-28 23:49:16	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	Yes	BUY	43	63¢	$27	0x6d0dae…
06-28 23:49:14	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt35b 20260618022527836	No	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x58d845…
06-28 23:49:14	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	Yes	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x20bde9…
06-28 23:49:11	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt35b 20260618022527836	No	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0xe9307c…
06-28 23:49:11	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	Yes	BUY	19	63¢	$12	0xd50b0e…
06-28 23:49:11	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	Yes	BUY	52	63¢	$33	0xa4a302…
06-28 23:49:11	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt35b 20260618022527836	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x61dec3…
06-28 23:47:35	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	No	BUY	45	35¢	$16	0xdc6d79…
06-28 23:47:35	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	No	BUY	53	35¢	$19	0x64f8f5…
06-28 23:47:35	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	No	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x31334e…
06-28 23:46:47	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	No	BUY	28	13¢	$4	0x89ae11…
06-28 22:54:31	will ge aerospace ge q2 adjusted revenue be above 11pt75b 20260618015333981	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xa6600c…
06-28 22:23:40	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	BUY	177	85¢	$151	0x7d934b…
06-28 22:23:34	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9b 20260618021658043	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0x8fb9ba…
06-28 22:23:10	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt8b 20260618022527839	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0xb1fdda…
06-28 22:23:02	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt2b 20260618022527835	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xa75571…
06-28 22:22:55	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt35b 20260618022527836	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xbdef04…
06-28 22:21:46	will nike q4 greater china revenue be above 1pt3b	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x34d3f3…
06-28 22:05:19	will wells fargo wfc q2 provision for credit losses be above 0pt9b 20260618001830827	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x61e74d…
06-28 22:03:56	will wells fargo wfc q2 provision for credit losses be above 1pt4b 20260618001830831	No	BUY	26	72¢	$19	0xb23c8d…
06-28 21:57:43	will wells fargo wfc q2 provision for credit losses be above 0pt9b 20260618001830827	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x30ee21…
06-28 21:57:38	will wells fargo wfc q2 provision for credit losses be above 0pt9b 20260618001830827	Yes	BUY	175	54¢	$95	0xf145ac…
06-28 21:12:53	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt60 20260618172009451	Yes	BUY	147	62¢	$91	0xbffd81…
06-28 21:12:43	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt70 20260618172009453	Yes	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x2c98b6…
06-28 21:09:01	will johnson johnson jnj q2 medtech revenue be above 9pt1b 20260618021658044	No	BUY	23	85¢	$19	0xcf7ec4…
06-28 20:53:11	will johnson johnson jnj q2 innovation medicine revenue be above 16pt8b 20260618022527839	No	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x0f788b…
06-28 20:35:29	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt60 20260618172009451	No	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xf9aa39…
06-28 20:35:17	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt60 20260618172009451	Yes	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x939deb…
06-28 20:35:17	will prologis pld q2 core ffo per diluted share be above 1pt60 20260618172009451	Yes	BUY	27	62¢	$17	0x42ea53…
06-28 17:59:59	fda approves viridian therapeutics veligrotug 06 30 2026	Yes	SELL	402	92¢	$372	0x466f4b…
06-27 16:35:13	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	BUY	68	48¢	$33	0x15c255…
06-25 14:17:59	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	No	BUY	54	8¢	$5	0x1e3695…
06-25 14:13:16	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	BUY	45	48¢	$22	0x6f70bc…
06-25 12:19:35	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt55b	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x5cd4f5…
06-25 12:19:11	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	Yes	BUY	286	68¢	$194	0xa459cb…
06-25 12:18:37	will jp morgan jpm q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt55b	Yes	SELL	331	100¢	$331	0xf720c5…
06-25 12:01:34	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xc576e0…
06-25 12:01:32	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	Yes	BUY	236	51¢	$120	0x480327…
06-25 05:07:28	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt35b	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x1d9c64…
06-25 02:58:05	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 2pt85b	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x7b5d97…
06-24 23:25:16	will goldman sachs gs q2 investment banking fees be above 3pt1b	Yes	SELL	177	24¢	$42	0xd77cc2…