Will US GDP growth in Q4 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
open
Total volume
$2,748
Trades
411
Unique wallets
75
Liquidity
$951
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2027-01-29
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-11 17:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-17.1¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $1.0K
vs crowd: 21% YES on $2.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 30 | $291 | $1.2K | $902 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 26 | $95 | $378 | $283 |
| 🐟 Fish | 13 | $113 | $251 | $138 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $14 | $51 | $38 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 17 | $44 | $965 | $921 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $63 | $136 | $73 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $9 | $23 | $14 |
| Below median | 6 | $39 | $263 | $224 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $4 | $22 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 11 | $40 | $154 | $114 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 26 | $314 | $311 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +471 | $77 | $77 | 19 | 11-11 05:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +452 | $390 | $390 | 5 | 11-03 19:55 |
| Insubstantial-Coffee 0x9e88…301c | Yes | +368 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 11-03 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x2db2…de50 | No | +299 | $251 | $251 | 1 | 11-03 19:55 |
| Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | +279 | $52 | $52 | 13 | 11-10 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | +270 | $36 | $38 | 56 | 11-08 04:08 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +218 | $21 | $21 | 8 | 11-03 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x5bdf…e240 | Yes | +194 | $21 | $21 | 7 | 11-11 17:40 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +190 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 11-03 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | +155 | $23 | $23 | 31 | 11-09 10:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xc22b…deab | No | +137 | $122 | $122 | 2 | 11-03 19:55 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +119 | $97 | $97 | 3 | 11-11 08:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +86 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 11-03 19:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | +83 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 11-03 19:55 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +75 | $63 | $63 | 1 | 11-03 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | +72 | $61 | $61 | 4 | 11-09 09:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +71 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 11-09 09:56 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +68 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 11-03 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +60 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 11-02 11:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xfad9…f138 | Yes | +53 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-09 10:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +53 | $44 | $44 | 1 | 11-09 10:26 |
| Prickly-Barrel 0x558f…1a56 | No | +50 | $42 | $42 | 10 | 11-03 21:20 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +50 | $40 | $40 | 3 | 11-04 21:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x7167…d110 | Yes | +45 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-03 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +39 | $32 | $32 | 4 | 11-09 10:27 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +30 | $6 | $10 | 4 | 11-03 19:55 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 11-02 18:52 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 10-30 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6838…e105 | No | +27 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 10-30 05:34 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-02 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-03 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 11-02 11:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $22 | 6 | 11-07 14:34 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-03 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-02 22:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-03 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-02 22:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 11-03 19:55 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 11-03 19:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 11-02 18:52 |
| Spicy-Neighbour 0x8998…2707 | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 11-02 18:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9435…91fd | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 11-02 11:12 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 11-03 19:56 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 10-30 05:34 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 3 | 10-30 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd36…a86f | No | +14 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 11-11 05:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd36…a86f | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-11 05:13 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-11 05:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 10-30 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9c18…f3a2 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-30 05:34 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 11-02 22:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xb678…299e | Yes | +10 | $2 | $5 | 2 | 11-11 17:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-02 11:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x305d…c253 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-02 11:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a67…5d96 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-04 10:28 |
| Thirsty-Pocketbook 0x8c5d…1c8d | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-09 10:12 |
| (anonymous) 0xd487…a674 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 10-31 03:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xd89a…3fc0 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $10 | 11 | 11-03 20:06 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $8 | 2 | 11-10 00:26 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +2 | -$3 | $19 | 11 | 11-08 14:55 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-11 17:40:36 | (anonymous) 0xb678…299e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe4ca00… |
| 11-11 17:40:36 | (anonymous) 0x5bdf…e240 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xe4ca00… |
| 11-11 08:21:19 | (anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63 | No | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xc6256c… |
| 11-11 08:21:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 40 | 82¢ | $33 | 0xc6256c… |
| 11-11 08:21:19 | (anonymous) 0xb678…299e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xc6256c… |
| 11-11 05:13:21 | (anonymous) 0xdd36…a86f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x3deedc… |
| 11-11 05:13:21 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 13 | 83¢ | $11 | 0x3deedc… |
| 11-11 05:13:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x67514d… |
| 11-11 05:13:10 | (anonymous) 0xdd36…a86f | No | BUY | 14 | 84¢ | $12 | 0x67514d… |
| 11-10 17:40:00 | (anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0xdad0c9… |
| 11-10 17:40:00 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0xdad0c9… |
| 11-10 08:21:16 | (anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63 | No | SELL | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x2f5329… |
| 11-10 08:21:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x2f5329… |
| 11-10 07:41:54 | (anonymous) 0xf70c…4e63 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x77d1ac… |
