(anonymous) 0xd0d90c…1e30f2
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$43
Unrealized P&L
+$536
Hit rate
48.7%
Resolved
1,498
Trades
19,087
lifetime
Volume
$15.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$3.44K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-17
last 10-23 23:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 67 days
Categories
Other
75% 15% +$51
Politics
18% 13% -$67
Crypto
2% 8% +$11
Tech
2% 12% -$29
Sports
2% 10% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 1180 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +910 $377 68¢ $618 +$241 10-22 10:17
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes +355 $193 98¢ $347 +$155 10-07 18:58
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? Yes +440 $310 71¢ $312 +$3 10-21 19:18
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +365 $166 82¢ $299 +$133 10-12 17:25
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes +295 $97 97¢ $286 +$189 09-16 11:33
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +910 $468 30¢ $278 -$191 10-22 10:17
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +385 $189 66¢ $252 +$63 08-27 17:04
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +160 $93 64¢ $102 +$9 10-20 15:05
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +385 $131 26¢ $102 -$29 08-27 17:04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +150 $83 68¢ $101 +$19 10-01 17:24
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +440 $88 18¢ $79 -$8 10-21 19:18
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +80 $35 98¢ $79 +$43 10-02 12:37
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +75 $56 98¢ $73 +$17 09-07 22:52
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +75 $23 71¢ $53 +$30 10-05 18:58
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026? Yes +60 $49 88¢ $53 +$5 10-04 05:03
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +160 $47 32¢ $51 +$5 10-20 15:05
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $39 46¢ $46 +$6 10-12 18:35
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +150 $54 29¢ $43 -$11 10-01 17:24
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +45 $40 94¢ $42 +$3 10-23 12:20
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +45 $23 76¢ $34 +$11 09-29 19:18
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $17 29¢ $29 +$13 10-12 18:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +385 $46 8¢ $29 -$17 08-27 17:04
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +35 $22 80¢ $28 +$5 09-29 21:00
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? Yes +440 $28 6¢ $26 -$2 10-21 19:18
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +100 $26 17¢ $17 -$9 10-12 18:35
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +20 $2 82¢ $16 +$14 09-09 18:34
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes +75 $11 19¢ $14 +$3 10-05 18:58
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +15 $11 75¢ $11 +$0 10-23 14:08
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +45 $4 22¢ $10 +$6 09-29 19:18
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +295 $177 3¢ $8 -$169 09-11 09:45