Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$434

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

56.3%

Resolved

5,215

Trades

20,317

lifetime

Volume

$23.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

14 positions

First seen

2026-07-12

last 11-04 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 111 days

Categories

Other

57% 18% -$96

Politics

31% 23% -$22

Sports

5% 4% -$393

Crypto

3% 33% +$37

Tech

3% 42% +$40

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 634 trades/day

Open positions (14) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+50	$4	10¢	$5	+$2	11-04 02:34
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	Yes	+50	$4	10¢	$5	+$0	11-04 16:17
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	+55	$5	9¢	$5	$0	10-29 07:12
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?	Yes	+50	$5	9¢	$4	$0	11-04 01:35
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?	Yes	+37	$2	11¢	$4	+$2	11-01 00:54
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	+35	$2	10¢	$4	+$2	11-04 17:02
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	Yes	+50	-$1	4¢	$2	+$3	10-29 22:18
Rippling IPO before 2027?	Yes	+32	$3	4¢	$1	-$2	10-19 19:05
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	+28	$1	4¢	$1	$0	08-15 17:57
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?	Yes	+26	$2	4¢	$1	-$1	10-20 19:53
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	+10	$1	8¢	$1	+$0	10-21 06:04
Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 National League Hank Aaron Award?	Yes	+37	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	08-29 20:01
Will Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?	Yes	+5	$0	0¢	$0	$0	07-12 19:33
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	3¢	$0	$0	08-04 16:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will BNB dip to $600 in October?	7	$55	132	132	+0	No	+$36	10-19 03:37
Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $138 in October?	2	$52	50	50	+0	Yes	+$46	10-15 12:30
Will $PONS reach $1.5 in 2026?	8	$52	118	115	+3	open	—	10-17 15:14
will wti reach 150 in september 2026	5	$51	100	100	+0	No	+$45	08-30 20:05
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?	11	$50	345	345	+0	open	—	11-03 11:09
Will Nassourdine Imavov become UFC champion in 2026?	5	$49	60	60	+0	open	—	09-23 12:25
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?	12	$46	268	218	+50	open	—	11-03 22:32
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in November?	8	$43	236	236	+0	open	—	11-04 06:19
Will a Republican Party candidate win the 2026 CA-36 House election?	2	$41	50	50	+0	open	—	10-01 11:11
Will Eric Trump post about $LAPTOP by September 30?	4	$38	100	100	+0	No	+$28	09-09 15:54
Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?	8	$38	131	131	+0	Yes	+$18	10-17 17:12
Will "Your God is Sleeping" from Behemoth! be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?	2	$38	50	50	+0	open	—	10-18 09:29
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Bryson DeChambeau by October 31, 2026?	4	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	10-02 09:50
Will Ben Rice lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI?	2	$37	50	50	+0	Yes	+$36	10-28 04:14
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?	8	$35	200	200	+0	Yes	+$11	09-27 00:56
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	21	$34	188	188	+0	open	—	10-21 10:19
Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $500B and $750B at the end of November 2026?	2	$32	50	50	+0	open	—	10-22 00:10
Will Anthropic’s valuation be less than $500B at the end of November 2026?	2	$32	50	50	+0	open	—	10-22 00:10
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?	6	$32	150	150	+0	No	+$8	09-08 18:47
Will Lee Sin be the most played champion at Worlds 2026?	7	$32	49	49	+0	open	—	11-01 16:39
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $54 in November?	4	$32	50	50	+0	open	—	11-01 22:22
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?	13	$32	211	121	+90	Yes	+$11	10-14 07:38
Will Serbia call its presidential election by November 30, 2026?	7	$31	150	150	+0	open	—	10-28 13:35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	10	$31	150	150	+0	Yes	+$10	09-07 04:40
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?	7	$31	200	150	+50	Yes	+$26	09-05 13:02
Will Jeremiah Smith be the 2026 Big Ten Receiving Yards Leader?	3	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	11-03 14:48
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?	13	$30	185	185	+0	open	—	09-24 12:30
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?	11	$30	144	144	+0	open	—	09-03 08:19
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?	2	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	09-11 14:35
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%?	6	$30	105	105	+0	Under	+$13	09-22 00:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 20:53:25	will googl dip to 290 in november 2026 from november 4	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x9f2d9f…
11-04 20:51:43	will abnb dip to 176 in november 2026	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa64e77…
11-04 20:51:19	John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x17309b…
11-04 20:50:12	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $376 in November?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x83886f…
11-04 20:14:09	Will between 51 and 53 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	18	13¢	$2	0x74daf1…
11-04 20:11:28	will ewy dip to 152 in november 2026 from november 4	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xd3014a…
11-04 20:08:06	Will California have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$2	0x512acd…
11-04 19:59:30	will aapl dip to 352 in november 2026	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xfcbb5b…
11-04 19:57:00	Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0xffa815…
11-04 19:10:36	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x85125a…
11-04 19:09:43	will mouz win the pgl major singapore 2026 1793811600000	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x4aa8f2…
11-04 18:40:46	Will PSOE win fewer than 96 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x85af2c…
11-04 18:27:13	Will TYLOO qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x101bb6…
11-04 18:24:39	Will Medline (MDLN) be added to the S&P 500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xe47e9e…
11-04 18:24:31	Will the right bloc win the Spanish election by 50-59 seats?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x0656fc…
11-04 18:16:13	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of January 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x09d4d5…
11-04 17:54:01	Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x4ccfae…
11-04 17:48:19	Will between 51 and 53 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0x69e9cf…
11-04 17:46:33	Will 72 or more Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe9d8e5…
11-04 17:42:33	Will between 69 and 71 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0xdbacdb…
11-04 17:42:33	Will between 51 and 53 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xa2cc9d…
11-04 17:42:33	Will fewer than 48 Knesset members vote “For” the new Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x04632b…
11-04 17:13:42	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.275T by November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd6d523…
11-04 17:03:57	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?	No	SELL	32	11¢	$4	0x6f2dd1…
11-04 17:02:19	Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0xe10345…
11-04 16:56:51	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0xde8737…
11-04 16:48:01	Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0xe18e17…
11-04 16:48:00	Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x2fa012…
11-04 16:29:48	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $7.00 (HIGH) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x0e8dbe…
11-04 16:28:10	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in October?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xbf75ae…
11-04 16:23:39	Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xc4f244…
11-04 16:17:30	Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x35e1ce…