| 11-10 07:41:54 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x77d1ac… |
| 11-10 00:26:22 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x2442dc… |
| 11-10 00:26:22 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x2442dc… |
| 11-09 10:27:22 | Silver-Horizon 0x0bee…59ac | No | SELL | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x12f55f… |
| 11-09 10:27:22 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 20 | 83¢ | $17 | 0x12f55f… |
| 11-09 10:26:09 | (anonymous) 0xfad9…f138 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 17¢ | $9 | 0xf68556… |
| 11-09 10:26:09 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 53 | 83¢ | $44 | 0xf68556… |
| 11-09 10:12:39 | Thirsty-Pocketbook 0x8c5d…1c8d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xc7c25c… |
| 11-09 10:12:39 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 7 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xc7c25c… |
| 11-09 10:09:24 | Silver-Horizon 0x0bee…59ac | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x104240… |
| 11-09 10:09:24 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x104240… |
| 11-09 10:09:21 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xe4f634… |
| 11-09 10:09:21 | Silver-Horizon 0x0bee…59ac | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xe4f634… |
| 11-09 10:09:10 | Silver-Horizon 0x0bee…59ac | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0xafb98b… |
| 11-09 10:09:10 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xafb98b… |
| 11-09 10:09:04 | Silver-Horizon 0x0bee…59ac | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x9c25aa… |
| 11-09 10:09:04 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x9c25aa… |
| 11-09 09:56:37 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 11 | 83¢ | $9 | 0x7bbefb… |
| 11-09 09:56:37 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 17¢ | $2 | 0x7bbefb… |
| 11-09 09:56:36 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xed15a0… |
| 11-09 09:56:36 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 13 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xed15a0… |
| 11-09 09:56:36 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0xed15a0… |
| 11-08 14:55:37 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xab490c… |
| 11-08 14:55:37 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0xab490c… |
| 11-08 12:23:18 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | SELL | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x6dfe4e… |
| 11-08 12:23:18 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x6dfe4e… |
| 11-08 04:53:54 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 21 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x15207a… |
| 11-08 04:53:54 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 12¢ | $3 | 0x15207a… |
| 11-08 04:08:36 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9d30d3… |
| 11-08 04:08:36 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x9d30d3… |
| 11-08 04:08:33 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xdee0fc… |
| 11-08 04:08:33 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xdee0fc… |
| 11-08 02:52:21 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 5 | 89¢ | $4 | 0xb877df… |
| 11-08 02:52:21 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xb877df… |
| 11-07 23:21:43 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x61466d… |
| 11-07 23:21:43 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2d6e2f… |
| 11-07 23:21:43 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x2d6e2f… |
| 11-07 23:21:43 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x61466d… |
| 11-07 23:21:40 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5acf72… |
| 11-07 23:21:40 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5acf72… |
| 11-07 21:38:58 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe9e20d… |
| 11-07 21:38:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xe9e20d… |
| 11-07 15:30:10 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 31 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xe7bc13… |
| 11-07 15:30:10 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 17¢ | $5 | 0xe7bc13… |
| 11-07 15:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x44e29c… |
| 11-07 15:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 15 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x44e29c… |
| 11-07 15:22:01 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 17¢ | $3 | 0x44e29c… |
| 11-07 14:34:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x86b62a… |
| 11-07 14:34:13 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x86b62a… |
| 11-07 14:34:10 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 25 | 80¢ | $20 | 0xa06495… |
| 11-07 14:34:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 59 | 80¢ | $47 | 0xa06495… |
| 11-07 14:34:10 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 20¢ | $5 | 0xa06495… |
| 11-07 14:34:10 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xa06495… |
| 11-07 12:05:31 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x06591a… |
| 11-07 12:05:31 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | SELL | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x06591a… |
| 11-07 08:51:43 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x05cf0d… |
| 11-07 08:51:43 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x05cf0d… |
| 11-06 10:48:03 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x2ed32c… |
| 11-06 10:48:03 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x2ed32c… |
| 11-06 10:43:57 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xe7a26a… |
| 11-06 10:43:57 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 40 | 19¢ | $8 | 0xe7a26a… |
| 11-05 16:58:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 20 | 80¢ | $16 | 0xb92ed9… |
| 11-05 16:58:28 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xb92ed9… |
| 11-05 10:39:57 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x9727f4… |
| 11-05 10:39:57 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x9727f4… |
| 11-05 10:39:24 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x2ef3f2… |
| 11-05 10:39:24 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0x2ef3f2… |
| 11-05 04:29:21 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | No | SELL | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xcb8561… |
| 11-05 04:29:21 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xcb8561… |
| 11-05 00:39:55 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x2c3b17… |
| 11-05 00:39:55 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x2c3b17… |
| 11-05 00:39:51 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xada575… |
| 11-05 00:39:51 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xada575… |
| 11-05 00:39:49 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xb95576… |
| 11-05 00:39:49 | (anonymous) 0x4462…bfdf | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x012eca… |
| 11-05 00:39:49 | (anonymous) 0xa499…2a2b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xb95576… |
| 11-05 00:39:49 | (anonymous) 0xd0d9…30f2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x012eca… |
| 11-04 21:58:57 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 10 | 78¢ | $8 | 0x5a035c… |
| 11-04 21:58:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 22¢ | $2 | 0x5a035c… |
| 11-04 18:23:34 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x1db0b2… |
| 11-04 18:23:34 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x1db0b2… |
| 11-04 10:28:39 | (anonymous) 0x2a67…5d96 | No | BUY | 9 | 81¢ | $7 | 0x6c47f0… |
| 11-04 10:28:39 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x6c47f0… |
| 11-04 10:27:04 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | SELL | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x7b3676… |
| 11-04 10:27:04 | Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x7b3676… |
| 11-04 04:28:43 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xf09177… |