Realized P&L
-$467
Unrealized P&L
+$81
Hit rate
56.0%
Resolved
5,353
Trades
20,554
lifetime
Volume
$23.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$151
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-12
last 11-06 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Other
57% 18% -$92
Politics
31% 24% -$24
Sports
5% 3% -$427
Crypto
4% 33% +$37
Tech
3% 42% +$40
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 634 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by November 30? Yes +50 $5 38¢ $19 +$14 11-05 16:51
Will tkzin play for MIBR in 2027? Yes +42 $0 32¢ $13 +$13 11-06 00:10
Will Iran target an Arab country by November 30, 2026? No +50 $4 20¢ $10 +$7 11-05 11:44
Will an FBS Independent win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +50 $4 18¢ $9 +$5 10-18 01:18
Will Skuba play for Cloud9 in 2027? Yes +50 $3 13¢ $6 +$4 11-05 13:02
Will Rob Sand be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes — +50 $1 12¢ $6 +$5 11-06 01:15
Will tkzin play for KRÜ Esports in 2027? Yes +52 $4 11¢ $6 +$2 11-06 00:10
Will Como score the most goals in the UCL league phase? Yes +39 $0 14¢ $5 +$6 11-04 21:26
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $4 10¢ $5 +$2 11-04 02:34
Poland snap election called by December 31? Yes — +50 $4 10¢ $5 +$1 11-06 01:32
Will Como finish the UCL league phase with the best goal differential? Yes +42 $0 12¢ $5 +$5 09-11 03:34
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? Yes +50 $2 10¢ $5 +$2 10-22 00:07
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +55 $5 9¢ $5 $0 10-29 07:12
Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes +50 $3 9¢ $5 +$2 11-06 01:13
Will Chuang Ching-cheng win Hsinchu City and Hsu Hsin-ying win Hsinchu County? Yes +50 $4 8¢ $4 +$0 11-04 08:41
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes +35 $2 10¢ $4 +$2 11-04 17:02
Will PSOE receive less than 24% of the vote in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +50 $5 7¢ $4 -$1 10-31 10:04
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? Yes +37 $2 9¢ $3 +$2 11-01 00:54
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-02 House election by 5%-10%? Yes +40 $1 8¢ $3 +$2 09-06 04:32
Will Elon Musk win the South Carolina Republican primary? Yes +50 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 11-05 22:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? Yes +50 $4 6¢ $3 -$2 11-03 14:43
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $312 in November? Yes +14 $1 22¢ $3 +$2 11-05 13:21
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CT-02 House election by 10%-15%? Yes +50 $2 6¢ $3 +$1 09-16 23:27
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? Yes +50 -$1 6¢ $3 +$4 11-05 19:53
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +48 -$2 5¢ $3 +$5 11-04 16:48
Will Legacy Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? Yes +50 $1 5¢ $2 +$1 11-05 17:23
Will Milan finish top 8 in UEL league phase? Yes +50 $2 5¢ $2 $0 11-05 19:36
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $270 in November? Yes +25 -$1 9¢ $2 +$3 11-05 15:55
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $80 in November? Yes +50 $5 4¢ $2 -$2 11-05 12:34
Will Podemos win exactly 3 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes — +50 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 10-24 16:03