11-04 16:04:51	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $152 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8e4b23…
11-04 16:00:06	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.50 in November?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0xc82ba9…
11-04 15:59:43	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 105.00 in November?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x95d37c…
11-04 15:50:43	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x9c1001…
11-04 15:46:49	Will SK hynix (SKHY) hit (LOW) $144 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x63738e…
11-04 15:41:10	Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.3M and 7.4M in October?	Yes	BUY	4	8¢	$0	0xf008fe…
11-04 15:40:42	Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30?	Yes	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0x2e830e…
11-04 15:38:33	Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by September 30, 2027?	No	BUY	32	10¢	$3	0x1acc8d…
11-04 15:33:58	Will OpenAI or Anthropic announce recursive self-improvement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x93707a…
11-04 15:30:57	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $1.275T by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x453b7a…
11-04 15:21:24	Trump declares a national emergency by November 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$2	0x050b1a…
11-04 15:19:52	Will there be under 10 tornadoes in the US in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x4bad31…
11-04 15:19:51	Will there be under 10 tornadoes in the US in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb56986…
11-04 15:14:04	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in November?	No	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0xd8141f…
11-04 15:08:51	Will Hyperliquid reach $88 in November?	No	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x27a152…
11-04 15:07:46	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x6b79a8…
11-04 15:05:22	Will Venezuela win Miss Universe 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x343320…
11-04 15:00:51	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $376 in November?	Yes	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0x14e653…
11-04 15:00:49	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $585 end of November?	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0xd08c5e…
11-04 15:00:34	Will FC Naples be runner-up in the 2026 USL League One?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x3daf0f…
11-04 14:59:16	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 in November?	No	SELL	36	18¢	$7	0xe0336d…
11-04 14:49:33	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $176 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x536001…
11-04 14:42:49	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xef12c1…
11-04 14:42:49	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9bdabb…
11-04 14:42:49	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x4ee965…
11-04 14:42:49	Will MicroStrategy (MSTR) hit (HIGH) $140 in November?	No	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x165536…
11-04 14:42:30	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $156 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x42a51f…
11-04 14:39:13	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $435 in November?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x378964…
11-04 14:37:54	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $208 in November?	Yes	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x60f18d…
11-04 14:35:15	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $420 in November?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x2ab288…
11-04 14:33:54	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $154 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x461ad7…
11-04 14:33:49	Will FlyQuest qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbf053b…
11-04 14:31:58	Will B8 qualify to PGL Major Singapore 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x5936e1…
11-04 14:30:03	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $390 in November?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x5ce066…
11-04 14:30:00	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in November?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x0391d9…
11-04 14:29:04	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $640 in November?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xa99a5f…
11-04 14:29:03	Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $135 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xe2b546…
11-04 14:29:03	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xc78835…
11-04 14:29:03	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $840 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xb2f01d…
11-04 14:29:03	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $172 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xa87497…
11-04 14:28:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xe89300…
11-04 14:28:51	Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x064f27…
11-04 14:28:43	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $585 in November?	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x315744…
11-04 14:28:31	Will there be 35 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on November 30?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xb750b3…
11-04 14:28:16	Will Meta (META) close above $720 end of November?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0x38ac34…
11-04 14:28:04	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in November?	No	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xd336d7…
11-04 14:26:18	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 in November?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcc0123…
11-04 14:24:33	Israel military action against Yemen by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0x052831…
11-04 14:23:06	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in November?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xf167c5…
11-04 14:15:40	Will Rayan Cherki win the 2027 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x5c870f…
11-04 13:57:46	Will global temperature increase by between 1.35ºC and 1.39ºC in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xc8f029…
11-04 13:57:40	Will global temperature increase by between 1.40ºC and 1.44ºC in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0x994849…
11-04 13:55:37	Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xec14ef…
11-04 13:46:06	Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $27.75B by November 30?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x38d1ba…
11-04 13:34:30	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $240 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x833bcd…
11-04 13:31:51	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0xfeee9e…
11-04 13:15:45	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x983824…
11-04 13:13:27	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $495 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x7a932a…
11-04 13:07:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in November?	No	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0xb96c90…
11-04 13:01:40	Vance's Republican nomination odds dip to 30% by December 31?	No	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8f37cd…
11-04 12:51:04	Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xaf1cde…
11-04 12:49:27	Will edgeX reach $1.00 before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xc8a33e…
11-04 12:45:48	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $234 in November?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x280b6c…
11-04 12:42:10	Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x824f63…
11-04 12:37:30	Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $130B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xb45b30…
11-04 12:14:49	Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.6M Iranian rials on November 30?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x2bb321…
11-04 12:02:15	Will Franz Ruppen win the Swiss Federal Council by-election?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x648f5c…
11-04 11:59:25	Will Katherine Clark be the next House Majority Leader?	No	SELL	58	5¢	$3	0x0f5e5e…