Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?
open
Total volume
$714
Trades
49
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$2,927
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-21 19:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $2 | $11 | $9 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $299 | $299 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $36 | $14 | +$23 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 3 | $6 | $6 | +$0 |
| Below median | 5 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $5 | $5 |
| unranked | 5 | $8 | $312 | $304 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | +328 | $299 | $299 | 1 | 06-17 18:39 |
| Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | +240 | $20 | $20 | 8 | 06-21 01:48 |
| Blind-Minority 0xe298…9ef4 | Yes | +115 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 06-21 03:26 |
| Impure-Contour 0x1d9f…c9c6 | Yes | +44 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-10 08:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x9af0…8143 | Yes | +43 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-21 19:22 |
| Easy-Going-Garlic 0x4563…ddd1 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 09:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-21 19:22 |
| Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-14 20:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $4 | 2 | 06-21 19:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-21 19:22 |
| Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-08 09:49 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-16 06:46 |
| Feisty-Orientation 0xe9c1…e713 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-28 09:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 19:22:41 | (anonymous) 0x9af0…8143 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x66b239… |
| 06-21 19:22:41 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x66b239… |
| 06-21 19:22:41 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x66b239… |
| 06-21 19:22:41 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x66b239… |
| 06-21 03:26:19 | Blind-Minority 0xe298…9ef4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa49ff3… |
| 06-21 03:26:19 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa49ff3… |
| 06-21 02:35:46 | Blind-Minority 0xe298…9ef4 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdda032… |
| 06-21 02:35:46 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 21 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xdda032… |
| 06-21 01:48:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 73 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x109207… |
| 06-21 01:48:29 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x109207… |
| 06-21 01:48:29 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x109207… |
| 06-17 18:39:08 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | No | SELL | 342 | 91¢ | $311 | 0xec5cb2… |
| 06-17 18:39:08 | (anonymous) 0x27e5…fb20 | No | BUY | 328 | 91¢ | $299 | 0xec5cb2… |
| 06-17 18:39:08 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xec5cb2… |
| 06-16 06:46:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x71bbbf… |
| 06-16 06:46:42 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x71bbbf… |
| 06-16 06:41:39 | Blind-Minority 0xe298…9ef4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa1b783… |
| 06-16 06:41:39 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xa1b783… |
| 06-15 13:42:40 | Imaginative-Lunchmeat 0x7391…a352 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x7799da… |
| 06-15 13:42:40 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x7799da… |
| 06-14 20:30:48 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 54 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x5dcfc2… |
| 06-14 20:30:48 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x5dcfc2… |
| 06-14 20:30:48 | Unlucky-Comparison 0xd883…4fd7 | No | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x5dcfc2… |
| 06-12 11:44:09 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xda83d4… |
| 06-12 11:44:09 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xda83d4… |
| 06-10 08:03:25 | Impure-Contour 0x1d9f…c9c6 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xd94bb4… |
| 06-10 08:03:25 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 32 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xd94bb4… |
| 06-09 15:33:58 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 65 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x8d2825… |
| 06-09 15:33:58 | Blind-Minority 0xe298…9ef4 | Yes | BUY | 65 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x8d2825… |
| 06-08 09:49:31 | Blind-Minority 0xe298…9ef4 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x6370b1… |
| 06-08 09:49:31 | Frizzy-Sinuosity 0x9db3…1d38 | No | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x6370b1… |
| 06-08 09:49:31 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 18 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x6370b1… |
| 06-06 02:47:13 | Pleasing-Drag 0xa383…ea88 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xee04f2… |
| 06-06 02:47:13 | Impure-Contour 0x1d9f…c9c6 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xee04f2… |
| 06-01 14:51:12 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | SELL | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x88a956… |
| 06-01 14:51:12 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x88a956… |
| 06-01 14:37:35 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x283c24… |
| 06-01 14:37:35 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x283c24… |
| 06-01 14:37:33 | Useless-Smoking 0xf609…e68b | Yes | SELL | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x97b791… |
| 06-01 14:37:33 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x97b791… |
| 06-01 14:37:33 | Giddy-Cod 0x72bd…2b64 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8f7679… |
| 06-01 14:37:33 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x8f7679… |
| 05-30 03:02:39 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | SELL | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6f43c7… |
| 05-30 03:02:39 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6f43c7… |
| 05-30 03:02:39 | Pleasing-Drag 0xa383…ea88 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x6f43c7… |
| 05-28 09:27:51 | Feisty-Orientation 0xe9c1…e713 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3eb6d0… |
| 05-28 09:27:51 | Easy-Going-Garlic 0x4563…ddd1 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x10e761… |
| 05-28 09:27:51 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x3eb6d0… |
| 05-28 09:27:51 | Spotted-Logo 0x2099…3024 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x10e761… |